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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

'Optimism Is Cowardice.'

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Unread postby Jack » Mon 16 May 2005, 22:24:04

Excellent post! Not only have they made it worse, they are guaranteeing that the overshoot of population will be worse - and hence, the dieoff will be greater.
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Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Mon 16 May 2005, 23:16:50

"There is hope, but not for us." Franz Kafka
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Unread postby mgibbons19 » Mon 16 May 2005, 23:17:00

It is important to remember that the folks here, though they differ, are the good guys. Most are here because they see a problem. Many of those who see conservation as necessary are already driving smaller cars. Many of those who think safety is out in them thar hills have already moved and are trying to build lives. Many of those that have suggested it is a financial problem have paid their debts and stocked up on gold.

Beware of most people statements. They overemphasize near boudaries.

For instance. Many punkers will go apeshit over who is and is not a real punker. They will split endless cvnt hairs over who counts and who is a poser. So ppl that look and act completely identically to everyone in the outside world can't stand each other. One's softcore and the other's hardcore, but by fractions of degrees. Meanwhile the obvious difference from suburban republicans isn't noted.

There may be a similar dynamic here. The doomers and the cornucopians are busy killing each other over which car somebody drives, or whether their place in the hills has enough axes to last until the next bronze age, or whether greenhouse chimneys and mirrors on the moon will save us. Meanwhile, the other 99.8% of carries on through their lives utterly clueless to the little battles here.

So, remember the fight is on the outside. The people here are here because they are concerned, even if they don't agree. They are trying. These people really aren't the problem.

This is Mike, playing the moderating role of the pragmatic xer in the teeth of the oncoming 4T gale. Ideals be damned, how do we get this thing done?
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Unread postby Hawkcreek » Mon 16 May 2005, 23:22:52

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"It don't make no sense that common sense don't make no sense no more"
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Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Mon 16 May 2005, 23:52:25

I'm always a pessemist. The beauty of being a pessemist is that you get to be pleasantly surprised. If you're an optimist, things always turn out worse than you expected.

Actually, I guess really my approach is what the end of life docs refer to as "Prepare for the worst. Hope for the best."
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Unread postby savethehumans » Tue 17 May 2005, 00:11:50

I recently came upon a quote from none other than Patrick Henry (of American Revolution fame--the "give me liberty or give me death" guy):

Whatever anguish of spirit it may cost, I am willing to know the whole truth; to know the worst and provide for it.

If that's "pessimism," I'm a lifelong pessimist!
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Unread postby Hawkcreek » Tue 17 May 2005, 00:29:19

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Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Tue 17 May 2005, 00:31:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hawkcreek', 'W')ell, I'm going to remain an optimist. Unless things get so bad that I have to eat my dog - and my truck breaks down - and my woman gets killed by the train - and the goddamn feds break up my still.
Even then, I will probably find something about life to enjoy - maybe just fixin my truck.


If that happens, you should write a country song about it. It'll go platinum. :-D
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Unread postby Hawkcreek » Tue 17 May 2005, 00:36:44

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Unread postby Colorado-Valley » Tue 17 May 2005, 00:48:45

Put me in the optimist camp ...

If we have a big enough die-off, the world may have a chance to repair itself and life can go on with significantly fewer human beings!

You just have to see things in their proper context .:)
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Unread postby venky » Tue 17 May 2005, 02:12:27

The poster brings up an interesting issue, if peak oil turns out as I expect; that is economic disruption, stagflation, possibility of wars etc, the question will definitely will be asked how could mankind allow such a catastrophe to creep up on it without any warning?

There is no answer. After all, the facts have been on the table for decades. Hubbert made his prediction almost 50 years ago, he was proved right in 71, since then we have seen so many countries peak one after and another, the 70's were an ample warning of how vulnerable our societies were to disruption to the steady flow of oil.

The people in charge, the politicians, chief economists, even leading scientists and engineers have all but ignored the issue and have chosen to believe the unrealistic predictions of the cornucopians which assure us that we will have oil forever. Our leaders have a responsibility to us which in this case they have miserably failed with perhaps fatal consequences. Thinking of this does sometimes fill me with anger.
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Unread postby Raxozanne » Tue 17 May 2005, 03:39:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Colorado-Valley', 'P')ut me in the optimist camp ...

If we have a big enough die-off, the world may have a chance to repair itself and life can go on with significantly fewer human beings!

You just have to see things in their proper context .:)



And tell me would humanity do anything different in the future? Will they learn from the past about entrophy and the resource base?

If there is a huge die-off then I am sure the survivors will establish themselves and in time multiply until they are pushing at the boundaries of their resource base and then ultimately they will go through another die-off or civilisation collapse when there are too many individuals competing for too few resources.

I don't think we will ever get a human civilisation to say 'oh maybe we will just have two children each and if the pop. reaches a certain level we will reduce that to 1 child until it falls again. NO you will never see this.

