[Carlhole]

Quantum computer closer: Optical transistor made from single molecule

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')iber optics are a typical example for the outstanding data transfer rates of light particles when compared to electrons; however, we still need to generate the necessary encoding of the information using electronically controlled switches, which acts as a bottleneck and slows down the process considerably.

But the research group from ETH Zurich has now achieved a decisive breakthrough by successfully creating an optical transistor with a single molecule, which could harness the full potential of quantum optics.

[cipi604]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'M')aybe science is closing in on quantum computing and it will be a reality soon. Wow, what a genie out the bottle that could be.

Just a few years ago, QC was considered way, way out there in Jetsonsville. Sure seems nearer now.

[Carlhole]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cipi604', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'M')aybe science is closing in on quantum computing and it will be a reality soon. Wow, what a genie out the bottle that could be.

Just a few years ago, QC was considered way, way out there in Jetsonsville. Sure seems nearer now.

[cipi604]

Maybe, maybe not, or both. qubits

[outcast]

A Yale group already made the first quantum processor in the world.

[Carlhole]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('outcast', 'A') Yale group already made the first quantum processor in the world.

[Novus]

The time frame I keep hearing from those in the industry is 2015 because that is when the limits to current technology will have been reached. We already hit the point of diminishing returns around 2005 when the chip designers realized they could not push a single processor faster than 4Ghz without advanced cooling.

The industry has gone forward by putting multiple processors on a single chip so a two core system running at 2.5Ghz was almost as good as 5Ghz single processor but not quite because there is some wasted computing in getting the two cores to work together as one. Now there are four core processors and even eight core processors on the market with designs for 16 cores coming sometime after 2010. The issue is there is a hard limit to multi core processors as well. Microsoft will not support anything more than 64 cores because the complexity of adding more cores would outweigh any benefits the extra cores would bring. So that is the hard limit and that may be reached by as soon as 2012 or 2013.

The industry is trying to push that limit further out by distributing processing power away from the CPU to other areas such as video cards. A modern video card is almost as powerful as the CPU with each card having two or four Graphics processors built into it. Recently they have added processors to the North bridge and South bridge controllers to speed along bottle necks. But all this complexity has limits. A high end system now is already up to 8 cores on the CPU and as high as 12 cores spread across three sli GPUs with additional cores on the bridge controllers. Each core they added brings less bang for the buck then the core that proceeded it. The limit when all tricks will have been exhausted to make the next fastest computer will come no later than 2015.

A computer built in 2020 or 2030 will be no faster than the ones built around 2015 unless their is a major breakthrough into new technology. In an industry that is built around consumers replacing their computers every 2 to 4 years this will be death blow similar to how peak oil will squeeze the oil industry. However unlike the oil industry's heel dragging and denial of peak oil the computer industry is fully aware of the peak computer problem and is focused billions in research at new breakthroughs such as quantum computing. The computer industry faced ruin before specifically over Y2K but through herculean efforts largely known to the public they averted catastrophe. I think their focused determination will solve the peak computer problem and bring quantum computing to market in less than ten years.

[Carlhole]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Novus', ' ')I think their focused determination will solve the peak computer problem and bring quantum computing to market in less than ten years.

[bratticus]

Yeah but...quibble link.

[outcast]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he industry has gone forward by putting multiple processors on a single chip so a two core system running at 2.5Ghz was almost as good as 5Ghz single processor but not quite because there is some wasted computing in getting the two cores to work together as one.

[Novus]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('outcast', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he industry has gone forward by putting multiple processors on a single chip so a two core system running at 2.5Ghz was almost as good as 5Ghz single processor but not quite because there is some wasted computing in getting the two cores to work together as one.

[bodigami]

optical octal Unix computing
'nuff said

[bodigami]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'T')he Computer Revolution was Googled and it is Over. Few people or businesses have more need for increased computer power. HD on-demand video is here now. The last significant improvement will be the fiber build out.

The consumer is just about done buying next year's model. What Novus says is only partially true. There will be no multicore extravaganzas.

Moore's-Law-Is-No-More

[Carlhole]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'T')he Computer Revolution was Googled and it is Over. Few people or businesses have more need for increased computer power. HD on-demand video is here now. The last significant improvement will be the fiber build out.

The consumer is just about done buying next year's model. What Novus says is only partially true. There will be no multicore extravaganzas.

Moore's-Law-Is-No-More

[bodigami]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Novus', 'T')he time frame I keep hearing from those in the industry is 2015 because that is when the limits to current technology will have been reached. We already hit the point of diminishing returns around 2005 when the chip designers realized they could not push a single processor faster than 4Ghz without advanced cooling.

The industry has gone forward by putting multiple processors on a single chip so a two core system running at 2.5Ghz was almost as good as 5Ghz single processor but not quite because there is some wasted computing in getting the two cores to work together as one. Now there are four core processors and even eight core processors on the market with designs for 16 cores coming sometime after 2010. The issue is there is a hard limit to multi core processors as well. Microsoft will not support anything more than 64 cores because the complexity of adding more cores would outweigh any benefits the extra cores would bring. So that is the hard limit and that may be reached by as soon as 2012 or 2013.

The industry is trying to push that limit further out by distributing processing power away from the CPU to other areas such as video cards. A modern video card is almost as powerful as the CPU with each card having two or four Graphics processors built into it. Recently they have added processors to the North bridge and South bridge controllers to speed along bottle necks. But all this complexity has limits. A high end system now is already up to 8 cores on the CPU and as high as 12 cores spread across three sli GPUs with additional cores on the bridge controllers. Each core they added brings less bang for the buck then the core that proceeded it. The limit when all tricks will have been exhausted to make the next fastest computer will come no later than 2015.

A computer built in 2020 or 2030 will be no faster than the ones built around 2015 unless their is a major breakthrough into new technology. In an industry that is built around consumers replacing their computers every 2 to 4 years this will be death blow similar to how peak oil will squeeze the oil industry. However unlike the oil industry's heel dragging and denial of peak oil the computer industry is fully aware of the peak computer problem and is focused billions in research at new breakthroughs such as quantum computing. The computer industry faced ruin before specifically over Y2K but through herculean efforts largely known to the public they averted catastrophe. I think their focused determination will solve the peak computer problem and bring quantum computing to market in less than ten years.

[bodigami]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'T')he Computer Revolution was Googled and it is Over. Few people or businesses have more need for increased computer power. HD on-demand video is here now. The last significant improvement will be the fiber build out.

The consumer is just about done buying next year's model. What Novus says is only partially true. There will be no multicore extravaganzas.

Moore's-Law-Is-No-More

[outcast]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'f')or the record, the Y2K bug is a window$ only bug...

[Carlhole]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'c')rap.

Moore's Law is over. We are stuck at around 4.0 and have been for several years.

nanotech lubricants. big deal.

biotech agriculture--bt corn and roundready soy. big deal.

neural networks

quantum computing

ultra capacitors

electric cars

manned mars flights,

mining the ocean floor.

Solar sails. ha ha ha.

Artificial Intelligence..I. ha ha ha ha ha ha ha

All are Popular Mechanics magazine sales promotions.

The best we can do is the iphone and Japan has been swimming in 3G toys for ever.crap.

space methane
cold fusion
sasquatch
abiotic oil
Quantum computing