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Page added on May 17, 2016
Why the Economy Should Stop Growing—And Just Grow Up
Listen to the political candidates as they put forward their economic solutions. You will hear a well-established and rarely challenged narrative. “We must grow the economy to produce jobs so people will have the money to grow their consumption, which will grow more jobs…” Grow. Grow. Grow.
(Photo: Jessica Lucia/flickr/cc)
But children and adolescents grow. Adults mature. It is time to reframe the debate to recognize that we have pushed growth in material consumption beyond Earth’s environmental limits. We must now shift our economic priority from growth to maturity—meeting the needs of all within the limits of what Earth can provide.
Global GDP is currently growing 3 to 4 percent annually. Contrary to the promises of politicians and economists, this growth is not eliminating poverty and creating a better life for all. It is instead creating increasingly grotesque and unsustainable imbalances in our relationship to Earth and to each other.
Specifics differ by country, but the U.S. experience characterizes the broader trend. Corporate profits as a percentage of GDP are at a record high. The U.S. middle class is shrinking as most people work longer hours and struggle harder to put food on the table and maintain a roof over their heads. Families are collapsing, and suicide rates are increasing.
The assets of the world’s 62 richest individuals equal those of the poorest half of humanity—3.6 billion people. In the United States, the 2015 bonus pool for 172,400 Wall Street employees was $25 billion—just short of the $28 billion required to give 4.2 million minimum wage restaurant and health care workers a raise to $15 an hour.
Humans now consume at a rate 1.6 times what Earth can provide. Weather becomes more severe and erratic, and critical environmental systems are in decline.
These distortions are a predictable consequence of an economic system designed to extract Earth’s natural wealth for the purpose of maximizing financial returns to those who already have more than they need.
On the plus side, as this system has created the imperative for deep change, it has also positioned us to take the step toward a life-centered planetary civilization. It has:
- Globalized awareness of humans’ interdependence with one another and Earth,
- Produced a system of global communications that allows us to think and act as a global species,
- Highlighted racism, sexism, and other forms of xenophobia as threats to the well-being of all, and
- Turned millennials into a revolutionary political force by denying them the economic opportunities their parents took for granted.
We cannot, however, look to the economic institutions that created the imbalances to now create an economy that meets the essential needs of all in balanced relationship to a living Earth. Global financial markets value life only for its market price. And the legal structures of global corporations centralize power and delink it from the realities of people’s daily lives.
Restoring balance is necessarily the work of living communities, of people who care about one another, the health of their environment, and the future of their children.
The step to maturity depends on rebuilding caring, place-based communities and economies and restoring to them the power that global corporations and financial markets have usurped. Local initiatives toward this end are already underway throughout the world.
“How do we grow the economy?” is an obsolete question. The questions relevant to this moment in history are “How do we navigate the step to a mature economy that meets the needs of all within the limits of a finite living Earth?” How do we rebuild the strength and power of living communities? How do we create a culture of mutual caring and responsibility? How do we assure that the legal rights of people and communities take priority over those of government-created artificial persons called corporations?
Living organisms have learned to self-organize as bioregional communities that create and maintain the conditions essential to a living Earth community. We humans must take the step to maturity as we learn to live as responsible members of that community.
54 Comments on "Why the Economy Should Stop Growing—And Just Grow Up"
onlooker on Tue, 17th May 2016 12:55 pm
The author has a grasp of what is fundamentally wrong with humanity and the way it lives on this planet and what could have been good solutions. Alas, with deep regret we waited too long. Climate change along with the unraveling ecosystems are now to far along as is population overshoot combined with still existing appetites for consumerism lifestyles. So because of all this we can no longer control the inevitable consequences these patterns have bought about. The best we can try to do is accept gracefully and with compassion the inevitability of what will be a downward spiral into the abyss.
Davy on Tue, 17th May 2016 1:02 pm
Humans as a global community are not capable of taking steps towards a true “maturity” at the population levels we are at and in a state of limits of growth. The best we can do is make efforts in smaller groups to achieve a maturity among that group as a survival mechanism for the population and consumption rebalance humanity as a whole must undergo. Those who embrace maturity have a better chance of survival in what is going to be a truly difficult time.
