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Page added on March 16, 2020
Is it time to freak out?
Toilet paper? Have people lost their minds? Of course, I have wondered that many times even without the coronavirus scare, but it’s toilet paper that people are panic buying?
I seriously don’t get that, but there is a real threat from Covid-19. The most pressing and important long-term effect beyond the deaths that will occur is the economic disruption that will almost certainly lead to a recession. It could even get worse, and we could have a legitimate stock market crash. Perhaps worst of all, our medical care system is about to be put to a very significant test.
As we shut down society to help control the spread of the disease, we are also effectively shutting down the economy. Right now, people are panic-buying toilet paper, but what will be next? Doesn’t that point to a capacity within people to be absolutely ridiculous when threatened by any sort of crisis?
The answer is a resounding “yes,” and it points to the paper-thin line between normal life and full-blown panic. A single man can be very unpredictable. Mankind in its aggregate is extremely predictable and develops a kind of mob mentality, particularly in crisis, and that mentality is never good. Hoarding is a common response to crisis situations.
Think about how people panic-buy bread and milk when snow is in the forecast. The rational side of our minds understands that this is Alabama and snow doesn’t last here for more than a day or two. The irrational side of our mind sends us rushing immediately to the store for milk and bread.
The Covid-19 virus has been in the open for more than a month. Worldwide, there have been approximately 163,000 reported cases and slightly more than 6,000 deaths. That yields a death rate of about 3.7 percent. This makes Covid-19 far more deadly than the annual flu in terms of the death rate. Of course, that rate is somewhat inflated due to the disease being underreported. The actual death rate will be slightly lower, but, even then, that number would mean a substantial number of fatalities.
When the world population hovered around 1.8 billion people at the end of the Great War in 1918, the Spanish flu pandemic broke out. It lasted well into 1919 and claimed 50 million lives worldwide, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. That epidemic had a mortality rate of about 2.7 percent. In the United States, 675,000 people died. The CDC said that approximately one-third of the world population was infected with Spanish flu.
Many people in the Spanish flu outbreak died at home and never went to a hospital or doctor’s office, particularly in rural parts of America and the world. In today’s society, people rush to doctors and hospitals, and that rush could easily turn into a torrent as it has in Italy, where the health care delivery system has been overwhelmed.
While shutting everything down may look like an overreaction, it is likely the best way to halt the rapid spread of the disease. None of us like the idea that the NCAA had to shut down its basketball tournament and call off all the spring sports. None of us like the NBA canceling the rest of the season or Major League Baseball suspending spring training and delaying the opening of the season. Many of us will be seriously inconvenienced by having to work from home or by having public schools and universities suspend their spring classes. Those precautions, however, are critical to stemming the tide of new infections.
U.S. hospitals in aggregate have only about 2.8 hospital beds per 1,000 people. Of those beds, only about 300,000 are available at any given time. It is easy to see how hospital capacity could easily be overwhelmed by Covid-19 patients. Further, the stockpile of medication and medical supplies would be quickly overtaxed by a huge influx of patients. Unfortunately, many of those supplies and medications are manufactured in China, where manufacturing has been seriously disrupted.
This leaves our health-care workers vulnerable as well as seriously undersupplied. Cancelling those sporting events and class schedules doesn’t seem like too great a sacrifice in light of those facts. I still don’t believe you should purchase every roll of toilet paper in the store; however, buying some essential items without freaking out would be a good decision. No one expects stores to shut down, so take it easy, be smart and do what the CDC is recommending.
The best way to treat Covid-19 is to avoid contracting Covid-19.
