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Brainwashing by oil/car companies

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Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby JohnDenver » Wed 01 Mar 2006, 20:42:16

This is a response to a comment net-paw made in the Mike Lynch thread:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') also hate to burst your bubble but accepting the supposed simplicity of "peak oil" as being how much oil can you get out of the ground for x amount of dollars seems to me to be a little, well, silly. We all know and even blind freddy can see this, is that there is indeed a restricted amount of oil available. Yet how much of this due to lack of refining availablility ? Also when accepting the word of the oil companies there are other factors to consider. How about their stranglehold on publishing ? Their help and influence in forming our education systems ? Not only that but also their stranglehold on scientific funding?


It seems obvious to me that the American people in particular have been brainwashed by Exxon, GM, housing developers etc. That's why they think they need cars and oil to live, even though that is patently false. Is it really a coincidence that U.S. infrastructure has been developed in a way which maximizes oil company revenue?

Net-paw (or anybody else): What evidence do you have to back up your claim that oil/car companies have undue influence over publishing, education and scientific research?
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby JohnDenver » Wed 01 Mar 2006, 20:54:50

More stuff by net-paw in a similar vein, about how the oil companies are pulling the strings of the public debate:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') take it you have heard of an environmental group called "friends of the earth" ? Are you aware how they were set up financially in the begining. Did you know that the people behind this did so to stop the spread of nuclear energy. Are you aware that much of the origins of the environmental movement were financed to do exactly this ? I am sorry but as history shows the oil companies do indeed have control of funding and indeed ways and means of stopping alternative energy sources. BP is a major part of the solar energy market. Why do you think they have chosen to invest money in solar ? If you believe that the oil companies do not use their influence to stifle alternative energy sources then you are being incredibly naive.


This kind of material is also the subject of this thread. Do you have any links/references to back up your statements here, net-paw (or anyone else)?

More generally, is the peak oil scare itself a strategy for manipulating public opinion to achieve oil company goals (like opening ANWR etc.)?
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby rogerhb » Wed 01 Mar 2006, 20:59:07

The trashing of the trams in the US is fairly well documented.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby TonyPrep » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 02:58:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'M')ore generally, is the peak oil scare itself a strategy for manipulating public opinion to achieve oil company goals (like opening ANWR etc.)?
But almost no-one is taking any notice of this "scam" and oil company executives themselves are denying that there is any problem. Most people will simply accept those assurances and ignore peak. Maybe that's why it's so difficult to get the ANWR opened up. Maybe the oil executives should go with peak wholeheartedly?
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby JohnDenver » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 03:57:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'B')ut almost no-one is taking any notice of this "scam"


Are you kidding? Everybody's heard about it by now. They got tipped off by the prices at the pump, and the big display of twenty "Out of Gas" books at the bookstore. Even Bush is talking about it.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'a')nd oil company executives themselves are denying that there is any problem.


According to Lord Browne from BP, there is a problem, but not with the amount of oil left in the ground. The problem is that the remaining oil is located in places like Iraq, where you can't drill due to the war, and cartel countries like Saudi Arabia, Iran and Russia, where you can't drill because they won't let you. They're a cartel -- sitting on the oil and cashing in.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')ost people will simply accept those assurances and ignore peak.


People aren't ignoring high oil prices. They all know something is going on. They might call it by "the energy crisis" or some other euphemism, but they're definitely not ignoring it. In the U.S., it's one of the few issues they really care about.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')aybe that's why it's so difficult to get the ANWR opened up. Maybe the oil executives should go with peak wholeheartedly?


I'm sure they will. Matt Simmons has already taken the plunge. So has Chevron with willyoujoinus.com. It's just a matter of time until George Will picks up on the fact that he can ream the environmentalists by jumping on the peak oil bandwagon.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby TonyPrep » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 04:31:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'B')ut almost no-one is taking any notice of this "scam"
Are you kidding? Everybody's heard about it by now.
Well they are sure acting as if they haven't heard of it or are not taking it seriously. That certainly goes for the dozens of people I've spoken to about it. Only two or three have taken it seriously. I think you need to distinguish between the apparent awareness in the circles you move in, and the awareness of the population at large. There are a lot of books but they aren't big sellers. The percentage of world population that is either not taking it seriously or hasn't heard about it at all must be very close to 100%$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'a')nd oil company executives themselves are denying that there is any problem.
According to Lord Browne from BP, there is a problem, but not with the amount of oil left in the ground.
Exactly, and what message do you think that the majority of the minority who read his remarks would take away from that? Probably that there is no shortage of oil and we'll figure out how to get it.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')ost people will simply accept those assurances and ignore peak.People aren't ignoring high oil prices. They all know something is going on.But they don't seem to be cutting down on consumption, do they?$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')aybe that's why it's so difficult to get the ANWR opened up. Maybe the oil executives should go with peak wholeheartedly?I'm sure they will. Matt Simmons has already taken the plunge.He's not an oil executive, he's an energy investment banker.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'S')o has Chevron with willyoujoinus.com.Check out that company's head, Peter Robertson, here. When interviewed, he doesn't give the impression that there is any need to worry at all.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby JohnDenver » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 05:40:51

