[theluckycountry]

I'll kick it off with the opinion that the whole thing is a hyped up money making scramble driven by a few big corporations and a lot of people that have watched too many SciFi movies. There isn't anything actually approaching Artificial Intelligence, it's all just fast computers with software designed to mimic intelligence. They are not "thinking" for themselves, like HAL in the movie 2001, they are just following a script written by coders. And when they do go off and write their own script, it's typically a cock-up, like the following.

AI Agent Goes Rogue, Wipes Out Company's Entire Database
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')aaS industry veteran Jason Lemkin's attempt to integrate artificial intelligence into his workflow has gone spectacularly wrong, with an AI coding assistant admitting to a "catastrophic failure" after wiping out an entire company database containing over 2,400 business records, according to Tom’s Hardware.

[theluckycountry]

"When I see a bubble forming, I rush in to buy, adding fuel to the fire."
— George Soros

The Next Great Bubble: Riding Quantum, AI, and Crypto Stocks

This article explores what a full-blown speculative peak could look like over the next couple of years, and how much upside may still lie ahead if the current bull run evolves into a true mania. We’ll examine lessons from past bubbles, outline the broader themes driving this one, and highlight several individual stocks that could become major winners along the way. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-gre ... 00125.html

[theluckycountry]

Bezos Dumps $5.7 Billion In Amazon Stock. Now CNBC Buyout Rumors Swirl

Because if you're selling a mountain of your stock at what is likely a TOP, it's good to have a cover story to satisfy those that still hodl it. How much do the hodlers of Amazon stock get paid? Nothing. Its never paid a dividend. Bezos has ridden the A.I. bubble up and he's invested in mobs like Physical Intelligence, a private equity robot startup with a supposed value of 2.4 billion. An IPO in the wings I'll wager. Like Elon he portrays himself as a High priest Tech, an innovator taking the world into the 21st century. But stop and have a look at what his empire has actually achieved? It's preyed on the innate laziness of people and suckered billions into buying through his platform, paying higher prices than they would have otherwise. He's raped most of the small national retail business too, they have to sell through him, no one will go looking for "Mick's nuts and bolts".

These men are parasites, Zuckerberg is a parasite, musk is a parasite. People have given them untold billions in exchange for addictive toxic social media access, shitbox shit-build overpriced Battcars. All in the name of being on the cutting edge of tech. It's a religion for them, We older men are wise enough to know facebook and meta's other products are detrimental to our lives but silly women and brainless men flock to them. I used Amazon once and then realized I got duded. The place if full of cheap Chinese garbage and the actual quality product is hidden under a layer of "Preferred" product. Which is just another way of saying the products the company makes the most profit off, not the product most suited for me.

These Big players like Bezos don't dump shares "right" at the top, they begin selling early. Being cited as the richest man on earth simply due to a high valuation of the company you started and still hold stock in means nothing. Today it's $231 a share, in April it was $167, in February it was $242. In a market crash it could lose 50% or more, which is exactly what it did 3 years ago.

8.5%, that is all the interest he still owns in the company. Last year, he sold as well, 75 million shares and took home $13.6 billion. His future prosperity's guaranteed now, regardless of what happens in the markets. can you say that. Or are you still shoveling every consumable dollar into Tech products and have your retirement savings in shells like Amazon Meta and Tesla et el?

At the Trump Inauguration, showing their solidarity. You don't exist in their eyes, you're just sheep to be shorn and butchered.

[theluckycountry]

Humanoid Robot Learns How To Fold Laundry

They are chattering about the "iPhone moment" for these AI-powered machines being just a few years away. So what was so special about the iphone? It did the internet on a bigger screen than the blackberry or Nokia is all. And after about 20 years where is it? The same, but bigger, and with a better camera essentially.

