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Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

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Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Wed 28 May 2008, 12:34:02

...like a deer in the headlights.

We briefly discussed the price of gas, and the [much older than I] guy commented that gasoline should be coming back down, possibly to the $2 range, within a few months. I disagreed politely, and then he hit me with the one-two punch:

1. Why aren't we drilling the off limits areas of the U.S. and putting the Sauds out of business? "Bakken is huge, larger than SA"

2. Why haven't we built a refinery in 30 years?

Well, I was taken aback, and mentioned something refineries not getting built because there won't be a need for them; he looked on in disbelief, cursed something under his breath and walked away, quite miffed.

Thankfully, this is a huge office, but I wasn't prepared for this particular conversation, at least off-the-cuff this morning.

And, at no time did the words "peak oil" come out of my mouth.

Ugh.
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby BigTex » Wed 28 May 2008, 12:37:24

I thought you were going to say that someone showed you their biggins.

:lol:
:)
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Wed 28 May 2008, 12:40:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigTex', 'I') thought you were going to say that someone showed you their biggins.

:lol:


I wish. :-D
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby dunewalker » Wed 28 May 2008, 12:51:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emersonbiggins', '.')..like a deer in the headlights.
We briefly discussed the price of gas, and the [much older than I] guy commented that gasoline should be coming back down, possibly to the $2 range, within a few months. I disagreed politely, and then he hit me with the one-two punch:
1. Why aren't we drilling the off limits areas of the U.S. and putting the Sauds out of business? "Bakken is huge, larger than SA"
2. Why haven't we built a refinery in 30 years?
Well, I was taken aback, and mentioned something refineries not getting built because there won't be a need for them; he looked on in disbelief, cursed something under his breath and walked away, quite miffed.
Thankfully, this is a huge office, but I wasn't prepared for this particular conversation, at least off-the-cuff this morning.
And, at no time did the words "peak oil" come out of my mouth.
Ugh.

I know what you mean, emerson. Sometimes I get into a conversation like this. My tendency lately is to conclude that if someone is willing to suck up that Limbaugh crap, or wherever they got it, then it's unlikely that they will dump it in favor of what I say, let alone if someone like Matt Simmons says it. A clue as to their receptivity to my opinion is when it goes more like:" I heard on the radio, or read in the paper, that Bakken is huge, etc---what do you think?" This is a signal that they might possibly respect my opinion somewhat...
"Wilderness is another civilization apart from our own." - H.D. Thoreau
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Wed 28 May 2008, 13:05:26

That's true. I suspect part of why this happened is that I am fairly young (mid-20s), and this man is 40 years my senior. "What the hell would this kid know?" :roll: What I see is someone not getting the big picture, which is all I focus on anymore.
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby jedinvest » Wed 28 May 2008, 13:27:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emersonbiggins', 'T')hat's true. I suspect part of why this happened is that I am fairly young (mid-20s), and this man is 40 years my senior. "What the hell would this kid know?" :roll: What I see is someone not getting the big picture, which is all I focus on anymore.


Well, I don't try to convert anyone I don't know very well (even then, 0% success so far, but giving it time). However, sheer ignorance I do not tolerate and set people straight (on the facts only). Your coworkers will respect you for that. But never try to convert.
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby dunewalker » Wed 28 May 2008, 13:34:55

I was holding down the fort at the local bookstore for a few hours yesterday. A high school-age woman came in and browsed for awhile. Then she brought a book to the counter to buy: "The Road" by Cormac McCarthy. Partly to be flirty, I said: "Are you sure you're ready for this? It will change your entire outlook on life". Her reply was: "I can handle that for a couple of weeks right now". The conversation ended with my: "No, I mean forever".
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby IndigoMoon » Wed 28 May 2008, 13:55:57

I am new to this board but not to the concept. When I discussed it with both my 21 year old and 24 year old boys over the weekend, they were already aware. They didn't want to bring it up first because they didn't want me to think they were nuts.
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby cowuvula » Wed 28 May 2008, 15:11:13

I always say
"I hope gas doesn't go much higher."
and try not to laugh.

That seems to mollify them.

They will find out later
Last edited by cowuvula on Wed 28 May 2008, 15:38:03, edited 2 times in total.
Be ready...
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby lawnchair » Wed 28 May 2008, 15:23:33

My answers would be:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emersonbiggins', '1'). Why aren't we drilling the off limits areas of the U.S. and putting the Sauds out of business? "Bakken is huge, larger than SA"

AFAIK, there is nothing legal stopping *anything* in the Bakken. Most of it is not federal land and not particularly ecosensitive, so feel free to go take out leases from landowners/tribes. ANWR is one thing, but coastal Florida? Deeply opposed by the Republican legislature of Florida and the Republican congressional delegation from Florida.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '2'). Why haven't we built a refinery in 30 years?

