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ANZAC economies both post warnings

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ANZAC economies both post warnings

Unread postby rogerhb » Sun 16 Oct 2005, 16:07:22

First from Australia, 27th of September

RBA warns of 'meltdown'

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NEWS.com.au', 'F')URTHER rises in oil prices, the collapse of a major bank or an unexpected jump in inflation could be all it takes to send the increasingly fragile global financial system into meltdown.

The Reserve Bank of Australia warned yesterday that the current calm in financial markets could be the prelude to a storm that could wreak havoc in the world economy.
The RBA believes the boom in markets for shares, bonds and housing in many countries is unsustainable.

The warning came as share prices in Australia reached a new high point, while a rush to invest in Australian bonds is pushing down long-term interest rates.


Second from New Zealand, 14th October

Imbalances in the New Zealand economy - Speech

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('scoop.co.nz', 'I')n a speech to the New Zealand Credit and Finance Institute today, Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard said very strong household spending was a common factor in the widening current account deficit and the inflationary pressures facing the New Zealand economy.

Dr Bollard said the Bank's task of maintaining inflation within the 1 to 3 per cent target band on average over the medium term was particularly challenging because of household spending, oil price rises, and the prospect of a more expansionary fiscal policy.

While these factors were adding to inflationary pressures, the current account deficit had also widened as a result of strong domestic demand and the high level of spending on imports that was resulting from the strong exchange rate.


Now these are two different countries, but both reserve bankers are tying to warn us.
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Re: ANZAC economies both post warnings

Unread postby Macsporan » Sun 16 Oct 2005, 20:12:08

First straws in a storm...laisezz-faire capitalism: so much fun it hurts.
Last edited by Macsporan on Sun 16 Oct 2005, 21:01:44, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ANZAC economies both post warnings

Unread postby rogerhb » Sun 16 Oct 2005, 20:18:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', 'F')irst straws in a storm.


Or was it a camel in every port? Dominion Post had a headline today Kyoto compliance will kill economic growth. Damned if you do, damned if you don't. Time to tighten the belt.
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Re: ANZAC economies both post warnings

Unread postby Macsporan » Sun 16 Oct 2005, 21:04:37

At long last it's closing time in the Gardens of the West...

...while the renovations are completed.
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Re: ANZAC economies both post warnings

Unread postby skiwi » Sun 16 Oct 2005, 21:53:28

[url=http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/story.cfm?c_id=3&ObjectID=10350655]Australia says pricey oil is a major global risk
[/url]

High, volatile oil prices are a major risk to the world economy, Australia's treasurer said yesterday, announcing a plan by the G20 group of developed and developing countries to tackle the issue of resource security.

Demand for resources from rising economic powers and their desire for secure supply would become a key issue, Peter Costello said after a meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors near Beijing.

"A major risk that the ministers and governors saw to the world economy came from lasting high and volatile oil prices," Costello told a closing news conference....

[url=http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/story.cfm?c_id=3&ObjectID=10350694]House prices stall in September
[/url]
New Zealand house prices stalled in September, with no change to the national median of $290,000, Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ) figures out today show.

Sales were healthy, however, with 9186 houses sold by institute members during the month, compared with 8537 in August -- indicating there is still strong confidence in the market, despite economists' predictions of an impending slow down.

House prices were 16 per cent higher than in September 2004.
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Re: ANZAC economies both post warnings

Unread postby MicroHydro » Sun 16 Oct 2005, 23:16:29

NZ housing prices will fall 50% in real terms within the next 5 years. How much will be nominal decline, and how much will be due to inflation is unknown. But it will happen.

When one can rent a 4 beadroom home in a good neighborhood for $400 a week, but the mortgage payments on same home are $1000 a week, something is deeply wrong. There is only one way to resolve this.
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