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Apres Moi le Deluge

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“The American way of life,” George H.W. Bush infamously declared in 1992, “is not-negotiable.”  This presents a problem if the American way of life is also unsustainable.

The context for these remarks was the first Earth Summit in Rio, which unsuccessfully set out to curb carbon emissions.  Bush’s platform was based on his assertion that Americans would not be willing to change their consumption habits for the simple reason that they didn’t need to:  “Twenty years ago,” Bush concluded, “some spoke of the limits to growth. Today we realize that growth is the engine of change and the friend of the environment.”  Pushing hard on the notion that economic development would actually result in less pollution and fewer carbon emissions, Bush insisted that “to sustain development, we must protect the environment. And to protect the environment, we must sustain development.”

In 2008, sixteen years later and with an atmospheric carbon increase from 330 ppm to 380ppm, then Vice President Dick Cheney reiterated this general sentiment in a Fox TV interview, when he declared that “The American way of life is non-negotiable.”   Not to be entirely left out of this obligatory political chest-thumping, Barack Obama echoed in his first State of the Union Address, “we will not apologize for our way of life.”   True enough, Obama carefully cuts a finer rhetorical line, finding words that will appear sufficiently tough and unapologetic, on the one hand, yet that are not as belligerent as Bush’s  and Cheney’s, on the other–though he has also sent enough Pakistani and Afghani civilians to their graves in the meantime to show that he really means what he says.

This would be all well and good if “the American way of life” referred to some deep principles of freedom, fairness, equality, and international justice.  But after all the flag waving has stopped and the sound of the Air Force flyover has faded into the distance, it is apparent enough that the way of life that Republicans and Democrats alike are prepared to defend has little to do with the principles that our children are obediently forced to recite about our commitment to liberty and justice for all.   For evidence (beyond the immediate context of the Bush, Cheney, and Obama declarations) one need only recall all the central democratic and Liberal principles that have, in fact, become entirely negotiable in times of war and crisis, and even at the slightest sign of resource scarcity–with an especially petulant flair during the Bush-Cheney administration, and with such a surprising lack of embarrassment or shame during the Obama years: on this list we will find domestic eavesdropping, suspension of Habeas Corpus, or a policy of preemptive strikes and assassination; but this is only a start.   Meanwhile the burning of oil and the rejection of international climate agreements continues unabated.

The one part of the American way of life that has been non-negotiable is our consumption—our freedom to have as much as we want, to waste as we please, to eat whatever we want whenever we want it, to make the world our playground, to dispose of our waste and our emissions without thought or penalty, to squander and exploit and use in the name of satisfying our desires and of fulfilling our most whimsical wants.  Life, we say to ourselves, can be difficult with the endless buffets of things and experiences that are put in front of us, cramming our days full to the last hour; we therefore have the right to buy and throw away anything that will make it all more convenient in the face of the trials of our double-stuffed days.  This is the only thing that the people other nations might actually want us to apologize for.  No one expects us to apologize for our Bill of Rights or for Miley Cyrus, at least as long as we keep the consequences of them to ourselves.  But that we 6% of the world’s population use about one quarter of the entire globe’s natural resources and energy so that we might live in splendor, comfort, and convenience—that aspect of the American way of life may require some negotiation, especially now that  primary fuel that almost all humans depend upon for their most essential needs is all more than half gone.  And when the people of small Pacific Islands are forced to flee to higher ground in the face of rising sea-levels, thus abandoning what was otherwise a sustainable culture, we as the nation responsible for ¼ of current carbon emissions might owe them an apology (“sorry about your homeland, but I really did need some ‘driving excitement’”). Of course we evade this sort or responsibility and refuse any kind of negotiation through all sorts of self-deceptive visions of ourselves as a chosen people with a way of life that everyone might someday enjoy, audible in our self-congratulatory stories about the supremacy of our way of life.   Even that supposed great apologizer for American consumption, Jimmy Carter, assured us that we were the most generous and most hard-working and ingenious people on the planet.

This sort of false moral high-ground will not be of much use against the rising waters of a melting planet, though one of the great tragedies of global warming is the accident of geography by which those who will be most immediately and gravely affected by early changes and rising seas will have themselves been responsible for the least amount of carbon emissions.   But the moral high ground we try to establish may make us especially vulnerable to the sniper fire of an increasingly resentful and angry global population.  We had better learn how to negotiate and apologize.

Indeed, the fact that the American way of life is unsustainable means that we will have to make compromises or face the many consequences.  In his indispensable book, Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed, anthropologist Jared Diamond investigates the way different civilizations throughout the history of mankind have responded to ecological crises, which, it turns out, are a contributing factor to the fall of nearly every empire and society that has not endured, whether it be the Mayans, Babylonians, Romans, or Norse Greenlanders.  The ones that have prevailed in the face of this sort of challenge have always been able to question and reform themselves at crucial moments, sometimes discarding what had previously been held as “non-negotiable” core principles.  Whether a society succeeds or fails, Diamond shows, depends on how it responds to a fundamental challenge: “the challenge of deciding which of society’s deeply held core values are compatible with the society’s survival, and which ones instead have to be given up” (Collapse 409-10).  The lesson of history is negotiate or die.

