by kublikhan » Wed 28 Dec 2011, 21:15:24
V2G is an interesting idea, but it is not without drawbacks. Those batteries were designed for use with typical driver needs in mind. Not providing load leveling services to the grid. Increased cycling will reduce battery life, possibly voiding your warranty. And it's a pretty far from providing the storage needs of a national grid powered by renewables.
My utility recently unveiled a similar program, paying us grid users to power down during peak hours. Basically they would pay us a small amount of money if we allowed them to shut down our AC during peak load times. The amount of money they would pay us for this "service" was a pittance. It did not even come close to paying for, in my mind, the hardship of going without AC during the scorching summer months. I would expect a similar level of compensation for my V2G contribution. I would not want to shorten my battery life by getting paid a pittance for this service either.
I am all for using renewables to displace fossil fuels. But I think we have to recognize that if we are truly talking about a new energy paradigm powered not by reliable fossil fuels but instead by intermittent renewables, we are talking about a truly epic sized battery here.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut solar and wind suffer a serious problem in that they are not always available. There are windless days, there are sunless nights, and worst of all, there are windless nights. Obviously, this calls for energy storage, allowing us to collect the energy when we can, and use it when we want.
So what would it take? We’re not a nation tolerant of power outages. Those big refrigerators can spoil a lot of food when the electricity drops away. A rule of thumb for remote solar installations is that you should design your storage to last for a minimum of three days with no energy input. Even then, sometimes you will “go dark” in the worst storm of the winter. This does not mean literally three days of total deprivation, but could be four consecutive days at 25% average input, so that you only haul in one day’s worth over a four day period, leaving yourself short by three. So let’s buy ourselves security and design a battery that can last a week without any new inputs (as before, this is not literally 7 days of zero input, but could be 8 days at 12.5% average input or 10 days at 30% input). This may be able to manage the worst-case “perfect” storm of persistent clouds in the desert Southwest plus weak wind in the Plains.
Running a 2 TW electrified country for 7 days requires 336 billion kWh of storage. This battery would demand 5 trillion kg (5 billion tons) of lead. A USGS report from 2011 reports 80 million tons (Mt) of lead in known reserves worldwide, with 7 Mt in the U.S. That’s still not enough to build the battery for the U.S. alone. What about cost? At today’s price for lead, $2.50/kg, the national battery would cost $13 trillion in lead alone, and perhaps double this to fashion the raw materials into a battery (today’s deep cycle batteries retail for four times the cost of the lead within them).
I focus here on lead-acid because it’s the devil we know; it’s the cheapest storage at present, and the materials are far more abundant than lithium (13 Mt reserves worldwide, 33 Mt estimated global resources), or nickel (76 Mt global reserves, 130 Mt estimated land resources worldwide). If we ever got serious about building big storage, there will be choices other than lead-acid. But I nonetheless find it immensely instructive (and daunting) to understand what it would mean to scale a mature technology to meet our needs. It worries me that the cheapest solution we have today would break the bank just based on today’s cost of raw materials, and that we can’t even identify enough in the world to get the job done.
The lesson is that we must work within serious constraints to meet future demands. We can’t just scale up the current go-to solution for renewable energy storage—we are yet again fresh out of silver bullet solutions. More generally, large scale energy storage is not a solved problem. We should be careful not to trivialize the problem, which tends to reduce the imperative to work like mad on establishing adequate capabilities in time (requires decades of fore-thought and planning).
A Nation-Sized Battery
The oil barrel is half-full.