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Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

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Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Declan » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 00:49:38

For a few years now, some of us humans have been preoccupied with the idea of Peak Oil and all its implications. The great majority of us, it seems, are regular Joes and Janes, with regular lives, jobs, families, mortgages, etc. I have yet to speak with a Peak Oil-er with some serious political power or influence.

So what does that mean? Is Peak Oil recognition and acceptance a middle class phenomenon only? I am not sure. If us regular folks can put 2 and 2 together and come up with Armageddon, why wouldn’t someone with access to a lot more information and resources come to the same conclusion?

Or maybe they have and they just don’t want to tip their hand. That leaves room for some interesting speculations. Here are some questions that are worth asking:

1. What would you do to prepare if you were rich, politically influent and believed that Peak Oil and the subsequent crisis were inevitable?

2. How would those at the top go about keeping their “thrones” in a Post-Peak world?

3. What about the possibility that “the government”, after seeing no way out of the mess (and I am pretty sure that there isn’t one) will hoards all resources so that they can feed an “oppression machine”, instate Martial Law and takes away all freedoms. How does that possibility affect your plans?

Most of our Post-Peak contingency plans bank on the fact that there won’t be a government to speak off and that a man (or group of men) with a rifle and heir loom seeds in the pocket will be a force to be reckoned with. Not many of us ever seem to bring forth scenarios where the government has taken total control of every single blade of grass in the country as it is most likely to happen. The sheeple will in fact demand that the government take total control. It will prolong the illusion of safety a bit longer.

“Occam’s Razor” principle, paraphrased, states “that all things being equal, the simplest explanation is the best one” which in turns leads me to believe that every time things take a turn for the worse, the government will tighten up their control. When the “house of cards” finally collapses, all pretenses will be thrown aside and we will be New Age Slaves.

Peak Oil does not have to mean the same for the elite as it will for the general population. There will still be enough oil in the world for governments to maintain current levels of technology while the rest of us will be dispatched into the Stone Age. With current technologies, employed against a “horse and buggy” population, domination would be absolute.

Why isn't that a mainstream view of what will happen when "The Peak" hits?[fade]
Last edited by Declan on Mon 19 Jun 2006, 03:46:08, edited 4 times in total.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby americandream » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 01:47:40

I reckon the scenario you portray is a certainty.......as you so astutely indicate, those at the reins are well aware of whats afoot......anyone how thinks otherwise is either extremely naive and ill experienced with the ways of our ruling superiors or living in forlone hope that some new age of fresh opportunity (that never existed incidentally......feudalism and tribalism testify eloquently to the state of man in times of need) is on the horizon...
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby TT » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 02:11:47

Yep, I agree. And I reckon that the man with the gun that thinks he's gunna live off other people that have planned and worked for their own future will just be a criminal that will be hunted down and hung by the government of tomorrow.

Highwaymen, bandits, and bushrangers have always believed they can use force to live a life of ease at the expense of working people.

I expect to see more government regulation in the future - not less. And I don't think that the government will coerce hard working, debt free people into slave camps. These people will be required to pay a tax - be it in food or money - but there will be plenty of hungry hoardes to take the place of todays tractors and harvesters.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby perdition79 » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 03:25:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TT', 'I') expect to see more government regulation in the future - not less. And I don't think that the government will coerce hard working, debt free people into slave camps. These people will be required to pay a tax - be it in food or money - but there will be plenty of hungry hoardes to take the place of todays tractors and harvesters.


Yeah. And of course, the elite will do the same thing; they'll parlay their monetary wealth into land, and will begin making sharecroppers of the regular joes.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Concerned » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 03:46:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Declan', 'F')or a few years now, some of us humans have been preoccupied with the idea of Peak Oil and all its implications. The great majority of us, it seems, are regular Joes and Janes, with regular lives, jobs, families, mortgages, etc. I have yet to speak with a Peak Oil-er with some serious political power or influence.


Matt Simmons, Boone Pickens and others are seriously worried about it. Trust me the powers that be are aware of Peak Oil even though the masses may not be.

As a percentage I'd rank people in power more peak oil aware than the regular Joe and Jane.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
So what does that mean? Is Peak Oil recognition and acceptance a middle class phenomenon only? I am not sure. If us regular folks can put 2 and 2 together and come up with Armageddon, why wouldn’t someone with access to a lot more information and resources come to the same conclusion?