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 1:29 pm
The cancer is relentless. Only death will stop the two legged cancer.
The American West Is Losing A Football Field Worth Of Land Every Two And A Half Minutes
“Advocates for seizing and selling off public lands often argue that private landowners will be better stewards of the land. Yet the data from the analysis shows that development on private lands accounted for nearly three-fourths of all natural areas in the West that disappeared between 2001 and 2011, while public lands like national parks and wilderness areas had some of the lowest rates of development. ”
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2016/05/17/3778905/disappearing-west/
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 1:42 pm
Spring heat wave continues as southern Israel experiences 46-47 °C
Firefighters battle blazes in the capital, as Israelis flee to the beach to cool off while temperatures remain high; new electricity consumption record set for month of May at 11,770 MW.
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4803822,00.html
47°C is 116.6°F for the metrically challenged.
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 1:53 pm
Economy slowing consequences of AGW.
Suncor Shuts Oil Sands Again as Alberta Fires Spread
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-16/alberta-blaze-nears-enbridge-oil-sands-terminal-as-flames-spread
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 2:02 pm
Techno Optimist
Is Mankind Reaching the End?
“Investor Jeremy Grantham told participants at Fortune’s Brainstorm E conference that mankind is now in the “race of our lives” to survive the next century.
“We’ve been around for 300,000 years. We’ve had agriculture for 12,000 years,” the 77-year-old money manager said on Monday in Carlsbad, Calif. “Yet we’ve come down to just 100 years where the whole game is playing out.” He said it’s not just that the climate is warming, but that climate warming is accelerating.”
http://fortune.com/2016/05/16/is-mankind-reaching-the-end/?iid=leftrail
Plantagenet on Tue, 17th May 2016 2:26 pm
Obama has spent the last eight years boasting about growing the economy. Are you suggesting he should have been trying to shrink the economy?
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 3:04 pm
Planty why are you so obsessed with Obama? When your shoelace comes undone do you blame that on Obama too?
Maybe you have repressed jungle fever and this is how you deal with it.
GregT on Tue, 17th May 2016 3:37 pm
“Planty why are you so obsessed with Obama?”
I’m guessing it’s because she thinks of Obama as some kind of a deity.
Obama is a mere mortal planter, you need to lower your expectations a wee bit. He is not in control of the universe, and he can’t perform miracles. Obama is a politician, or in other words, an actor. Nothing more.
dave thompson on Tue, 17th May 2016 4:02 pm
This is perhaps one of the biggest lies of all being foisted upon the world (next to religion I suppose). We are not going to ‘spend our way to our salvation’ and reverse climate change as claimed. Instead, we are going to go on contributing to climate change in everything that we do (even planting trees – as long as we are here). It is our economic activity (by whatever action or industry or ‘business’ this may be) that caused anthropogenic climate change. Nothing will change that.http://survivalacres.com/blog/money-will-not-stop-runaway-climate-change/
Anonymous on Tue, 17th May 2016 4:05 pm
What will Obamaglut do once the new figurehead is installed in the whitemans house?
Lets see how that comment works if we change a few things
“Trump has spent the last eight years boasting about growing the economy. Are you suggesting he should have been trying to shrink the economy?”
“Killary” has spent the last eight years boasting about growing the economy. Are you suggesting she should have been trying to shrink the economy?”
Yea, I guess either those would work just as well eh? No thought required.
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 6:05 pm
Eventually the cancer consequences will take down all of industrial civilization.
The Beast Growls — Warming-Induced Wildfire Again Doubles in Size, Burns Tar Sands Workers’ Camp
“8,000 More Evacuations, Oil Worker Camp Burned
As the town of Fort McMurray choked in the smoke of resurgent fires, walls of flame moving north and east again threatened tar sands facilities. Firefighters scrambled to widen fire breaks as fires moving as fast as 40 kilometers per hour leapt defensive lines and entered some of the industrial sections.
