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China Is Reaping Biggest Benefits of Iraq Oil Boom

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Since the American-led invasion of 2003, Iraq has become one of the world’s top oil producers, and China is now its biggest customer.

China already buys nearly half the oil that Iraq produces, nearly 1.5 million barrels a day, and is angling for an even bigger share, bidding for a stake now owned by Exxon Mobil in one of Iraq’s largest oil fields.

“The Chinese are the biggest beneficiary of this post-Saddam oil boom in Iraq,” said Denise Natali, a Middle East expert at the National Defense University in Washington. “They need energy, and they want to get into the market.”

Before the invasion, Iraq’s oil industry was sputtering, largely walled off from world markets by international sanctions against the government of Saddam Hussein, so his overthrow always carried the promise of renewed access to the country’s immense reserves. Chinese state-owned companies seized the opportunity, pouring more than $2 billion a year and hundreds of workers into Iraq, and just as important, showing a willingness to play by the new Iraqi government’s rules and to accept lower profits to win contracts.

“We lost out,” said Michael Makovsky, a former Defense Department official in the Bush administration who worked on Iraq oil policy. “The Chinese had nothing to do with the war, but from an economic standpoint they are benefiting from it, and our Fifth Fleet and air forces are helping to assure their supply.”

The depth of China’s commitment here is evident in details large and small.

In the desert near the Iranian border, China recently built its own airport to ferry workers to Iraq’s southern oil fields, and there are plans to begin direct flights from Beijing and Shanghai to Baghdad soon. In fancy hotels in the port city of Basra, Chinese executives impress their hosts not just by speaking Arabic, but Iraqi-accented Arabic.

Notably, what the Chinese are not doing is complaining. Unlike the executives of Western oil giants like Exxon Mobil, the Chinese happily accept the strict terms of Iraq’s oil contracts, which yield only minimal profits. China is more interested in energy to fuel its economy than profits to enrich its oil giants.

Chinese companies do not have to answer to shareholders, pay dividends or even generate profits. They are tools of Beijing’s foreign policy of securing a supply of energy for its increasingly prosperous and energy hungry population. “We don’t have any problems with them,” said Abdul Mahdi al-Meedi, an Iraqi Oil Ministry official who handles contracts with foreign oil companies. “They are very cooperative. There’s a big difference, the Chinese companies are state companies, while Exxon or BP or Shell are different.”

China is now making aggressive moves to expand its role, as Iraq is increasingly at odds with oil companies that have cut separate deals with Iraq’s semiautonomous Kurdish region. The Kurds offer more generous terms than the central government, but Iraq and the United States consider such deals illegal.

Late last year, the China National Petroleum Corporation bid for a 60 percent stake in the lucrative West Qurna I oil field, a stake that Exxon Mobil may be forced to divest because of its oil interests in Iraqi Kurdistan. Exxon Mobil, however, has so far resisted pressure to sell, and in March the Chinese company said it would be interested in forming a partnership with the American company for the oil field.

If the United States invasion and occupation of Iraq ended up benefiting China, American energy experts say the unforeseen turn of events is not necessarily bad for United States interests. The increased Iraqi production, much of it pumped by Chinese workers, has also shielded the world economy from a spike in oil prices resulting from Western sanctions on Iranian oil exports. And with the boom in American domestic oil production in new shale fields surpassing all expectations over the last four years, dependence on Middle Eastern oil has declined, making access to the Iraqi fields less vital for the United States.

At the same time, China’s interest in Iraq could also help stabilize the country as it faces a growing sectarian conflict.

“Our interest is the oil gets produced and Iraq makes money, so this is a big plus,” said David Goldwyn, who was the State Department coordinator for international energy affairs in the first Obama administration. “Geopolitically it develops close links between China and Iraq, although China did not get into it for the politics. Now that they are there, they have a great stake in assuring the continuity of the regime that facilitates their investment.”

