by Tyler_JC » Thu 03 May 2007, 21:43:30
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('aahala', 'I') guess any claim about the future that is not self-contradictory
or is not a violation of a physical law is possible, but it's reports
like this that are so extreme as to give renewables a bad name.
Look at these numbers: 248 GWH from wind in another 18 years.
That's 100 times what we have built the last 18 years. The 164
from solar(I presume cells) is more than 400 times the power added last year for the entire world!
Stated in another way, the report claims we could go from .6%
of grid power from wind to more than 50% of the present
production. What would be the annualized rate of growth on
that? Solar is even worse, much worse. In 2006 solar wasn't
.6% of the grid, but like 2% of wind!!!
The growth rate for wind power would have to be roughly 30% a year for the next 18 years.
That is certainly possible in the early stages.
But when you start talking about adding the last 100 GW in 3 years...