A number of factors combine to make this an especially difficult lesson for Americans.  While political liberals are, I think, more open to the possibility of such negotiation and apology, many liberals may begin to find a Cheney-like refusal to negotiate all the more attractive when actually asked to give up some of their opulence and privilege, or suffer the indignities of a contracting economy, 3G cell service, or a lower resolution TV screen.  We will cling to the myth advanced by George Bush Sr. that growth is the key to sustainability because of the material benefits this clearly false belief affords us.  But this belief is not without a certain sort of suggestive evidence: in its brief history, the United States has stood at the forefront of some remarkable changes and advances.  Rhapsodized in our national myths and narratives is the belief that these changes and advances were a direct result of our freedoms and the way these freedoms unleashed a spirit of determination and ingenuity.  As Carter put it, in a context directly relevant to our subject, “The history of our Nation is one of meeting challenges and overcoming them” (Address to the Nation on Energy, November 8, 1977).  Carter, and with him every subsequent President, held that we would someday tick off energy and the environment as another challenge overcome through hard work, freedom, faith, inventiveness, and economic growth.  Note how we convince ourselves that there is nothing we can’t accomplish by trumpeting past accomplishments like the Lunar landing or the defeat of the Nazis and the Soviet Union, or the invention of the internet and the human genome project.  These, we imply, are the natural outgrowth of our political and economic practices and the unique spirit that animates it; and so do we cling to the perceived source or our previous accomplishments. “Our freedoms,” “our entrepreneurs,” “our independent spirit,” “our market system,” “our faith in technology and progress”—we hear the protests, “these are what make us great.” “Now, more than ever, can we ill-afford to abandon them.” And thus we dig in and become mired.

Our very short and seemingly unified period of tremendous success, in other words, makes a reassessment of our way of life especially difficult.  In Diamond’s words, “the values to which people cling to most stubbornly under inappropriate conditions are those values that were previously the source of their greatest triumphs over adversity”  (275). From a brief and, I will show, most anomalous historical period, the American myth of constant progress and challenge-overcoming has taken shape.  Although there are certainly critics of any given historical trend from both the right and the left and some minor disagreement about some of the national ideals, there are also parts of the American myth which receive almost unanimous and unquestioned support from the highest academic, political, and commercial quarters, from the Green Party and the Tea Party alike: namely, that if we stay true to our most essential values (whatever those are) and maintain our way of life (whatever that is) in the truest sense, the next two hundred and fifty years will be just like the previous two hundred and fifty, only bigger and better—or perhaps cleaner and greener.

As one example consider Obama’s reassurances to the nation after the 2008 financial collapse: “the answers to our problems don’t lie beyond our reach,” he exclaimed.  “They exist in our laboratories and universities; in our fields and factories; in the imaginations of our entrepreneurs and the pride of the hardest-working people on Earth.”  The quintessential American belief, here, is that we do not need to questions our values or expectations—just the opposite indeed.  In times of crisis, we need to double-down on our past accomplishments and imitate them more closely and accurately.  Politics in America have in this way become a search for the most essential key to our previous success so that it may be restored once again.  Or as Obama put it, “those qualities that have made America the greatest force of progress and prosperity in human history we still possess in ample measure.”  Far from suggesting we might consider a change in course, Obama explains, “History tells a different story. History reminds us that every moment of economic upheaval and transformation, this nation has responded with bold action and big ideas. In the midst of civil war we laid railroad tracks from one coast to another that spurred commerce and industry. From the turmoil of the Industrial Revolution came a system of public high schools that prepared our citizens for a new age. In the wake of war and depression, the GI Bill sent a generation to college and created the largest middle-class in history. And a twilight struggle for freedom led to a nation of highways, an American on the moon, and an explosion of technology that still shapes the world” (2009 State of the Union). There is nothing extraordinary in Obama’s believe that we do not need to rethink the “qualities that have made America the greatest force of progress and prosperity in human history” or re-asses their appropriateness–in this land of people transfixed by their own recent history. Rather, he sweeps us instead into the clichéd crescendo of self-congratulation: “what is required now is for this country to pull together, confront boldly the challenges we face, and take responsibility for our future once more.”