For China, Iraq is one of several countries it increasingly relies on to keep its growing economy running. China recently became the world’s biggest oil importer, and with its consumption growing, it is investing heavily in oil and gas fields around the world — $12 billion worth in 2011, according to the United States Energy Department. Over 50 percent of its oil imports come from the Middle East, even as imports from Iran have been reduced in recent years. “It’s pretty simple,” said Kevin Jianjun Tu, an expert on Chinese energy policies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “China needs more energy and needs to diversify its sources.”

The Iraqi government needs the investment, and oil remains at the heart of its political and economic future. Currently OPEC’s second largest oil producer after Saudi Arabia, the Iraqi government depends on oil revenues to finance its military and social programs. Iraq estimates that its oil fields, pipelines and refineries need $30 billion in annual investments to reach production targets that will make it one of the world’s premier energy powers for decades to come.

The revenue that investment would produce could either help pave over tensions between Kurds, Shiites and Sunnis, or worsen those tensions as competing camps fight over the spoils.

But the kind of investment that is necessary has required contracting the services of foreign oil companies that are not always enthusiastic about Iraq’s nationalistic, tightfisted terms or the unstable security situation that can put employees in danger. Some like Statoil of Norway have left or curtailed their operations.

But the Chinese, frequently as partners with other European companies like BP and Turkish Petroleum, have filled the vacuum. And they have been happy to focus on oil without interfering in other local issues. “The Chinese are very simple people,” said an Iraqi Oil Ministry official who spoke on the condition of anonymity because he did not have permission to speak to the news media. “They are practical people. They don’t have anything to do with politics or religion. They just work and eat and sleep.”

International energy experts said the Chinese had a competitive advantage over Western oil companies working in Iraq. They noted that the Chinese, unlike many Western oil companies, are willing to accept service contracts at a very low per barrel oil fee without the promise of rights to future reserves. While private oil companies need to list oil reserves on their books to satisfy investors demanding growth, the Chinese do not have to answer to shareholders.

The Chinese companies and their workers also win high marks for their technical expertise, as long as they are not working in complicated oil fields, like those in deep waters. “They offer a lot of capital and a willingness to get in quickly and with a high appetite for risk,” said Badhr Jafar, president of Crescent Petroleum, an independent oil and gas company based in the United Arab Emirates and a big gas producer in Iraq. He said the Chinese were vital to Iraq’s efforts to expand oil production, adding, “They don’t have to go through hoops to get people on the ground and working.”

NYT



6 Comments on "China Is Reaping Biggest Benefits of Iraq Oil Boom"

  1. eugene on Mon, 3rd Jun 2013 1:45 pm 

    Here’s the “miracle” of US oil production. Between Bakken and Eagle Ford, US production is running about 1.2 million barrels per day. That’s an increase of 6.6% of what the US uses daily. It’s an increase of 1.4% of world production of 84 million per day. Long, long way from a world shaking event. Course to US media it’s world shaking. It’s called propaganda.

    Secondly, most major fields are in decline at the rate of 5 to 8% depending on who’s figures you use.

    The unfortunate issue is the continued manipulated energy reporting which is setting things up for a fall. Reality does not care about your or anyone’s personal agenda. It happens regardless.

  2. Jeffrey J. Brown on Mon, 3rd Jun 2013 1:58 pm 

    Here are some numbers and rates of change from 2008 to 2012 for Iraq’s production, consumption and net exports.

    Production (P) – Consumption (C) = Net Exports, total petroleum liquids + other liquids (EIA):

    2008: 2.39 -0.59 = 1.80 mbpd
    ECI (P/C) = 4.1

    2012: 3.00 – 0.88 = 2.12
    ECI (P/C) = 3.4

    2008 to 2012 Rates of Change:
    P: +5.7%/year
    C: +10%/year
    NE: +4.0%/year
    ECI: -4.7%/year

    Even though net exports were up somewhat from 2008, based on the 2008 to 2012 data Iraq is actually trending toward zero net exports, because of the rapid increase in consumption (at an ECI ratio of 1.0, production = consumption and of course net exports = zero).

