$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Wrestling With a Lack of Liquidity
Saxo Bank / Daily Forex Fundamentals / May 18, 2011
The Chinese slow-down factor
The key conclusion from my Asian visit last week was that Asia has reached peak growth. This entails refocusing on social dimensions and a wish to engineer a soft-landing. I’m confident that China will avoid a hard landing but more skeptical than consensus on how China will fair in terms of growth in the second half of 2011 and in 2012. Inflation will continue higher, precisely because China is currently witnessing peak growth and hence production capacity levels are at extremes where the pool of cheap labour has almost been exhausted and electricity and energy resources overall are at a maximum price level.






Seriously, though Asg, do you buy into PO at all? The Export land model? Or do you just think the repurcussions will take decades to manifest? If so it begs the question why do you chose to frequent PO.COM?