by Niagara » Thu 28 Sep 2006, 12:42:50
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Colorado-Valley', 'S')o Niagra ... Are stocks high or low right now?

That's a great question. I wish I had a crystal ball. High and low are relative terms. Your time frame is also important.
Short term: I think the markets are a bit overbought right now, I think election season is a factor. I would expect a correction soon. I'm short QQQQ.
Medium term: I think a recession is coming because of the housing bubble which will lead to an exit from equituies.
Long term: We have the peakoil effect. Enough said.
Therefore, I'm bearish on all time horizons. However my trading strategy doesn't depend so much on the ability to predict the market. I derive most of my gains from the time portion of the option premiums I sell. That's what I'm mainly interested in.
My strategy is working for me. For example, I own 8000 shares of
Ballard - BLDP free; paid for with call premiums over the past 2 years.
I'm also short QQQQ and GM. In my RRSP (equivalent to a US 401k) , which doesn't allow shorting, I am long gold and
Baytex a Canadian energy play
We all have our own pet theories and strategies. Writing options is my "thing" and I'm sticking to it
