Getty ImagesOil prices plunged around 50% from their June peak by the end of 2014, the fastest collapse since the dark days of 2008. This time around, supply is seen as the biggest culprit as the world deals with a glut of oil. Overall, the drop is seen as a boon for the U.S. economy and consumers as it translates into a virtual “tax cut.”
But, clearly, not everyone will benefit. The energy sector has, unsurprisingly, taken a big hit, as reflected by the 10.6% drop in 2014 posted by the Energy Sector Select SPDR ETF XLE,+0.47% XLE, +0.47% not to mention the 22.4% drop by the fracking-orientated Market Vectors Unconventional Oil & Gas ETF FRAK, +0.78%
Here’s a look at others who stand to lose out from the oil rout.
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Oil workers
While the U.S. jobs market has been gaining momentum, it looks like future gains will have to come without the aid of the oil patch.
Companies providing support services to oil and gas companies could lose around 40,000 jobs by the end of the year, around 9% of the total, Tom Runiewicz, an economist at IHS Global Insight, told The Wall Street Journal (subscription required). Equipment manufacturers could lose 5,000 to 6,000 jobs. While not a huge chunk of the U.S. labor picture, many of the jobs pay well, economists note.
Already, Civeo Corp. CVEO, -5.84% , which provides temporary and long-term accommodation on oil projects, has slashed a key measure of earnings and suspended a dividend. Oil and natural-gas company Linn Energy LLC LINE,+12.04% has cut its dividend and capital-spending plans.
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Some big investors
Billionaire investor Carl Icahn’s energy investments haven’t been a bright spot in 2014. Icahn Enterprises IEP, +0.59% in November blamed losses in the sector for a third-quarter net loss. See: Carl Icahn’s biggest hits and misses of 2014.
Icahn isn’t alone. Hedge-fund titan John Paulson, who made a fortune betting on the housing collapse ahead of the financial crisis, saw one of his biggest losses of the year result from a gamble on big oil firms swooping into buy smaller ones, The Wall Street Journal reported on Dec. 18. Instead, some of Paulson’s smaller energy stockholdings got hammered as crude prices tanked. Paulson didn’t respond to the Journal’s requests for comment.
Meanwhile, Harold Hamm, the majority owner and boss of Continental Resources Inc. CLR, +1.12% says the court order to pay his ex-wife nearly $1 billion in a divorce settlement is too much, in part because his wealth is so affected by the plunge in oil prices. Continental Resources helped pioneer North Dakota’s oil industry.
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Tesla
One auto maker that won’t be taking comfort from the drop in gas prices is luxury electric-car maker Tesla. MarketWatch columnist Brett Arends notes that sales of hybrid and electric vehicles have seen their share of the market fall from 4.1% to 3.2%, while trucks, vans and SUVs are at 55%—the highest since 2011. Read: Can Tesla survive collapsing oil prices?
It’s not necessarily all gloom and doom, however, since people rushing out to buy less fuel-efficient SUVs could sow the seeds of an oil price rebound.
Reuters
Vladimir Putin
The collapse in oil prices has made for a painful winter in Moscow. The drop was a devastating blow to an economy already hurting from sanctions by the U.S. and other Western powers in response to Russia’s annexation of the Crimea, triggering a plunge by the ruble.
U.S. President Barack Obama rubbed it in during an interview with National Public Radio, saying that the sanctions had left Russia’s economy vulnerable to “inevitable” disruptions in the oil price.
“Today, I’d sense that at least outside of Russia, maybe some people are thinking what Putin did wasn’t so smart,” Obama said.

Kenz300 on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 8:56 am
The plunge in oil prices will HELP these people the most…….
Any consumer around the world…………
Lower oil prices will put real dollars in consumer pockets by reducing the cost of heating oil, gas and diesel.
Oil producing countries like Russia, Iran and OPEC have had a windfall for several years.
This drop in oil prices is overdue and will help the world economies recover from the Great Recession.
Any drop in price will only be temporary, so enjoy it while it lasts.
Depletion continues……… supply and demand will come back into balance
Rodster on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 9:47 am
@Kenz: Lower oil prices will have just the opposite effect on the global economy. The longer prices stay low the more it creates pressures for govt and bank defaults as well as an increase in unemployment.
Industrial on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 10:29 am
I would like to dedicate this song to most of humanity…(mind-in-a-box..waiting for you///album super vision) I am waiting for all of you to reincarnate because to me your already gone…after a decade of eternal retooling for peak oil,im only just now getting close to being able to truly put up a fight against it….after years of being beaten down to the ground everyday and just still getting back up and spitting into the face of a “Sane” society that wishes only to turn me into a domesticated little worker..i started taking genetically altering compounds even tho they presented the risk of cancer, just to regenerate my tissues so that i could fight harder and faster against your kind and peak oil…my humanity wasn’t strong enough to survive peak oil…the only strength your kind now has is numbers…soon your greatest strength will fail you and there will be mostly those that i change and alter that will survive and spread there genes…Stop wasting my kinds resources,they don”t belong to you…..:) you are merely “borrowing” the carbon in you,one day it will be warming this planet up…next christmas you may be the one going up the chimney…
i am truly an a–hole of epic proportions:)…..teach me again “what hard work is” im still not getting it.