    In any case, based on the 2008 to 2012 rate of decline in the ECI ratio, Iraq would approach zero net exports in about 25 years.

    For more info on the ECI concept (Export Capacity Index), you can search for: ASPO + Export Capacity Index.

  3. Plantagenet on Mon, 3rd Jun 2013 4:54 pm 

    Obama’s failure to press for contracts for oil from Iraq to go to the USA has left the door wide open for China to take Iraq’s oil.

  4. BillT on Tue, 4th Jun 2013 2:14 am 

    Obama never had a chance, Plant. China buys the oil with government funds (actually your Walmart dollars) that can bid above the ‘for profit’ oil companies. China has over a trillion US dollars in it’s vault, that need to be spent before their value goes to zero. They are using them to buy up resources all over the world. China is also the largest oil buyer in Saudi Arabia and probably in Iran. And they want Canada’s tar sands if they can get them.

    The Chinese are not stupid. They see that the US is destroying the value of the dollar and it will eventually be zero.

    Besides the money situation, the Chinese don’t look like Westerners and are safe in many places Westerners cannot go, like Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan and any other Muslim country.

  5. DC on Tue, 4th Jun 2013 6:01 am 

    Another amerika not reaping the benefits article from the US propaganda machine of its wars of imperial aggression and murder. Well, so what. The real goal in the ME, is to station amerikan and satrap forces in the region for the ultimate goal. The destruction of Iran. If there are few bumps or a few dollars lost, well, they don’t care. The US can always print more dollars to subsidize its favorite oil corporations and keep its executives living in the lifestyle to which they’ve become accustomed. The US has made a ruin of Iraq, poisoned its land, air water with it chemical and DU munitions, destroyed its infrastructure for decades into the future-perhaps forever no matter much oil Iraq pumps.

    The US’s goal was to destabilize the region permanently, create fake, but deadly ‘civil wars’ in regions that were more or less peaceful. Iraq is so weak and divided now, if the US wants to kick the chinese out-they will send in their proxies to start another ‘civil’ war in Iraq, or just intensify the current one, and within a short period of time, and investments China has will be destroyed and its personnel evacuated-just like in Libya. It would a trivial thing for the US to arrange. The US of course, will be officially ‘blameless’ (like always).

    The US printed 4 trillion dollars to create the violence in the ME, none of it could justified economically. There was never any chance of a economic ‘payoff’ at those levels. Unless, the whole idea was never to make the venture pay for itself, but rather to provide cover for a vast range of economic and military warfare against friends and foes alike. IoW, it was about preventing the fall of the US empire-and preventing the rise of other powers far less violent and hated than the US. So what if even the powerful US oil cartels dividends are a few cents lower than they could be-small price to pay when your trying to dominate and terrorize world.

  6. Arthur on Tue, 4th Jun 2013 7:01 am 

    Top neocon warmonger Luttwak admited recently that the US never occupied Iraq.

    http://www.european-journal.org/2010/05/14/did-the-us-occupy-iraq/

    They were merely criss-crossing the country creating havoc until they finally were trapped in the Greenzone like scared bunnies because the Iraqies found out how to effectively combat US troops with IEDs and second hand mobile phones. Yes, in the end there were 100,000+ troops in the country, doing nothing except burning cash und as such further eroding the longterm trust in the dollar and US geopolitical position.

    The only lasting thing the invasion achieved was the removal of Saddam and Sunni minority rule, strengthening the position of Iran in the region.

    Wolfowitz in 2003 claimed that the operation would be paid for with oil. Nothing like it materialized. They could not even ship the oil out of the country for free if they wanted it, it would be sabotaged by the Iraqies.

    An important lesson is that second generation armies are useless and in the midterm are usually beaten by fourth generation insurgents. Like in Iraq, Afghanistan and Israel (Hizbollah).

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