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THE Stephen Hawking Thread (merged)

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby rwwff » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 02:30:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('grabby', '
')That is correct. It was planned that way, and we aren't leaving it in any rocket.
The experiment is almost over, and we were found too selfish.


Maybe the purpose of the experiment is to get to a post energy humanity, people who finally have enough knowledge coupled with wisdom gained through suffering to become true stewards of the Earth.



Dang, now that was a hippy sounding thing to write. Where's my Metallica!
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby Loki » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 02:49:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('grabby', '
')I think scientists have lost their collective minds.


Why the Future Doesn't Need Us.

That said, your statement that it was "all planned that way" lost me. You aren't referring to some invisible friend in the sky are you?
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby MonteQuest » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 03:20:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'D')id you study ecology of extraterresterial planets?How can you be sure that "earthly" plants cannot grow on extraterresterial planet if composition of atmosphere (and rock) would be closely remaining ours?


This is funny stuff! Not in a billion bazillion years would any other planet even remotely resemble ours. The raw materials which are the same everywhere yes, but not the end product.

Natural selection and random genetic mutations is all the evidence you ever need to know.

What happened here on Earth happened nowhere else. Not even close. We might not even see bilateral symmetry of any species we ever find.

Too many episodes of Star Trek and Class M planets, I am afraid , and not enough Biology 101.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby eric_b » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 03:36:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('grabby', '
')Fusion requires throwing mass out the back for three years. No MSB\scss contained space ship has enough mass to throw out the back for three years.


False.
Only direct fusion products (say alpha particles) would te "thrown away"
However their energy in enormous (in range of 10 MeV) and their speed approaches speed of light itself.

Even LOW MASS of of ejected particles would impart great driving force to increase speed of rocket travelling in oposite direction.
Achieving speed in range of 10-20% of c would be possible without running out of mass to "throw avay".
Only "combustion products" of thermonuclear fuel would be "thrown away". That would do.


Come on. Currently the only way we know how to initiate fusion
is just like a star does it - the fuel must be confined, and the
temperature and pressure raised to the point to fuse whatever
fuel mixture you're using. Those 'direct' fusion products are
not going to be available to vent into space.

But even if you were to find a way to power the craft using the
radiation from the fusion reactor (you'd need some of it to power
the ship too) read what grabby said. The amount of mass you'd
need to carry to feed to your fusion reactor would be immense.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby Atlantean_Relic » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 10:21:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'D')id you study ecology of extraterresterial planets?How can you be sure that "earthly" plants cannot grow on extraterresterial planet if composition of atmosphere (and rock) would be closely remaining ours?


This is funny stuff! Not in a billion bazillion years would any other planet even remotely resemble ours. The raw materials which are the same everywhere yes, but not the end product.

Natural selection and random genetic mutations is all the evidence you ever need to know.

What happened here on Earth happened nowhere else. Not even close. We might not even see bilateral symmetry of any species we ever find.

Too many episodes of Star Trek and Class M planets, I am afraid , and not enough Biology 101.


So there is no planet where the animal are photosynthetic and look like lettuce only with legs and eyestalks?? Cause I really wanted an animal that would short circuit the minds od Peta.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby untothislast » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 10:28:42

Is this thread for real? We can't even wean ourselves off the infernal combustion engine, yet there are people here pinning their hopes on starships.

Laugh? I thought I'd never start.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 12:10:04

It's a hoot, ain't it?


:lol:


I have no problem with it, really. If folks want to go live in space, they should get right on it!
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby rwwff » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 12:20:38

On earthly planets, I think the idea was that we'd ship the earthly plants to a planet with a reasonably compatible atmosphere. Think along the lines of bacteria and algae; not wombats and philodendrin.

More horrible thought.... imagine if this poor planet happened to already have intelligent but pre-industrial (or worse post industrial) critters. As it enters their solar system, the Earth's carrier vessel splits open and 1500 small, mirv like capsules deploy in a cone, covering the entire planet as it rotates with green algae, bacteria, and mold spores. Imagine the thoughts of a species that had successfully navigated the power down and population reduction, leaving themselves very highly educated in both art and science, but localized and without mass industrial capacity. Someone spots the incoming carrier in the telescope, and they think, wow, we're not alone after all, lets greet these peaceful travellers from afar. Then they see it open up and deploy. They think, hmmm, not a bad way to get mass down to the surface without having to bleed off all that excess velocity, we better organize some search parties to help them collect their stuff. The mirvs come down... at 500 feet above the surface they "pop"... Far overhead, the carrier hull reenteres and burns up. Our alien friends, think, "how sad, we'll have to have a memorial service for those intrepid travellers who almost made it." A few minutes later, the ecologist, holding his "tricorder"/"palmtop" walks over to the search coordinator... "uh...Bob. You need to see something." a moment passes as all the blue leaves the coordinators face. Bob finally replies, in a stunned whisper, "oh.".

Talk about an ultimate form of biological warfare.

