Page added on April 13, 2013
The stock market is not crashing yet, but there are lots of other market crashes happening in the financial world right now. Just like we saw back in 2008, it is taking stocks a little bit of extra time to catch up with economic reality. But almost everywhere else you look, there are signs that a financial avalanche has begun. Bitcoins are crashing, gold and silver are plunging, the price of oil and the overall demand for energy continue to decline, markets all over Europe are collapsing and consumer confidence in the United States just had the biggest miss relative to expectations that has ever been recorded. In many ways, all of this is extremely reminiscent of 2008. Other than the Bitcoin collapse, almost everything else that is happening now also happened back then. So does that mean that a horrible stock market crash is coming as well? Without a doubt, one is coming at some point. The only question is whether it will be sooner or later. Meanwhile, there are a whole lot of other economic crashes that deserve out attention at the moment.
The following are 11 economic crashes that are happening RIGHT NOW…
#1 Bitcoins
As I write this, the price of Bitcoins has fallen more than 70 percent from where it was on Wednesday. This is one of the reasons why I have never recommended Bitcoins to anyone. Yes, alternative currencies are a good thing, but there are a lot of big problems with Bitcoins. Why would anyone want to invest in a currency that could lose 70 percent of its purchasing power in just two days? Why would anyone want to invest in a currency where a single person can arbitrarily decide to suspend trading in that currency at any time?
An article by Mike Adams of Natural News described some of the things that we have learned about Bitcoins this week…
#1) The bitcoin infrastructure cannot handle a selloff. Once the rush for the exits gains momentum, you will not be able to get out. Only those who sell early will be able to exit the market.
#2) The bitcoin infrastructure is subject to the whims of just one person running MTGox who can arbitrarily decide to shut it down whenever he thinks the market needs a “cooling period.” This is nearly equivalent to a financial dictatorship where one person calls the shots.
#3) Every piece of bad news will be “spun” by exchanges like MTGox into good-sounding news. As bitcoin was crashing yesterday by 60% in value in mere hours, MTGox announced it was a “victim of our own success!” So while bitcoin holders watched $1 billion in market valuation evaporate, MTGox called it a success. Gee, then what would you call it when bitcoin loses 99%? A “raging” success?
#2 Gold
The price of gold was down by about 4 percent on Friday. Gold has now fallen below $1500 an ounce for the first time since July 2011. Overall, the price of gold has fallen by about 10 percent since the beginning of the year, and it is about 22 percent below the record high set back in September 2011.
Yes, the price of gold is likely being pushed down by the banksters. And yes, gold is a fantastic investment for the long-term. But there will be times when the price of gold does fall dramatically just like we saw back in 2008.
#3 Silver
The price of silver fell by about 5 percent on Friday. If it falls much more it is going to be at a level that presents a historically good buying opportunity.
Just like gold, there will be times when the price of silver swings dramatically. But the truth is that silver is probably an even better long-term investment than gold is.
#4 Oil
The price of oil declined by about 3 percent on Friday. Many will consider this a positive thing, but just remember what happened back in 2008. Back then, the price of oil dropped like a rock. If the price of oil gets below $80, that could very well be a clear signal that a major economic crisis is about to happen.
#5 Consumer Confidence
As I mentioned above, consumer confidence in the U.S. just had its biggest miss relative to expectations that has ever been recorded. The following is from an article posted on Zero Hedge on Friday…
Well if this doesn’t send the market into all-time record high territory, nothing ever will: seconds ago the UMich Consumer Confidence plummeted from 78.6 to 72.3, on expectations of an unchanged 78.6 print. This was not only a 9 month low in the index, but more importantly the biggest miss to expectations in recorded history!
#6 Retirement Accounts
According to Wells Fargo, the number of Americans taking loans from their 401(k) accounts has risen by 28 percent over the past year…
Through an analysis of participants enrolled in Wells Fargo-administered defined contribution plans, the bank announced today that in the fourth quarter of 2012, there was a 28 percent increase in the number of people taking loans out from their 401(k) and that the average new loan balances increased to $7,126 from those taken out in the fourth quarter of 2011 – a 7% increase from $6,662.
Of the participants who took out loans, the greatest percentage were to people in their 50s (34.2%), followed by those in their 60s (28.9%) and then by those in their 40s (27.3%). The increase among participants in their 50s was nearly double the increase among those under 30. This is based on an analysis of a subset of 1.9 million eligible participants in retirement plans that Wells Fargo administers.