Good points, Tony. You're right that the multinationals don't have much to gain from jumping on peak oil. They don't really care about peanuts like ANWR anyway. They're interested in bigger fish like Iraq, and natural gas. The domestic U.S. drillers, however, are interested in gutting U.S. environmental rules on ANWR and the OCS, and Matt Simmons has been lobbying for them for quite some time (even before his peak oil days). It probably has to do with the fact that Simmons operates in the U.S.

The National Oil Companies of OPEC, on the other hand, have a clear motive for buying into peak oil. It gives them the perfect cover to jack up prices by loafing and restraining supply. Cheap oil isn't in their interest, and there's no way to undercut them anymore. They're sitting on most of the oil, and they're a cartel. That's the problem Lord Browne is referring to. That explains why he's anti peak oil, and likely to become even more so.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 07:01:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he problem is that the remaining oil is located in places like Iraq, where you can't drill due to the war, and cartel countries like Saudi Arabia, Iran and Russia, where you can't drill because they won't let you. They're a cartel -- sitting on the oil and cashing in.


These countries own the resource and have no requirement to let anyone else have access. They are doing a pretty decent job of developing their resources at a reasonable pace...S.A. has increased their capacity and is doing further work to increase it futher....both Iran and Russia are producing past oil peak but continue to produce at capacity. How is this "sitting on the oil"?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou're right that the multinationals don't have much to gain from jumping on peak oil.


exactly the opposite. Everyone I know in the oil industry is fully aware that it is getting harder and harder to find reserves and production costs are rising. It is to the oil companies advantage to have the public bought into the fact it is a scarce resource simply because they will live with a higher price. If you can't find a lot more oil you're next best thing is to sell the oil you have at the highest price possible.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he National Oil Companies of OPEC, on the other hand, have a clear motive for buying into peak oil. It gives them the perfect cover to jack up prices by loafing and restraining supply. Cheap oil isn't in their interest, and there's no way to undercut them anymore.


This shows a complete misunderstanding of the current situation. There is not one OPEC country currently sitting on production outside of the claims Saudi makes of eventually being able to up their capacity to 11 MMBd from the current 9. These countries like non-OPEC countries are producing at capacity....most are on serious decline and well past peak (eg: Indonesia). In the case of the Saudis cheap oil is indeed in their interest simply due to the experience they had back in the seventies when oil skyrocketed ......alternatives came on stream....high price oil came on stream and the Saudis lost market share. This is why of the OPEC countries Saudi is always pushing to do what they have to do to keep prices low. They do not control prices....demand and supply do and currently demand is in charge.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby JohnDenver » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 09:55:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rockdoc123', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he problem is that the remaining oil is located in places like Iraq, where you can't drill due to the war, and cartel countries like Saudi Arabia, Iran and Russia, where you can't drill because they won't let you. They're a cartel -- sitting on the oil and cashing in.


These countries own the resource and have no requirement to let anyone else have access. They are doing a pretty decent job of developing their resources at a reasonable pace...S.A. has increased their capacity and is doing further work to increase it futher....both Iran and Russia are producing past oil peak but continue to produce at capacity. How is this "sitting on the oil"?


Rockdoc, failing to open up to competitive access IS sitting on the oil. Saying they have a right to be a cartel doesn't make them any less of a cartel. If OPEC is "at capacity" and it's geologically and technically impossible for them to substantially increase their production, then what have they got to lose by opening up? The majors will just move in, waste a bunch of money trying to produce oil which isn't there, and leave. I don't get it. What are they being so protective of, if there's nothing there?

Obviously, the current "peak and decline" in Iraq isn't geological. Neither was the Iranian drop from 6mbd (late 70s) to 2mbd (early 80s). Both those drops were caused by war, not geology. Not all peaks are geological.

