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Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

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Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby Sixstrings » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 08:54:48

In another thread, I got talking about robots and someone said I sound "cornucopian." I was really just thinking about the future economic impact of robotics, but I detected a general hostility to technology in the replies. That got me thinking.. is the peak oil community so attached to a particular vision of decline that they've actually become totally anti-technology? For me, I do realize that industrial technology is making the planet uninhabitable. But I can't help it, I still love tech and find it fascinating.

So, are you anti-tech? Does technological innovation not even interest you anymore? How about cool gadgets and stuff, is it all just a part of an immoral system that's destroying the planet and leading us to extinction?
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby mos6507 » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 09:05:36

I think you already know the answer to that.

A significant chunk of the doomer pie chart are anarcho-primitives. Hypocritical web-browsing, gadget-toting, anarcho-primitives, but anarcho-primitives nonetheless.

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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby dinopello » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 09:15:18

As an engineer, I can't afford to be a "Technophobe". I do think we need to evaluate what a particular technology does for us and to us beyond the narrow construct it was developed for. I think technology is OK if it frees us up for higher pursuits. Like if I had a cart with wheels I could get my water hauled up from the river more quickly so I can spend more time making music with the other villagers.

If the technology squashes culture or we become a slave to the technology, that is not a good thing IMO.
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby Sixstrings » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 09:23:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', 'A')s an engineer, I can't afford to be a "Technophobe". I do think we need to evaluate what a particular technology does for us and to us beyond the narrow construct it was developed for. I think technology is OK if it frees us up for higher pursuits. Like if I had a cart with wheels I could get my water hauled up from the river more quickly so I can spend more time making music with the other villagers.

If the technology squashes culture or we become a slave to the technology, that is not a good thing IMO.


Good points, and more importantly you remind me that we can NEVER get away from technology -- because even a cart with wheels is technology. A plow and horse with harness is technology. A Stone Age flint is technology. Fire is technology.

Without technology, we wouldn't be humans.
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby lowem » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 10:30:55

I'm no technophobe. That would be against the greek credo or something :)

I've also always maintained that geek types or putting it more nicely, IT & engineering types, "get" peak oil fast. But what we do after "getting" it, well that depends on the individual.
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby AgentR » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 10:55:11

"Whom do you serve?"

I think technology people "get" peak oil quickly because they are aware of the systems that are mostly hidden, out of sight, out of mind, from the public. Their response to it is a simple pair of curves, available energy vs time, and ability to do more with less power vs time. If they believe in their gut that the ability to do more work with less energy will exceed the decline in availabilty, they'll bet long, "we'll beat it" notion. If they believe in their gut that a point comes where availability solidly overwhelms more-with-less; then there is no saving to be done; our technological world is ***********; whether there is a bottom out point where stripped of high tech fun, humans are able to sustain themselves agriculturally without powered technology, is a question that remains to be tested.
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 16:18:45

As Sixstrings alludes, humans have been using technology at least since we were Homo habilis.

I'm not against being human, by any stretch. I enjoy things like hammers, computers, the printing press, the sewing machine, etc.

Not all technology is equally enjoyable, though. I'm not convinced it's a bad idea to be afraid of some of it.
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 18:34:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'I')n another thread, I got talking about robots and someone said I sound "cornucopian." I was really just thinking about the future economic impact of robotics, but I detected a general hostility to technology in the replies. That got me thinking.. is the peak oil community so attached to a particular vision of decline that they've actually become totally anti-technology? For me, I do realize that industrial technology is making the planet uninhabitable. But I can't help it, I still love tech and find it fascinating.

So, are you anti-tech? Does technological innovation not even interest you anymore? How about cool gadgets and stuff, is it all just a part of an immoral system that's destroying the planet and leading us to extinction?

As Mos pointed out the pseudo technophobes on this web site use technology to complain bitterly about how technology is destroying everything they value. Reality is most human beings are very lazy thinkers, they never want to look too close at the roots of their complaints because if they see a solution they would have to do something about achieving it, or admit to themselves they are hypocrites.

Some of them read one doomer book some time or other, decided it was the gospel, and now spend all their spare time promoting doom as they believe it. No matter what facts you bring to their attention they have already reached their conclusion and refuse to observe what you point out to them as real.

Some go so far as to claim that things which are being done every day are impossible and therefore are not happening, which is something I personally find bizarre. It is like standing next to someone (cornucopian) in a thunderstorm while they insist it is sunny and 85 degrees F out. Or vice verse for the doomers. The old saying that there are none so blind as those who refuse to see could not fit these individuals any better IMO if it had been first said after reading this website.