Ironically-named Travis Fairweather, a wildfire information officer, described the completely untenable situation:
“Yesterday the fire was showing extreme behaviour and lots of smoke in the air. We had to pull the firefighters off the line because it was so dangerous out there.”
The entire industrial zone fell swiftly under threat and by late Monday more than 8,000 tar sands workers from a total of 19 camps had been ordered to evacuate. By Tuesday morning, the Blacksand Lodge — a temporary residence for oil workers manning tar sands facilities located 35 kilometers to the north of Fort McMurrary — had succumbed to the flames. A large facility, the Blacksand camp provided 665 residential units for workers. In total, it’s estimated that about 6,000 workers remain in tar sands facilities and emergency responders are coordinating to organize an air evacuation if necessary.”
https://robertscribbler.com/2016/05/17/the-beast-growls-warming-induced-wildfire-again-doubles-in-size-burns-tar-sands-workers-camp/
makati1 on Tue, 17th May 2016 6:52 pm
“Why the Economy Should Stop Growing—And Just Grow Up”
The debt based economy that we have today will collapse without growth. That is why they are trying so hard to keep that secret from the sheeple. Lies, faux stats, anything that covers up the fact that the economy is contracting.
We can change, but it will not make things better. The only way to change the current system is to to totally collapse it and start again at a much, much lower level of subsistence. Be patient. That day is fast approaching. I hope you are prepared.
makati1 on Tue, 17th May 2016 7:32 pm
America…
“Policy by Lies, America’s Descent Into Insanity”
http://journal-neo.org/2016/05/17/policy-by-lies-america-s-descent-into-insanity/
First they came for the Socialists, and I did not speak out—
Because I was not a Socialist.
Then they came for the Trade Unionists, and I did not speak out—
Because I was not a Trade Unionist.
Then they came for the Jews, and I did not speak out—
Because I was not a Jew.
Then they came for me—and there was no one left to speak for me.
Martin Niemoeller
It is only beginning, America. Wake up before it is too late.
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 8:48 pm
FUCK YEAH!!
Navy Allowed to Kill or Injure Nearly 12 Million Whales, Dolphins, Other Marine Mammals in Pacific
“Increasing Everything
The staggering number of “takes” the Navy is permitted to generate is accompanied by an overall increase in a large number of other dangerous activities as well.
Their October 2015 EIS shows increases in the following activities (this is not a complete list):
– A 778 percent increase in number of torpedoes
– A 400 percent increase in air-to-surface missile exercises (including Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary)
– A 1,150 percent increase in drone aircraft
– A 1,150 percent increase in drone surface vehicles
– A 1,450 percent increase in expendable devices
– A 72 percent increase in electronic warfare operations
– A 50 percent increase in explosive ordnance disposal in Crescent Harbor and Hood Canal
– A 244 percent increase in air combat maneuvers (dogfighting)
– A 400 percent increase in helicopter tracking exercises
– A 3,500 percent increase in number of sonobuoys
– From none to 284 sonar testing events in inland waters
The Growler fighter aircraft used in the Navy’s electromagnetic warfare training are the loudest aircraft ever built. It is worth noting that the noise threshold for hearing damage in humans is 85 decibels. Similar to the Richter scale used for measuring earthquakes, sound measurements are not linear. For every increase of 10 decibels, the intensity of the noise increases tenfold.
“Is maintaining military readiness to address obscure threats to national security worth defending the oceans to death?”
“Therefore, a 115-decibel noise, which is what a Growler jet makes when passing overhead at an altitude of 1,000 feet, is a thousand times louder than the 85-decibel threshold for hearing damage,” the WCAA website explains. Growlers generate 150 decibels at takeoff.”
http://www.truth-out.org/news/item/36037-the-us-navy-s-mass-destruction-of-marine-life
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 8:55 pm
Even for the fast-melting Arctic, 2016 is in ‘uncharted territory’
“So Arctic amplification has long been understood — and, confirming the theory, the Arctic has already been warming much faster than the more temperate latitudes. Even in this context, though, scientists have been noting that there seems to be something especially stark about what’s happening atop the world this year, which has seen overall temperatures soar to new highs.