For accurate information on Covid-19, consult the CDC website: cdc.gov
77 Comments on "Is it time to freak out?"
joe on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 8:43 am
Ever since we transferred global production to China and limited our national budgets to supporting bullshit projects like the EUSSR, war, and corporate welfare we volunteered our resilience as the the price we would pay in a crisis. Unless you can literally lock yourself into your own home and live there for a year now, then you will have to run the gauntlet of contracting this virus. 10-15% of people of ALL ages who catch it WILL need hospitalization if you are young AND healthy you’ll be fine if you need a stay in hospital. In the aging and unhealthy west expect bad things to happen. For those so called liberals quietly giggling and hoping that the coronavirus is somehow a path to power once your elderly and fat overlords are dead I have this caveat. Your elderly and fat overlords have children. The scale and type of CHANGE about to unfold is practically impossible to conceive as a simple numbers game.
Most people likely to die will be as a result of triage carried out in waiting hospitals, the intubation and oxygen machines will be given to those most likely to live and or of most benefit to society. The choice will be between a junkie ex con antifa member or a wealthy political donor of 60 yr old. The revolution will be delayed. Antiglobalisation will be the answer. China was able to delay covid 19 at great cost ( and is not out of the woods) because it cut the world supply of pharmaceutical and medical machines and used it to save itself. We need to supply our own goods medical and more to rebuild resilience in our own society’s. The low skilled, migrants reliant, low cost food production services economic model of globalization is literally killing us now. Kill globalism, Trump’s political destiny might already be obvious but he was right that America needs to make things in America again.
Duncan Idaho on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 8:47 am
Dow 30
20,462.42
-2,723.20(-11.75%)
Wow campers!
FuelShortageComing on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 8:49 am
going down baby
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fM1XJSlphrc&t=72s
Duncan Idaho on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 8:53 am
VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short-Term ETN (TVIX)
NasdaqGM – NasdaqGM Real Time Price. Currency in USD
508.49+173.09 (+51.61%)
you could of purchased this in the 30’s not long ago–
joe on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 9:00 am
Fed cut its interest rates to zero. People will dump global currencies and invest into the dollar. Protection is about to erupt all over the globe. Some serious shit about to hit the fan.
Abraham van Helsing on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 9:38 am
Joe Biden wants woman as veep:
https://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/joe-biden-verspricht-bei-tv-duell-mit-bernie-sanders-vizepraesidentin-a-cf40d9f5-c886-48bc-b698-ba9ba2d705f2
Candidates:
Hillary Clinton
Michelle Obama
Megan Markle
Pocahontas
Duncan Idaho on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 9:52 am
1830 — US: Slowest day ever on the New York Stock Exchange: 31 shares were traded.
Duncan Idaho on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 10:06 am
“Mere factual innocence is no reason not to carry out a death sentence properly reached.”
— One of the more enlightened utterances by Beloved & Respected Comrade Leader US Supreme Court Justice Antonin “Benito” Scalia
Duncan Idaho on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 11:02 am
“When you’re born, you get a ticket to the freak show. When you’re born in America, you get a front-row seat.”
-George Carlin
Duncan Idaho on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 11:56 am
“It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society.”
-Jiddu Krishnamurti
Duncan Idaho on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 2:38 pm
VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short-Term ETN (TVIX)
NasdaqGM – NasdaqGM Real Time Price. Currency in USD
613.32+277.92 (+82.86%)
As of 3:37PM EDT. Market open.
Duncan Idaho on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 2:46 pm
Dow 30
20,483.50
-2,702.12(-11.65%)
The Fat Boy and the Thugs are awfully quiet today–
Still must be something to steal—–
Duncan Idaho on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 3:03 pm
Dow 30
20,186.48
-2,999.14(-12.94%)
At least its under 3000
LOL!
makati1 on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 5:30 pm
The US is failed state, not even able to take care of its own, if they are not billionaires. But, soon, everyone will be a billionaire when Zimbabwe inflation takes hold and a loaf of bread costs a billion dollars. The opposite, deflation, will put the US back hundreds of years to a bartering level of survival. We shall see.
It is too late to panic. That time was back in 2008 when the great recession started and never ended. The US is one slip from a greater depression. Be patient.
