by kpeavey » Tue 30 Sep 2008, 20:01:26
If the US is left with the SPR to support itself on 4M Bbl/day, the use of the fuel derived from this crude would be earmarked, prioritized, and allocated according to national security needs. Don't expect to fill your tank to drive to the beach, ain't gonna happen. In an oil emergency, this stuff will become invaluable. It would not be sold to the highest bidder and released to the public market. The military would get what it needs, followed by the federal government, then trickling down to state level allocation for police, command and control, critical infrastructure and systems such as the postal service, hospitals, then to the counties and cities.
Who gets the oil? Diesel locomotives hauling coal to power plants. 18 wheelers hauling food. FEMA. Harbor pilots and tug boats. Water districts and sewage treatment vehicles. The big grain producing companies like ADM and Cargill. Trucks hauling heating oil and propane. Bus lines, cabs, mass transit. Industries such as fertilizer plants, coal mines, steel, chemicals, and defense. Construction projects, highway repairs, ferries, road crews. Most importantly: Northcom, state troopers, national guard, sherrifs and the local police in order to control the crowds that will surely be rioting when they learn they get nothing.
How much do they get? 4M barrels/day to work with, less refinery consumption, the military taking what they need off the top, followed by federal agencies, then law enforcement, there won't be much left. If we're lucky, it will keep the lights on and the water flowing, but probably not everywhere and surely not for long.
The events of the last couple of months have shown how vulnerable the refinery capacity is to disruption, and how quickly and widespread are the effects. We have too many eggs in too few baskets, and an entire civilization dependent on continuous smooth operations.
If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face--for ever."
-George Orwell, 1984
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twenty centuries of stony sleep were vexed to nightmare by a rocking cradle, and what rough beast, its hour come round at last, slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?
-George Yeats