“We’re in record breaking territory no matter how you look at it,” says Jennifer Francis, an Arctic specialist at Rutgers University who has published widely on how Arctic changes affect weather in the mid-latitudes. “The ice is really low, the temperatures are really high, the fire seasons have started earlier,” she says.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/05/16/even-for-the-fast-melting-arctic-2016-is-in-uncharted-territory/
makati1 on Tue, 17th May 2016 9:29 pm
Ap, I think we have hit the exponential function on Climate Change.
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 9:29 pm
The empire backed soft coup in Brazil got rid of Dilma. The new guys gonna crank that eCONomy (try) to the limit. White & Right cancer monkey’s. They can enable the deforestation of the rest of Brazil then then what little is left of the atmospheric rivers will not carry any water at all to their major coastal cities. Rich, corrupt, white & old – The perfect cancer monkey’s to drive the final nail.
Meet Brazil’s new cabinet: the science minister is a creationist, agriculture minister deforested the Amazon
“The new Brazilian president’s first pick for science minister was a creationist. He chose a soybean tycoon who has deforested large tracts of the Amazon rain forest to be his agriculture minister. And he is the first leader in decades to have no women in his Cabinet.
The new government of President Michel Temer — the 75-year-old lawyer who took the helm of Brazil on Thursday after his predecessor, Dilma Rousseff, was suspended by the Senate to face an impeachment trial — could cause a significant shift to the political right in Latin America’s largest country.
“Temer’s government is starting out well,” Silas Malafaia, a television evangelist and author of best-selling books like “How to Defeat Satan’s Strategies,” wrote on Twitter.”
http://www.nationalpost.com/m/wp/blog.html?b=news.nationalpost.com/news/meet-brazils-new-cabinet-the-science-minister-is-a-creationist-agriculture-minister-deforested-the-amazon
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 9:34 pm
Goodbye To Flying Rivers: The Amazon Rainforest Is Drying Up
http://www.mintpressnews.com/MyMPN/goodbye-flying-rivers-amazon-rainforest-drying/
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/11/opinion/sunday/deforestation-and-drought.html?_r=0
GregT on Tue, 17th May 2016 9:45 pm
“Ap, I think we have hit the exponential function on Climate Change.”
Yes, it most certainly appears that way. Not good.
JuanP on Tue, 17th May 2016 9:52 pm
Apnea, The Amazon’s deforestation affects all of South America. Uruguay is the country that is frthest away from the Amazon in South America, and a significant part of Uruguay’s precipitation comes from the Amazon’s evaporation. The deforestation that has already happened has already had a perceptible negative effect. The deforestation and dying of the Amazon is what will do South America in, IMO. A drought lasting more than 7 or 8 years would kill enough trees to tip the scales with one blow. Three 5 year droughts in 25 years would achieve the same. I think it is only a matter of when and that it may happen within the next few decades.
JuanP on Tue, 17th May 2016 10:03 pm
I agree that climate change seems to be growing exponentially. The melting happening in the Arctic now is unbelievable. It looks like the Arctic Ocean will be mostly a blue ocean before the melting season is over in September. Right now all levels of ice volume, coverage, and extension are lower than ever in modern records, and dropping faster than ever before just as a massive unprecedented heatwave is headed towards the North Pole, which will likely increase the melting even more. We are living in historic times. Did you ever imagine growing up that the North Pole would melt? I know I didn’t!
On a more serious note, Santa moved to Greenland, so he is oficially an European now! 😉
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 10:13 pm
JuanP, sure but it’s not just drought killing trees. Deforestation to clear land to feed Chinese pigs soy and unnecessary “Brazilian Hardwood Flooring” for spoiled N Americans. Got’s to have the hardwood flooring to go with the granite counter top. Gotta keep up with the neighbors, who you don’t even like, even if it means going into major debt.
I had a vision, like Professor X, where all at once I saw a few hundred million suburbanites look around at all their unneeded stuff, 5 minutes after it finally sunk in what we have done. And they cried.
makati1 on Tue, 17th May 2016 10:14 pm
JuanP, I like the Santa moved idea. But is Greenland any safer? It appears that the melting there is also going expo. That would add 20 feet to the ocean depth around the world. Goodby most coastal cities.