It means you and I have discovered this problem and we can't for the life of us work out why TPTB are not talking about it. Then again there is no upside in telling people your standard of living is going down in the future, retirement is a dream but for an elite few.

Best keep the party going as long as possible before handing out the bitter pills.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
Or maybe they have and they just don’t want to tip their hand. That leaves room for some interesting speculations. Here are some questions that are worth asking:

1. What would you do if you were rich, politically influent and believed that Peak Oil and the subsequent crisis were inevitable?


Ensure that you control the Energy spigot. e.g. Russia (Gazprom) US (Iraq and FSU satellites)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')2. How would those at the top go about keeping their “thrones” in a Post-Peak world?


Divide and conquer. Pit people against each other, race, religion, gays... whatever it takes to get the focus of you.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
3. What about the possibility that “the government”, after seeing no way out of the mess (and I am pretty sure that there isn’t one) will hoards all resources so that they can feed an “oppression machine”, instate Martial Law and takes away all freedoms. How does that possibility affect your plans?


You would be terrified to learn some of the technolgy being developed to control crowds.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Most of our Post-Peak contingency plans bank on the fact that there won’t be a government to speak off and that a man (or group of men) with a rifle and heir loom seeds in the pocket will be a force to be reckoned. Not many of us ever seem to bring forth scenarios where the government has taken total control of every single blade of grass in the country and somehow that doesn’t seem right.

Very true and it could happen. It all depends on how united people can get and stand up to their oppressor. Which is why division is so important a tool for the elites.

Best to have you in a fit over immigration, muslims, jews, arabs, blacks, gays, left wingers, neo cons, you name it just so long you have a finger to point at your fellow man.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')“Occam’s Razor” principle, paraphrased, states “that all things being equal, the simplest explanation is the best one” which in turns leads me to believe that every time things take a turn for the worse, the government will tighten up their control. When the “house of cards” finally collapses, all pretenses will be thrown aside and we will be New Age Slaves.

Peak Oil does not have to mean the same for the elite as it will for the general population. There will still be enough oil in the world for governments to maintain current levels of technology while the rest of us will be dispatched into the Stone Age. With current technologies, employed against a “horse and buggy” population, domination would be absolute.

Why isn't that a mainstream view of what will happen when "The Peak" hits?


It's not main stream because it's
1. Way way way too scary to even contemplate even though if TSHTF it's sure to happen.
2. Why worry when you can still buy a trolley load of food and eat more in a day than many hundreds of millions eat in a week? Essentially life is still good for us in the 1st world. I've seen many posts categorize Peak Oil aware people are cult members. Personally I don't talk about it anymore, Im still waiting for gas to get painful enough for people wanting a more sober assesment.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Jack » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 07:21:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Declan', 'W')hy isn't that a mainstream view of what will happen when "The Peak" hits?


First, my compliments - you've got some good insights.

But to answer the question - it isn't the mainstream view because it represents something that most cannot mitigate. Genuine hopelessness is not a condition most are prepared to embrace. It's quite possible that we'll see parts of the world develop into North Korean style regimes, with others dissolving into chaos and utter lawlessness.

In such conditions, money in the bank, investments, land, food hordes and weapons mean nothing. The oppressive regime will simply take what they want and enslave the former owner. In a chaotic world with no law, the mob or some warlord will take one's pitiful little stash.

Not much fun to discuss, is it? Reality often isn't.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 10:45:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Declan', '1'). What would you do to prepare if you were rich, politically influent and believed that Peak Oil and the subsequent crisis were inevitable?