How do you prove that the current low level of production in Iran (compared to the 70s peak) is geological as opposed to just loafing (i.e. restraining production to maximize profit)? Pointing to the curve doesn't mean anything because geological decline and war and loafing all produce the same curve. Give me some corroborating evidence besides the curve, which proves Iran isn't loafing. It's a little hard to believe that a country which comes out every few months with a threat to stop production is actually working as hard as they can to boost production, particularly when doing so is not in their financial interest.

"From 1995 to 2004, fewer than 30 new wildcat [exploration] wells were drilled in Saudi Arabia, compared with more than 15,700 in the United States."LINK
That sounds like loafing to me.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou're right that the multinationals don't have much to gain from jumping on peak oil.


exactly the opposite. Everyone I know in the oil industry is fully aware that it is getting harder and harder to find reserves and production costs are rising.


Saudi Arabia is in the oil industry and they're not having any trouble. They have huge reserves, and their real recovery costs (in 1999$) dropped from $3.86/b in 1970 to $1.50/b in 1999. Costs for more recent projects are: Shaybah $0.74/b, Abu Hadriyah $0.45/b, Khurais $0.62/b. Days needed to recover initial investment at an oil price of $67 are: Abu Hadriyah 45 days, Khurais 72 days, Shaybah 76 days. The Saudis are getting markup over cost of about 10,000% and nothing but pure profit for 35 years. Only monopolies and cartels produce margins like that.

The reason everyone you know in the industry thinks things are so tough is because the companies you work for are being shut-out from the good spots by a cartel, just like Lord Browne says. You may be a geologist, but Lord Browne runs BP. Please explain to me why you're right and Lord Browne is wrong.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t is to the oil companies advantage to have the public bought into the fact it is a scarce resource simply because they will live with a higher price.

Then why did Lord Browne say this: "[Peak oil] is a myth you will find reinforced in most newspapers every day… [that oil and gas are running out, and that we are walking towards the edge of the cliff.] I went into one bookshop here in London and found that there was a special display of 14 different books published over the last year with titles such as ‘The End of Oil’ and ‘Twilight in the Desert.’ The idea that oil is running out is simply untrue. There is no physical shortage of oil or gas."LINK

How do you explain that statement if its in the interest of the majors to get on the peak oil bandwagon. Are you suggesting that Lord Browne is too stupid to recognize his own interests??
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby net-paw » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 10:58:20

I am a bit hesitatant in posting in here. When talking about the history of oil and the influence the main players in the oil industry have and continue to have is quite daunting. Not only that but when you mention the name Rockefeller you will find that many times it is tied to vast "conspiracy theories" about world domination and a "New World Order". It sort of opens up a can of worms that is filled with so much misinformation and quite frankly a whole bunch of semi religous devil worshiping claptrap. Organisations such as the Illuminati are brought up and it is all too easy to dimiss anything that is related to any of the above as being a whole lot of nonsense. Unfortunately it is not allways the case.

Now one source of information that gives a very thorough and less one sided view on oil history is the book :

A Century of War - Anglo-American Oil Politics and the New World Order by F. William Engdahl

Now hold on a moment before you dismiss this out of hand because it mentions the "New World Order". It is not a book about covert "conspiracy theories" at all, despite it's title. To get an idea of how this book is written you can find excerpts of chapters 7 and 9 here :
http://earth.prohosting.com/%7Ejswift/engdahl.html

These sections mention the formation of "friends of the earth" and their role in holding back the nuclear movement. It also gives an accurate depiction of the 1970's oil crisis that you won't find anywhere else.

The authors website can be found here :
http://www.engdahl.oilgeopolitics.net/

You may also wish to scroll down to the bottom of the above link and read his paper on the 1997-1998 asian financial crisis. It gives you an indication of what really happens in the world and it's a view on events that you won't find reflected in the mainstream press.

I find it interesting that many "peak oilers" still claim that peak oil is still a relative unknown. The main people who are talking up the threat of peak oil are in fact those connected with the oil industry. Even oil companies themselves are DIRECTLY promoting peak oil. This site is promoted by Chevron :
http://www.willyoujoinus.com/

Note that the Aspen Institute is connected to this. Hardly a beneovelent organisation, which incidently has ties to the Rockefellers.

