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Page added on June 18, 2014

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Iraq and Ukraine; this might be the artificial Peak Oil scenario

The ruling powers decide to do an “artificial peak oil” scenario in order to kill off billions of people and save the economy. What they don’t understand, even though they rule the world, is that destroying the oil infrastructure means it will take centuries to rebuild modern civilization. So they go too far.

The real point of Last Light is that the ruling elites are not competent. They fly around on fancy jets and make fancy plans, but when they actually carry out their fancy plans, they don’t turn out at all as planned. And they never learn, right to the end.

It begins on a very normal Monday morning. But in the space of only a few days, the world’s oil supplies have been severed and at a horrifying pace things begin to unravel everywhere. This is no natural disaster—someone is behind this. Oil engineer Andy Sutherland is stranded in Iraq with a company of British soldiers, desperate to find a way home, trapped as the very infrastructure of daily life begins to collapse around him. Back in Britain, his wife Jenny is stuck in Manchester, fighting desperately against the rising chaos to get back to their children in London as events begin to spiral out of control—riots, raging fires, looting, rape, and murder. In the space of a week, London is transformed into an anarchic vision of hell. Meanwhile, a mysterious man is tracking Andy’s family. He’ll silence anyone who can reveal the identities of those behind this global disaster. The people with a stranglehold on the future of civilization have flexed their muscles at other significant tipping points in history, and they are prepared to do anything to keep their secret—and their power—safe.



8 Comments on "Iraq and Ukraine; this might be the artificial Peak Oil scenario"

  1. Makati1 on Wed, 18th Jun 2014 8:42 pm 

    I think things are spiraling out of control and there is no way back. The powder keg Middle East is beyond peace in any form. The Muslim wars will now go on until the oil fields are shut down permanently.

    This is the inevitable result of Western meddling in a situation that has not changed in 1200+ years. Only Western arrogance could give thought to ever controlling two male lions trying to gain control of the pride. It will go on until one is dominant.

    Oil is power. If it were gold mines, they would be fought over for the same reason. So, if you think they care about oil in any way except income to keep the war going, you are mistaken. They don’t care if it goes to $150+ as long as someone buys it or trades it for weapons and supplies. That’s my take, anyway. We shall see.

  2. mack on Thu, 19th Jun 2014 9:23 am 

    Energy infrastructure is a natural target in modern war. Things like long pipelines, refineries, pumping facilities are easy to attack and difficult to defend. This is especially true in the Middle East because it is the only industry and the only source of export income. It’s no surprise that right away the big fight is over a refinery. Also the just the threat of attack is enough to has an effect on oil production.

  3. Davey on Thu, 19th Jun 2014 9:31 am 

    Mack, the fact there is a fight at the refinery shows how inept the Iraq government is. That whole area should have been extremely well guarded.

  4. Fulton J. Waterloo on Thu, 19th Jun 2014 9:56 am 

    I served in Iraq in 2007-2008 during the so-called “surge.” A fellow sergeant and I witnessed a graduating class of Iraqi NCO’s on “parade.” My sergeant buddy turned to me and said,”Jack, you are thinking?” I replied, “yeah, I am thinking that the SOUTH VIETNAMESE would have kicked these guys’ asses.” That’s when I knew Iraq was not “do-able.” The loss of the refinery came as no suprise to me…

  5. Davey on Thu, 19th Jun 2014 10:13 am 

    Fulton, they should have subcontracted security out to mercenaries. I guess they may be inept but still too proud and on the payroll

  6. rockman on Thu, 19th Jun 2014 1:05 pm 

    Davey – Being something of an oil patch tech “mercenary” I suppose those armed mercs might share my philosophy: I’ll take your big paycheck as long as I can hop the next flight home. Die for you cause…hell no. Risk my life for a pile of money…OK.

    And I’m sure Mr. Waterloo can explain better then I the problem with defending a volatile refinery from one shell loaded with Willie Peter. You don’t want to squat in your hooch waiting for it. And in a land where there seems to be an unlimited supply of suicide bombers getting a mortar crew in close enough should be pretty easy.

  7. rollin on Thu, 19th Jun 2014 2:00 pm 

    Reads like a bad novel.

    Enough fiction already, lets get down to facts. Even during the Iraqi invasion and the Libyan incursion, the world did not reel from oil production reduction.
    When the Arabs cut the US off in the 70’s, the country did not collapse.

    If you want to read better fiction on this topic “Treasure of Khan”.

  8. Davy, Hermann, MO on Thu, 19th Jun 2014 2:23 pm 

    Rollin, I do allot of theory and speculation here and that may be a fault of mine. Yet, I am seeing with the hyper complexity of the global system and the global overshoot of carrying capacity an extreme need for energy intensity such that a reduction is fatal to that interconnected system. Luckily we are on an undulating plateau with all energy sources. AltE has helped. Fracking and the unconventionals have chipped in. Wealth transfer, financial repression, and debt creation has allowed a pseudo growth to continue. I don’t think we can compare this to the simple 70’s with abundant cheap oil. Libya is an example of a “collapsed state” that could multiply in the ME undoubtedly PO situation. All the while we need more of everything and it is increasingly not there. My speculation is this is a road to collapse in plain view. It is the lobby of plenty and the tendency of the optimist at every level to deny there is a problem Houston. I hope you are right Rollin because this will be ugly.

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