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PeakOil is You

The Three Roberts

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

The Three Roberts

Unread postby Aaron » Tue 28 Jun 2005, 07:27:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he peaking of world oil production presents the U.S. and the world with an
unprecedented risk management problem. As peaking is approached, liquid fuel
prices and price volatility will increase dramatically, and, without timely mitigation,
the economic, social, and political costs will be unprecedented. Viable mitigation
options exist on both the supply and demand sides, but to have substantial
impact, they must be initiated more than a decade in advance of peaking.


Link
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Old news, but....

Unread postby freetoken » Tue 28 Jun 2005, 07:43:47

... I figure there has to be a reason to post a link to this report now, as a site admin made the original post. No?

Anyway, I think the real news about this report, which BTW looks pretty standard for a beltway bandit of which SAIC is exemplary, is how it has been received by the defence, financial and business communities. There has not been, to my knowledge, much comment published by other players in the defense, intelligence, or major money (banking) industries. Yes, the gold-bug financial types are including PeakOil in their reasons on why to buy gold (and silver these days). But if the situation is truly dire, then one would expect that industry rags like Janes Defense Weekly etc., to talk not only about the report in question, but try to prove or disprove it.

ft
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Unread postby Jack » Tue 28 Jun 2005, 08:01:25

The problem with peak oil is that it is outside our usual considerations. We - all of us, from the SUV driver next door, to the CEO of XYZ, to Senator Whosis - take abundant cheap energy for granted. How many people worry about getting air to breathe?

If one accepts that Peak Oil is a problem, one faces one of several options. One can assume that technology will save the day; but, despite the plethora of sites about zero point energy, or some other drivel, being the grand solution...the truth is that there is no viable, scalable solution in sight today.

Or, one can assume that global powerdown is required. But that's a change in mindset that people do not want and will not presently accept.

Failing the previous two choices, one can opt for fortress America - or fortress wherever. One can seal the borders and orient all national resources to survival. That's nearly as unlikely as the zero point energy solution mentioned above, given the momentum of globalization.

When the vast majority of people fail to accept that we may have a problem that involves the death of billions - then the entities that you refer to have nothing to say.

Which means that the change will be even more wrenching than it had to be. Hard crash, anyone?
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Unread postby Aaron » Tue 28 Jun 2005, 09:05:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.').. I figure there has to be a reason to post a link to this report now, as a site admin made the original post. No?


This report, (which is familiar to most regulars around here), is interesting from a number of perspectives including it's source, intended audience, and interpretation of familiar PO issues.

As an admin, I get to see the traffic reports on this site, and from time to time will "resurface" information for newcomers which I think is significant for one reason or another.

24 months ago there was barely any dialog from mainstream sources concerning PO.

The times they are a changin...
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

Hazel Henderson
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Re: The Three Roberts

Unread postby AdamB » Sat 23 Aug 2025, 10:41:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he peaking of world oil production presents the U.S. and the world with an
unprecedented risk management problem. As peaking is approached, liquid fuel
prices and price volatility will increase dramatically, and, without timely mitigation,
the economic, social, and political costs will be unprecedented. Viable mitigation
options exist on both the supply and demand sides, but to have substantial
impact, they must be initiated more than a decade in advance of peaking.


Link


Another link to prove something that can't withstand the onslaught of new oil production and discredited peak oilers of yesteryear. Figures. Sorry Aaron (RIP) but you invested more time than anyone should have into nonsense and mystical nonsense.
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."

Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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