It is a silly topic though.. Still, I'd do anything to read or watch some spacefaring sci-fi that doesn't involve aero-banking space fighters or faster than light travel.

Edit: spelling... like usual
Last edited by rwwff on Fri 16 Jun 2006, 20:16:08, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby grabby » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 12:38:30

I was dreaming about antimatter last night!

I figured out calculating that at 8 million dollars a foot we are burning 1 million 300 thousnad gallons per foot

I think this spaceship has the lowest miles per ggallon of any thing man ever could invent

burning antimatter, the EROI is so low, that it takes 1,333,333 gallons of gas per FOOT TRAVELED to equal cost.

at this rate you would burn our NATIONAL DEBT up traveling at 20% speed of light in 1/200 of a second and you would travel 190 miles.

in one second you would burn our national debt up 200 times.

I think ANTIMATTER has the lowest EROI of any fuel and it produces the most power.

I don't think captain Kirk is in our future.

Wow.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby rwwff » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 13:04:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('grabby', '
')I think this spaceship has the lowest miles per ggallon of any thing man ever could invent


Spaceships don't do miles per gallon, they do delta-v. Once a spaceship is going x miles per hour, it will keep going x miles per hour essentially forever at least until it steals or contriubutes some velocity to a massive object like a planet or star, or deorbits and comes to rest in the new reference frame. (See the Jupiter assist phase of the New Horizons mission).

Setting aside peak oil for a moment, the question becomes when do people learn how to survive a long term trip in space without support. As the previous messages have shown, trying to get there fast is a hopeless excercise; you have to get there slowly over the course of several centuries. If not because it costs a lot to get up to high speed, but it costs even more to slow down once you are there. Let me posit something wierd then, which I think is less sci-fi than fusion jets and other exotic propulsion..

5,000 frozen human embryos. 100 artificial wombs; a few dozen caretaker robots; or maybe a couple real humans if one could figure out how to do the sci-fi "stasis" thing.
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Unread postby DefiledEngine » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 15:44:32

I wish I were a rocket man.

Click

Oh you, mr. Shatner.

Now all we need is the family guy version.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby Ingenuity_Gap » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 15:50:26

Dear EnergyUnlimited,

Maybe you're just trying to be optimistic, but energy is not unlimited, regardless of your nickname. Basic physics will tell you that.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'F')inally large distances are of little relevance if proper speed can be achieved.


This is why we will fail as a species, because we don't want to understand our limitations.

For some "mysterious" reasons, you omit the fact that enormous distances are of enormous importance. In the end it all comes down to energy. Even if you understand what a light-year means you obviously can't fathom it's real meaning. It's humongous, huge, enormous, gigantic, vast, colossal.

We don’t have the technology for that, not even in the most advanced labs. We don’t have a working science of that, not even in the minds of the best scientists we possess.

What we have is a hunch that “maybe” it is possible. It’s far from enough for what we need.

Can you understand our predicament? We're running out of cheap, readily-available energy right now. What makes you think that investing our money, skills, brains, and yes, energy into an energy-intensive space-travel project will have any positive results?

Almost anything is possible, but you have to know your priorities.

Stop day-dreaming. Start preparing.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby Ingenuity_Gap » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 15:59:10

This thread obviously goes nowhere, so I'll try to end it once and for all.

Unless Stephen Hawking knows something we don't know (which is very probable), he should stop smoking that grass. It's not healthy and it makes him say stupid things.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')tephen Hawking says humans must go into space


But of course, eventually we must go in space. Only not now. Why is that?

As some of you correctly noticed, there is an energy conundrum here: we are approaching the peak of our energy production, and every normal person can guess what will happen next.

You got it! We'll have less and less useful energy available.

Now this space-travel thing requires vast amounts of energy, so vast you’ll never be able to understand. Traveling to the closest star with the current technology or with what we have in the most advanced labs right now is utterly and totally fiction. Not even science-fiction, but pure fiction.

There are so many scientific and technological breakthroughs that need to be accomplished before we can put a rat’s ass on Proxima Centauri, that is hilarious how some of you, my beloved forum friends, are even trying to touch the subject.

For refreshing your knowledge please visit: When will we reach the stars?

For space travel’s sake, read the damn article and stop talking about antimatter, fusion, rockets, solar sails and other crap. It’s useless.

Stop this space-travel nonsense and get back to the real problems that await us in the not-too-distant future, aka PO and GW.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby rwwff » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 16:05:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ingenuity_Gap', '
')Unless Stephen Hawking knows something we don't know (which is very probable), he should stop smoking that grass. It's not healthy and it makes him say stupid things.


Its not a stupid thing to say if it gets people to fund stuff that he is really interested in. More telescopes, more colliders, and more robotic planetary missions. That would be happiness as seen from Steven Hawking's wheelchair.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 17:38:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'D')id you study ecology of extraterresterial planets?How can you be sure that "earthly" plants cannot grow on extraterresterial planet if composition of atmosphere (and rock) would be closely remaining ours?