Because we've massively expanded the ones we have. Much more efficient that way. Why haven't we built dozens of five-and-dimes in the last couple decades? Because the Wal-Marts grew and metastasized. Same story.
At 1% annual growth, human bodies will incorporate every gram in the observable universe in approximately 10,170 years.
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby emeraldg40 » Wed 28 May 2008, 15:24:32

Where do I look for the answer to the older mans question? Seems I havnt an answer either. Why hasnt there been a new refinery? I guess some of us older people seem to remember the footage of US Presidents bowing to the Saudis way back when. All I have ever heard is this: The oil comes out of Saudi Arabia very clean and dosnt need so much refining. Is that true? So if it is then I can assume the oil under the Canadian TAR sands is very dirty? Has this always been about the refining and not the amount? The other rumours are that the price increase is just about speculators. Im a lucky American at this point because Ive had 5 years to get ready for this. Im not surprised by the price of gas, I expect it to rise even more. I would just like the truth. Is it about Peak, speculators or a combination of both?
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby BigTex » Wed 28 May 2008, 15:49:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dunewalker', 'I') was holding down the fort at the local bookstore for a few hours yesterday. A high school-age woman came in and browsed for awhile. Then she brought a book to the counter to buy: "The Road" by Cormac McCarthy. Partly to be flirty, I said: "Are you sure you're ready for this? It will change your entire outlook on life." Her reply was: "I can handle that for a couple of weeks right now". The conversation ended with my: "No, I mean forever".
She'll never finish the book. No explosions or sex scenes. Or is that what happened in the basement? :?

There was probably that one big explosion before the book started.

That basement is what you would call an unhappy place to be.

While we're on the topic, I would like to say that "The Road" by Cormac McCarthy is an amazing book if you want to visualize how bad life can get. It's really good. I got up and inventoried my pantry a couple of times while reading it.

In a weird sense, too, reading the book has the same effect as a batter in the on-deck circle putting a couple of weighted donuts on his bat to get ready for his next turn at the plate.

If you ever want to feel like a spry doomer, read about 20 pages of "The Road" before you come on here to post--that book makes Roccman look like Pollyanna on a trip to Disnelyland.
:)
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby JJ » Wed 28 May 2008, 15:54:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('IndigoMoon', 'I') am new to this board but not to the concept. When I discussed it with both my 21 year old and 24 year old boys over the weekend, they were already aware. They didn't want to bring it up first because they didn't want me to think they were nuts.

My 24 year old just graduated with a double major, International Business, International Economics. They have been teaching him what I have been reading about here. When we went to his graduation, his peers were there (staying at his house). They are peak oil aware and very "concerned." One of them told me his dad "bought some land back before y2k and started stockpiling food and water and supplies, etc. but now he is getting kind of bored with it." I told him to tell his dad don't give up, he'll still need it.

An elderly retiree came into the grocery where I work yesterday with his wife. He was LIVID, cussing Bush for getting us into this position. My co-worker, who is on the fence, said "this isn't going to be pretty".
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby Pops » Wed 28 May 2008, 16:31:37

The explaination is simple:

If ya can't find it, you can't pump it.

Discoveries in the US peaked in the '30s and 40 years later so did production.

Worldwide, discoveries peaked in the '60s and here we are 40 years later...

Everything else is detail.
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Wed 28 May 2008, 16:55:36

Succinct, straight talk - I like it. 8)
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby dunewalker » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:25:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emeraldg40', ' ') All I have ever heard is this: The oil comes out of Saudi Arabia very clean and dosnt need so much refining. Is that true? So if it is then I can assume the oil under the Canadian TAR sands is very dirty? Has this always been about the refining and not the amount?


Here's a link to an article in today's Oildrum, by Robert Rapier, that explains the intricacies of refining:

http://www.theoildrum.com/node/4038#more
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby emeraldg40 » Wed 28 May 2008, 19:53:23

8) Thanks!
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Re: Caught off guard by coworker this morning...

Unread postby TheDude » Wed 28 May 2008, 21:43:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emeraldg40', 'W')here do I look for the answer to the older mans question? Seems I havnt an answer either. Why hasnt there been a new refinery? I guess some of us older people seem to remember the footage of US Presidents bowing to the Saudis way back when. All I have ever heard is this: The oil comes out of Saudi Arabia very clean and dosnt need so much refining. Is that true? So if it is then I can assume the oil under the Canadian TAR sands is very dirty? Has this always been about the refining and not the amount? The other rumours are that the price increase is just about speculators. Im a lucky American at this point because Ive had 5 years to get ready for this. Im not surprised by the price of gas, I expect it to rise even more. I would just like the truth. Is it about Peak, speculators or a combination of both?


Saudis have developed/are developing new projects, with heavier oil they didn't bother with in the past. These are by and large older discoveries they weren't interested due to its heaviness/sourness/impurities. Chances are this will be all they have to offer, as you'd imagine KSA has been pretty extensively explored.

Like lawnchair says we've expanded the refineries we have, it's an awful hassle to build them, owing to all the red tape involved. As Rapier explains in the linked article refineries are also busy adding cokers to deal with the heavier oil that's beginning to dominate the market. One thing you'll never hear mentioned on the radio is how the Light Sweet Crude oil has peaked:

Image

Tar sands oil is medium quality, they expend a helluva lot of energy (=$$$$) extracting it though. We've had a few threads on the speculation factor recently.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JJ', 'M')y 24 year old just graduated with a double major, International Business, International Economics. They have been teaching him what I have been reading about here.


Huh? That airlines have no future? :-D

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')n elderly retiree came into the grocery where I work yesterday with his wife. He was LIVID, cussing Bush for getting us into this position. My co-worker, who is on the fence, said "this isn't going to be pretty".


Wait till they roast the next guy/gal. Can't see anyone getting nostalgic over Bush II...well, maybe not, people get teary over Reagan these days. Remember those salad days of big hair and S&L bailouts? :lol:
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