Industrial on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 10:47 am
Sorry the songs called (THYX-WAITING FOR YOU..ALBUM SUPER VISION) Thyx is a side project of mind in the box…iv still got a few “Sane” aka human genes left in me to mutate out.
penury on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 11:28 am
If you step back and view the economics of the world you would find that oil is cheaper in U>S> dollar terms but that has had the effect of raising the price in local currencies. The developing countries owe the U.S, approx 8 tril dollars consider what happens when the dollar strengthens against the local funds by 13 per cent? There are a lot of defaults coming down the road and the U.S. is not ready to redeem 8 tril in bonds.
Rodster on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 12:00 pm
“If you step back and view the economics of the world you would find that oil is cheaper in U>S> dollar terms but that has had the effect of raising the price in local currencies. The developing countries owe the U.S, approx 8 tril dollars consider what happens when the dollar strengthens against the local funds by 13 per cent? There are a lot of defaults coming down the road and the U.S. is not ready to redeem 8 tril in bonds.”
Which why low oil prices is bad for the global economy.
Speculawyer on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 3:36 pm
Tesla? LOL! People that buy a $100,000.00+ car are not worried about whether gas costs $2/gallon or $3/gallon!
If oil stays low until 2017, then Tesla might be hurt. But for now this really does not affect them. In fact it may help them since they like everyone else will have lower shipping costs.
Perk Earl on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 3:56 pm
“The developing countries owe the U.S, approx 8 tril dollars consider what happens when the dollar strengthens against the local funds by 13 per cent? There are a lot of defaults coming down the road and the U.S. is not ready to redeem 8 tril in bonds.”
Can you post a link for that, Penury. I knew developing countries currencies were taking a devalue hit in comparison to the rising dollar (from ending QE), but I’m not too informed of the bond situation.
John Orr on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 4:59 pm
And the winner is….”Getty Images”
rockman on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 5:11 pm
According to the gov’t:
From the start of 2007 through the end of 2012, total U.S. private sector employment increased by more than one million jobs, about 1%. Over the same period, the oil and natural gas industry increased by more than 162,000 jobs, a 40% increase. IOW in Dec 2012 about 565,000 employed up from 400,000 in 2007.
They also offer: “Both the support and drilling industries were heavily affected by the recession, but these industries have recovered quickly, suffering only minor effects from the temporary moratorium on offshore drilling as a result of the Deepwater Horizon spill in 2010. Between January 2007 and December 2012, monthly crude oil production increased by 39%, and monthly natural gas production increased by 25% (see chart below). Employment in the oil and gas drilling, extraction, and support industries continues to contribute to overall private sector employment as the U.S. economy recovers from the 2007-09 recession.”
I can’t find employment numbers since Dec 2012 but probably a safe bet it’s increased above the 565,000 level. So who knows how many jobs will be lost if oil stays around $60/bbl for an extended period of times? But it looks like the oil patch gained around 200,000 since the boom began in 2007. So maybe lower oil prices will reduce the workforce 40,000. The question still remains: if oil stays at the current price what will the other 160,000 workers who weren’t needed when oil was $60/bbl in 2007 be doing later in 2015 if oil is still around $60/bbl?
Perk Earl on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 5:56 pm
https://www.google.com/?gws_rd=ssl#q=tesla+model+x+price
Spec, at the above link it shows two Tesla prices; $69.9k for 60 kilowatt hour or $79.9k for 85 kilowatt hour battery support system.
Makati1 on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 6:22 pm
The sooner the dollar is replaced, the better. If it takes the collapse of the global financial system to accomplish that change, so be it. The sooner the better.
I have noticed here that there are fewer and fewer US imports in the markets because they are getting too expensive for the average consumer. They are being replaced by Chinese and Thai imports. That has only been obvious over the last year.
If this is a global trend, then it does not bode well for American businesses or jobs.
antaris on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 7:24 pm
Mak, I am Canadian and it is hard to find much imported from the states besides food. Most everything else comes from China and they are trying to sell food and beer also. I won’t knowingly eat anything from China.
steve on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 9:22 pm
Mak your hate for the U.S makes you very stupid and weak…a smart man is able to put away his emotions to interrupt the situation. You however show your ignorance like an angry man; your opinions are worth dog shit….maybe you can find a different place to espouse your dung….I mean your weak man opinions….