BTW: all they are doing is trading government toilet paper for ass wipes. Maybe bartering has already begun?
onlooker on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 5:35 pm
Yeah Makati, the US ECONOMY and World economy are going down amid a Pandemic. Pass the popcorn
makati1 on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 6:20 pm
onlooker, yep! Maybe that is a good thing? A TOTAL world reset could leave us with a more balanced/leveled world. But, are Amerikans ready for a ~$10k annual income lifestyle? Maybe we shall see.
BTW: Du30 shut down the Philippine Stock Exchange yesterday, indefinitely. Now we will wait to see who is next? Amerika? Pass the pretzels. I’m out of popcorn.
Davy on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 7:25 pm
“The US is failed state, not even able to take care of its own, if they are not billionaires. But, soon, everyone will be a billionaire when Zimbabwe inflation takes hold and a loaf of bread costs a billion dollars. The opposite, deflation, will put the US back hundreds of years to a bartering level of survival. We shall see.”
AH, we are in better shape than your Asia, makato. Get a grip, your export economies have no exports and 4.5BIL people to feed. Man, you are oblivious. I guess being a senile senior does this to people.
“It is too late to panic. That time was back in 2008 when the great recession started and never ended. The US is one slip from a greater depression. Be patient.”
BE PATIENT, The Island of Luzon is on lockdown. Yea, dumb shit be patient because you are stuck.
“BTW: all they are doing is trading government toilet paper for ass wipes. Maybe bartering has already begun?”
You live 80 miles or less from 20MIL people so your ass is grass when the supply chains freeze up.
“onlooker, yep! Maybe that is a good thing? A TOTAL world reset could leave us with a more balanced/leveled world. But, are Amerikans ready for a ~$10k annual income lifestyle? Maybe we shall see.”
Are you ready for starvation, makato? 100MIL people in the space of the state of Arizona? WTF is going on with that!
“BTW: Du30 shut down the Philippine Stock Exchange yesterday, indefinitely. Now we will wait to see who is next? Amerika? Pass the pretzels. I’m out of popcorn.
Does Du30 mean Dum fuck 30 Duerte? You are fucked makato and trying to lash out for your last time as you sink into the swamp of hatred and resentment. You are toast!
makati1 on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 8:01 pm
Dumb fuck Davy, Du30 is the way Pinoys talk about their president in the news here. It is a term of endearment, not derision. But then you have Asshole Trump with nothing but bullshit between his ears that he spews constantly when he opens his mouth. a narrow minded,uneducated, arrogant thug.
I am far from starvation, Davy. I keep telling you that food grows wild all over the Philippines, not that I will likely ever need it with all the preps in the farm warehouse. Nor do I need electric if it gets that bad. Our house is designed to use gravity to move our water and cross ventilation for cooling, etc.. No electric required.
There is a chicken ranch, a piggery and a fish port all within walking distance of our farm. We are growing most of the things we will need in the future by planting fruit and nut trees and plants like bananas, cassava, pineapple, sweet potatoes, etc. all over our land and even the neighbor’s land.
You are the one who should be concerned. You have one growing season, we have a year round one. Your country is flooding again and the farmers are committing suicide in growing numbers. Your country is locking down your freedoms more and more. When this virus is over, will you be free? Hmm?
Davy on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 8:23 pm
This is probably the most extensive look at the virus I have seen yet. It I worth a read.
“Coronavirus: Why You Must Act Now”
https://tinyurl.com/w49ms3s medium
Duncan Idaho on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 8:23 pm
makati–
My sister-in-law is in the PI, and can’t get back to Guam.
We will see what happens.
Davy on Mon, 16th Mar 2020 8:28 pm
“Dumb fuck Davy, Du30 is the way Pinoys talk about their president in the news here. It is a term of endearment, not derision.”
Except for the people he kills or how about the people ripped off by his corruption!
“But then you have Asshole Trump with nothing but bullshit between his ears that he spews constantly when he opens his mouth. a narrow minded,uneducated, arrogant thug.”