Humans will always multiply until resource contraints dictate they can multiply no more. This has been going on for centuries in Ethiopia and every year there are thousands of casualties but they never learn.
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Unread postby JohnDenver » Tue 17 May 2005, 04:07:59

Nice try, Kochevnik, but when we're halfway up the mountain, the coward is the little weenie-boy saying "we'll never make it, we have to turn back." Screw the "limits".
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Unread postby Agren » Tue 17 May 2005, 04:36:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ice try, Kochevnik, but when we're halfway up the mountain, the coward is the little weenie-boy saying "we'll never make it, we have to turn back." Screw the "limits".

Not exactly a good analogy, is it? As everyone who has climbed Everest (not that I have) knows, even if you can see the peak, even if it's only 100 meters left, if the weather changes or something happen you turn back. You turn back and try again another time.
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Unread postby erl » Thu 19 May 2005, 12:25:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', 'I')'m always a pessemist. The beauty of being a pessemist is that you get to be pleasantly surprised. If you're an optimist, things always turn out worse than you expected.

Actually, I guess really my approach is what the end of life docs refer to as "Prepare for the worst. Hope for the best."


Actually, I agree with you. I have always been a pessimist.

I try to be an optimist, it just doesn't work for me.

Unfortunate, too. All the studies I have ever read on the subject say optimists tend to live longer and with fewer health problems. Something like on the order of ten years.

Of course, that may change if the really bad stuff happens and the optimists are unprepared.

That could really skew the statistics.

Oh, my.
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Unread postby RIPSmithianEconomics » Fri 20 May 2005, 06:08:51

It's ironic that pessimism often inspires one to work harder at things. There is a difference between pessimism and despair- despair precipitates non-action, pessimism results in action that an optimist would not take out of hope.

I don't know how anyone could have a first hand look at British agriculture and not be a pessimist. It's become a losing battle over the last five years, and until imports become more expensive that home grown produce it will continue to be almost impossible to make a living at. You can bet that, by then, people will regret not keeping British farming afloat. :cry:
There'll be war, there'll be peace
But one day all things shall cease
All the iron turned to rust
All the proud men turned to dust
So all things time will mend
So this song will end
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Re: 'Optimism Is Cowardice.'

Unread postby BiGG » Fri 20 May 2005, 19:05:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kochevnik', '
')
The optimists lied to us, and most believed them. They ridiculed the intelligent, libelled the courageous and defamed the honest. They crucified (and continue to crucify) those who could have saved us from their lies and falsehoods.

Will they ever pay for what they did ?

No, they won't.

But you will.


They? You mean you also correct? Don’t even tell me you are typing from an Amish community and never participated in your fair share of consumption. We took cheap oil and built a world unthinkable just a few decades ago including a world that will not be using much oil in a few years.

Stop the doom & gloom and look around, we do have an unlimited supply of energy called Solar, Wind, Hydrogen, Methane, BioMass & Waste, Nuclear, Natural Gas made from Bio etc. and its being put in place long before you have to worry about oil.
"The Stone Age did not end for lack of stone, and the Oil Age will end long before the world runs out of oil" ............ Former Saudi Arabian oil minister Sheikh Zaki Yamani,
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Unread postby TheTurtle » Fri 20 May 2005, 19:27:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hawkcreek', ' ') I get so tired of listening to all the sad jokers who insist that everyone else is going to die, and they are the only ones who have the tremendous mental and physical fortitude to stand even a chance of weathering the storm.


Only a fool thinks that die-off is inevitable, but doesn't also recognize that she or he could easily be part of that die-off.

But knowing that doesn't mean one should just lie down and accept that one WILL be part of the die-off. One should always strive to do whatever one thinks will best increase their chances of being among the small percentage that survives die-off.

In the end, though, we all die. It is a necessary part of the cycle of life. And when that time comes, when death walks up and taps you on the shoulder, THAT is the time to accept it graciously.
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Unread postby Hawkcreek » Fri 20 May 2005, 20:25:57

--
Last edited by Hawkcreek on Sun 16 Sep 2007, 21:11:31, edited 1 time in total.
"It don't make no sense that common sense don't make no sense no more"
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Unread postby TheTurtle » Fri 20 May 2005, 21:52:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hawkcreek', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut knowing that doesn't mean one should just lie down and accept that one WILL be part of the die-off. One should always strive to do whatever one thinks will best increase their chances of being among the small percentage that survives die-off.

Unless you are a pessimist, in which case you think you stand no chance anyway, so why try. I know I will die someday, but I will continue to prepare in the best way possible, so as to make today, not the day.


So am I an optimist who thinks die-off is inevitable or a pessimist who thinks he should still try to prepare just in case he's not part of the die-off? :?
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