by shortonoil » Sat 26 Jul 2008, 11:03:29
OilFinder2 said:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')his won't be the first time a bunch of banks have failed. And it won't be the last, either. Oh well.
In the last eight years 30 banks have failed in the US. Three of these have failed in the last two weeks.
The US banking and financial system is looking at $1.6 trillion in losses from depreciating residential housing, on top of the $400 million that has already occurred and been absorbed. Losses on commercial loans and corporate paper are just beginning to develop, and could well top $2 trillion. Besides that, this mess is leveraged 30:1.
This is not a matter of a “
bunch of banks” failing, this is a matter of hundreds, if not thousands of banks failing. This is a matter of the monetary systems of the world failing.
“And it won't be the last”; you probably won’t live long enough to see the last of this.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n an interview with RTT News,
Nouriel Roubini, Professor of Economics and International Business at NYU's Stern School of Business and Chairman of RGE Monitor stresses that we are in the middle of a "severe recession that is deepening" and will cause "at least a couple hundred small banks," to go "belly up," a third of regional banks to be in "severe trouble" and "at least a couple" major national banks to become "insolvent." Roubini says there is "no doubt" that the FDIC's reserve will be "drained 100-percent" and stresses that there is "nothing that can be done" to prevent this financial crisis and recession.
In addition,
Roubini predicts that Lehman Brothers "won't be able to survive" as an independent broker dealer.
Never in history have we seen a defaulting debt load of this magnitude, with this kind of leverage, and with a $1000 trillion derivatives market that will create a total world wide melt down when it implodes. This can not be compared to the S&L Crisis, the Asian Contagion or any other financial crisis in modern history. It is many, many magnitudes of order larger. Comparing past crisis to the one now developing, would be like comparing a flea to a bull elephant!
or as you would like it to be.