Page added on November 14, 2011
European economies are teetering on the brink of collapse as low rates of GDP growth are no longer able to justify continued investments in piles of debt. On the other side of the Atlantic, the United States is struggling to acknowledge its ever larger ranks of underemployed and unemployed while managing the world’s largest national debt. Now that the American debt to GDP ratio has surpassed 100% can the nation ever return to a state of stability? Is this just a prolonged recession or has our system of economic growth suddenly and radically changed forever?
In Extraenvironmentalist #28 we speak with Richard Heinberg about his most recent book The End of Growth which uses data on global economies and international energy supplies to argue that the paradigm of economic growth has ended forever. Richard says that while our economies will still grow in the future, they’ll be constrained to lower and lower rates of growth that won’t be able to support money systems and financial obligations. If the global economy follows a prolonged period of contraction driven by depleted energy availability, what will this do to our notions of technology and society? We discuss how global contraction will impact trends of specialization, urbanization and wealth accumulation. Seth and I ask if the end of economic growth has to be fraught with strife or if life after growth can lead to a richer existence.
One Comment on "Heinberg : At Growth’s End"
Kenz300 on Mon, 14th Nov 2011 9:12 pm
Individuals and politicians seem not to make necessary changes until they are forced to by a crisis. Look at the financial crisis in europe and how long it is taking to do anything meaningful. High oil prices and limited supply will force individuals, businesses and countries to begin to make changes. The rate of price rise of oil will determine the speed of change and impact on society. We will change.. the rate of change is to be determined. The speed of change will determine how painful it will become.