LOL, MR GO Trump himself. You are a fucking loser
“I am far from starvation, Davy. I keep telling you that food grows wild all over the Philippines, not that I will likely ever need it with all the preps in the farm warehouse”
What part of 20MIL people within an hour drive don’t you understand, loser?
“There is a chicken ranch, a piggery and a fish port all within walking distance of our farm. We are growing most of the things we will need in the future by planting fruit and nut trees and plants like bananas, cassava, pineapple, sweet potatoes, etc. all over our land and even the neighbor’s land.”
What part of 20MIL people within an hour drive do you not understand, LOSER?
“You are the one who should be concerned. You have one growing season, we have a year round one. Your country is flooding again and the farmers are committing suicide in growing numbers. Your country is locking down your freedoms more and more. When this virus is over, will you be free? Hmm?”
Makato, the county I live is agricultural and only 5000 people live here. Get a grip you are fucked old man
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 2:15 am
“Boris Johnson shuts down Britain as he warns those with symptoms to stay home for 14 days and urges EVERYONE else to avoid ‘non-essential’ travel and socialising for three months – after being warned deaths ‘could hit 260,000’ without action“
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8117911/Boris-Johnson-grilled-experts-warn-lack-coronavirus-testing.html
Florida doesn’t get it and goes to the beach en masse:
“Shocking aerial footage shows a packed Florida beach on same day Donald Trump urged all Americans to avoid groups of more than 10 and practice self-distancing amid the coronavirus pandemic”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8119647/Shocking-images-crowds-sand-Clearwater-Beach-Florida-ignoring-coronavirus-warnings.html
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 2:22 am
“It’s a big club and you ain’t in it”
Countries like Britain, Burundi, Congo, Paraguay, Mongolia, Flippistan and a host of others are no longer welcome in the white world. Corona thingy.
All Schengen countries, including Norway and Switzerland are still welcome.
“Europe goes into self-isolation: EU countries are set to ban travellers from ALL foreign nations – apart from Britain – from entering the 26-state Schengen zone for 30 days“
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8117505/EUs-coronavirus-lockdown-European-countries-poised-BAN-Britons.html
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 2:37 am
“Donald Trump calls coronavirus the ‘Chinese Virus’ as he vows to protect American businesses including airlines from the economic fallout from the crisis and says ‘we will be stronger than ever before’“
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8119189/Trump-calls-coronvirus-Chinese-Virus.html
Donnie attempts to blame it on the Chinese. It remains to be seen if the rest of the world goes along with that.
We all remember the “Spanish Flu”.
https://www.kansas.com/news/local/article200880539.html
makati1 on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 2:41 am
Duncan, many will be stuck where they are for a while. I think it is mostly hype, not fact, that it is so dangerous. Never in my 75+ years have I seen such ridiculous measures for a flu. Not even for polio, or any other of the real killer diseases of my youth.
Quarantine is too late when the virus horse is already out of the barn, as it obviously is. It has to run its course. All this is doing is causing panic and destroying economies and lives. More people are likely to die from being unprepared for the shut-in, not to mention the millions of homeless in the US that have no means to keep clean and sanitary.
I’m supposed to be at the top of the susceptible list because I am old. Now I am reading that that is not true, many younger people are also dying of the virus and/or its pneumonia sidekick. Yes, those with other health problems are more likely to die, but then, they would anyway. Cut off meds for all the diseases Amerikans suffer from and the death toll would be in the millions in months. China and India control those meds, but that is another story.
BTW: I’m in good health, but, if it is my time, so be it.
makati1 on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 2:48 am
“America Is Acting Like a Failed State”
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/america-isnt-failing-its-pandemic-testwashington-is/608026/
“America The Failed State” Chris Hedges
https://www.commondreams.org/views/2018/07/02/america-failed-state
“The U.S. Is a Failed State”
https://www.globalresearch.ca/the-u-s-is-a-failed-state/5630070
“Is America a Failing State?”
https://foreignpolicy.com/2017/05/10/is-america-a-failing-state-trump-fires-comey-fbi/
“Is America Becoming a Failed State?”
