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Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby KevO » Mon 14 May 2007, 10:28:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'T')he Planning Forum (and the rest of the forums for that matter) are full of doomers calling for the end of the world and there are so few soft-landers to combat them.

Call it "Survival of the fittest" 8)


or survival of the best placed
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby davep » Mon 14 May 2007, 10:33:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'T')he Planning Forum (and the rest of the forums for that matter) are full of doomers calling for the end of the world and there are so few soft-landers to combat them.

Call it "Survival of the fittest" 8)


Or Survivalism of the Fantasist
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby killJOY » Mon 14 May 2007, 10:44:15

Now, Graeme's comment "bring on the abuse" means "ignore me."

Those who think "doomerism" is overrated or mental illness should just not prepare.

Put your balls out there. Be happy and consume. I'll be cautious, conservative and slightly depressed, not waiting for the inflatable cowboy of "alternative algal superpower" to come to my rescue.
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby TheDude » Mon 14 May 2007, 13:17:55

I'm bummed because it took two minutes for the server to let me reply...Image

One thing I've noticed is that the verbose Cornicopiaholers like Lorenzo and RGR have been "permanently banned," meaning you don't really get any kind of detailed defense of their schemes or figures, just Tar Sands newbies saying that we'll be saved by electric cars and windmills and the Doomerolies posting links to previous topics that shot them down. 'Bout the only optimist still hanging around seems to be Omnitir who just says that the march of technology will bail us out. Even he thinks tech may just as well sink us in the end.

That and the simple fact that no news is good news. Oh, and many of the...us Doomskies still hope to build a bitchin' awesome compound to ride out the storm and we're deathly afraid the rest of the world will figure out that horribly high gas prices aren't simply market machinations and jump to the same conclusion/piece of bottom land.
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Mon 14 May 2007, 14:25:03

OK, Sweden gets half of its electricity from hydroelectricity.

The other half comes from nuclear power.

I don't see a high likelihood of their electrical grid crashing in the next 20 years given those two facts.

I also do not think that given our current level of technology and the scalability of alternatives, we will reach Peak Energy on the same day that we reach Peak Oil.

Image

Maybe I'm reading the wrong news articles, but to me, the situation is actually improving somewhat.

To me, the doomers are being repudiated by continued technology improvements and new renewable energy projects. The Doomsday time line keeps getting pushed back.

However, if oil production does crash at 5%/year+, I agree with the doomers, there will be a disaster and many will die off rather quickly. We can still have a dieoff in the third world, an economic recession in the first world, but life as usual for most of the people on this site.

Or maybe now that the soft landers have been scared off/banned, I'm forced to pick up their banner?

(Old habit from debate team, always join the losing side)
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby NEOPO » Mon 14 May 2007, 14:45:32

What does the JC in Tyler_JC refer to? Just curious :)
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby PolestaR » Mon 14 May 2007, 15:11:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'H')owever, if oil production does crash at 5%/year+, I agree with the doomers, there will be a disaster and many will die off rather quickly. We can still have a dieoff in the third world, an economic recession in the first world, but life as usual for most of the people on this site.


There are about 5 million events which can turn worldwide oil exports to 0 overnight. And many which can turn production worldwide to fractions of what they are now. People relying on a soft, peaceful powerdown are really quite... deluded.
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby JPL » Mon 14 May 2007, 15:28:36

Prrmph. When I first joined this group people were talking about a peak in 2009/10. Now it turns out it (probably) happened in 2005.

The main reason either soft-landers or back-to-nature types (like myself) are short on airspace right now is because we are all busy off buying real estate & erecting windmills (pluggh).

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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby Twilight » Mon 14 May 2007, 16:14:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hy the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

You wait a decade for something bad to happen, and it does. Early.

What looks like pessimism is just suspicions being confirmed.
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby gnm » Mon 14 May 2007, 16:18:59

My sentiments exactly Twilight....

Now if you'll excuse me I have to get back to erecting the wind genny... 8)

-G
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby strider3700 » Mon 14 May 2007, 16:44:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', 'P')rrmph. When I first joined this group people were talking about a peak in 2009/10. Now it turns out it (probably) happened in 2005.
Exactly, in 2005 when I joined it was arguing peak in 2010-2015 most pushing the 2015 mark. Last summer it became 2007-2010. This summer we find out it probably peaked the year I joined.

I didn't start as a doomer. I became a doomer because of the activity or lack of it in the prep forum and the news. No serious effort is being taken to change our course on a national/state level. The actions being taken at a municipality scale where they are happening are hopelessly inadequate.

