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Page added on July 15, 2010

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Barack’s Peak Oil Confession

Consumption

The United States alone consumes more than 20 million barrels a year — more than China, Japan, Russia, Germany, and India combined.

And the Gulf spill, which could be accompanied by a disastrous ban on offshore drilling, will only make the oil shortfall worse.

What’s the president supposed to say? I can only imagine his address to the Union…

Our nation and the world are about to face one of the greatest challenges in history — the rapid depletion of oil supplies and other fossil fuels has begun…

You will no longer be able to afford to drive your cars.

Thank you for your attention. God bless America.

If words like these were delivered with the nightly news, accelerating panic attacks would be the least of our concerns.

What’s really infuriating Americans are the trails of deception, lies, and erroneous reports that the gullible masses believe. What Obama and BP won’t tell you is that the spill could also send us into a double dip recession, if only from the foreclosure rates the Gulf region is now seeing.

We’re talking about millions of people that could be displaced. The White House and BP have no idea what’s been unleashed in this area.

But let’s not get side-tracked with the economy right now…

The main focus today is peak oil

I don’t care what the anti-peak oil theorists tell you.

They’re wrong, and BP just made things worse.

Even British insurer Lloyd’s believes in peak oil. In a new report, the firm discusses how “soaring demand combined with environmental and technological constraints could bring the planet to peak oil-like circumstances long before the amount of recoverable oil actually peaks.”

Lloyd’s warns “a lack of investment in new oil wells exacerbated by environmental concerns raised by the Gulf oil spill, combined with accelerating demand from emerging economies China and India could shove the price of a barrel of oil over $200 by 2013.”

With the Gulf disaster, peak oil is either imminent or has already arrived.

Easy-to-obtain black gold is being exhausted, which is part of the reason BP was drilling so deep (about four miles down).

How BP just made matters worse

The very fact that BP and others are drilling in 5,000 feet of water confirms, to me at least, the peak oil issue.

Why any company would take on such high risk doesn’t make sense if it saw another option.

Every day, we’re reminded of how the oil crisis in the Black Sea — err, the Gulf of Mexico — is worsening. BP estimates the disaster at 100,000 barrels a day, even though it’s probably more.

But what we don’t hear about — perhaps in an attempt to protect the White House, BP, and other offshore stock holders — is the peak oil concern. In fact very little has been said about this.

Instead, we hear that Obama wants some one’s ass to kick over this.

Sure, the U.S. Geological Survey estimates we have 3,000 billion barrels of oil in our planet — a 46-year supply if no more oil is found.

But the problem exists in getting the oil out of the ground; most of it cannot be accessed at all, or is so expensive to drill that’s it not worth the cost.

And if we’re lucky, we’ll find six new fields the size of those in Saudi Arabia to maintain current world oil output through 2030, according to the International Energy Agency.

Maybe someday, the anti-peak oil theorists will wake up

Take a look at BP’s other platform, Thunder Horse, which began in May 2008.

It was supposed to pull up a billion barrels of oil at a rate of 250,000 bpd… It’s now pulling up maybe 60,000 bpd.

We hear about all the great oil finds off shore, but we never hear about the disasters. They just seem to find their way to Itneverhappenedville.

Neptune is another Gulf project. This one was supposed to bring up 50,000 bpd, but it peaked at 40,000 by August 2008.

A year and a half later, production was down to 16,000.

Energy and Capital



2 Comments on "Barack’s Peak Oil Confession"

  1. PeakOiler on Thu, 15th Jul 2010 8:12 am 

    The opening sentence states: “The United States alone consumes more than 20 million barrels a year — more than China, Japan, Russia, Germany, and India combined”

    Shouldn’t that read 20 million barrels per DAY?

  2. ian807 on Thu, 15th Jul 2010 9:20 am 

    Yes, the USA sucks in 20 millon barrels a day of oil, or over 7 billion barrels a year. The world uses 28 billions a year, give or take a billion.

    So when the next media zero tells you breathlessly of a new fantastic find of over a billion barrels, consider that this might run the world for just under 2 weeks, or the USA for not quite 2 months.

    Cheers!

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