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 10:37 pm
The humans first ever Arctic Blue Ocean in a few months? My guess is yes.
Latent heat
“Above image shows a number of feedbacks that are accelerating warming in the Arctic. Feedback #14 refers to (latent) heat that previously went into melting. The reason this heat is called latent (hidden), is that it doesn’t raise the temperature of the water, but instead goes into the process of melting the ice.
With the demise of the snow and ice cover, an increasing proportion of this heat will no longer go into melting, but will instead get absorbed and thus contribute to accelerated warming in the Arctic.
As the sea ice heats up, 2.06 J/g of heat goes into every degree Celsius that the temperature of the ice rises. While the ice is melting, all energy (at 334J/g) goes into changing ice into water and the temperature remains at 0°C (273.15K, 32°F).
Once all ice has turned into water, all subsequent heat goes into heating up the water, at 4.18 J/g for every degree Celsius that the temperature of water rises.
The amount of energy absorbed by melting ice is as much as it takes to heat an equivalent mass of water from zero to 80°C. The energy required to melt a volume of ice can raise the temperature of the same volume of rock by 150º C.”
http://arctic-news.blogspot.ca/p/latent-heat.html
GregT on Tue, 17th May 2016 11:07 pm
Buckle your seatbelt Dorothy, ’cause Kansas is going bye-bye …
Apneaman on Tue, 17th May 2016 11:15 pm
More deluge for the texass cancer monkeys.
The new abnormal.
No break for Lone Star State: Heavy rain lashes South Texas
“Forecasters said more than 11 inches of rain fell within a 24-hour period, stranding dozens of cars, according to local media.
In Corpus Christi, police blocked off several major roads, where flood waters went almost to the top of the guardrails, NBC said.
The National Weather Service declared a flash flooding emergency and severe thunderstorm warning for surrounding counties.
“We can not stress enough the severity of the flooding on-going around the Corpus Christi area,” the National Weather Service in Corpus Christi tweeted at 2:48 a.m. CDT Monday. “Numerous water rescues are occurring.”
http://www.theweathernetwork.com/us/news/articles/us-weather/rescues-unfold-as-corpus-christi-declares-flood-emergency/67810
GregT on Tue, 17th May 2016 11:15 pm
I wonder if they’ll award McPherson the last Nobel Prize if he turns out to be right?
Boat on Tue, 17th May 2016 11:22 pm
mak,
The debt based economy that we have today will collapse without growth.
Boat on Tue, 17th May 2016 11:25 pm
Why would no growth collapse an economy?
GregT on Tue, 17th May 2016 11:30 pm
“Why would no growth collapse an economy?”
Like I’ve said many times before Boat. You don’t understand how your monetary system works, and you don’t understand the exponential function. Not to worry. You are not alone.
“The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.”
-Albert Allen Bartlett (RIP)
Boat on Wed, 18th May 2016 12:00 am
gregt,
The all knowing and all understanding greggie has a little problem. After years of predicting a crash, gloom and doom the world chugs along bau. You might want to refresh your core belief system. Collapse of the world isn’t going to happen any time soon.
GregT on Wed, 18th May 2016 12:10 am
Boat,
The exponential function can easily be understood by using the 2 times table. Did you fail that one too?
And BTW. I never predicted the crash. It’s purely common sense. Infinite exponential growth in a finite environment is a physical and mathematical impossibility. Without growth, our economies will collapse. The fact that you are unable to comprehend why, exposes your complete lack of intelligence.
Apneaman on Wed, 18th May 2016 12:13 am
Greg, IMO the only way everyone is gone by 2030 is from war, but even then there will be some in bunkers that could last if they are stocked. Not much of a life though is it? I’m betting no humans will see the calendar roll over to 2100. I’ve heard 3 scientists say we are going bye bye. All biologists. McPherson – 2030. Wild life biologist Neil Dawes from BC says – a couple more generations. The late Frank Fenner, microbiologist from OZ said 100 years left in 2010. Do you think other scientists think the same, but aren’t saying? The humans are never going to stop or slow down intentionally. Look who runs the world. A bunch of old white cunts who will all be dead in 10-20 years anyway. They are gonna play the game of thrones to the end.