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2017/05/is-america-becoming-a-failed-state.html
And on and on. Refs for my above assertion that Amerika is a failed state.
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 2:59 am
Ron Paul, who is a medical doctor, calls Corona a hoax:
https://www.lewrockwell.com/2020/03/ron-paul/the-coronavirus-hoax/
As always, Kunstler believes that the world is going to fall apart:
https://www.lewrockwell.com/2020/03/james-howard-kunstler/things-have-changed/
“The foolish, idiotic identity politics ginned up by the Left and their racially-inflamed, sexually-disturbed scribes in the Thinking Class have successfully destroyed the last shred of an American common culture that held the country together through earlier vicissitudes.“
So what, America is big enough for 30 countries, like in Europe.
Kunstler dreams of reviving waterways and railroads and stuff made in the USA. Big cities are toast.
makati1 on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 3:23 am
Cloggie, He is also correct. The world you envision will never happen. The may be the end of a lot of BAU. We shall see.
The US still uses waterways and trains. Not much would change there except less “stuff” for people to waste their lives trying to own. Air travel would return to the privilege of the elite, not you and me. Survival, not waste would be the new lifestyle. Etc..
The alternative would be a nuclear exchange which would end all of it.
Davy on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 4:01 am
Check this out, ZH is putting out this may be a last ditch effort by the globalist at population control pointing to the Gates foundation:
“Event 201 Unfolds: Covid-19 Action Platform = Global Government”
https://tinyurl.com/sxazt9w
No smoking gun yet but this has to be considered along with Chinese sloppiness. Unlike the rabid binary extremist here I am looking for the truth not what my emotions want.
Davy on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 4:04 am
“As always, Kunstler believes that the world is going to fall apart:”
A lot of people are worrying now. Lets see the world reboot globalism everyone is dependent on. This includes AsiaUp and EuropeUp people who are in for a rude awakening ALSO.
Davy on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 4:05 am
“America Is Acting Like a Failed State””
“Asia id a failed region”
Asia has 4.5BIL people dependent on globalism that has an uncertain future. You are fucked makato because of age and where you live.
Davy on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 4:08 am
“Duncan, many will be stuck where they are for a while. I think it is mostly hype, not fact, that it is so dangerous. Never in my 75+ years have I seen such ridiculous measures for a flu. Not even for polio, or any other of the real killer diseases of my youth.”
You are clueless of systematic dangers of pandemics in an age of globalism. You just are not educated makato. You are emotionally tied to the wrong world view. Sorry but your world is crashing around you but you still point fingers.
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 9:03 am
The EU throws out invaders by the boat load:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smw05wQYksA
See America, it can be done. There is no moral obligation to commit demographic suicide.
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 9:25 am
Hydrogen train in the Netherlands, French-build (Alstom), borrowed from the Germans, successfully operating between the towns of Leeuwarden and Groningen:
https://www.renewablesnow.com/news/engie-successfully-refuels-hydrogen-powered-train-in-dutch-test-690715/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9PD09pplsY
[0:25]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jKOmvY3X0uA
I AM THE MOB on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 10:33 am
Italy is finished. Their debt bubble is going to pop. And take the rest of Europe down with them.
Great move!
Like I said before Clogg
This is how we WIN!
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 11:10 am
Italy is finished. Their debt bubble is going to pop. And take the rest of Europe down with them.
Great move!
Like I said before Clogg
This is how we WIN!
The most (((satanic people))) in the world, namely (((mobster’s tribe))), gloating about the (imagined) death of millions of others.
In the worst case hundreds of thousands of mostly older people are going to die, indeed. This will be of little consequence of the strength of a nation. Only the strong and young survive.
