by careinke » Sat 11 Mar 2023, 19:00:49
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'T')he real question is whether the failure of SVB is just another step on the road to another bank crisis.
It feels like 2008 all over again for the banks, only this time it will be on steroids.
97% of money held by SVB is NOT insured by the FDIC. The FED are probably trying to find a buyer before Mondays Open. Most of the money held by SVB are start up companies, for things like Payrolls and other banking services. Maybe JP Morgan picks this one up?
As the second largest bank failure in U.S. history, the odds are pretty high this will increase contagion to other banks. Real estate prices are also falling in large areas of the U.S. and buyers are scoffing at high interest rates.
SVB's failure has also had an affect on the cryptocurrency markets, causing the depegging of USDC and USDT from the USD. Primarily because SVB held a lot of US dollars to back up these stable coins at 100% of US dollars or bonds. Now that money can not be accessed to back up the stable coins. At one point today USDC was at $.94 and USDT was $.96, this has never happened before. As I write this it appears USDT has recovered to $1.00 but USDC is still depegged at$.955.
Not surprisingly, Bitcoin has risen in price since the announcement of SVB's failure. There are several reasons for this, my favorite is Bitcoin was developed in response to the 2008 bank failures. It was designed to give the holder of Bitcoin ownership of the currency without the use of intermediaries like banks. So far, it seems to hold up. This coming financial recession/depression will be a good test.
Another reason for BTC not dropping, is people using Decentralized Exchanges do not use USD because they are decentralized, unlike traditional exchanges. Instead, they use stable coins. So if you want to dump your stable coins on a decentralized exchange and can't buy dollars, the best option is to convert it to Bitcoin.
I have some Limit Buys set up on BTC for $19,000.00 and $18,450.00, I wonder if they will ever be filled.
Peace