So, your chainsaw? are you making a fire break on your property?
Boat on Wed, 18th May 2016 12:24 am
What it does expose is my rejection of so called “experts” making up theory and attaching silly names to them.
GregT on Wed, 18th May 2016 12:26 am
Yah Apnea, I’m very well aware of the possibilities. I’m also very well aware of the looming water crisis. If we have indeed gone exponential, there isn’t anything that any of us can do. That doesn’t mean that I’m going to roll over and play dead though. I’ll keep on given ‘er, until I can’t.
GregT on Wed, 18th May 2016 12:29 am
“What it does expose is my rejection of so called “experts” making up theory and attaching silly names to them.”
The exponential function is basic grade three arithmetic Boat. Not a theory. A fact.
Apneaman on Wed, 18th May 2016 1:12 am
SandRidge Energy Inc. Becomes Latest Victim Of Oil Price Crash As Energy Sector Bankruptcies Pile Up
http://www.ibtimes.com/sandridge-energy-inc-becomes-latest-victim-oil-price-crash-energy-sector-bankruptcies-2370149
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY0WxgSXdEE
Apneaman on Wed, 18th May 2016 2:55 am
Obituaries & In Memoriam
Guest Book
NOLAND, MARY ANNE
posted Yesterday May 17th, 2016
“NOLAND, Mary Anne Alfriend. Faced with the prospect of voting for either Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton, Mary Anne Noland of Richmond chose, instead, to pass into the eternal love of God on Sunday, May 15, 2016, at the age of 68. Born in Danville, Va……..”
http://www.richmond.com/obituaries/article_c21b60bc-1153-5abd-b3c8-268cfd32eb57.html
Anonymous on Wed, 18th May 2016 4:48 am
You sure manage to dig up some of the most depressing accounts of the empire of death and chaos activities apne…
makati1 on Wed, 18th May 2016 5:23 am
What point are we at?
http://energyskeptic.com/2016/lambert-hall-energy-eroi-and-quality-of-life/
“Murphy (2013) found that society needed at least an EROI of 11. So much net energy is provided by any energy resource with an EROI of 11 or higher, that the difference between an EROI of 11 and 100 makes little difference. But once you go below 11, there is such a large, exponential difference in the net energy provided to society by an EROI of 10 versus 5, that the net energy available to civilization appears to fall off a cliff when EROI dips below 10 (Mearns 2008).”
makati1 on Wed, 18th May 2016 5:45 am
Food for thought… you American “voters”.
“People, the Constitution is a corporate indenture. Anything with a President, a Vice President and a Secretary is a corporation. The United States is a corporation. The Board of Directors selects the executive staff. You, the common citizen, are not on the Board of Directors. At best you’re one of the workers, so you get to bitch and complain to management (your representatives) and they bring it to the executives, and maybe the Board catches wind of your gripes, but by and large you really have no say in who runs the corporation. You just get to voice a nice opinion which shall be promptly and judiciously ignored.”
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-05-17/election-isnt-corporations-and-constitutions
Why waste time “voting”? Do something useful, like planting a garden.
Davy on Wed, 18th May 2016 6:20 am
How long do we have? I don’t think we can look to biologist for that determination. So much can change so quick as to make their prediction based on status quo greatly changed. Not that I am diminishing any of the dire predictions of climate scientist and biologist.
Looking at this situation mechanically and systematically as we must with humans I see a radical change within 10 years. Humans have altered the ecosystem beyond recognition from 100 years ago. This has been a systematic and mechanical process. We say systematic because we have a human system which is a global system with system of laws and an economic system. These systems go on and on because we have species complexity.