Ever bought sheets from the store? They come folded, precisely. Who did that? A machine obviously. Machines folding laundry is not special, nor is one serving popcorn or making coffee when all the ingredients are right there in the same place, every time. All these robots are just simple machines doing simple tasks like in the factory, except they are on legs now. Show me a robot (under a million dollars) that can collect the laundry off the floor or the basket, carry it to the machine, spray the stains on the collars and cuffs, then wash it, according to type, peg it out on the line (in the wind), be able to check if it's dry, then carry it back (upstairs) fold it and put it away in the proper draws and I'll be impressed.

How gullible are people... They read these stories of robots performing simple functions standing in one spot and then project all I described above as being a natural progression, in like the next 5 or 10 years Have they learned nothing from nuclear fusion? From the lame space exploration dreams? From the Battcar fiasco?

Innovation, it's fantastic, I love my digital cameras, they were a HUGE leap forward compared to the old celluloid ones back before the 2000's. But they passed through their innovation curve and are now about as good as they'll get. In reality they were simply built on the common tech of the day, replacing celluloid with a CCD. Same with the Laptop computer. What's functionally different between one sold 20 years ago and one sold today, very little.

The Boeing space capsule that (failed) to bring it's (Space travelers) home last year was barely different to the one that brought the Apollo astronauts home in 1969. That's 45 years! Innovation has it's limits folks and robots are no different to cameras or space capsules, they have practical plateaus they reach and go no further. In 50 years, in 150 years? Sure, we may see another great leap in innovation then, if we are still here... But there is no endless upward progression of technology as people assume, or should I say, as marketing companies portray when they create advertising campaigns for this stuff. And that's what's really behind all this hopium. Developers wanting to get rich by spruking vast Lies about the soon to be benefits of their product.

Elon Muck was a master at this, standing on stage before a lame digital rendition of a manned Mars mission while he pumped out ordinary electric cars that had so many downsides it would lead to a total collapse in sales once the faithful masses finally woke up from the hypnotic trance. These buyers were ordinary people, and I mean that in the sense that they were truly "Ordinary", boring, pointless, office johnnies, like those accountants that buy Harley Davidsons so they can go out on the weekends and pretend they are real men's men. These are the types that bought Teslas, nobodies, neat and tidy consumers looking to be special like the deadhead kid who gets tattoos because he thinks they will make him tough.

Do we see the wealthy classes driving these range-bound ordinary looking cars? Of course not! They want style and power and luxury. And more than that, they want reliability, they want predictability, and they want a car they can be proud of. Outside of the techno meme, how could anyone be proud of a Tesla or any of the common battery powered offerings? They are so... Ordinary? But what is a Tesla anyway, it's just a car built on the technological breakthroughs of the likes of Henry Ford. 4 wheels, seats in a cabin, brakes, glass windshield, all assembled on a production line. Nothing really new in other words, just refinements on a 120 year old product. And let's face it, that's because the car, as designed by the likes of Henry Ford, was as close to the mark as you could get to the optimum transport design for the average family or individual. Tweak it sure, but stick to the basic design as far as size and function.

Robots doing chores in the home? Pleeeeze, just leave all that twaddle in the SciFi realm where it can practically exist because they will never be a serious starter. If they ever did though they won't be folding cloths I assure you, they will be confined to the bed performing sexual services, the simple back and forward and up and down motions they are good at, because that's the only way people will be ponying up tens of thousands for them

Pathetic effort
https://x.com/Figure_robot/status/1955290971660251220

Here they come
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=orBH_Qnw3eY

[theluckycountry]

Who was that poster in love with chat gpt? Was it inke, or plant?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s with all commercially marketed digital applications, economic viability depends on user engagement; the longer Facebook can keep its users’ faces glued to the slop doled out by the algorithm, the more ad bucks. Thus it is with AI chatbots, which have been designed to exhibit “sycophancy” — the combined programmed traits of agreeability and flattery that keep the user engaged by inflating his ego.

