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30 year plans..

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

30 year plans..

Unread postby 4dsc » Mon 26 May 2008, 09:47:02

My city is having an open discussion about our area's long term transportation needs. I guess every large city has one but in the area of peak oil coming at us I wonder whether or not they are realistic..

I have looked through all the given material and none of it mentions the availability of oil and they seem to think economic growth is endless..

If you were to show up at a community meeting planning the future city transporation needs, from biking to mass transit, would you mention peak oil??
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Re: 30 year plans..

Unread postby patience » Mon 26 May 2008, 10:34:36

I would probably be considered a nutcase and asked to leave, while they pursued their own ideas. But yes, I'd have to try to explain it. Go easy on them. Consider that they will have a hard time thinking about a world with declining energy.
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Re: 30 year plans..

Unread postby perdition79 » Tue 27 May 2008, 15:23:11

We had something like that a year back, here in St. Petersburg. If I didn't watch the city government channel on cable at 2am, I would have never known about it. Civil engineers, planners, futurists were asked to give their visions for the future for downtown. All basically wanted the same thing: to slow down and reduce car traffic, increase bicycle lanes, increase residential density, increase bus service, etc. Resource depletion and rising energy prices were addressed by a couple of the presenters, but none of them discussed peak oil in detail.
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Re: 30 year plans..

Unread postby joeltrout » Tue 27 May 2008, 15:28:53

I agree that explaining peak oil to them will be useless because they will not listen.

One idea you could raise is the question "What if $4 gas is here to stay and how will that affect our transportation needs?"

They believe in $4 gas (or whatever the price) because they are paying that right now. You can talk about people not driving as much and if gas goes higher many people not driving at all.

Then discuss bike lanes. I hope more and more master plans include bike lanes.

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Re: 30 year plans..

Unread postby Novus » Tue 27 May 2008, 18:07:52

In order to discuss transportation zoning first has to be addressed. Busses and bike lanes most of suburbia make no sense. We have everything so backwards in this country with spread out between housing, commercial, and industrial development. Too much parking, stores set too far back from the streets, with no sidewalks or town centers.

My 30 year plan would be to pick a city center and then draw a circle around it about a mile in diameter on the map. That is your economic development zone. No new development outside of circle. Lower taxes inside the circle and double the taxes on the stuff outside the circle with the exception of farms. Eliminate parking requirements. Flips storefronts around so shop windows are right on the sidewalk with parking if any in rear. Mandate all building be at least two levels being either two levels of shops or stores with residential on top. Part of the inner circle should devoted to industrial development. Then link the centers of other towns with streetcars.

The problem is this should have been started 30 years ago. Now it is too late.
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Re: 30 year plans..

Unread postby joeltrout » Tue 27 May 2008, 18:19:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Novus', '
')
My 30 year plan would be to pick a city center and then draw a circle around it about a mile in diameter on the map.


That is fine theoretically if the world started from day 1 but what would you do with say Los Angeles, Boston, NYC, San Fran, etc...?

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Re: 30 year plans..

Unread postby Novus » Tue 27 May 2008, 19:41:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('joeltrout', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Novus', '
')
My 30 year plan would be to pick a city center and then draw a circle around it about a mile in diameter on the map.


That is fine theoretically if the world started from day 1 but what would you do with say Los Angeles, Boston, NYC, San Fran, etc...?

joeltrout


Los Angeles would be fine it gets its' old "red" streetcar system back.
Boston would do well to expand its subways.
NYC proper is fine the problem is it is surrounded by 100+ miles of suburbs covering 3 states.
San Fran just needs more light rail and suburbs reorganized in to small towns.

In fact all cities could benefit by reorganizing their suburbs into small towns and then linking them streetcars or commuter rail.
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Re: 30 year plans..

Unread postby Blacksmith » Tue 27 May 2008, 21:21:34

Question: What politician plans 30 years down the road?

Answer: One that only serves one term.
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Re: 30 year plans..

Unread postby cowuvula » Wed 28 May 2008, 15:55:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')I live on the coast of Northern California in a green groovy town. Warm all year and never snows. Bike lanes everywhere and cars respect bikers. Can you say the same about your town? Most of our car-centric suburban infrastructure is not bike friendly and never will be. Too dispersed. Too cold. Too hot. Bikes will never work here either---in the best of all possible worlds. The hills come right down into town. Ever try riding up 1,000 vertical ft with a load of groceries? That's where the good neighborhoods are. Up on the hills. Where do the good folks move to? Where the po' folks are?


Pstarr, you need to move away from that town and get up to an altitude of 300-400 feet on the other side of the coastal range.
The tsunamis are going to wash you and your bicycle away.

Fact. Get moving.
Be ready...
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Re: 30 year plans..

Unread postby gampy » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:39:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Blacksmith', 'Q')uestion: What politician plans 30 years down the road?

Answer: One that only serves one term.


Quoted for truth.

I wonder if it would be better to have longer term limits, and no re-election. For municipal, as well as federal politics.
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