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Page added on August 14, 2013

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The future of buses

The future of buses thumbnail

raffic to and from Dublin was particularly difficult last week when the bus drivers went on strike, and while they seem to be running again, their action reminded us how dependent thousands of us in Ireland are on public transportation – Dublin buses, Bus Eireann, trains, Luas and regional bus services.

Only twenty or thirty years ago, public transportation was basically the only transportation for many Irish, as so few people could afford cars – and now that the nation’s economy crashed and had to be bailed out a couple of years ago, it has become many people’s only form of transportation again. Yet if governments become increasingly cash-strapped, they will be less able to buy new buses or replacement parts, much less restore some of Ireland’s once-extensive rail lines. More and more people will need to use the bus, yet the bus might be less frequent and more expensive.

There is another solution, however: during the Celtic Tiger a few wealthy Irish bought SUVs, vans or Hummers for some reason, apparently to seem more like Americans. Such suburban assault vehicles are dubious in the USA, but at least there most people are assured of being able to get them on the road; on Irish roads, which are the approximate width of American supermarket aisles, they look ridiculous. A few of them can function on the Irish landscape, for the few other large vehicles can swerve out of the way delicately, as they do with buses — but roads filled with them on both sides would be disastrous.

Moreover, they receive only half the mileage of 1920 Model Ts, and are not generally used for fording rapids or scaling Alaskan mountains, as in telly adverts, but rather for inching in and out of parking spaces. These vehicles typically have enough room for at least six people, plus enough cargo space, as writer Dave Barry put it, “to pick up something else, such as a herd of bison.” Between the spike in fuel prices a few years ago and the recession today, many SUV owners are trying to rid themselves of these white elephants; look in any Buy-and-Sell section of any newspaper and you will see such vehicles for sale, at plummeting prices.

These two problems could solve each other. the infamous mileage of SUVs and Hummers only results from the empty space in the back; fill it up with passengers and it becomes a very green choice. Local officials could buy them cheaply, or rent them to use to ferry passengers in lieu of bus lines.

Passengers might be the most under-appreciated factor in how much fuel and money you waste. As I write this, for example, a business headline boasts of Toyota’s multi-million-dollar plan to boost fuel efficiency by 25 percent – but any of us can boost the efficiency of our cars by several hundred percent instantly, with no additional expense or technology, simply by getting more people in the car.

If neither the city government nor the populace has money, enterprising officials could make more creative arrangements – say, giving the SUV owner use of a foreclosed property in exchange for the use of the vehicle, rather than forcing the homeless owner to sleep in it. They could agree to co-sign a residents’ mortgage in exchange for permission to use the vehicle.

SUVs have several advantages over regular buses; for one thing, they would be more comfortable. Their ability to handle rough terrain might turn out a blessing after all, as they can continue to drive over roads in disrepair — as our roads might increasingly be. More importantly, since they only take eight or nine passengers at a time, they can be economical in small towns and in the country, driving routes that cannot afford 80-seat buses. Bus routes could actually be expanded in places, allowing otherwise marooned residents easy access to jobs, hospitals and food markets.

They can also vary their routes slightly to pick up passengers at home or a short walk away if needed, responding to phone calls for assistance. If a country-dweller needs to get to town and has the SUV driver’s mobile number, for example, they could ask the driver to vary their route slightly rather than walking miles to the nearest pickup point, without unduly inconveniencing other waiting passengers – an important detail for elderly and the handicapped.

Cash-strapped cities could also require drivers to supply their own SUV and fuel, compensating them by letting them keep riders’ fares, and freeing the local government from financial burden. If this sounds suspiciously like a taxi, it is – just a taxi that runs regular routes. Put another way, it could combine the security of bus lines with the flexibility of taxis and the social advantages of carpooling.

The modern system of everyone having their own personal high-speed vehicle will turn out to be a brief and bizarre moment in history, but people will still need to travel. Too many local people, though, think only of their own situation – not realising that thousands of others are in the same boat and that, together, they could do something about it.