I spent the majority of my time in the prep forum. It's been very quiet for most of my time here. It's been a ghosttown for most of this past winter also. I'm assuming that only a small percentage of the registered members actually post on this board. Maybe they are out there prepping and just not posting about it but I have my doubts that 1/4 of the people on this board are doing anything that would fall under any one of the categories on the prep forum.

When people that understand the issue clearly can't be bothered to prep I have zero faith that general society will be ready to handle even minor problems never mind a serious crash. This means I prep for the worst case and hope it's nowhere near that bad. It's a far better option then hoping for the best case and being wrong.
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Mon 14 May 2007, 17:54:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NEOPO', 'W')hat does the JC in Tyler_JC refer to? Just curious :)


haha, I get that a lot.

My old handle on the MSN forum was TylerJC.

When I tried making an account on this forum, I messed something up and ended up deleting the TylerJC account, replacing it with Tyler_JC.

Tyler is my first name, J is my middle initial, and C is the first letter of my last name.

I'd rather not give out my entire name on an internet forum because I'd also rather not be tracted down, kidnapped, and eaten by psychotic web cannibals.:)
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby NEOPO » Mon 14 May 2007, 18:49:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'M')y old handle on the MSN forum was TylerJC. When I tried making an account on this forum, I messed something up and ended up deleting the TylerJC account, replacing it with Tyler_JC. Tyler is my first name, J is my middle initial, and C is the first letter of my last name. I'd rather not give out my entire name on an internet forum because I'd also rather not be tracted down, kidnapped, and eaten by psychotic web cannibals.:)
Thank you for the explanation and here I always thought you were a jesus freak er something :) Oh come on! Tell us your name, address and phone number as we do not want to eat you, just carve a little "Z" in yer forehead 8)
<knows that vague references to Fear and loathing in las vegas do not go over well yet uses them anyways>
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Mon 14 May 2007, 18:54:52

Hahaha...

Yeah, I can see how you might be tempted to think I'm in the JC Fan Club.

The constant running joke about how Jesus will come down and solve all of our problems probably doesn't help my image.

So for the record, I'm half Jewish and I've probably been to church maybe a dozen times in my entire life. Most of those times were for the weddings/funerals of other people.
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby NEOPO » Mon 14 May 2007, 18:58:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', 'I') had a visit today from a good friend who's also a peaker. He just got back from visiting a bunch of friends all over Europe. He told me that everyone he talked with has the feeling that bad things are about to happen, except for a few people in finance who are totally out of touch. These are not peak oil people, just a variety of folks from his social circle. He said, "Everyone's feeling the vibe." Maybe it's not just around here that pessimism is growing.


Aw yeah I have a few international connections and they are all starting to sound the same.

Heh, I was helping and talking to a tree trimmer/preacher the other day, well two of them to be exact and wouldnt ya know it they were both doomers.
The old dude was like "aint a gonna get better until the time of christ is done" etc etc..... Doomers doomers everywhere!!! 8)

He asked me to go to church with him once I admitted that many of my family were local ministers and even big city large congregation holy rollers and I looked at him, put my hand on his shoulder and said "Where there are two of you speaking of me there I am also" and "church is in your heart" and "pray in secret and be rewarded openly" and he just smiled and had nothing else to say besides Doom doom doom!!! :)

Creepy vibes folks, very creepy vibes...
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby lotrfan55345 » Mon 14 May 2007, 19:49:03

well, as long as these are still available...
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby Baldwin » Mon 14 May 2007, 22:12:10

I attribute the pessimism to the belief that we will see the first really noticeable parts of SHTF come summer and fall of 2007. Gas prices certainly aren't helping to curtail the pessimism either.
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby jupiters_release » Mon 14 May 2007, 22:55:10

I think TSHTF won't officially start until 2008, I predicted three years when I joined two years ago and still looks on target.
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Mon 14 May 2007, 23:27:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lotrfan55345', 'w')ell, as long as these are still available...


Is that Bicardi I see in the picture?

Aren't you like 16?

Tsk, tsk. :lol:
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Re: Why the sudden and massive uptick in pessimism?

Unread postby NEOPO » Mon 14 May 2007, 23:35:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lotrfan55345', 'w')ell, as long as these are still available...


Is that Bicardi I see in the picture?

Aren't you like 16?

Tsk, tsk. :lol:

Next thing ya know he/she will be smoking that devil weed and listening to satan's music which always leads to going down on perverted history teachers for money to buy some crack! :lol:
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