Speculawyer on Sat, 3rd Jan 2015 9:59 pm
Yes, Perk Earl, those are the base prices. But the average sales price of a Model S is around $100K because most of the buyers are loading them up, getting the performance model, getting dual motors, getting the tech packages, etc. Try to find a cheap used Tesla Model S . . . they pretty much don’t exist. Those base prices of new ones tend to be cheaper than most used models.
Perk Earl on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 12:30 am
Interesting, Spec. I guess there’s always all those extras.
On another note, here’s an interesting article:
http://www.themalaymailonline.com/money/article/us-can-be-next-saudi-arabia-for-oil-says-ex-us-treasury-secretary-summers
Rosengren repeated his call for the US central bank to take its time in establishing more normal policy after years of stimulus to boost the economy. “I believe the continued very low core inflation and wage growth numbers provide ample justification for patience,” Rosengren said. “A patient approach to policy is prudent until we can more confidently expect that inflation will return to the Fed’s two per cent target over the next several years.”
What is he referring to regarding being patient? Is that code for delaying interest rate hikes? Or, is that code for suggesting the Fed do more QE?
Beery on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 1:36 am
I find it rather difficult to see how billionaires and multi-millionaires will be “hurt” by this, and I find it laughable that most of this story concerns itself with them, rather than with the blue collar workers who will be out of a job after the dust settles.
shortonoil on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 7:25 am
I find it rather difficult to see how billionaires and multi-millionaires will be “hurt” by this
The shale industry has now piled up over $1 trillion in debt to produce $65 billion per year in product. That does not suggest a “profitable” business model! At the present price even if they dedicated all of their revenue to paying off the debt, and the money had no interest attached, they could never retire it. A lot of that money came from the world’s billionaires and multimillionaires, and they aren’t going to get it back.
A lot of the very rich aren’t particularly knowledgeable, or talented. They were just at the right place at the right time; they were lucky, and they followed the herd. But, the herd just ran over the cliff!
Makati1 on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 8:02 am
Seems there are the usual coolaid drinkers here that try to defend the world’s biggest terrorist organization, the USSA. Maybe they are paid to defend the Mafia or maybe they are just stupid? Oh well, ignorance is becoming the norm in the dumbed down USSA.
shallowsand on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 9:17 am
Short. $1 billion to produce $65 billion per year of oil and gas? Assuming those numbers are accurate, a clear sign of future trouble.
I think 5.24 of the 9.12 million bbl per day produced in US is shale.
Industrial on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 9:27 am
Iv seen close to 35 movies and videos about peak oil…..a crude awakening the oil crash…oil smoke and mirrors..i watched the entire old series of “the prize” i saw a 3 part series called “:the curse of oil” ect ect ect it is just all i do…i was born poor so even tho im attractive not a single woman iv ever met cared who i was as a person…and thats the truth.
When i read your post online or go to the store anytime i see “Sane” people i think OMG these people are just so doomed like what is wrong with these people…(i think ill enjoy a mocha lata at starbucks and debate the politics of the middle eastern oil patch)i mean what is going on with you people?
True story….iv never heard voices in my life…then last year i was hearing voices and they were truly playing me like a puppet because i let them do it….i was standing on the side of the road waving my arms and banging on peoples doors late at night and the government voices were like “look at how these people won’t help you” “You own the town that you live in” “you are the king of that area” i was like this true puppet and dancing around this house that i didn’t live in because i thought that i was truly going to work for the deepest scariest parts of the government to reverse engineer ufos…the “voices told me that after most of the people died that i acually went into there houses and used parts from peoples central air units to build a ufo like in that old movie (explorers) and acually got off the planet and started creating problems…i on command acted like a robot in front of this cop that was arresting me because the voices told me too…i was like this peak oil robot…i see gas prices going crazy and think i just hope the voices don’t tell that cop to kill me…i don’t want to die…i just want to survive peak oil and find a wife.After i modified my chromosomes i swear it;s like the government is blasting gamma rays at my head to just mutate me more..if i don’t cover my head the presure starts to build or something in the region in my brain that contains stem cells…i know to all of you im just sick and crazy but you just have no clue…this is serious stuff..peak oil is serious.Maybe if you can out compete me in this peak oil prepping stuff the heat will be reduced on me??? please please god, people you have to be like industrial ninjas against this peak oil stuff,it is coming and it will just wash you all away…at the time the voices started my online handle was (robot.space.ninja)
rockman on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 9:40 am
“The shale industry has now piled up over $1 trillion in debt to produce $65 billion per year in product. That does not suggest a “profitable” business model!” I suspect Shorty knows this so for others: the shale play has been very profitable…for some. I won’t dig out the numbers but it should be obvious the low value public oil stocks held before the boom and where those stocks reached before the recent price crash. Consider Petrohawk. I still consider them THE most successful Eagle Ford Shale player: the put a lot of acreage together when it was cheap, drilled a number of “seed wells” and then sold the company for $15 BILLION. The stock was rather closely held by its founders.