Photo: A double-decker bus and horse carriage in downtown Dublin.  Parts of this article were published previously in 2009. Originally published in the Kildare Nationalist newspaper.

Restoring Mayberry



6 Comments on "The future of buses"

  1. LT on Wed, 14th Aug 2013 10:53 pm 

    I always have high regard for buses and subways systems. In Hong-Kong, 34 years ago, I saw it worked excellently. I visited almost every places in Hongkong & Kowloon by means of buses and subways. I saw it worked in Boston as well. Public transits is the solution for today and the future. It is inevitable.

  2. LT on Wed, 14th Aug 2013 10:58 pm 

    BTW, I also love the giant ferries that carry so many passengers, cars, and trucks between the city of Vancouver BC and Victoria, the provincial capital of B.C. Canada. Those giant ferries look impressive to me! and I guess they consume fuels impressively, too.

    🙂

  3. DC on Thu, 15th Aug 2013 12:16 am 

    Busses are little than oversized cars. Maybe not as bad as thousands of stinking, but thousands of stinking buses offer only marginal improvements. Scrap the buses(along with private gas-burning cars), and start laying urban rail.

    For LT: yes, the ferries are also impressively expensive to park your gas-powered trash can on. So much so, ridership seems to be taking a hit, simply because people are less and less able to afford BC Ferries bloated fares. But it could afford the bloated salary of its amerikan CEO and his gold plated pension.

  4. BillT on Thu, 15th Aug 2013 1:33 am 

    Question: “How do you move 15+ million people around a city?”

    Answer: “With great difficulty and at great expense.”

    Here in Manila, jeepneys, taxi’s, trikes, etc. do the job of short trips but buses do the heavy moving. There is an LRT (light rail transit) but it too is already crowded and maxed out.

    There is no way to build new mass transit in a city in which every square foot is covered with either highrise buildings or streets. Manila has many double-deck highways through the city, but they too are crowded during the busy hours. (most of the 24) And Manila is a developing country city where few own cars. The traffic is mostly commercial carriers. Large trucks come in at night only.

    The only answer is to get rid of cities, but we are headed in the wrong direction … for now.

  5. GregT on Thu, 15th Aug 2013 3:51 am 

    So true BillT,

    I give it somewhere between one and two decades, before people in densely populated areas, solve much of the Earth’s overpopulation problem, all by themselves.

  6. Arthur on Thu, 15th Aug 2013 10:07 am 

    For big cities there is only one truely ideal solution and that is a metro, not busses. No traffic lights, no congestion, no noise, no polution, fuel is electricity from a catenary, that could come from other sources than fossil. Getting from your home to the nearest metro station could be done by bicycle if walking is too far. In the cities of the future cars should be completely abolished. Even deliveries could be done using the metro plus 10 mph electro carts for the last mile. Most energy is used for accelerating and braking; that energy could be saved by applying flywheels or feedback into the grid. In a big city traffic is highly predictable and it is therefor relatively easy to organize the traffic such that wagons are full, optimizing efficiency.

    Nevertheless, transporting a human is an energy costly affair. The average energy cost to transport a human over 1 km in a metro is a staggering 15 kwh, that is almost equal to the daily electricity consumption for an Italian (data for Moscow subway). Maybe this number can be halved by applying flywheel technology, but still. So I keep pushing my IT hobby horse, where glass fiber cable and cloud can replace a lot of unnecessary moving people around. 100 80kg people moving to a mall to acquire 5kg groceries via the metro (8500kg + metro seat 47 ton/350passengers=134kg/person is total 8500+13400=21900kg back and forth), can be replaced by ordering online plus a single electro cart delivering 100 packages (500 kg + ca. 1200 kg cart weight=1700 kg) of groceries at home or lockers per block, via optimized ‘travelling salesman algorithms’ if push comes to shove in an energy starved world. Energy savings more than a factor of ten according to this back on an envelope calculation.

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