Page added on August 2, 2011
If there’s one thing most post peak oil commentators have given too little consideration to it’s how goods will be moved and how farms will function in our scary and fast approaching future.
Sure there’s the fraternity that talk about bicycles and walking and they’re on the right track, particularly if you’re lucky or wise enough to reside in a city or village.
However a means of energy or transport that doesn’t involve some form of technical reliance such as electric cars, high speed rail, nuclear power, wind turbines, solar panels or waver power, seems to be strangely missing from the dialogue. Certainly low-tech conveyances such as barges and sailing ships occasionally get a mention and rightly so, but when the blindingly obvious is mentioned eyes often seem to glaze over.
The one thing that’s almost always overlooked is using animals for transport and farm work.
Pretty much until the early 1900’s it was animal power that kept civilization going. Yet today, a little over a half century since many rural people still used animal power, using animals to produce actual horsepower seems unimaginable.
Yeet, a snapshot of 1900 could be a view of our future.
I’m lucky enough to live on the island of Tasmania, one of the seven states of Australia. Much of Tasmania is highly fertile and we have a great climate. Although Tasmania may seem remote, our farmers have always been as keen to modernize in ways akin to out farming cousins in the US. The widespread adoption of tractors for farming happened here around the time of the World War Two.
But the time that I really want to focus on is the 1930’s, when my parents were growing up and most farmers still relied on horses. The maternal side of my family farmed only a couple of miles away. Both families’ lifestyle and farming methods were similar and would have been typical of almost everyone who worked the land in those days. They had:
My dad’s parents did have a car but my mother’s family never drove. Nan or Grandpa never had a drivers license even though they farmed another property a fifteen minute bike ride away.
The point is that they enjoyed a good standard of living, certainly by the standards of the 1930’s but also, I suspect, by today’s standard as well. There was a vibrant social life centered around the little township of Whitemore with several sporting teams and social functions usually held two or three nights a week. These people were not country yokels by any means. They were articulate and well traveled. Their farms were highly productive. And they used virtually no petroleum.
Yes, they had a little kerosene for their lanterns and maybe grease and oil were used to lubricate moving parts on the horse-drawn equipment but their use of petroleum was pretty much nonexistent compared with today.
There was a train-line not too far away and the children rode their bikes to the station to catch a steam-train to high school, a 45 minute trip. Nowadays the local children catch a bus for a one hour trip to their nearest high school. Much of the farm produce was delivered to the railway station by wagon where it was transported to markets.
Their water supply was pumped from the well thanks to a windmill and a hand pump.
Paddocks were plowed, worked and sown with horses. At harvest time horses pulled binders which tied the crops into sheaves. The sheaves were later forked onto horse drawn wagons and made into huge stacks not too far from the farmyard. During early winter a wood-fired traction engine (steam-engine) pulled a drum from farm to farm. A drum is a huge threshing machine which took 15 men to operate. It was belt-driven from the traction engines flywheel and it threshed the grain from the straw. These drums were still working around Tasmanian into the 1950’s and they can still be seen in operation at some of our historic farming field days.
The point that I am belaboring and repeating is that these farms used almost no petroleum, were highly productive, and farming families and laborers enjoyed a good standard of living.
Could we return to this style of living and farming? The answer is yes, but with some not-insurmountable difficulties.
First the number of heavy horses required would take decades to breed up. Also there are very few people around with the ability to work heavy horses. It’s a skill that I suspect not everyone has the ability to acquire. An ill trained or poorly driven horse is dangerous and it can take years to learn the skill necessary to work a horse properly.
The answer is oxen (we call them bullocks here in Australia). There’s no shortage of cattle and they are much more placid and easier to train than horses. Also their harness requirements are minimal and they are easy to feed and maintain. The only downside is that oxen are slower than the horse but hey, that’s not so bad, is it?
Up until the mid 1800’s all animal power on farms was supplied pretty much by oxen, although the farmer may have had a light horse for riding or to pull a cart. In most American Western movies and TV shows horses are pulling the covered wagons that made up the wagon trains. In actuality, these covered wagons were mainly drawn by oxen. Possibly a slower but certainly a more sensible option, ox could pretty much live off the land that they were passing through and didn’t suffer from many off the health issues of the horse.
Could oxen save the day? Quite possibly. Cuba’s President Raul Castro, recently called for ox to be used as beasts of burden as a way for the economically strapped communist country to ramp up food production while conserving energy.
Ramping up food production – conserving energy – a cash strapped economy – falling oil supply? Sounds familiar? How long before a leader of the western world pleads for a solution to the same problems? Or have they already but are looking in the wrong direction?
–Steven French for Transition Voice
6 Comments on "Is our future our past?"
Ian Cooper on Tue, 2nd Aug 2011 1:24 pm
Not sure that it’s ‘overlooked’ exactly. I always thought it was simply taken for granted.
ChrisInGa on Tue, 2nd Aug 2011 1:54 pm
I think the part that is always overlooked is that back in those days the planet didn’t have 6-7 billion inhabitants and that those numbers could not be sustained without automated agriculture.
If we are to return to horse and carriage then we are also to witness the death of billions of people most probably to starvation and the rampant crime that would come with that.
Rick on Tue, 2nd Aug 2011 4:52 pm
Peak Oil will mean the death of billions, when it really hits hard. Also, oxen would be a good idea, though, organic farmers use mostly their hands and hand tools. You also don’t needs a lot of land to grow a lot of stuff. An acre can produce a terrific amount of food.
Austin on Tue, 2nd Aug 2011 11:51 pm
Hi,
I have given years of thought to the “way out of the looming shadows ahead”. I seek to address these in my blog, identifying both energy depletion and other looming issues with a dose of humour, a summary of my research to date, reviews of books and – most relevant to this page – some ideas for coping in the future.
I see good old horsepweor as a component, but am not optimistic about the capacity of high-rise metropolitan areas to cope with the potential collapse we face. I do have a model (in my head) which I am trying to bring into cyberspace, for people to create communities, and in this regard I “piggyback” on the shoulders of giants (alternately covering my eyes and peeking through my fingers)
Feel free to drop by and see if anything in my site begins to cover the practicalities. It’s pretty new, but I intend to build a community of like-minded individuals – virtually, and in time (not much time) in the real world. Keep up your own great work.
Austin (backtotheolddays)
sunweb on Wed, 3rd Aug 2011 1:33 am
We will go kicking and screaming down the path to the new Middle Ages as fossil fuels desert us. With the decline of available energy, those of most of us who have sat at the top of the energy pyramid will become the new peasants. With the popular view of the Middle Ages as a brutal and dirty time filled with famine and disease and at the mercy of armed overlords. We cringe at the thought.
With great sadness, we must recognize the direct connection between present day population levels and the use of fossil fuels in food production, medical procedures, medicines and hygiene. With the fall in fossil fuel availability there will be a reduction in population. Population soared with the industrial revolution and the development of industrial, fossil fuel based agriculture. It cannot be sustained.
From: The New Middle Ages
http://sunweber.blogspot.com/2011/05/new-middle-ages.html
Dusko on Thu, 4th Aug 2011 5:12 am
Peak Oil is not the worst thing we have faced. It might mean that we can finally grow up and face responsibility and stop thinking about “lifestyle.” Maybe the things that were once important in the past will resurface? Family, community, connection with other people. I don’t know about you but I’m getting sick and tired of talking to everyone I know via email.