Technology just means tools we can use, they are neither good nor evil. It is how we make use of them that matters, not the tools themselves. I highly doubt technology can bring back cheap oil and keep us growing BAU for very long even in the best case scenario. I freely admit I could be wrong, but the weight of history, mathematics and physics are on my team when I say it. By the same token I doubt we will collapse instantly and totally from Peak Oil and be chasing one another around with clubs made from broken tree branches and dragging our mates around by the hair to our caves. I could be wrong about that one too lol, but again history is on my side.
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 18:49:45

Are there actually any "anti-technology" threads? I know we have a lot of threads advocating various technologies, but are there any threads started by technophobes saying we should get rid of technology? Cuz I don't remember any. I probably would have made fun of them if they existed....But I also have a very poor memory.
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby pablonite » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 20:43:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'S')o, are you anti-tech? Does technological innovation not even interest you anymore? How about cool gadgets and stuff, is it all just a part of an immoral system that's destroying the planet and leading us to extinction?

In a nutshell, yes.

To define it more precisely I oppose technocracy and the technocrats.

Noun 1. technocrat - an expert who is a member of a highly skilled elite group
elite, elite group - a group or class of persons enjoying superior intellectual or social or economic status
expert - a person with special knowledge or ability who performs skillfully
2. technocrat - an advocate of technocracy
pol, political leader, politico, politician - a person active in party politics

The ongoing development of technology is an inherent skill in human beings, too bad we have removed the higher law of nature from all considerations in the development and application of technology. Not only that but it should be quite obvious so much technology is now being used by the state directly against the individual. I sure hope I don't need to cite any examples!

"Luddites" were not scared of the new loom technology, they were scared about how it was being used in a very political manner and not necessarily for the benefit of all as all new technology is heralded in. Of course, we never learn from history either :lol:

http://www.jbs.org/jbs-news-feed/5906-t ... n-currency
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he idea of a global currency has been kicking around for several years now, most visibly in last year’s G20 meeting in Pittsburgh — a clear sign that the march toward world government, also known as the “new world order,” is very much on track. A new investigation suggests that the global currency won’t be just another euro — a globalized fiat money. Instead, it will be based on carbon, and this will bring it into alignment with a variety of concerns, including fossil fuels depletion (also known as "peak oil") and anthropogenic climate change (ACC), as well as the belief among the new world orderlies that populations need to be monitored and controlled...
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby Sixstrings » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 20:46:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'A')re there actually any "anti-technology" threads? I know we have a lot of threads advocating various technologies, but are there any threads started by technophobes saying we should get rid of technology? Cuz I don't remember any. I probably would have made fun of them if they existed....But I also have a very poor memory.


Not per se, maybe I'm just overly sensitive. From the other thread.. I try to bring up the economic impact of automation in general and future robotics in particular and everyone gets silly about it:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')udi wrote:
We don't need bees! Nanobots will fly around and do the pollinating!


Doesn't that reply suggest a contempt for technology, and a suggestion that talk of future tech is silly since the bees are dying and the world's gonna end anyway and all that?

And:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')bon wrote:
What we need is Nano Bot flies. You know those bot flies that lay their eggs in the epidermis of mammals like caribou, zebras and yes the greatest current excess of mammalian biomass on the planet....the Kudzu Ape!


The other replies are a picture of The Terminator and a link to a $7,000 sex robot.

My real point with all this is that maybe peakers are too quick to launch an anti-cornucopian "that's not sustainable cuz the bees are dying" attack whenever somebody brings up the subject of future tech. I've seen this in other threads, and I get the impression that people like it just fine that cornucopian ideas are all implausible cuz the oil is running out. I get the impression that some people are actually hostile to even the possibility that new tech will help the world continue some version of business as usual.

I'm a peaker, and agree on the flaws in the cornucopian ideas. But I'm not hostile to tech "saving the day." I wouldn't mock anyone who tries, we'll need smart people trying to find solutions. For a peaker to be hostile to tech is like a person with cancer who doesn't even want a cure, they just keep telling the doctors all the reasons why any treatment won't work and then they'd lecture the doctor on die-off and how it's not even worth it to try.

I think Doom is more likely than business as usual, but that doesn't mean I want to live in a "world made by hand." If I wanted that, I'd move to Ohio and join the Amish.
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 20:56:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'A')re there actually any "anti-technology" threads? I know we have a lot of threads advocating various technologies, but are there any threads started by technophobes saying we should get rid of technology? Cuz I don't remember any. I probably would have made fun of them if they existed....But I also have a very poor memory.


