by k_semler » Wed 02 Jun 2004, 07:40:20
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AA', 'I') knew we were facing massive parallel collapses, from out of control government debt and promises. Regulation stopping most economic growth. Baby boomer's about to retire, which there is a 0% possibility the system could handle it for even a few years.
Then peak oil, which I was ranking down the list. Then finally a growing world war which there is no escape from, and which will continue to escalate dramatically around the vast Muslim world, and probably outside of it with the vast Diasporas.
I knew we were in massive short term trouble because of this and it would take brilliant leadership to get around. I thought we had some more time though, probably past 2011 before things got bad. And maybe 2008 with speculation in the market as these trends became more apparent to the large investment people. I realize I have always been ahead of the trends by multiple years, I knew about peak oil in 1997, and I knew about the threat of militant Islam in the late 1990's. Still I may have been overestimating how long we could hold out.
Anyway what has got me scared is the price of food where I live. And the price of rent. The price of food has risen 25-100% in the last 2 months depending on the type of food. Some things like meat products has more then doubled.
I used to spend 60 Canadian dollars a week in food. However each week it is buying notably less food. At first it was lasting the full week. But about 3 months ago it started lasting less and less. First 5.5 days, then 4.5 days, now only 4 days. Last week I didn't have food for the whole week, I got so hungry I had to take money out of savings.
Now this week comes along and I only had a small amount of groceries, the bill came out to $55.00 though. Now it is only the second day and I am almost out, I only have about 1-1.5 days of food left.
As for rent it has massively increased. Just over one year ago it was 550$. Now next month it will be 625$, with more increases they say expected. You see I am going to school at the moment so I don't' have enough money, I will have to stop school or ask my parents for more.
The problem is for them, they suddenly aren't making ends meet either. Since everything has increased in price so much in the last year they are having to dip into their savings. And this is a family that has its house paid for and is in the top .5% of Canadian wage earners. About 200k a year.
Car insurance increased so much I had to uninsured my car, but then bus fair rapidly increased as well. 75 cents in one year each way, or 40% in one year increase.
Anyway all in all I am a little scared as things are starting to happen sooner then I expected and prices are rising scarily out of control.
Yet all the time wages are dramatically falling off. In fact many are lucky to even get part time work where I live. So really I'm not sure what to do. Just last month all the health employees where I live got a 15% wage cut and benefits cut. And this is while prices are rising. I know multiple people having to sell their homes because they can no longer cover the mortgage!
And people are starting to move into tiny apartments sharing with other people, all the while there is no new apartments allowed! Something really big is going on I can feel it.
Welcome to the economic phenomenon known as stagflation. Stagflation is a combination between a stagnant economy, and inflating costs for consumable goods. This results in a far less spending power than you would have in other situations such as just stagnation, or a inflationary economy. If the economy were completely stagnant, and no inflation were occurring, your spending power would remain exactly the same throughout the stagnant period. If only inflation were occurring, you would be spending more money for consumable goods, but you would also be making more money. A economy only suffering from inflation will have very little net reduction of purchasing power. If deflation were to occur, consumables would cost less, but your wage would decrease to reflect cost of living. This would result in net stability in purchasing power also.
Here is what I recommend to suffer as little as possible. Purchase a manufactured home, (also known as a mobile home or trailer), and some land just outside of the city limits. Preferably the land you purchase should already have utility hookups available for telephone and electricity. The land should already have a private well, so you will have a reliable water supply. You will not need much land to place your home on. I would recommend you purchase between 1.5 and 2.0 acres of land. Where I live, that would cost around $19,000 USD. A decent manufactured home around here would cost around $12,000. After purchasing the land and your home, you will have sole ownership of the land after you pay off your mortgage to your lending bank. Try to get as short of a loan period as possible, while keeping in mind your living expenses, and your wages. Try to get the lowest possible interest rate.
Although your land and home total will come out to roughly $31,000 USD, I would recommend taking out the loan for $35,000 USD, because you will need to pay a moving crew to move your house to location, and pay the utilities to hook up to your house. You will also need to lay either a concrete pad and mason blocks, or lay a permanent foundation. I would advise getting a fixed-rate mortgage, versus a variable rate. Your interest rate may be slightly higher than the "spot market" of the variable rate mortgage, but you will not have to worry about monthly payments increasing, or unpredictable interest rates. Once you have the mortgage paid off, you will own the land and home free and clear. Plus, with 2 acres of land, you will have enough space to grow a crop capable of sustaining your survival to an adequate level, and also allow you to sell excess crop for income. If you used the appropriate techniques for your area, you would be able to sustain yourself on 1 acre of land, leaving the second acre available to generate income for yourself.
If you thought the 1970 fuel shortages were tough, the globe is about to return to that state. Only this time, it will not be regional, and will effect everyone globally. Also, unlike the 1970's, this time there will be no rebound from the oil shortage. By the time the coming recession has gone into full effect, the memories of 1973 and 1978 will appear to be a wet dream compared to the situation that you will be living in. This is just the start of the decline of hydrocarbon man. Sustainability is the key to survival here, not extravagant wasting as many people are accustomed to. If you start a gradual personal transition now, it will be far easier than trying to adjust to a rapid change of life overnight.
Here Lies the United States Of America.
July 04, 1776 - June 23 2005
Epitaph: "The Experiment Is Over."
Rest In Peace.
Eminent Domain Was The Murderer.