This is funny stuff! Not in a billion bazillion years would any other planet even remotely resemble ours. The raw materials which are the same everywhere yes, but not the end product.

Natural selection and random genetic mutations is all the evidence you ever need to know.

What happened here on Earth happened nowhere else. Not even close. We might not even see bilateral symmetry of any species we ever find.

Too many episodes of Star Trek and Class M planets, I am afraid , and not enough Biology 101.


You are missing two points:

1. If composition of atmosphere and rock as well as pressure, themperature etc in alien world are sufficiently similar to ours, than earthly crops (or at least some selected earthly plants) could also be grown there. You do not need to worry about native lifeforms if all necessary conditions to grow your own food are met.
Doing so you will no longer need any food supplies from Earth to keep party going, contrary to your initial argument.

2. You cannot assume that organisms in alien worlds MUST BE grossly different than life forms on Earth.
They only MAY BE different.
For example there may be only ONE chemical way to deliver first primitive life forms.
In such scenario life must rely on RNA/DNA and aminoacids like here.
It is than very likely that whatever evolve from this "initial lifeforms", even if looking grossly different than organisms on the Earth, on molecular level (metabolism, chemical composition etc) it may be very similar.
For the human colony members it would not be so important that found creatures are of very different look (say luck of bilateral symmetry etc).
It would rather be more important that they could be EATEN (familiar chemical composition - DNA, aminoacids, carbohydrates etc).
Some careful invesrtigation would be wise before first dinner is made.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby AtmaStorm » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 18:07:25

Fusion and anti-matter.
The sheer energy involved in making/obtaining these fuels makes me
shake my head. It'll accelerate PO. And do you know how long it takes to make this stuff? Duetrium is stable, and we know how to store it. Anti-matter is entire different; that stuff will need some serious technological advancements in order to store it more or less safely.

And I don't care if Steven Hawking had an I.Q. Of 10000.
He's human, and is still susceptible to the same ignorance that plagues our Society.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 18:22:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('grabby', '
')but since the FUSION TORCH ENGINE is about 20 times less efficient than antimatter.
The same motor in a fusion rocket with ONE PERSON ON BOARD reaching 10% C
woudl take 760 million tons of hydrogen deuterium tritium.


Now, it is only
70,541,997,720,000 miles to alpha ceti
(12 light years away)


False.
1. You are assuming that all fusion fuel must be taken on board of spacecraft before travel begin.

This fuel can also be gathered from interstellar space, while travel proggress.
Look in Google for interstellar ramjet proposed by R.W. Bussard in 1960.
The idea is, that interstellar protons would be scooped by funnell shaped magnetic field (or electrostatic one) generated by mooving craft, compressed into combustion camber and burned in fusion process, than exhaust gas ejected on the back of craft producing acceleration (for example 1g during 1-2-3-how much you want years).
Here you have fuel for free. And you may go (in theory at least) as close to c as you wish. The FASTER you go, the BETTER it works.

The same mechanism would decelerate craft, while destination is approached.

There are many practical problems (say fusion process of hydrogen to hellium would have to be developed, very large magnetic fields generated and many, many more).
However there is no PHYSICAL barrier to prevent it working, neither unwieldly large quantities of nuclear propellants or antimatter stored on board are needed.

2. Alpha Centaurii is rather 4.2 than 12 light years away, but with the propulsion system described above it is of little relevance.
It is ternary (as I remember) system and it is most unlikely, that habitable planet is there. You must go further than that to find one.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby eric_b » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 19:42:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '
')You are missing two points:
(ignorant speculative bullshit deleted)


You're missing more than a few marbles, troll.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby MonteQuest » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 20:06:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'Y')ou are missing two points:

1. If composition of atmosphere and rock as well as pressure, themperature etc in alien world are sufficiently similar to ours, than earthly crops (or at least some selected earthly plants) could also be grown there. You do not need to worry about native lifeforms if all necessary conditions to grow your own food are met.
Doing so you will no longer need any food supplies from Earth to keep party going, contrary to your initial argument.

2. You cannot assume that organisms in alien worlds MUST BE grossly different than life forms on Earth.


You have absolutely no grasp of natural selection and genetic mutations do you?
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby Chicken_Little » Fri 16 Jun 2006, 20:15:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '
')

There are many practical problems (say fusion process of hydrogen to hellium would have to be developed, very large magnetic fields generated and many, many more).
However there is no PHYSICAL barrier to prevent it working, neither unwieldly large quantities of nuclear propellants or antimatter stored on board are needed.

2. Alpha Centaurii is rather 4.2 than 12 light years away, but with the propulsion system described above it is of little relevance.
It is ternary (as I remember) system and it is most unlikely, that habitable planet is there. You must go further than that to find one.




What part of 'it's not going to happen' didn't you understand?

You seem to be regurgitating the same wildly optimistic space fantasies I used to when i was 12 or 13.

Next you'll be telling us aliens built the Pyramids or something.
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