I can't say I have seen an entire thread dedicated to anti-technology Ludi, if you happen to find one please point it out. I have on the other hand seen a great many posts that were anti-technology but in a general sense and about specific technologies. I am referring to the ones that promote return to primitiveness as well as ones that are for example opposed to Orimulsion technology developed in Venezuela to make it economic to burn extra heavy Orinoco belt oil in regular equipment.
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 21:00:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
')Doesn't that reply suggest a contempt for technology, and a suggestion that talk of future tech is silly since the bees are dying and the world's gonna end anyway and all that?


Only to someone who is EXTREMELY over-sensitive to flippant remarks and reads way, way, way too much into a silly comment from someone who often makes flippant and silly comments.


C'mon. :roll:
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 21:03:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', ' ')I am referring to the ones that promote return to primitiveness



I haven't seen a whole lot of those. Maybe I'm not sure what you see as "primitiveness." Could you give some examples of these posts? I think you might be reading too much into what some folks say. But I could be wrong. :oops:
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby Loki » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 21:03:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'N')ot per se, maybe I'm just overly sensitive. From the other thread.. I try to bring up the economic impact of automation in general and future robotics in particular and everyone gets silly about it:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')udi wrote:
We don't need bees! Nanobots will fly around and do the pollinating!

...
The other replies are a picture of The Terminator and a link to a $7,000 sex robot.

Uh, those were jokes. I thought Ludi's nanobot bee comment was frickin' hilarious. No sense of humor? I've heard Steve Jobs is coming out with iHumor, so you can probably purchase it soon.

Nobody is being anti-technology here, we're simply dismissing some of the more fanciful imaginings of techno-utopians. I like Star Trek as much as the next geek, but I don't think it's a documentary of our future. I understand your original point, I just don't think it's exactly a pressing concern.

Orlov recently wrote about post-peak technology that's worth reading (he's an engineer, by the way).
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby mos6507 » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 22:56:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Loki', '
')Nobody is being anti-technology here


Well, most of them who did bash technology (or civilization as a whole, as those discussions invariably lead) took their case over here.
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby Sixstrings » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 23:00:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'L')udi, apparently if you are not waiting with baited breath for the next wonder-toy from Apple, and you do not fawn at the feet of that gaunt profit Steve Jobs, then you are a Luddite. At least among the etukated set :lol:


See, that's the general snarkiness about tech that I'm talking about. Iphones don't hurt anyone. A lot of tech does, of course. Like tasers.. they kill too many people, and police are way to eager to use them. Not to verge off topic, but that would be the best argument against tech, that the more advanced it gets the more detached people become from the consequences.

But even with that in mind, I don't see how some people can be so negative about every new gadget that comes along. How does it make sense to use a personal computer to make fun of Steve Jobs, of all people? He didn't invent the PC, but you can't deny he was a major player in getting that tech to where it is today.
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Re: Are Peak Oilers technophobes?

Unread postby pablonite » Tue 30 Mar 2010, 23:01:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'I')'m a peaker, and agree on the flaws in the cornucopian ideas. But I'm not hostile to tech "saving the day." I wouldn't mock anyone who tries, we'll need smart people trying to find solutions.


Hey, you got that right. So how come everywhere you look you just get conflict and "stupid" people? I recognize it as the Hegelian dialect now.

Could it be history unfolding? You know who else was a "peaker"?

http://www.jbs.org/jbs-news-feed/5908-t ... der-part-2

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')echnocracy enjoyed a period of popularity in the 1930s as a possible solution to the problems presented by the Great Depression. In 1933, Scott and an ambitious young geophysicist named M. King Hubbert (1903 – 1989) would form Technocracy, Inc. The two of them authored a major work entitled Technocracy Study Course published in 1934. This work became the bible of the movement.

Among their goals was to institute an economic system based on energy allocation instead of price. They proposed to replace money with energy credits. They saw themselves as opposed to every economic system in existence, capitalist or socialist, since each was based on a price system instead of an energy system. Each one — even socialism — involved buying and selling by individuals instead of centralized and monitored allocation of resources. The technocrats believed only the latter could eliminate poverty, for example, as well as ensure that resources are not wasted.

After World War II and the return of prosperity, interest in technocracy waned. Hubbert had earned a Ph.D. in geophysics in 1937, moved to Columbia University to teach the subject, and eventually developed the Hubbert Peak Theory, better known today as Peak Oil: the discovery of new reserves would eventually be outstripped by usage, causing massive increases in energy costs that would eventually destabilize all modern economies tied to fossil fuels...
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