There is good reason why this story of “progress and prosperity” is told without any mention of energy and the environment, that our achievements are never put side by side with the left half of the peak oil curve.  The history of the United States is rarely told with reference to the undisputed fact that it was founded on the cusp of the world’s greatest resource base—bountiful supplies of energy, which we have had at our easy disposal, and which we have devoured while leading the world to the brink of environmental collapse. The unconscious prohibition on putting this at the forefront of our official and revisionary histories alike exists within nearly every imaginable genre and media form.  In only the rarest instances can one find a history that makes more than passing reference to our energy use as integral to the American way of life or the “American Dream,” whether the author is Howard Zinn, Fareed Zakaria, or George Will.   Our political histories, whether told in scholarly books or presidential speeches, similarly see our “progress and prosperity” in terms of national spirit or institutional practices, all of which receive near-unanimous applause.

One the tasks of sustainability activism is to retell the American success story, and indeed of modern industrial civilizations, and review our deepest political convictions, with explicit reference to energy and the environment, noting the way our temporary abundance has shaped our sense of reality.  For it is by examining the way the two hundred and fifty-year orgy of growth and consumption was possible only by using half of the world’s non-renewable resources that we can begin the difficult and painful task of sorting through our values, beliefs, practices, priorities, and of course our expectations. This is not a period of history that we can or should wish to repeat without substantial modification. As it turns out much of what we hold dear—as Liberals, as Americans, as middle-class people, as the beneficiaries of an industrialized food and medical system—will need to be put on the table. The network of interconnections between our way of life and the destruction it has caused reach further than we are apt to consider. Little will be sacred, except peace and hope, and the basic needs of our children and grandchildren and those of everyone else.

Transition Milwaukee



14 Comments on "Apres Moi le Deluge"

  1. Arthur on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 11:07 am 

    American way of life,” George H.W. Bush infamously declared in 1992, “is not-negotiable.” This presents a problem if the American way of life is also unsustainable.

    H.W. Bush was entirely correct. There are not going to be any negotiations. At some point mother Nature simply pulls the plug.

  2. Davy, Hermann, MO on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 1:48 pm 

    Damnit Art, you beat me too it! I was going to say “Until the money runs out!”

  3. bobinget on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 1:49 pm 

    Pulling a plug?
    Not so fast Grover.
    Seriously, I doubt we will give up w/o a fight.

    Once (now infamous) one percent realizes no more money and power to be had in an ‘end of civilization scenario, the same programs used to diminish Climate Change, resource exhaustion, will turn on a dime.
    Environmentalists will be labeled ineffectual pussies,
    indicted as premature anti progress and pushed over cliffs. The tactics for this turn are I’m sure in planning as we fret.
    Entire new staffs of right wing spokespersons with academic credentials will slowly be ushered on Network FOX to explain away former denialists. Geoengineering programs will be proposed and opposed.

    Middle of the road (yellow line) groups like Greenpeace will as usual caution against radical actions.

    Somehow though, folks with enough resources to be independent will survive to live an entirely new existence in a world with far fewer occupants lacking the ability of those people to kill each other wholesale.

  4. Davy, Hermann, MO on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 2:10 pm 

    Bob, it remains to be seen what will shake out because we are looking at a nonlinear situation with linear human brains. We are more or less at ‘PEAK EVERYTHING” so yes there are lots of resources to continue something but this will require more wealth inequality from cannibalization of existing social fabric for the benefit of the higher net worth individuals. This strategy is still a house of cards. If the financial system fails in this complex interconnected global world all the important support items for all involved will be compromised. I imagine it will be initially governments, security establishment, and military that will step in with a survival structure. Societal triage will be practiced sacrificing large areas and classes of people not supportable. At some point in a lifeboat situation decision must be made and people tossed overboard or eaten by a person with “THE GUN”. This may not be the case in the tribal or family situation. In these situations people will choose to die together. In a situation of a large society many will be sacrificed. What this means is like what Stalin did to Ukraine in the 30’s and that is withhold vital support items like food. I might add large areas will not be able to be secured like 2003 Iraq. Looting and lawlessness will destroy areas where this occurs leaving those left to starve. The areas effected will remain largely isolated for further spread because of lacking resources to transport the lawlessness and looting. In a world with no place to migrate with little ability to migrate this attempt to move on will be stymied. The military and security forces will protect vital nodes of their existence. I tell you now if you are in an unsustainable location you should think about relocating now while you can. Cozy up to an area with advantage and needed by the establishment that will be practicing battlefield triage.

  5. GregT on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 2:37 pm 

    ” At some point mother Nature simply pulls the plug.”

    “Pulling a plug?
    Not so fast Grover.
    Seriously, I doubt we will give up w/o a fight.”

    And herein lies our biggest dilemma. We either learn to live within the confines of nature, or we will be wiped out as a species. Mother Nature is not a force to be reckoned with. We have been ‘fighting’ Her for far too long, it is now Mother Nature’s turn at bat. It is the bottom of the ninth, the bases are loaded, and as McPherson so succinctly points out; Nature Bats Last.

