by Tanada » Tue 06 May 2008, 20:07:09
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', 'R')ight on schedual, the enviro-activist set should have listened when some of us said better to drill everywhere with environmental controlls in place than to delay delay delay and have the drilling happen with no environmental concerns taken into account.
Envinmentalism/green movement as practiced in the west has been an artifact of cheap oil, take away the cheap oil and people except for the few true beleivers will demand extraction no matter what the environmental costs.
I'm afraid you may be correct. BTW, where does one pick up the peak oil schedule ? I get asked about that all the time.
Well the set goes something like this. Oil plateau's with minor peaks and valleys for at most a few years, demand continues to grow. Prices escalate until supply meets demand (lower bidders shut out). Escalating prices make voters angry. Angry voters make polliticians nervous. Nervous polliticians start throwing constituency groups under the bus to save their cushy pollitical jobs. For the right this means blame the Enviro's, for the left this mean blame the oil companies. Voters at some point realize without oil companies there is no gas for soccor mom's SUV and soccor dad's Supercab pick-up. All attention turns to getting more oil at any cost, Enviro's held to blame by both right and left Polliticians to appease angry voters. Last great oil rush in the USA comences as drilling everywhere begins in ernest.
I can't give you dates for when exactly each stage takes place, but I do know I am increasingly hearing words to the effect $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')crew the Caribou! DRILL ALASKA!
from both neighbors and coworkers, and I have heard it on the radio scanning channels as well. People are both ignorant and angry, which is a bad combination, and nobody wants to hear the party is over because of geology. If the Dems win both Congress and the White House this fall expect early on to see sanctions against oil companies for 'excessive profits' and 'gouging at the pump'. When that happens the "BIG OIL" companies will all go into full bore public relations blitz about how it isn't their fault, they were not allowed to get the oil the voters want. Public pressure will quickly swamp the Dems and they will be forced to relent, possibly allowing drilling in ANWR and off the East and West coasts of North America. If the Reps win both expect EPA regs to be re-written and a massive new drilling program to commence. Also expect the Dept of the Interior to reissue outer continental shelf leases for at least Georgia, SOuth Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia where limited exploration has already been done.
So the schedual as I see it, unless something happens sooner, 2009 will be the year the Enviro's lose their seat at the Democrat party table and get thrown out of the Big Tent.