Mono-racial countries like Italy have a future, because they have a shared identity, very much unlike the US, that has no racial identity at all and hence is ticking time-bomb.
Far worse is that our Anglo friends are going to be blamed for the disaster, regardless if they are responsible or not. But from the reaction of our mobster friend here, we already know what kind of people are exclusively capable of such a move.
The shock is going to be used to create radical new geopolitical facts. In the coming decade you don’t want to be an Anglo and certainly not a jew.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8120505/Russia-blames-BRITAIN-coronavirus-outbreak.html
“EXCLUSIVE: Russian media blames BRITAIN for the coronavirus outbreak: Propaganda accuses UK of ‘smearing something in Wuhan’ and links the virus to Salisbury novichok attack”
LOL: US anti-Russian war drill called off, too dangerous:
https://www.rt.com/news/483231-us-nato-defender-drills-coronavirus/
“US halts deployment & recalls troops from NATO’s biggest drill ‘Defender Europe 2020’ due to coronavirus threat”
https://www.rt.com/business/483327-us-losing-super-power-status/
“With economy imploding, US losing its superpower status to make room for Russia and China, says Max Keiser”
Only mono-racial countries with a shared identity have a chance to survive this onslaught in one piece. Money, debt, economy are secondary, important are a centuries-old common history and culture.
Hello on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 11:38 am
>> important are a centuries-old common history and culture
the US says, the only thing we have in common is our diversity, and it’s our strength.
LOL
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 5:01 pm
Richard Spencer believes Trump won’t be reelected:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f6NoMf1sCGM
I’m not convinced.
joe on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 5:10 pm
stupid idiot cloggie. hes going up against biden. do you really think the dems WANT to win. if they wanted to win they wouldnt be so corrupt. this is the start of the fourth industrial revolution. biden is an alzheimers being shoehorned into running against trump as a way to evade investigation for corruption in a country fighting your beloved Russia. so it you think biden is a serious candidate then you must be stupid and if you belive that the dems are not doing this to protect biden and the Obamas and Clintons and dont care if they lose to trump as ling as they dont go to jail then again youd be stupid. at this stage US politcs is so corrupt that Trump could murder a child on live tv and the left media would scream about it but would still mysteriously fail to take any action.
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 5:22 pm
“do you really think the dems WANT to win.”
Of course they want that, but the Dims are indeed embarrassed with Biden, but he (and Sanders) is all they got. The entire US politics is loon-territory only, including Trump. The only highlight is Tulsi Gabbard, but she has no chance, because no oligarch backing, as she is too critical with regards the establishment.
“this is the start of the fourth industrial revolution.”
What f* 4th revolution?! America is on the verge of transition towards becoming a third world country and subsequent balkanization.
“so it you think biden is a serious candidate then you must be stupid”
Listen you english knucklehead, I know you have trouble understanding (no to mention correctly spell) the english language with your minute, booze-saturated anti-white hooligan spleen-head, but if you reread my post even you will eventually discern that I say that I tend to think that Trump WILL be reelected.
“at this stage US politcs is so corrupt that Trump could murder a child on live tv and the left media would scream about it but would still mysteriously fail to take any action.”
Right, but we are going to have your Steve Bannon 4th revolution anyway, right?
Dream on. America is going the way of the USSR, read the way of the Dodos. Multi-ethnic societies simply don’t work and are destined to fall apart.
joe on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 5:30 pm
Multi-ethnic societies simply don’t work and are destined to fall apart.
so true…. 28-1=27
makati1 on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 5:32 pm
Failed state – Wikipedia
“A failed state is a political body that has disintegrated to a point where basic conditions and responsibilities of a sovereign government no longer function properly.”
Perfect description of Amerika today. Millions homeless, tens of millions on welfare, food stamps,etc., bridges/roads crumbling, antique railroads, antique airports, antique missile defense system, antique military, but the widest disparity in wealth ever seen.