“The increased loan activity particularly among older participants is concerning because those are the years when workers can start to make ‘catch-up’ contributions and really need to focus on preparing for retirement,” said Laurie Nordquist, director of Wells Fargo Retirement.
#7 Casino Spending
Casino spending is declining again. Many people (including myself) would consider this to be a good thing, but casino spending is also one of the most reliable indicators about the overall health of the economy. Remember, casino spending crashed during the last financial crisis as well. That is why it is so alarming that casino spending is now back to levels that we have not seen since the last recession.
#8 Employment In Greece
Over in Europe, things just continue to get worse. According to numbers that were just released, the unemployment rate in Greece has soared to 27.2 percent, which was up from 25.7 percent the previous month. That means that the unemployment rate in Greece rose by 1.5 percent in just a single month. That is not just a crash – that is an avalanche of unemployment.
#9 European Financial Stocks
European financial stocks have been hit particularly hard lately. And for good reason actually – most of the major banks in Europe are essentially insolvent at this point. This week, European financial stocks fell to seven month lows, and this is probably only just the beginning.
#10 Spanish Bankruptcies
According to Reuters, the number of Spanish companies going bankrupt has risen by 45 percent over the past year…
A record number of Spanish companies went bust in the first quarter of 2013 as companies remained under intense pressure from tight credit conditions and meager demand, a study showed on Monday.
The 2,564 firms filing for insolvency proceedings in first three months of the year was a 10 percent rise from the previous quarter and a 45 percent increase on the same period in 2012, the survey by credit rating agency Axesor said.
#11 Demand For Energy
Just like we saw back in 2008, the overall demand for energy in the United States is falling rapidly. There are some shocking charts that prove this that were recently posted on Zero Hedge that you can find right here.
Yes, it is good for people to use a bit less energy, but it is also a clear indication that economic activity is really starting to slow down.
But despite everything that you have just read, the Dow and the S&P 500 have been setting new record highs.
And if you listen to the mainstream media, you would think that this stock market bubble can continue indefinitely.
Fortunately, there are a few voices of reason out there. For example, just check out what Marc Faber recently told CNBC…
In the near-term, the U.S. stock market is overbought and adding that any more near-term gains portend big trouble for the market, “The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report” publisher Marc Faber told CNBC on Monday.
“If we continue to move up, the probability of a crash becomes higher,” Faber predicted in a “Squawk Box” interview, saying it could happen “sometime in the second half of this year.”
As I have written about previously, a bubble is always the biggest right before it bursts. I hope that we still have at least a little bit more time before it happens, but I wouldn’t count on it.
The economic fundamentals tell us that the stock market should be plunging, not rising. At some point the boys over on Wall Street will get the message and the market will catch up to reality very, very rapidly.
But for the moment, the American people are feeling really good. According to CNN, Americans are now more optimistic than they have been in six years…
As the stock market continues to show record highs, the number of Americans who say things are going well in the country has reached 50% for the first time in more than six years, according to a new national survey.
So what do you think will happen for the rest of the year?
Do you think that the good times will continue to roll, or do you believe that the bubble is about to burst?
10 Comments on "11 Economic Crashes That Are Happening Right Now"
econ101 on Sat, 13th Apr 2013 12:43 pm
All of this is normal market behavior. The stock market continues to go up because their value is measured in shrinking dollars. Gold has had a great run but a correction was long overdue. what a great time to take gold profits and invest in a rising stock market!
Bit coins will have to stabilize in value. Even the US dollar doesn’t crash, rather it shrinks away slowly. If the Bitcoin doesnt stabilize people will stop taking it as currancy.
Although in general there is some bad economic news, stocks are about specific, individual companies. Generally these companies have been doing well and growing in many ways. They are far more healthy now than 2008 with trimed debt, strong balance sheets and costs sized to market assuring profitability. As long as thats the case the market is fine, but what goes up must come down. Its not the end of the world.
Arthur on Sat, 13th Apr 2013 1:29 pm
Agree with econ101. I think Gold is at the top and I have recently sold 30% of what I had. Unfortunately I had no use for the cash of the other 70%, which will remain in the bank, until some Dutch Roosevelt will confiscate it, or I will sell it when the going gets tough (against a much lower real price) or hopefully when I can pass it on to the youngsters at a very high age as the real purpose of the metal is peace of mind and nothing else.