This human complex system has created a mechanical civilization. Almost everything we do we are using a mechanical device including the gadgets we are talking to each other right here right now. Our lives have become mechanized and we are now cogs in the mechanical process of converting earth resources and oil into food, shelter, and transport. We as individuals are machine parts. It is the mechanization of human life that has allowed the global destructiveness and destroyed human spirituality.
Our human system we created failed us by allowing humans to venture into places we should not have entered without spiritual maturity. I am not talking religious maturity here. I am talking a maturity a species has or should have at the level humans are at. We have the ability to create and destroy at global levels and a species at that level must have a spiritual maturity. That maturity must be nature based because it is nature and only nature that allows our life. Geological acquiescence is of course beyond that.
Modern human mechanization is a finite process because of what it takes today to maintain a global human mechanical system. The process is delicate and robust. This incongruous juxtaposition is just another of the many in life and points to the reason we can’t degrowth without growth and why we will degrowth without growth IOW an existential catch 22. We are going to crash and this is necessary per natural law. This is the basics of biology and physics in ecosystem science. The element of time is the unknown variable.
Our mechanization is the destructive side of our human system and it is the side that is the most dated. Peak oil will stop mechanization in its tracks. It is more than peak oil but oil is a foundational aspect of the modern human mechanization. The dead state of oil along with the dead state of the economy in the “approach” is the key variable. It is just the “approach to limits and diminishing returns” that will end the mechanization and transform our human system and nature. This is because of the fragility of complexity.
It is about minimum operating levels that must be maintained that are breached in the “approach”. There is no mathematical equation for turbulence. It is the turbulence of the approach along with all the other destructive results of human mechanization combining and converging that will stop the human machine. There is no going back either it stops if it can’t grow. This cumulative paradigm is both an economy based on globalization and oil based on a global economy.
All locals are influenced by this cumulative paradigm even subsistence locals without the direct connectivity to the global as the more advance locals. There is nowhere globalism has not touch or cannot touch. We have overconsumption and overpopulation and most locals have both. The overconsumption is a complexity needed to maintain a local especially ones in overpopulation to natural carrying capacity. All locals now are global but local and if you take away the global support they fail. How far they fail depends on your local.
Yes we are back to all politics is local because when it comes down to it you are a local and you are global but once globalism ends you are profoundly local. This mechanical part of the human system cumulating and completely based on globalism cannot likely be maintained beyond 10 years because of the minimum operating levels needed to allow this global machine to function. The global machine allowed an order of magnitude of population overshoot it will strip it of that overshoot with its end. We are heading to 1BIL global population or less at an unknown rate.
The human system really is one big machine now. Every single mechanical device I have has a shelf life. Most have a very short shelf life without globalism. Things will stop quickly once globalization stops. Globalization is grinding to a halt under or feet now we just don’t realize it because it is the “approach” not an event. It is a process and we want an event to refer to. It is a slow boil. Don’t deceive yourself 10 years seems long but in historic terms it is a fraction. Once this mechanization stops nature can heal. We will experience a die off but it is likely this will be a process of unknown duration and degree. This is too big of a process to claim extinction or not claim extinction so even science can only speculate
JuanP on Wed, 18th May 2016 8:49 am
Ap, I agree that droughts are just accelerating the process.
Kenz300 on Wed, 18th May 2016 9:25 am
The world is moving to a more sustainable future……..
Electric cars, bikes and mass transit are the future…..fossil fuel ICE cars are the past…………..
Think teen agers vs your grand father…………………. cell phones vs land lines…….
NO EMISSIONS……..climate change is real………
Save money……no stopping at gas stations…..no oil changes……..less overall maintenance……
Paris Goes Car-Free First Sunday of Every Month
http://ecowatch.com/2016/05/17/paris-goes-car-free/
The transition to safer, cleaner and cheaper alternative energy sources continues…………
Germany Achieves Milestone – Renewables Supply Nearly 100 Percent Energy for a Day
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/05/germany-achieves-milestone-renewables-supply-nearly-100-percent-energy-for-a-day.html
Portugal ran entirely on renewable energy for 4 consecutive days last week
http://electrek.co/2016/05/16/portugal-ran-entirely-on-renewable-energy-for-4-consecutive-days-last-week/
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