And consider the “bad child” of the shales: Chesapeake Energy. In 2003…$10/share. And just 5 years later: $67/share…a 670% increase. And then just 4 years later a 70% decline. So depending when one bought/sold either extremely profitable or a big loser.
For long time some folks questioned the economics of the shale plays but focused solely on the production side. Along the way it was repeated point out that pubco management typically DOES NOT share in the return on the drilling investment. Their compensation comes in two forms: salaries and gains in their stock positions.
And this dynamic was transparent and obvious to anyone with a lick of sense. But many folks did not want to stay with low yield/low risk investments.
In the end in such a dynamic one ends up as either the steer or the butcher. If a person doesn’t understand this they shouldn’t invest in the stock market. And if they understand: you makes your bets and takes your chances.
Industrial on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 9:55 am
Thyx-will they learn-album=supervision
J-Gav on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 10:43 am
Makati – “Ignorance is becoming the norm in the dumbed-down USA.” For once, I think you’re UNDER-estimating the problem … It’s not ‘becoming,’ it already is.
And it’s not that the average citizen in other ‘advanced’ nations will be rivalling Einstein anytime soon, either. Just that: 1- the US ranks at or near the bottom in almost all categories of general cultural awareness and ; 2- This is a deliberate policy (Charlotte Iserbyt’s book on the subject explains it quite clearly).
I mean, and I think you already know, when you have 45%+ of the population believing with ‘certainty’ or ‘high probability’ that Jesus will be coming back down to save the non-sinners WITHIN THEIR LIFETIMES, there is a problem …
Still, that leaves 55% with perhaps enough functional neurons to get over that particular hurdle. Let us rejoice!
ghung on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 11:00 am
““Ignorance is becoming the norm in the dumbed-down USA.”
Such has it always been, but as Joseph Campbell pointed out, our ancestors had better stories, for their times at least. Their stories aren’t our stories.
We’re lost in old fairy tales.
J-Gav on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 11:56 am
Very true, Ghung. In a small, tightly-knit community, the meaning of stories is immediately clear to everyone. No need for philosophical discussion on the matter.
And yes, our fairy tales are essentially the same Bronze Age mythologies and superstitions (read ‘Abrahamic religions of the Book’) which may have served a slightly civilizing purpose back then but, well … this is supposed to be the 21st century, and just maybe, we could give the torture, genocide, misogyny, slavery etc extolled in all of those books a rest.
And I would venture to hope that most here agree that science (even with a non-victorious lower-case ‘s,’) has brought us to a point where we might expect to be getting beyond that.
Davy on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 3:07 pm
Gav, the ancients had a wisdom in regards to the essence of time itself. This time essence was in relation to our position in the cosmos. They were much more in touch with reality in this sense.
We are so clever today but really just cleverly deceived by our complexity. How else can you explain a mega predicament of no hope? I mean science got us here so that should be a clear indication of our intelligence.
Speculawyer on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 3:27 pm
Rock, you are right. The oil & gas industry is EXTREMELY brutal in that a sharp drop in the price of oil/gas can really kill the industry off fast. Of course, this is counter-balanced by the fact that a good find of a conventional oil deposit can be amazingly profitable.
As the oilman’s prayer goes, “Please, Lord, give us just one more oil boom…..and this time we promise not to piss it all away!”
I’m trying to think of other businesses that can be hit that way. Farming is one . . . crop prices can crash. Of course both industries use future markets to do hedging but that can only protect you so much and for a short period of time. Other businesses can have crashes not caused by falling prices but by a fall-off in demand.
J-Gav on Sun, 4th Jan 2015 4:52 pm
Davy – I have the impression you’re referring to chamanic cultures, not ‘our’ ancients (the religions of “The Book”. That was the sense of my first paragraph above.
The wisdom you speak of, taking into account time and Cosmos (ie infinity) simultaneously, has no doubt existed somewhere in our common past. Maybe still does today here or there, or at least is trying to.
Many cultures have also abandoned their religions when the crops failed or when pestilence swept through their midst…. and turned to other gods for help.
I see that as no reason to throw science (again, with a small ‘s’) or rationality out the window.
I don’t agree that “science got us here,” there was much more involved than that in my humble opinion (wouldn’t you admit that you use some aspect of scientific advances every day of your life?)
I do agree that we are the unwitting victims of our social complexity, but deceived less essentially by science than by our collective inclination to bend our spines to authority. Clearly this is a result, not only of “human nature,” fearful as we are of gaining actual ‘freedom,’ whatever that might look like, but also of massive propaganda campaigns on the part of our dear leaders, whether they originate in the corporate, political or media spheres. This isn’t the place to take that debate further but I hope you understand my approach to these issues.