    As much as we so foolishly believe otherwise, we were never in control of Mother Nature.

  6. Boat on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 3:33 pm 

    To ignore the massive changes in society just in the last generation you would have to be blind. Efficiency has made incredible changes. For commenters that want a magic switch or a silver bullet will always be displeased.
    Advancements will always be driven by cost.
    I can look around at almost anything it takes to survive and see a much more efficient system and a smarter product compared with even 30 years ago.

    My favorite example is the gulf coast refinery process. We export almost 4 mbpd of finished petroleum products per day. Why? We don’t drive as much, are cars are much more efficient, the refineries are much more efficient, nat gas instead of oil is being used to refine the oil. All this has happened in less than a decade.

    Another great example is homes. Lowes and Home Depot unleashed the individual entrepreneur. We used to replace homes. Now they can be continually be upgraded to last forever making them efficient and much more cost effective.

    As the price of FF goes even higher the pace of efficiency will increase exponentially. Why? Because it is cheaper. Change is price driven, not fear, hopes, wishes, or your version of common sense.

  7. Davy, Hermann, MO on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 3:53 pm 

    Boat, all looks good when you can afford it but when a global society is broke these things will not scale to prevent a system wide collapse to a much lower level of complexity and living standards. Hence my favoritism for all those early or pre-industrial systems, technologies, and customs. Your visions of technological exuberance have been great and wonderful. I have participated in many wonderful technologies and lifestyles. The party is over folks and there is nothing left but the hangover. Best we look back on the last 100 years with nostalgia and understanding. If we have the ability (at least some) to stop finger pointing and realize we are all to blame and no one is to blame this would help. None of us asked to be born. None of us asked to be brought up a certain way with pre-engineered DNA. We have lots of work to do and time is a wastin!

  8. GregT on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 4:56 pm 

    To ignore the massive changes in the Earth’s natural ecosystems just in the last generation you would have to be blind. These changes are not positive, they are non-linear and are growing exponentially. As with all complex systems, they tend to reach tipping points and then collapse rapidly, and chaotically.

    We have been repeatedly warned of the consequences of continuing to destroy the natural environment, we haven’t listened, and we still aren’t listening. There is nothing exceptional about human beings, our systems, or our societies. We are bound to the same laws of nature as everything else is. We are not above nature, and the longer we continue to believe that we are, the more catastrophic the outcome will be.

    We have now most likely reached the point of no return, the choices that we make today will determine whether our species survives in the future, or faces unimaginable horrors, or even extinction.

  9. Jeff on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 5:04 pm 

    I stumbled on this site recently while doing work on my thesis….while I like some of the articles and comments by people like Rockman….others seem a bit distasteful and rude to their fellow commentators. There is almost a cult like mentality of the same people supporting each other rather than open debate; it really diminishes the message of professional discourse I am accustomed to. That being sad can anyone direct me to a site that has a more scientific nature rather than conjecture.

  10. Northwest Resident on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 5:25 pm 

    As it turns out, we have nothing to worry about. The U.S. Navy has figured out how to convert water to hydrogen/CO2 fuel.

    news dot yahoo dot com/us-navy-game-changer-converting-seawater-fuel-150544958.html

  11. GregT on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 7:29 pm 

    “That being sad can anyone direct me to a site that has a more scientific nature rather than conjecture.”

    Here you go Jeff.
    http://www.ipcc.ch

    The debate is over, at least within the scientific community. That won’t stop people from continuing to refuse to listen though.

  12. Jeff on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 7:35 pm 

    Thanks Greg this is what I am looking for; do you have any more links. I am wondering if all this fear of peak energy is really missing the true problem “climate change”.

  13. rockman on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 8:37 pm 

    Jeff- First, shut the hell up you complaining bastard. LOL. Just teasing. Yeah…folks can get a bit ornery here but just try to write it off as passion driven. Most here are even nice to me even though I’m one of those lying bastard oil men. I can send you to various places but some can be too tech depending on you background. And some of the tech sites have a bit of apolitical leaning. Give a hint: how detailed can you go? At one extreme there’s the Society of Petroleum Engineering. Often the SPE is beyond me. Then there something of a middle road like Scientific American but they have a rather broad focus. Rig Zone is a very good place to stay up on global activity but can be a little too rah rah with respect to the oil patch slant.

    Just hang in there. Graeme and I hate each other guts but we have polite chats…it can be done. LOL.

  14. Davey on Mon, 7th Apr 2014 9:19 pm 

    Jeff, you know in real life there is something called community. The conjecture helps us stomach the bad news. We here enjoy a lively debate. I myself am humble in my arrogance meaning I expect critisim if I talk out of my ass. And yes we have some on here that want to have a propagandist sounding board but that’s alright as long as someone keeps then honest.

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