by ubercynicmeister » Thu 23 Mar 2006, 20:32:51
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', 'B')eing young, they will adjust very quickly, of course. It's we graybeards who will sink into depressed states.
And who says we'll lose our cell phones? How much power does it take to charge one? The phone systems will always be there.
Zardoz....boy are you in need of some information.
OK, let's assume that all of the components from the average Moblie phone can be made from non-oil based materials, and that the machines which make the mobile phones (which use Oil, although indirectly) can be converted over to the use of a non-oil material, too. That's two enormous assumptions, but still, let's make them.
OK, what the heck about the BASE STATIONS?
Every time a moderate-to-large sized storm comes through, people complain bitterly about how the mobile phones are fine, it's that the base-stations have died / fallen over / ceased operating. How often do we hear authorities (correctly) warning people NOT to depend upon Mobile Phones when there's large weather events? And why do they issue such warnings? Because of the well-know vulnerability of Mobile Phone Base-Stations to occasinoning damage when exposed to such weather events.
Then there's the stuff that makes the base-stations work. Mainly electricity.
We already know that in a Post Peak Oil world, keeping some form of "national grid" going will prove damn near impossible, as so much of the componentry is based on Oil- derived materials. Or at least Oil gets used in it's manufacture or transportation.
But: lets asume we can still keep our National Grid(s) going...no, I dunno how this will be done, but let's assume it can be.
OK, what happens when one's built-down-to-a-price-not -up-to-a-standard phone reaches it's life-expired date? When the really vital bits finally stop working and nothing can make 'em go again?
You're "just going to buy a new one"? How? When you won't be able to get enough food, how the heck are you gonna get mobile phones?
Even worse, that Base-Station is built of components which are built along the same design philosophy. So how do we replace them? And given the widely-separated places where such Base-Stations are "dotted over the land-scape" how is one gonna get the transportation to do the actual fitting of the replacement equipment?
Sure, the base-station s in the bigger centres will be the last to go, I don't doubt that. Post Peak Oil there will be some idiot trying to "preserve normalcy" who will persuade their fellow citizens that the Right To Talk over a mobile is more important than the ability to find food, but that won't last long. Starving people like to find food a whole lot more than they like to compare notes to their neighbours or send them irrelevant text messages.
And that's without people doing the usual human thing of "scavenging". If a mobile base-station is working, then it'll be pretty easy to find that out - and it would make a tempting target, Post Peak Oil, for those who want the bits they cannot buy any more.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')ts the Escalades, Navigators, H2s, sportfishing boats, motor homes, and private planes that will go.
A WHOLE lot more than that.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e'll have an electrical grid. The cost of the power will be so frickin' high that we'll actually turn off lights when we don't need them, and learn to live again without the A/C running 24/7, but the power will be there if we choose to pay for it.
Kiss off the backyard spas, but we'll still be yapping away on those little low-voltage phones.
Hell, in the not-too-distant future we'll probably have internal nanophones implanted that'll run off the electricity in our bodies. We'll whisper some code that will activate it, and operate it by voice command after that.