Saying that the economy is doing swell just because the stockmarket is going up, is indeed dubious, as stocks are priced in dollar. Go study the stockmarket (if any) in Zimbabwe; must be very high at the moment.
J-Gav on Sat, 13th Apr 2013 2:26 pm
I’ll play the contrarian then … I’d say it’s a good time to get out of the stock market and to buy gold (though quality farmland would be an even better investment)!
rollin on Sat, 13th Apr 2013 2:30 pm
A well thought out case with some good economic fall indicators. As far as consumers goes, they are not a great indicator of economic downturn. Consumers are still in recession mentality from 2008 and always bargain hunting when they do shop. Consumers have been hit by high food and fuel inflation for years now, tax inflation also, so they do not have as much disgressionary income to spend. Housing did not fall far enough nor did many goods, that is still loaded in the barrel.
Demand for energy should go down as efficiency and conservation occur.
Stocks are widely cyclical to begin with, so how can one confidently predict an outlier situation?
My final thought, if these are the good times then pity the bad times.
GregT on Sat, 13th Apr 2013 4:06 pm
The economy has not improved. Federal debt levels are rising exponentially, 9 trillion added since 2008. Stocks and bonds are being pumped up by the Fed, with inflated FRNs. Low interest rates are eating retirees savings. 50 million US citizens on food stamps. There is talk of war.
Everything is fine and normal, nothing to see here, move along. Oh, and sell all of your gold now, China is looking for more.
BillT on Sat, 13th Apr 2013 5:00 pm
J-Gav & GregT, you are both correct. The cost of these few things going down for a day or even a week means nothing. If it continues for months or longer, then it may be a trend. It would be generous to say the Us is in a Recession when all real statistics point to it being a Depression.
NP on Sat, 13th Apr 2013 9:43 pm
(english is not my native language)
The reporting in this article about bitcoin is probably the most biased piece of news reporting I have seen/read for a *very* long time
Kind of reminds of when the Soviet Union lost a two team race against the US and pravda reported that “The Soviet heroes of the people finished with a very honourful second place and the capitalist oppressors was left second bottom” ….
Whoever wrote this obviously has no idea at all what they are talking about.
However …
The last few days of very volatile valuation USBTC was a bubble.
It wasn’t the first time and it wont be the last time a single currency has been the target of wild market speculations.
Mt.gox have increased their transaction volume and number of accounts with more than a factor of 10 in the last 3 weeks, please show me a traditional bank that can handle that kind of “reverse bank-run” gracefully!
And trading stops are not all that uncommon during rapid course movements, it happens quite often at stock exchanges such as nyse/dow.
Bitcoin may very well still be in “beta-test” and not ready for prime time yet.
But please make that judgement based on fair and balanced facts.
The changes that bitcoins or another crypto currency can bring reaches far beyond anything we have seen before.
Imagine a world where currency isn’t controlled by governments and they can no longer CTRL-P to make new money out of thin air, no more bank-bailouts and no more inflating of currencies robbing us of our pension funds.
Imagine a world where everyone on the planet can trade in a common currency with very low transaction fees outside of the traditional banking middle-men or government control? In a system that is highly reliable and secure…
Those are the advantages of the bitcoin/crypto currencies we should be talking about instead.
FYI .. I do not own any bitcoins, but I have used them on occasion to buy stuff.
John Orr on Sat, 13th Apr 2013 11:39 pm
BillT…..y don’t u predict the best 5 stocks on the bottom of each of your comments….I don’t agree with all u say, but I think u are quite switched on in general….more so than so called experts…a billTcoin club….I’m in!
BillT on Sun, 14th Apr 2013 3:33 am
John, I don’t own stock. Never did.
I would invest in farm land and then farm it for self-sufficiency.
Build an adequate home and make it as independent of the commercial grid as possible.
Sock up on necessities and trade goods.
Acquire as many HAND tools as possible that might be needed to maintain what I have. (Not power tools that require fuels/electric)
THEN, I might buy a few silver and/or gold coins if I has extra to invest.
The market has always been a casino and it is due to plunge over the cliff soon. Savings anywhere are long term losers. Cash is good. (stashed at home where you have control of it)
Now you know what I am doing… ^_^
Jerry McManus on Sun, 14th Apr 2013 6:18 pm
Buy when everyone is selling. Sell when everyone is buying.
Right now everyone is buying stocks, so what should you sell?
Right now everyone is selling gold, so what should you buy?
So simple an infant could understand it.