To get a brief rundown of oil history with a slightly different slant ( and this includes the formation of the US board of education and the federal reserve... also it mentions the starting of the environmental movement which colaborates the words of Endghal ) you can look here :
Part 1
http://www.brojon.org/frontpage/bj050701-1.html
Part 2
http://www.brojon.org/frontpage/bj050701-2.html
Part 3
http://www.brojon.org/frontpage/bj050701-3.html
Part 4
http://www.brojon.org/frontpage/bj050701-4.html

It must be mentioned the above does not provide any links or referances. It would be a mistake to take his word for it on the accuracy of what he has written. ( please note that it is a pre-publication preview and I am presuming that the aformentioned missing referances will be provided when it is completed ) What you need to do is actually look up the information yourself indipendantly. You'll be quite suprised to find how accurate it is.

Look I will leave that be for now. I'll give those that are interested a little time to read the information provided.

Now as for saying that everywhere is at peak capacity. I disagree. In fact someone with a lot more business acumen than I will ever have is also of like mind.
http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/sep2005
/nf20050920_0695_db053.htm
( Sorry I got in trouble for posting a long link here previously so you'll need to copy and paste both lines in your address bar to bring up the link )

Notice that "Sir" Richard Branson says : "the world is short of up to 20 oil refineries, and the oil companies are not investing in new ones" In fact the US has not built one in 29 years. But of course that is because the oil comapnies know we are running out of oil isn't it. Yeh right !

Honestly much of history is not what it at first seems. To say it is a "conspiracy theory" at first seems an accurate depiction of such a thought. But when you really knuckle down and do some reading you will find that some of these so called conspiracy theories are not that far removed from truth, unfortunately.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby Specop_007 » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 11:40:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'T')his is a response to a comment net-paw made in the Mike Lynch thread:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') also hate to burst your bubble but accepting the supposed simplicity of "peak oil" as being how much oil can you get out of the ground for x amount of dollars seems to me to be a little, well, silly. We all know and even blind freddy can see this, is that there is indeed a restricted amount of oil available. Yet how much of this due to lack of refining availablility ? Also when accepting the word of the oil companies there are other factors to consider. How about their stranglehold on publishing ? Their help and influence in forming our education systems ? Not only that but also their stranglehold on scientific funding?


It seems obvious to me that the American people in particular have been brainwashed by Exxon, GM, housing developers etc. That's why they think they need cars and oil to live, even though that is patently false. Is it really a coincidence that U.S. infrastructure has been developed in a way which maximizes oil company revenue?

Net-paw (or anybody else): What evidence do you have to back up your claim that oil/car companies have undue influence over publishing, education and scientific research?


You should probably stick to smoking weed in a commune rather then trying to argue your points.

There is no "brainwashing", America is FAR from the only country to use a car and our cities grew the way they did due to cheap energy. This is all very obvious to anyone who doesnt have an anti-corporate/anti-American viewpoint.

Otherwise, what about all the articles supporting Peak Oil? Seems those are being printed. What about energy efficiency, efficient/electric cars, what about earth friendly groups? These are all easily found if you look. It hink the bigger problem is all the hippies havent given us a suitable realistic option and instead prefer to rabidly foam at the mouth in anger and burn SUV's and spraypaint houses. Certainly a good way to spread your view in an acceptable manner isnt it.......

So lets cut to the chase. What agenda are you really pushing?
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 12:08:40

Everyone seems to be overlooking something. Survival instinct.

They know oil is finite. We know oil is finite. Everyone knows oil is finite. What we *don't* know and they *do* know, is how much there actually is.

By sitting on that information, even denying that there's a problem, they improve their own chances of survival. Peak oil is a fact. It *will* happen. And when it does happen, people *will* die. People are already dying. Sitting on the truth for as long as possible improves their odds of not being one of the ones who dies. Robbing us blind while lying to us about it helps them even more.

Get out there and read some Machiavelli, Nietzche and maybe some Darwin. You will live longer.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby PrairieMule » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 12:39:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Specop_007', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'T')his is a response to a comment net-paw made in the Mike Lynch thread:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') also hate to burst your bubble but accepting the supposed simplicity of "peak oil" as being how much oil can you get out of the ground for x amount of dollars seems to me to be a little, well, silly. We all know and even blind freddy can see this, is that there is indeed a restricted amount of oil available. Yet how much of this due to lack of refining availablility ? Also when accepting the word of the oil companies there are other factors to consider. How about their stranglehold on publishing ? Their help and influence in forming our education systems ? Not only that but also their stranglehold on scientific funding?


