by Grimnir » Sat 09 Jul 2005, 15:23:30
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'I') don't think the notion of exponential growth is properly applied to ecosystems. There are muture and immature systems, but life as a whole does not grow exponentially for billions of years, its impossible.
Well I'm not saying that if you came up with a way to quantify and measure the complexity of an ecosystem and plotted it over time you'd get a perfect exponential curve, but there have certainly been sustained periods of exponential growth and the overall picture is certainly one of accelerating complexity. Imagine that the history of life on Earth were compressed into a single year:
-The first, simple cells appear near the beginning of January. Until late August, this is all there is.
-In late August, you begin to see some simple worms.
-In the middle of November, molluscs, coral, and proto-fish appear.
-3rd week in November: Plants colonize the land.
-4th week in November: Bony fish proliferate. The first amphibians walk on land.
-1st week in December: The first forests forms, inhabited by insects and reptiles.
-December 8: Dinosaurs and other large reptiles dominate.
-December 12: Small mammals appear.
-December 17: The first beaked-birds and flowering plants.
-December 24: Dinosaurs and other giant reptiles disappear.
-December 30: Mammals proliferate.
-December 31st, just before midnight: The fist humans.
And all the human-induced growth has occurred in the last seconds before midnight. Sounds like a story of exponential growth to me.