A government owned by the oligarchs. A police state becoming more obvious daily. A thug nation of pirates, liars and hypocrisy. A virus on humanity. Soon to be put down by another virus, COVID-19. Or will it be COVID-20? We shall see.
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 6:00 pm
“so true…. 28-1=27”
The EU is not a country but a free union of sovereign states. England was never in for any other reason than try to destroy it from within… and failed and we got rid of them on the cheap because the UK elite was so careless to call a referendum.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVYqB0uTKlE
(Perfidious Albion)
The European unification process now exists for 70 years and has acquired ever new functions. The next function will be a military one and taking over from the US.
And we have very political incorrect Russia waiting in the wings…
https://documents1940.wordpress.com/2017/12/03/paris-berlin-moscow/
… while the Anglos are committing demographic suicide.ROFL
No hurry, Putin will be around until 2036 and that is more than enough for the intended geopolitical transformation:
– Australia becoming Chinese
– Scotland independent and in the EU
– Irish unification
– Caliphate London
– Gibraltar to Spain
– Balkanized USA with Heartland junior partner PBM
– Quebec to France
– England can play Anglo-Canadian overlord, but for the rest economically (but not politically) integrated in PBM after a Glorious Revolution 2.0, meaning this time not Holland conquering the lot via Devon…
https://documents1940.wordpress.com/2020/02/16/great-britain-is-a-creation-of-the-netherlands/
…but with Eurasian troops coming from the North enforcing regime change in London and installing some white nationalist Tommy Robinson type.
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 6:08 pm
Iran is really feeling strong these days:
“Iran risks confrontation with Turkey over Idlib”
https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/03/iran-confrontation-turkey-idlib-syria.html
“Iran-backed militias send 400 fighters to Syria’s Idlib”
https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/iran-backed-militias-send-400-fighters-to-syrias-idlib/news
“Idlib is a stress test for Iranian-Turkish relations”
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/iransource/idlib-is-a-stress-test-for-iranian-turkish-relations/
Iran has new breathing space, after the US defeat in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria. Iran is taking over the ME, together with Mother Russia.
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 6:15 pm
“Iran Recruits 9,000 Young Fighters in South, Northeast Syria”
https://aawsat.com/english/home/article/2184236/iran-recruits-9000-young-fighters-south-northeast-syria
Last item on the todo-list of Iran: KSA. But first Idlib and return entire Syria to Assad.
Abraham van Helsing on Tue, 17th Mar 2020 6:19 pm
And then there is Yemen, where the somewhat Iranian-backed Houthis are winning:
https://sanaacenter.org/publications/analysis/9246
““So now that the Houthis have won…” – Q&A with Abdulghani Al-Iryani”
Ultimate prize: Riyadh
Abraham van Helsing on Wed, 18th Mar 2020 5:35 am
This is what to expect:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8123677/The-dossier-horrified-British-experts.html
“The dossier that horrified British experts: It predicted up to 250,000 Britons could be killed and said coronavirus is the most serious respiratory virus since Spanish flu – read the warnings that made Boris Johnson change his strategy almost overnight”
As Merkel and our Dutch PM Rutte has said, 60-70% of the population will be infected. On the scale of the UK that would be 42 million. With a mortality of 250,000 that would be a mortality rate of 0.6%
That sounds about right.
If you want to get rich from Corona, start a factory that can produce oxygen masks. Think of endless huge tents with stretchers (“ICUs”) and a grid of oxygen tubes, with people lying on their bellies for 1-2 weeks, near suffocation.
42 million, with 80-90% hardly any symptoms, 10% hospitalization = 4 million.
Assume a period of 12 months = 365 days.
10 days per patient (dead or walking).
40 “slices”
4 million/40 = 40,000 hospitalized patients on average
https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/welfare-cuts-left-uk-undefended-coronavirus-200312193147678.html
according to figures from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the UK has just 6.6 ICU beds per 100,000 people, compared with Germany’s 29.2, Italy’s 12.5 and France’s 9.7.
