Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

THE Private transportation after PO Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

How to eliminate the private automobile

Poll ended at Wed 23 Nov 2005, 12:44:14

Better public transit! That will draw people out of their cars.
8
No votes
The humble bicycle -- the most efficient way to get around.
5
No votes
A new technology that hasn't been invented yet.
1
No votes
Market forces will take care of it.
4
No votes
Better urban planning and tax penalties/incentives.
12
No votes
We should not eliminate the private automobile. Cars are good.
7
No votes
 
Total votes : 37

THE Private transportation after PO Thread (merged)

Unread postby heyhoser » Thu 05 May 2005, 09:45:10

Just curious what everybody thinks. Transportation is going to be hit the hardest with PO, so how will we deal with the transition? Did I miss something?

What is the future of private transportation?--Poll ended at 04 Jun 2005, 07:45
Oil/gasoline will never peak, hence, nothing will change. 1 1%
Fuel-efficient vehicles will swiftly replace the millions of vehicles currenlty in use. And we won't be raped! 6 4%
Fuel-efficient vehicles will swiftly replace the millions of vehicles currenlty in use. Invest in steel and sell your children into slavery to afford them. 17 11%
Other forms of gasoline will be used in the same combustible engines we have now. 11 7%
We're screwed. Buy a bicycle and stock a bunker, because the economy will crash. 86 58%
Red. NO, BLUE! AAAAGGGHHHH!!!! 8 5%
The creator of this poll is obviously ignorant of the many viable forms of alternatives available to the public at no great cost. He should be shot. 20 13%
Total votes : 149
heyhoser
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 223
Joined: Sun 17 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Czech Republic

Unread postby Ebyss » Thu 05 May 2005, 09:51:28

Yes! Greenhouses! :-D


To be honest I think it'll be a combination of a few of your options. Bikes, alternative fuels, new "hybrid" cars for those who can afford them...
We've tried nothin' and we're all out of ideas.

I am only one. I can only do what one can do. But what one can do, I will do. -- John Seymour.
User avatar
Ebyss
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 834
Joined: Sun 20 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Ireland

Unread postby Doly » Thu 05 May 2005, 09:56:23

In the short term, fuel-efficient vehicles and public transport.

In the longer term, some form or another of alternative fuel in far more efficient vehicles, bikes, railway, dirigibles and ships.
User avatar
Doly
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 4370
Joined: Fri 03 Dec 2004, 04:00:00

Re: What happens to private transportation?

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 05 May 2005, 10:11:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('heyhoser', 'J')ust curious what everybody thinks. Transportation is going to be hit the hardest with PO, so how will we deal with the transition?

Did I miss something?


Yes, you missed the obvious. Watch the End of Suburbia sometime, or again if have already. Our entire transportation industry and infrastructure was built upon a temporary supply of cheap, readily available fossil fuels, primarily oil. It is not permanent. There is no replacement for oil. Anyone who disagrees should do a bit more research on EROEI and energy density comparisons with gasoline vs alternatives. For example: a gallon of gas is equal to a ton of batteries. Any effort to keep our transportation system intact will spell an even greater disaster down the road.

We will be forced to decentralize our energy use and production. We will be forced to downscale and localize all activities.

But in the short term, we will try to maintain the status quo until we are forced to accept reality. Ultimately, by default, private transportation in the future will be almost non-existent, except for trade and emergency vehicles and ranks of the very privileged.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO

Unread postby RonMN » Thu 05 May 2005, 10:22:01

Horses! :)
User avatar
RonMN
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2628
Joined: Fri 18 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Minnesota

Re: What happens to private transportation?

Unread postby Permanently_Baffled » Thu 05 May 2005, 10:24:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')We will be forced to decentralize our energy use and production. We will be forced to downscale and localize all activities.


I agree with you monte. How local do you think production will have to be ? ie will production be localised to individual states, countries or continents?

Just interested in your thoughts.

PB
User avatar
Permanently_Baffled
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1151
Joined: Thu 12 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: England

Re: What happens to private transportation?

Unread postby heyhoser » Thu 05 May 2005, 10:45:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')But in the short term, we will try to maintain the status quo until we are forced to accept reality.


Just making the outcome worse and worse, huh? :cry:
heyhoser
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 223
Joined: Sun 17 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Czech Republic

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 05 May 2005, 11:49:45

I agree with Ron. The wealthy will have horses, the poor will walk.
User avatar
Leanan
News Editor
News Editor
 
Posts: 4582
Joined: Thu 20 May 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby 0mar » Thu 05 May 2005, 12:09:54

we already have the best transportation vehicle ever. The bicycle. You can get some goddamn decent range on that thing in a relatively short amount of time. If we were really smart, we'd subsidize public transportation, switch as much of that to biodiesals as soon as possible and tax the fuck outta personal transportation. Of course that'll never happen.
Joseph Stalin
"It is enough that the people know there was an election. The people who cast the votes decide nothing. The people who count the votes decide everything. "
User avatar
0mar
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1499
Joined: Tue 12 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Davis, California

Unread postby NeoPeasant » Thu 05 May 2005, 12:12:15

We will improvise with what we have, like Cuba did.
NeoPeasant
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1003
Joined: Tue 12 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 05 May 2005, 13:13:41

I wonder if even bicycles are sustainable, though? They're made out of high-tech materials like steel and fiberglas, rubber and aluminum. They need petroleum-based lubricants. And they do best on artificially smooth surfaces, like roads and sidewalks.

