by Kingcoal » Wed 04 Jun 2008, 11:46:14
I think it will play out like this: people will quit buying new cars because they are strapped. Driving a paid off car is much cheaper than buying a new one, even if the new one is better on gas. From what I see, most owners of big vehicles have loans on them. They will default on those loans, not able to pay for both the loan and gas at the same time. There will be record repos. These repo vehicles will sit on used car lots and very soon, the used car dealers won't want them from the banks. Once again, the banks will be stuck with a load of crap - assets which are declining drastically in value and deadbeats defaulting right and left. Banks will tighten their lending for auto loans, particularly big expensive vehicles.
Just another viscus cycle to add to the rest. Peak oil is so much fun, isn't it?
"That's the problem with mercy, kid... It just ain't professional" - Fast Eddie, The Color of Money