2. How would those at the top go about keeping their “thrones” in a Post-Peak world?


To answer both of those questions, I refer you to a speech made in 1712 by a man named Willie Lynch.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')Gentlemen. I greet you here on the bank of the James River in the year of our Lord one thousand seven hundred and twelve. First, I shall thank you, the gentlemen of the Colony of Virginia, for bringing me here. I am here to help you solve some of your problems with slaves. Your invitation reached me on my modest plantation in the West Indies, where I have experimented with some of the newest and still the oldest methods for control of slaves. Ancient Rome's would envy us if my program is implemented. As our boat sailed south on the James River, named for our illustrious King, whose version of the Bible we Cherish, I saw enough to know that your problem is not unique. While Rome used cords of wood as crosses for standing human bodies along its highways in great numbers, you are here using the tree and the rope on occasions. I caught the whiff of a dead slave hanging from a tree, a couple miles back. You are not only losing valuable stock by hangings, you are having uprisings, slaves are running away, your crops are sometimes left in the fields too long for maximum profit, You suffer occasional fires, your animals are killed. Gentlemen, you know what your problems are; I do not need to elaborate. I am not here to enumerate your problems, I am here to introduce you to a method of solving them. In my bag here, I have a fool-proof method for controlling your black slaves. I guarantee every one of you that if installed correctly it will control the slaves for at least 300 years. My method is simple. Any member of your family or your overseer can use it. I have outlined a number of differences among the slaves; and I take these differences and make them bigger. I use fear, distrust and envy for control purposes. These methods have worked on my modest plantation in the West Indies and it will work throughout the South. Take this simple little list of differences and think about them. On top of my list is "age" but it's there only because it starts with an "A." The second is "color" or shade, there is intelligence, size, sex, sizes of plantations, status on plantations, attitude of owners, whether the slaves live in the valley, on a hill, East, West, North, South, have fine hair, course hair, or is tall or short. Now that you have a list of differences, I shall give you a outline of action, but before that, I shall assure you that distrust is stronger than trust and envy stronger than adulation, respect or admiration. The black slaves after receiving this indoctrination shall carry on and will become self refueling and self generating for hundreds of years, maybe thousands. Don't forget you must pitch the old black male against the young black male, and the young black male against the old black male. You must use the dark skin slaves against the light skin slaves, and the light skin slaves vs. the dark skin slaves. You must use the female against the male and the male against the female. You must also have you white servants and over- seers distrust all blacks. but it is necessary that your slaves trust and depend on us. they must love, respect and trust only us. Gentlemen, these kits are your keys to control. Use them. Have your wives and children use them, never miss an opportunity. If used intensely for one year, the slaves themselves will remain perpetually distrustful. Thank you gentlemen."


The concept is a simple one. If the slaves are preoccupied with fearing, hating and mistrusting eachother, they are too busy to rise up and overthrow their masters. We can see the very same principles at work today: "Those damn immigrants are a drain on the system!" or "Those pesky homosexuals are destroying the fabric of our society!" or "Those evil muslims are all terrorists!". Bigotry is a tool by which the ruling class sets the slaves against eachother and perpetuates the social order. But it's not just black slaves any more. The system enslaves all of humanity for the benefit of a few overlords.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Declan', '3'). What about the possibility that “the government”, after seeing no way out of the mess (and I am pretty sure that there isn’t one) will hoards all resources so that they can feed an “oppression machine”, instate Martial Law and takes away all freedoms. How does that possibility affect your plans?


It's an absolute certainty. When the only way to feed your family becomes putting on a uniform and imposing the will of the ruling class on the masses by force, the uniform factories will be very busy indeed. It's already begun. Look at how many "police drama" shows are on television: "24", "CSI" (all 3 of them), "Law and Order" (All 3 of them), "NYPD Blue", "COPS", "Dog the Bounty Hunter", the list goes on and on. Then there's that new TV series about the troops in Iraq, the endless stream of advertisements for all branches of the military, whole new schools cropping up to train even more law enforcement professionals, private "security" firms, "detention camps"...the population is being conditioned to accept martial law and the infallability of law enforcement.
The whole of human history is a refutation by experiment of the concept of "moral world order". - Friedrich Nietzsche
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby jupiters_release » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 10:50:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Concerned', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Declan', ' ')


3. What about the possibility that “the government”, after seeing no way out of the mess (and I am pretty sure that there isn’t one) will hoards all resources so that they can feed an “oppression machine”, instate Martial Law and takes away all freedoms. How does that possibility affect your plans?


You would be terrified to learn some of the technolgy being developed to control crowds.



My biggest concern is HPM weapons. I'd rather be stabbed to death by a dull knife LOL.

I rarely see cell phone masts travelling outside of NYC but usually get perfect reception even driving through cornfields. Makes me wonder why every other building in the city has them on top the roof.
[smilie=5hot.gif]

The mortality rate doubled in NYC after the digital masts were installed in the mid 9ts, perhaps a engineer could explain whether they can be 'powered' higher?

I wonder how many peak oilers can't feel the radiation from their own cell phones. [smilie=5ziplip.gif]
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Declan » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 14:24:12

Dreamtwister, you are so right. When I watch the news, all I see is fear mongering and distraction tactics.

The biggest and most significant “fear attack” was (according to 48% of the US population) the scheme perpetrated on September 11.

If you believe that the current US government had a hand in the events of that day (and I believe) then the only possibility that remains is that the Bush Administration will find a way to get rid of the US Constitution and to take absolute and permanent control of the United States, before the end of W’s second term. Why? It’s very simple. If they don’t, the quest for truth about 9/11 will be successful as they will no longer be able to totally control all the elements necessary in order to continue to suppress the truth.

If the truth was to ever come, W and his regime would most likely receive the death penalty in a court of the people. He knows that, all his acolytes know that so the only logical conclusion is that they will find a way to not have to give up power, ever.

I am firm convinced that before W’s second term is up, a terrorist event of unimaginable proportions will take place in the US (or may Canada) which will give W the platform to stand on and declare Martial Law.

The first time is the hardest. Now, they are more experienced and have a mechanism of oppression in place to control dissent on a large scale.

So, if you can see the writing on the wall, you can only come to the following conclusion:

George W Bush, will be the last president of the United States of America and the first Supreme Overlord of the North American Empire (empire which unfortunately be shortly submerged in the worst civil war the world has ever known).


I think Peak Oil will indeed come to pass but it will be the least of our worries.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby rwwff » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 14:51:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Declan', 'G')eorge W Bush, will be the last president of the United States of America and the first Supreme Overlord of the North American Empire (empire which unfortunately be shortly submerged in the worst civil war the world has ever known)..


I do wonder what some of yall are going to be feeling when GWB comfortably and quietly finishes out his term and retires to his ranch in Texas?
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Declan » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 15:31:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', '
')I do wonder what some of yall are going to be feeling when GWB comfortably and quietly finishes out his term and retires to his ranch in Texas?


You must really believe in the whole Al Quaeda fairy tale. Anyone who believes that the US government was somehow involved and is now suppressing the truth about it can't help ask themselves the following question:

" What would happen if the Democrats take power and the new President decides to not interfere with the quest for truth regarding the event of 9/11?"

I think that the veils of secrecy would be allowed to fall and the whole unbelievable truth would surface.

Some of us believe that "the truth" would implicate the current White House Administration in a way that would bring about the death penalty.

If I can see that up here in Canada, do you think W is missing it?

If you were him and you had your hands dirty , what would you do to not get caught?

Probably the only thing that is guaranteed to keep you alive; hang on to power. But how would you do that if your second term was up? There aren't all that many options, are there?
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Jack » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 15:48:49

There is another possibility, Declan. GWB might merely be the stage presence that deflects attention from those who direct him. Arguably, both parties merely represent the public face of something else.

Were that the case, control of the House might pass to the Democrats, followed by all manner of hearings. Those for and against GWB would be fully engaged in the great drama. In 2008, a new President would be elected - again, perhaps a Democrat.

On the surface, everything would change. Fundamentally, nothing would be different. But what a complete distraction it would be! And the new President would have a honeymoon period during which he could do no wrong.

Could we be played like a fiddle? I think, yes? Are the above musings valid? Nah, couldn't be. Never happen. Could it?
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Declan » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 16:00:32

Yes Jack, it is indeed possible that the Republicans and the Democrats are in fact serving the same masters and that the whole "competition" thing is nothing but a sham to keep people occupied and distracted.

If that is true, life as we know it is a big sham and nothing short of a complete and absolute purge of the current systems of government world wide would solve the problem.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 16:02:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', 'T')here is another possibility, Declan. GWB might merely be the stage presence that deflects attention from those who direct him. Arguably, both parties merely represent the public face of something else.


That's exactly it right there. America hasn't been run from the oval office for a very...very long time (if it ever really was). It's run from the boardrooms of EXXON and Lockheed Martin. The pretense of democracy is just another tool used by the people who really run things, to pacify the masses.

Bush has no real power. He's a puppet, installed by the corporations. When the next election comes (and it will be just as "fair and open" as the last two, I assure you.), Bush will be trotted out as the scapegoat he was always intended to be.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby rwwff » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 16:49:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Declan', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', '
')I do wonder what some of yall are going to be feeling when GWB comfortably and quietly finishes out his term and retires to his ranch in Texas?


You must really believe in the whole Al Quaeda fairy tale.


Ahhh, ok. You're proceeding from the premise that Bush is responsible for 9/11. Where simple incompetence and human error are an adequate explanation, the far left insists on seeing conspiracy.

Now, lets review something. Lets accept, for the moment, that Bush ordered 9/11.

Bush's term is up.
a) Democrat elected. - Issue dies.
b) Republican elected - Issue dies.

As much as you guys would like to believe that one administration would get involved in prosecuting the previous administration. Think about the precedent that would set. No, even if blatant evidence of vast criminal actions was unearthed, the new president would "regretfully" pardon the old administration. Because guaranteed, what the next guy or gal does to Bush, the following pres-opposite will do to them with sauce; and no one wants to go there.

All that said, the official record of the government is that Al Qaeda executed the attack; and so it shall remain forever, just like the Kennedy single-bullet thing. It'll be a rallying point for conspiracy theorists for decades to come.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')" What would happen if the Democrats take power and the new President decides to not interfere with the quest for truth regarding the event of 9/11?"


There will be no "quest for truth". Whether Democrats or Republicans are in charge. No one is stupid enough to go there.

Do you not understand that to go there, the Democrats would essentially have to put themselves in a position where they couldn't win the next election, regardless of what the true truth happens to truly be? If they won in '06 or '08; they aren't going to trade their narrow margin for a chance to beat on a president who will soon be gone. They need that margin to protect what remains of a liberal judiciary; beating on Bush is for the campaign, not for policy.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')I think that the veils of secrecy would be allowed to fall and the whole unbelievable truth would surface.


And it would remain unbelieved by half the US population, all of whom would see it as a partisan attack on a president after he no longer has the power to defend himself. They'd show up in droves at the next congressional election and obliterate those responsible.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Some of us believe that "the truth" would implicate the current White House Administration in a way that would bring about the death penalty.


Only if you could achieve a conviction, and put simply, you can't.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')If you were him and you had your hands dirty , what would you do to not get caught?


I'd be thinking, oh please oh please oh please GO THERE!! Make that mistake and the Republicans will run the country for decades. It'd be like begging the mouse to take the cheese so it could get its head whacked off.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby smiley » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 17:26:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '1'). What would you do to prepare if you were rich, politically influent and believed that Peak Oil and the subsequent crisis were inevitable?

2. How would those at the top go about keeping their “thrones” in a Post-Peak world?


Two questions, one question to answer them: How does one get rich and influential?

- Adaptation
- Improvisation
- Opportunism

There is no ten year plan to become president, CEO or whatever. These people are there because they are able to adapt to changing circumstances, improvise when needed and know a good opportunity when they see one. Politics is a very ad hoc affair.

I don't think any of them has prepared a "master plan". They just rely on their talents to turn any situation in their favor, like a poker player tries to make the most out of the deck that is handed to him.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby airstrip1 » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 18:55:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smiley', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '1'). What would you do to prepare if you were rich, politically influent and believed that Peak Oil and the subsequent crisis were inevitable?

2. How would those at the top go about keeping their “thrones” in a Post-Peak world?


Two questions, one question to answer them: How does one get rich and influential?

- Adaptation
- Improvisation
- Opportunism

There is no ten year plan to become president, CEO or whatever. These people are there because they are able to adapt to changing circumstances, improvise when needed and know a good opportunity when they see one. Politics is a very ad hoc affair.

I don't think any of them has prepared a "master plan". They just rely on their talents to turn any situation in their favor, like a poker player tries to make the most out of the deck that is handed to him.


Great points. The only item I would add to your list is AMBITION. Contrary to what many people think elites do not spend most of their time worrying about how to keep the masses down. Usually, they are far more concerned about how to outwit their rivals for power within their own group. For example, it is a common misconception amongst employees of large companies that their bosses spend all their time of thinking of new ways to screw them. In fact most senior managers are completely oblivious of the existence of their inferiors. Since they are not competing with them for the next promotion their only real concern is that their subordinates do not foul up in such a way as to harm their careers. Given that the plebs so rarely rise against their masters constant repression is rarely necessary.

A classic example of this situation is Rome during the last days of the Republic. The only serious challenge from below to the political system in that period was the slave revolt of Spartacus which was brutally crushed in 71 BC. Despite Hollywood's portrayal of this event, the uprising never had any chance for success. What did for the Roman Republic was factional fighting amongst the ruling aristocracy. It led to a number of bloody civil wars that killed far more people than any slave rebellion. Indeed, by the time Augustus had replaced the Republic with the the first principate a large number of the elite had died either in battle or in the massacres carried out during the 'proscriptions' instigated by the second Triumvirate. The blood letting was so bad that many noble households were wiped out. Augustus actually had to replenish the ranks of the elite senatorial class by allowing in some individuals from the provinces and lower ranks of society. I think this type of scenario is just as likely as class warfare in a post peak Oil world.
Last edited by airstrip1 on Mon 19 Jun 2006, 19:12:01, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby airstrip1 » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 19:03:14

dupe
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby jupiters_release » Mon 19 Jun 2006, 23:43:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('airstrip1', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smiley', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '1'). What would you do to prepare if you were rich, politically influent and believed that Peak Oil and the subsequent crisis were inevitable?

2. How would those at the top go about keeping their “thrones” in a Post-Peak world?


Two questions, one question to answer them: How does one get rich and influential?

- Adaptation
- Improvisation
- Opportunism

There is no ten year plan to become president, CEO or whatever. These people are there because they are able to adapt to changing circumstances, improvise when needed and know a good opportunity when they see one. Politics is a very ad hoc affair.

I don't think any of them has prepared a "master plan". They just rely on their talents to turn any situation in their favor, like a poker player tries to make the most out of the deck that is handed to him.


Great points. The only item I would add to your list is AMBITION. Contrary to what many people think elites do not spend most of their time worrying about how to keep the masses down. Usually, they are far more concerned about how to outwit their rivals for power within their own group. For example, it is a common misconception amongst employees of large companies that their bosses spend all their time of thinking of new ways to screw them. In fact most senior managers are completely oblivious of the existence of their inferiors. Since they are not competing with them for the next promotion their only real concern is that their subordinates do not foul up in such a way as to harm their careers. Given that the plebs so rarely rise against their masters constant repression is rarely necessary.

A classic example of this situation is Rome during the last days of the Republic. The only serious challenge from below to the political system in that period was the slave revolt of Spartacus which was brutally crushed in 71 BC. Despite Hollywood's portrayal of this event, the uprising never had any chance for success. What did for the Roman Republic was factional fighting amongst the ruling aristocracy. It led to a number of bloody civil wars that killed far more people than any slave rebellion. Indeed, by the time Augustus had replaced the Republic with the the first principate a large number of the elite had died either in battle or in the massacres carried out during the 'proscriptions' instigated by the second Triumvirate. The blood letting was so bad that many noble households were wiped out. Augustus actually had to replenish the ranks of the elite senatorial class by allowing in some individuals from the provinces and lower ranks of society. I think this type of scenario is just as likely as class warfare in a post peak Oil world.


I think its quite the opposite of your comparison. TPTB today(which doesn't include the POTUS or any other president or nation's government) have had their interests secured for many generations spanning centuries. WWIII by default just like every other war since the beginning of modern banking will benefit the exact same people. But we've finally come to a point where TPTB have foiled their own future too. What went around is finally coming around, mother natures the last batter.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby airstrip1 » Tue 20 Jun 2006, 17:54:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jupiters_release', '
')
I think its quite the opposite of your comparison. TPTB today(which doesn't include the POTUS or any other president or nation's government) have had their interests secured for many generations spanning centuries. WWIII by default just like every other war since the beginning of modern banking will benefit the exact same people. But we've finally come to a point where TPTB have foiled their own future too. What went around is finally coming around, mother natures the last batter.


So you think TPTB (Bilderbergers, Illuminati, Tufty Club etc) were really behind the fall of the Ancient Roman Republic. Presumably we can add in the Sack of Troy, the Fall of Constantinople and that dodgy third goal England scored in the 1966 World Cup final.
The ruling classes do not give monkeys what the great unwashed think even if they post on this message board. They do worry about what the elites in China, Russia or elsewhere may be planning.
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