Britain has 4400 ICUs, a factor of 10 shortage, hence the Big Tent scenario.
No need to hope that any country will be better off than others. They won’t. In the end “herd immunity” is indeed the goal, under the assumption that a vaccine will be found in a year or so.
The only difference between nations is the way they will try to find an “optimum” between casualty rate and economic damage.
If we stretch out the pandemic through severe measures, a country like the UK will have a permanent hospital the size of a football stadium.
Expect that the entire 2020 will be busy trying to contain the crisis. There will be no tourism, no air-traffic, production will largely continue. There will be no food shortage. The highlights of 2020 will be a walk in the park and being online permanently.
Time to finally read that pile of unread books you have on your Kindle.
Davy on Wed, 18th Mar 2020 5:37 am
This is a battle of the bulge but in two dimensions. Dimension one is the healthcare system. Social distancing and quarantine are designed to flatten the bulge. Working in the other direction is the economics of a shut down. The bulge here can only be balanced but getting people back to doing things at a point. Keep in mind the longer a complex economy is in a shut down the more difficult the reboot to normal. What is worse this is global so even if a complex economy like China reboots it still must wait on the rest of the world to reboot. So, we have one chain going one way and another going the other. The difficult task is to balance the two. Fear and negative sentiment are bad for both directions and they negatively reinforce both apathy to quarantine for selfish reasons but also a lack of confidence to engage in economic activity. This is systematic so self-emergent results of billions of decisions. Finger pointing is normal but not of much use here. Really it is about science, math, and leadership. The leadership is for making tough choices. The science and math must guide these choices. All is not lost but everyone needs a wake-up call that life will not return to normal.
Normal is over and what the new normal is can only be found over time. It most likely will be poorer and with less comfort. In some places it will be worse. It is critical now that the degree and duration of these actions that are really opposing tensions must be navigated with a wisdom of triage. Triage with the acceptance of human death but also triage of economic activity. Some think this death rate is OK. You know survival of the fittest and clean out the old and sick but the fail to understand the 10% of the population that run every day vital things will be dying. These people are the human critical infrastructure that keeps a complex world of complicated systems going. So, what this means is yes, the medical bulge is critical but also the value chains supplying food and supplies in a globalized delocalized world are just important. What is needed now is a confidence and hope but also sacrifice and acceptance of hardship. I am not sure enough of the population cares anymore. Basic human values have been destroyed by the relative nature of globalism. Globalism brought us great riches and knowledge but personally I think it destroyed more because it does not scale to the planet so in effect it was a malinvestment like a typical Ponzi or asset bubble. In any case we are trapped in it so somehow, we must adapt it or collapse.
Davy on Wed, 18th Mar 2020 5:40 am
“If we stretch out the pandemic through severe measures, a country like the UK will have a permanent hospital the size of a football stadium.”
cloggo, you have this Anglo derangement going on where you can’t even talk about the bloodbath in your back yard.
“Expect that the entire 2020 will be busy trying to contain the crisis. There will be no tourism, no air-traffic, production will largely continue. There will be no food shortage. The highlights of 2020 will be a walk in the park and being online permanently.”
My fucking god you are warped. Good luck with that fool.
Abraham van Helsing on Wed, 18th Mar 2020 5:46 am
Finally some “good news” from Italy. The country seems to be near peak:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8123307/Italys-doctors-warn-catastrophic-situation-coronavirus-death-toll-rises-345-2-503.html
“Italy’s doctors warn of ‘catastrophic’ situation as coronavirus death toll rises 345 to 2,503 – but infections show signs of slowing”
Italy is like the UK. 250,000 casualties in a year would mean 5,000 deaths per week on average or 720 per day for the remainder of 2020. 345 is half of that. Perhaps Italy will stabilize on 400-500/day rather than 720. Warmer weather is probably beneficial as well.