It seems obvious to me that the American people in particular have been brainwashed by Exxon, GM, housing developers etc. That's why they think they need cars and oil to live, even though that is patently false. Is it really a coincidence that U.S. infrastructure has been developed in a way which maximizes oil company revenue?

Net-paw (or anybody else): What evidence do you have to back up your claim that oil/car companies have undue influence over publishing, education and scientific research?


You should probably stick to smoking weed in a commune rather then trying to argue your points.

There is no "brainwashing", America is FAR from the only country to use a car and our cities grew the way they did due to cheap energy. This is all very obvious to anyone who doesnt have an anti-corporate/anti-American viewpoint.

Otherwise, what about all the articles supporting Peak Oil? Seems those are being printed. What about energy efficiency, efficient/electric cars, what about earth friendly groups? These are all easily found if you look. It hink the bigger problem is all the hippies havent given us a suitable realistic option and instead prefer to rabidly foam at the mouth in anger and burn SUV's and spraypaint houses. Certainly a good way to spread your view in an acceptable manner isnt it.......

So lets cut to the chase. What agenda are you really pushing?


Sure smells to me too like someone has an agenda Spec.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby holmes » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 13:09:01

where the fuck was everyone when I was trying to get the earthship biotechture put into our death march development spree. at least we could have had a good portion of the earth ready. its true the lobbying of the mainstream does not want any competition. thats been proven time and again. WHERE THE FUCK WAS EVERYONE WHEN THERE WAS A CHANCE to have at least some parts sustainable! Should have cut the taxes years ago and pushed a sustainable agenda. I know where I was talking to a stinking wall.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 13:14:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'I')f OPEC is "at capacity" and it's geologically and technically impossible for them to substantially increase their production, then what have they got to lose by opening up? The majors will just move in, waste a bunch of money trying to produce oil which isn't there, and leave. I don't get it. What are they being so protective of, if there's nothing there?


1. If you do more drilling you will find more oil but hasten the depletion for whole the country.

2. National pride, you've managed to keep the majors out till so far, why let them in now?

3. If the world is at peak that last thing a oil producer should be wanting to do is try and increase production.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby oilfreeandhappy » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 16:30:10

This thread seems to have gotten off course from the original title. The subsidies enjoyed by the auto and oil industries for so many years have resulted in an exponential type of growth of infrastructure to support their products. Every dollar taken out of General Fund revenue over the last 70 years is seen in this infrastructure. The roads don't go away. They simply continue to multiply and expand.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby Specop_007 » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 19:06:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', '
')
Sure smells to me too like someone has an agenda Spec.


MY agenda is to get rid of all these ridiculous "OH MY GOD CONSPIRACY!" and "OH MY GOD BRAINWASHING!" claims.
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Re: Brainwashing by oil/car companies

Unread postby bobcousins » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 20:34:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'T')he National Oil Companies of OPEC, on the other hand, have a clear motive for buying into peak oil. It gives them the perfect cover to jack up prices by loafing and restraining supply. Cheap oil isn't in their interest, and there's no way to undercut them anymore. They're sitting on most of the oil, and they're a cartel. That's the problem Lord Browne is referring to. That explains why he's anti peak oil, and likely to become even more so.


My read is the exact opposite. OPEC existed to keep prices low, not high. What really worries them is that high prices will a) stifle demand, b) promote development of alternatives. Now, if you tell people that oil is going to run out, investment in oil will drop and move to alternative technologies.

Equally, valuations of oil companies are based on future sales. If future sales are limited, then share price will drop, and funding will be cut off. Sure, profits may be high in short term due to high prices, but people only put with up price gouging if they think it is temporary. If you tell people, we're going to gouge for the next 50 years til oil finally runs out, they are not going to buy that.

No, if oil producers are aware of PO, they will keep it to themselves, and try to transition their organisation to a new profit centre over a period of time if they can. If they don't have this organisational flexibility, they will end up like GM/Ford.

As far as brainwashing is concerned, it is human nature and marketing. Marketers find out what drives people - e.g. a desire for independence and freedom, status etc. They then position their product to appeal to this desire. So car adverts always show the car out in the country with not another car in sight. The "brainwashing" was done by evolution over millions of years. Car manufacturers (et al) merely exploit this.

Marketing is one of those major "social technology" developments over the last century or two that are consistently overlooked.
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