I'm currently reading the Greer article archived on Heinberg's site. He points out that when societies collapse, they tend to crash down a lot further than they started from.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n many regions, furthermore, the sociopolitical complexity remaining after the empire's final disintegration was far below the level that had existed in the same area prior to its inclusion in the Imperial system. Thus Britain in the late pre-Roman Iron Age, for example, had achieved a stable and flourishing agricultural society with nascent urban centers and international trade connections, while the same area remained depopulated, impoverished, and politically chaotic for centuries following the collapse of imperial authority.


Bicycles might in the "in" thing for awhile, but I suspect in the end, they will go the way of the SUV.
User avatar
Leanan
News Editor
News Editor
 
Posts: 4582
Joined: Thu 20 May 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby NeoPeasant » Thu 05 May 2005, 13:23:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'I') wonder if even bicycles are sustainable, though? They're made out of high-tech materials like steel and fiberglas, rubber and aluminum. They need petroleum-based lubricants. And they do best on artificially smooth surfaces, like roads and sidewalks.

I'm currently reading the Greer article archived on Heinberg's site. He points out that when societies collapse, they tend to crash down a lot further than they started from.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n many regions, furthermore, the sociopolitical complexity remaining after the empire's final disintegration was far below the level that had existed in the same area prior to its inclusion in the Imperial system. Thus Britain in the late pre-Roman Iron Age, for example, had achieved a stable and flourishing agricultural society with nascent urban centers and international trade connections, while the same area remained depopulated, impoverished, and politically chaotic for centuries following the collapse of imperial authority.


Bicycles might in the "in" thing for awhile, but I suspect in the end, they will go the way of the SUV.


We will not see the demise of bicycles in our lifetime. The need for bicycles will be great and their resource requirements will be small. It may become energetically a losing cause to extract oil as a fuel source, but enough of it will always be produced for the modest requirements of things like bicycles.
NeoPeasant
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1003
Joined: Tue 12 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 05 May 2005, 13:31:46

I don't think the resource requirements for bikes are as small as you think. They aren't made from renewable resources. Could you make a bike frame? A bicycle tire? A bike chain? And is it really so much superior to a horse or donkey that it's worth the effort and expense it would take to maintain the technology?
User avatar
Leanan
News Editor
News Editor
 
Posts: 4582
Joined: Thu 20 May 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby Ludi » Thu 05 May 2005, 13:40:35

I believe the first bicycles were made from wood, with thin wooden tires. Some people make bicycles from bamboo now, which makes them light and strong. Tires can be made from rubber which can be made from a variety of plant latexes, not just from the rubber tree.
Ludi
 

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 05 May 2005, 13:54:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') believe the first bicycles were made from wood, with thin wooden tires.


Yeah, but it was basically a toy. No pedals - you just pushed with your feet, like a Flintstones car.

Jared Diamond covers wheel technology in Guns, Germs, and Steel. Why was the wheel only a toy in the New World, until Europeans arrived? He argues that the wheel really isn't much use without draft animals. And the New World didn't have any domesticable animals large enough to pull a plough, until Europeans brought horses and cattle over.
User avatar
Leanan
News Editor
News Editor
 
Posts: 4582
Joined: Thu 20 May 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Unread postby jato » Thu 05 May 2005, 17:04:17

Should I decorate my bunker with Olive Drab or Digital camouflage curtains? :-D
jato
 

Unread postby BiGG » Thu 05 May 2005, 17:23:45

Why am I thinking all the “We’re Screwed” people are already screwed peak or no peak?

They kinda remind me of the classic doomsayer horseless carriage crowd who can’t see the viable alternatives right in front of their eyes.
User avatar
BiGG
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 800
Joined: Mon 28 Mar 2005, 04:00:00

Unread postby NevadaGhosts » Thu 05 May 2005, 17:28:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BiGG', 'W')hy am I thinking all the “We’re Screwed” people are already screwed peak or no peak?

They kinda remind me of the classic doomsayer horseless carriage crowd who can’t see the viable alternatives right in front of their eyes.


There is no 'viable' alternative to cheap and abundant oil.
NevadaGhosts
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 703
Joined: Fri 20 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Unread postby BiGG » Thu 05 May 2005, 17:40:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NevadaGhosts', '
')There is no 'viable' alternative to cheap and abundant oil.


I think you have been spending to much time listening to doomers and not paying attention to the threads here like in Energy Technology where you can read all about the new era that’s replacing antiquated oil.
User avatar
BiGG
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 800
Joined: Mon 28 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Top

Unread postby Grimnir » Thu 05 May 2005, 17:53:03

No, a society that gets around on mountainbikes is not infinitely sustainable. Nothing is. But bikes can last a lot longer than cars. I think we'll be able to continue making and maintaining bikes for a long time, even if it isn't forever. It would take quite a while just to wear out the ones that are already out there.
Grimnir
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 851
Joined: Mon 04 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: USA

Next

Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron