Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

THE "What If ..." Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Unread postby Chicagoan » Fri 12 Nov 2004, 15:42:56

This forum is being watched. I don't think this is a very smart topic. Futhermore, if someone is lurking here and sees this thread he/she might be turned away.
Chicagoan
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 296
Joined: Sat 19 Jun 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby Agren » Fri 12 Nov 2004, 16:29:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')his forum is being watched. I don't think this is a very smart topic.


Hmm, with replies like that one, I'm even more glad I don't live in the US...
User avatar
Agren
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 185
Joined: Thu 22 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Sweden

Unread postby Chicagoan » Fri 12 Nov 2004, 17:31:59

You don't scream fire in a crowded movie theatre. It is just common sense.
Chicagoan
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 296
Joined: Sat 19 Jun 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby k_semler » Fri 12 Nov 2004, 17:37:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Chicagoan', 'T')his forum is being watched. I don't think this is a very smart topic. Furthermore, if someone is lurking here and sees this thread he/she might be turned away.


This could be a good thing. If the CIA, FBI, BATF, or DHS is really watching this forum, then I say that if we contribute our ideas on how we would operate as a terrorist, then the various governmental agencies will see a portion of what the actual terrorists may try and plot. Just think, if a bunch of people online with no motivation can come up with a feasible terrorist scenario, then DHS may take proper precautions to prevent such an attack from happening in the united states. So, our ideas may lead to the improvement of this nation's security.

If I were a terrorist, I would find a way to set off the napalm mine that I brought up on this thread at a crowded public gathering such as the Super Bowl, the NCAA championship, the Academy Awards, or the Emmy Awards. It would be televised throughout the nation, and it would have an audience of millions of people. The panic that resulted from such a detonation would eclipse the actual damage, (unless it were done at the Super Bowl). All that would need to be done to do this is a small plane, and the prepared explosive. Once you were in target mode, just do a Kamikaze mission, and detonate the device when you are about 5-10 feet off the ground for maximum shockwave resulting from the blast.

Now the question is, how do they protect against this? It would be virtually impossible unless they were to close down a 10 mile radius of airspace surrounding every large public gathering in the United States. God, I hope nobody does this, it would surely end all liberties that we now enjoy. I would bet 20:1 that we would become a police state, and 1984 would look like a delirious dream world.
Here Lies the United States Of America.

July 04, 1776 - June 23 2005

Epitaph: "The Experiment Is Over."

Rest In Peace.

Eminent Domain Was The Murderer.
k_semler
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1797
Joined: Mon 17 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Democratic People's Republic of Washington

Unread postby pepper2000 » Sat 13 Nov 2004, 02:44:18

A terror plot that I think is reasonably likely.

A suicide bomber gets a truck full of fertilizer, like what McVeigh used, and drives it full speed into the Sears Tower or some place like that. Recall that the original plan to destroy the World Trade Center involved a truck bomb.
User avatar
pepper2000
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 112
Joined: Fri 15 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby pea-jay » Sat 13 Nov 2004, 03:15:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') suicide bomber gets a truck full of fertilizer, like what McVeigh used, and drives it full speed into the Sears Tower or some place like that. Recall that the original plan to destroy the World Trade Center involved a truck bomb.


I dont think that will work. The bldg is unapproachable head-on the blast too small to do damage (structural). Remember, WTC didnt collapse from the impact or initial fires. It collapsed from the prolonged heat from the uncontrolled office fires triggered by the planes, out of the reach of the NYFD.

No, more realistic terror would be several teams of terrorists firing SAMs at planes near random airports around the country. Our planes are not well protected and this stunt has already been attemped in the middle east.
UNplanning the future...
http://unplanning.blogspot.com
User avatar
pea-jay
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1547
Joined: Sat 17 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: NorCal

Unread postby k_semler » Sat 13 Nov 2004, 04:28:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pepper2000', 'A') terror plot that I think is reasonably likely.

A suicide bomber gets a truck full of fertilizer, like what McVeigh used, and drives it full speed into the Sears Tower or some place like that. Recall that the original plan to destroy the World Trade Center involved a truck bomb.


It did not work. They set off a truck bomb in a parking garage in 1992 with the intent to cause a structural collapse causing a topple into the other tower, but this did not work because the structural integrity was not compromised to any serious degree. This did not really crate any panic economically either if I recall correctly.

A better bet would be to use a truck of ammonium nitrate/diesel and detonate it at a very busy gas station, or on the Golden Gate bridge. Demolishing Grand Coulée Dam, Hoover Dam, and Dworshack dam simultaneously would also be a good way to cause panic and economic disaster. Depending on how full the reservoirs were at the time of destruction, the devastation to farmland and flood control would be catastrophic. Given full reservoirs, the effect of blowing these three dams would cause the dams downstream to overflow because of too much water. It would also devastate several cities, as they would be underwater while the flood waters passed. Lewiston is only 40 miles away from Dworshack dam, and it has been estimated that in event of a dam breach, you would have about 15 minutes to evacuate the city. The elevation of this city is around 750 feet above sea level, and the water level has been estimated that it would flood the city under 250 feet of water. Considering that the highest structure in the city is only 5 stories tall, and the Lewiston hill takes 10 minutes to climb at 65 miles an hour, it would be virtually impossible to evacuate a city of 50,000 persons in this short duration. Also consider the loss of electrical power, while it is only contributing about 7.146770131939012315520570479653% of the total electrical capacity, in a nation of ~293,000,000 people this would be ~20,940,037 people that are supplied with electricity from hydroelectric sources.

Dworshack dam generates 460 MW ,(.46GW), Grand Coulée dam generates 6809 MW, (6.809 GW is the largest hydroelectric generator in the United States), and Hoover dam generates 2,074 MW, (2.074GW). The total generation capacity of these three facilities is 9.343 GW. The total hydroelectric capacity of the United States is ~90GW, so the loss of these three dams would remove ~10.381% of the hydroelectric capacity of the United States, which would affect ~.0.741914% of the population directly for electrical services. This would equate to ~2,173,809 persons that would lose electrical power until facilities could be constructed to recover from that loss of available electricity. The loss of farmland, flood control systems, casualties in the cities that are flooded, as well as a power loss all caused by the breaching of three hydroelectric facilities would surely be the death bed of the economy. If this were done, it would serve a dual purpose, it would physically cripple our country, as well as put it in a near economic collapse.
Here Lies the United States Of America.

July 04, 1776 - June 23 2005

Epitaph: "The Experiment Is Over."

Rest In Peace.

Eminent Domain Was The Murderer.
k_semler
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1797
Joined: Mon 17 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Democratic People's Republic of Washington

Unread postby pea-jay » Sat 13 Nov 2004, 04:39:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')emolishing Grand Coulée Dam, Hoover Dam, and Dworshack dam simultaneously would also be a good way to cause panic and economic disaster.


Not to be buzz kill but short of a nuke, how would that be accomplished? Dams are massive AND inaccessable.
UNplanning the future...
http://unplanning.blogspot.com
User avatar
pea-jay
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1547
Joined: Sat 17 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: NorCal
Top

Unread postby lowem » Sat 13 Nov 2004, 05:46:33

Wasn't it shown in detail in the Tom Clancy movie "The Sum of All Fears"? The one with Ben Affleck, though personally I prefer the ones with Harrison Ford ...

If I remember correctly : you put a nuke in a vending machine, install the machine in the basement of a stadium where there's going to be a big game going on ...

And then there's the one in "The Rock" with Sean Connery and Nicholas Cage, where you steal a bunch of rockets equipped with VX chemical warheads, aim them at a stadium (see, again it's a stadium).

All that terrorists need to do is to watch the movies ... :lol:

Oh, I gotta mention "Speed" too, where you have a bus, and ....
Live quotes - oil/gold/silver
User avatar
lowem
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 1901
Joined: Mon 19 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Singapore

Unread postby k_semler » Sat 13 Nov 2004, 06:20:33

Non nuclear destruction could be accomplished by launching several GBU-28/B missiles at the structure you wish to penetrate. If that does not adequately satisfy the needed destruction, then there is always the B61-11. Now the only difficulty is how would a terrorist procure the means to launch such an attack? I cannot imagine a terrorist group commandeering a F-16 or B-2, and even if they did, they would be eliminated as soon as our airspace were violated. This would more likely be employed by an organized military than a terrorist group.
Here Lies the United States Of America.

July 04, 1776 - June 23 2005

Epitaph: "The Experiment Is Over."

Rest In Peace.

Eminent Domain Was The Murderer.
k_semler
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1797
Joined: Mon 17 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Democratic People's Republic of Washington

Unread postby Freud » Sat 13 Nov 2004, 11:17:01

Physical terrorism is old hat....

Information acts are far more deadly, precise, and huge.


With a well placed smear tactic, one could affect economics, perceptions, and have people turn on themselves and do far more damage than some yahoo with a suicide wish.

I'd say the pen, and the soundbite are the deadliest.
User avatar
Freud
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 97
Joined: Sun 31 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby pepper2000 » Sat 13 Nov 2004, 22:00:59

Freud, that sounds like what Lyndon LaRouche is doing. Fortunately, he's creating more laughts than fear.
User avatar
pepper2000
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 112
Joined: Fri 15 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby Freud » Sat 13 Nov 2004, 22:19:23

maybe so..... but his cred has been ruined and he's high profile.


I'm talking about manipulating the world conscienceness with acts such as beheadings or alternately military posturing and using the sound/video bites, written statements to influence far more change than what actually transpired physically.


It's the difference between a man with an ak shooting randomly in a crowd or a sniper picking off targets and loving the paranoia it creates...


Add some writings or statements and you have a basket of basket cases copying, and civilians hysterical beyond rational normality.


Governments do this to their own peoples and the peoples of the world.... watch closely... the enemy is returning the favour.


Ask yourself how so few people dying has created such a monumental change on nearly every level.


We're pawns, plain and simple.
User avatar
Freud
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 97
Joined: Sun 31 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby Deleterius » Sun 14 Nov 2004, 02:43:14

'' We're pawns, plain and simple.''
Freud

i assume that fact and i agree .....


but nevertheless ill keep trying going to the end of the boardgame and pick up a Queen...
User avatar
Deleterius
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 27
Joined: Fri 23 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Europe

Unread postby k_semler » Sun 14 Nov 2004, 03:02:33

Yes, Minitrue is very thorough in correcting misprints in newspapers. Our chocolate ration actually increased to 20 grams per week, it has not dropped. Miniplenty has exceeded their quota for the third quarter of the second five year plan.

Oceania, (US and allies), is at war with Eastasia, (in 1984 it was china and allies, I change it to the middle east). We have always been at war with Eastasia. Eastasia has also procured nuclear weapons, and is posed to launch against Oceania. However, the Oceania alliance with Eurasia, (EU and allies), will surely deliver a crushing blow to our enemy. For the protection of Ingsoc, (the American Way/Freedom/Democracy), we must crush the enemy of Eastasia.

In preparation for Hate Week, Minitrue will be distributing information concerning Eastasia's plan to overthrow Big Brother and the beloved Ingsoc. Please be advised that this information will be available at every museum, police station, and via Telescreen.
Here Lies the United States Of America.

July 04, 1776 - June 23 2005

Epitaph: "The Experiment Is Over."

Rest In Peace.

Eminent Domain Was The Murderer.
k_semler
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1797
Joined: Mon 17 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Democratic People's Republic of Washington

Unread postby Phil » Sun 14 Nov 2004, 04:01:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lowem', '.')..aim them at a stadium (see, again it's a stadium).


I sure hope it's a stadium; because by and large, thats where the morons in this country will be found. Professional sports is lowbrow entertainment into which flows tens of billions of dollars annually.

As people like Colin Campbell and James Kunstler have remarked, if people knew as much about science and energy as they did about sports, many of the world's ills simply wouldn't be.

As we all know, most Americans would rather talk about last night's football game then the impending collapse of easy living afforded by cheap and abundant fossil fuel. They don't want to look at the evidence; possibly because, they're not intelligent enough to understand it anyway.

Many of the 5 billion "extra" people on the planet since fossil fuels are extremely stupid. It is doubtful that many these people would have survived very long pre-fossil fuels, because their genes are crap. Their brains simply don't compute.

People suck. Yes I am an arrogant elitist.
User avatar
Phil
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 221
Joined: Tue 31 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Austin, TX
Top

Unread postby bentstrider » Sun 14 Nov 2004, 07:52:43

Y'all remember that show with Jessica Alba called "Dark Dev, er Angel"?
The main reason for the country being in the toilet was an EMP device.
If set off in the right area, you could pretty much grind everything to a halt.
People with ECU/fuel injected vehicles would be left with a paperweight.
Mass communication would be fried like an eggroll.
Electrical power grids would be smoked out.
Then you can take you're backwoods militia and mow down everything in your path with your fleet of early 70's pick-ups and low-tech diesels.
If you got planes from WW1 and 2, those would work just fine after the EMP as well.
bentstrider
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 375
Joined: Mon 25 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Southern California Desert

Re: Lets assume for a minute your a terrorist.

Unread postby born2respawn » Sun 14 Nov 2004, 10:28:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Specop_007', 'W')hat weapon would you use?
I'm partial to the AK-74 myself.

Few kilos of well placed explosives. Causing mass panic and economic collapse would ultimately kill far more than simply blowing up a stadium or something. Trigger another massive blackout during midwinter would have a massive knock on effect.

Fortunately the world's terrorists think in terms of TV spectaculars rather than long term, and look where it got them.
User avatar
born2respawn
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 198
Joined: Thu 15 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Britain
Top

Re: Lets assume for a minute your a terrorist.

Unread postby Freud » Sun 14 Nov 2004, 16:08:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('born2respawn', '
')
Fortunately the world's terrorists think in terms of TV spectaculars rather than long term, and look where it got them.


Look at the state of civil liberty and due process in the states...

HM security setting up offices in little worthless scrub towns all over the midwest.

The electing of a war mongering president who will assure the terrorists a fight instead of pulling out.

Airlines hurt, senses of innocense molested, McCarthy suspicions abounding, billions being spent to fight a nearly invisible "evil" army.

Unfortunately they're winning the long fight.
User avatar
Freud
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 97
Joined: Sun 31 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Unread postby gg3 » Mon 15 Nov 2004, 10:27:15

Suitcase nuke (or larger) within blast-damage radius of a nuclear power plant or chemical refinery. As I've said elsewhere, that's a force multiplier, with the added impact that a fear-crazed population trying to evacuate, would probably turn against any police/military/etc. who were trying to manage the evacuation routes in a sane manner.

Or, simultaneously, truck-bombings at three major shopping malls across the country (one East coast, one Midwest, one West coast) on the day after Thanksgiving. This would scare the shit out of the Holiday Shopping Season, and cause an economic depression.


Here's one, and I doubt anyone's going to come up with something worse that's even remotely feasible:

Wait for the next ebola outbreak. Send a couple of suicide terrs into the affected area as "charity workers." Have them make physical contact with ebola victims, thereby picking up the virus. Then, in the two weeks or so before they become symptomatic, they start flying all over the world, making sure to make casual physical contact with as many people on as many planes and in as many cities as possible.

At some point, they start showing symptoms themselves, but they keep making casual contacts. At some point, they get sick enough that they can't walk around easily, and this is the point at which each checks himself into a hospital emergency room. The medics don't realize what they're seeing, so they end up casually touching the terrs also, thereby picking it up. And then, each of the terrs, before the virus starts attacking their brains, calls up a radio or TV station (preferably a talk show) saying "Surprise!" and explaining what was done, and talking about all the cities they have visited to spread it around.

At this point you have two or three secondary and tertiary levels of contact & infection progressing like waves through the population. And the moment the news gets out, you have mass panic. And the moment the first secondary case presents to the hospital, you have mass panic on a scale never before seen. Even if the total casualty count didn't exceed a few tens of thousands, or even a few hundred thousands, the panic would be enough to shut America and Western Europe down for a month or two, at which point their economies are in the dumpster and their populations are permanently traumatized.

And yeah, I do hope that DHS is reading this board.

By the way, the simple & effective countermeasure to the above, is one-month quarantine for anyone coming out of an ebola hot zone. WHO and various aid organizations should take that step immediately.

Idea for a short story: OBL sends terrs into an ebola zone, but just as they think they're about to go out and spread it around, they get caught in the one-month quarantine, and divulge all of Al Qaeda's secrets as the virus eats them alive. Then they go noisily, messily insane, and die miserable deaths of multiple organ failure and hemmorhage. Hmm, I think I'll see about writing this one.... (all rights reserved)
User avatar
gg3
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 3271
Joined: Mon 24 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: California, USA

PreviousNext

Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests

cron