[careinke]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')
Welcome to Alice in Wonderland you fools

[AgentR11]

I've been using several AI's for my sailboat hunting experiment with a lot of success really; I tried Grok, and it was honestly more detailed and substantially faster. I'm not sure if that is due to some qualitative difference, or just more people are using chatgpt and copilot than are using Grok at the moment. I don't have a lot of confidence that this is going to boost TSLA stock much further than it already is boosted, but I could be wrong. Bit of a skeptic about many things, could just be my nature; it just seems to me that the excitement period is current, and the future will be "hmmmm, I wish it could do... but it can't."

We'll see though. For now, hunting sailboats via AI for retirement fun has been both informative and quite fun in its own right. I've not tried having it to any work, other than using it like an enchanced technical manual, which it is fairly good at.

[theluckycountry]

Oh it's no doubt that they are very good ratting the databases for information, the trouble starts when an AI compiles it all. You only have to be out in one fundamental variable to make an equation worthless so to speak. AI excels at that, 99% right and 1% error, but you don't know what the errors is, and it could be mission critical.

At least with humans we know there is a likelihood for error, so we crosscheck. Example: I was on youtube looking for a good technique for changing the oil on a new bike I bought. One suggested I pull off the RH lower fairing and go in that side to access the oil filter. It seemed reasonable. Another poster's vid said the LH side was best because the gap between the extractors and engine was wider there, more room to get at the filter, and he was right. The third one I watched showed how to make a curved chute out of cardboard to angle up under the filter, so when unscrewed the excess oil would run down into a tray off to the side and not run all over the pipes. He also accessed the LH side.

I was able to use my personal experience to instantly verify the best option, but which one would AI pick? They can't "THINK" like we think, all they do is collate the data and present info the algorithms recommend. By whatever convoluted process that entails. And that is all they will ever be able to do because "Intelligence" is not integral to the programs, only the programmers. All the rest is SciFi marketing crap which dutiful consumers lap up like buttermilk.

Like Inke's self driving car, it's really just a well programmed machine, but you still have to watch the road like a hawk, probably more so than if you were driving yourself. I can only guess the stress these Beta testers are placing themselves under, being the ultimate backseat driver so to speak. Poor saps.

[Newfie]

Very much an AI newbie. Ni have started to use it to verify news stories or posts that seem suspect. Or is there is some interesting bit I want to post of FB but it is dripping with political crap. I will ask Chat for a synopsis, then post that. Gets to the point without the slurs. And it takes me out of the interpreter role. Nice and neutral.

I do find it quite limited at times. I was trying to ID a weird type of tire valve. I spent a few minutes googling and then tried Chat. It found the exact same post I had found and no other info.

[careinke]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'V')ery much an AI newbie. Ni have started to use it to verify news stories or posts that seem suspect. Or is there is some interesting bit I want to post of FB but it is dripping with political crap. I will ask Chat for a synopsis, then post that. Gets to the point without the slurs. And it takes me out of the interpreter role. Nice and neutral.

I do find it quite limited at times. I was trying to ID a weird type of tire valve. I spent a few minutes googling and then tried Chat. It found the exact same post I had found and no other info.

[Newfie]

Used CHATGPT today to verify a Trump quote and blew it. It gave me an incorrect citation, which I quoted and then I got jumped. It seems the quote was real but CHATGPT only checked OFFICIAL SOURCES which deleted parts of the gibberish. At least it admitted that and then I asked it to check actual verbatim quotes it checked actual complete transcripts and there it was. I had it go back to the original date and source it gave me and, nope, not there. No apology of course.

That was interesting to see how it optimized its search to easy to find and historical sources. Events only 2 days old were not scanned, and only select sources were scanned. Took me about 4 or 5 swipes to get it to find the correct and verifiable source.

I can see the bias is to low effort scans, higher quality is possible but needs to be externally driven. A lot like a iid doing home work. What was troubling was the completely false answer it first provided. Not very confidence building.

I will keep using it but will be more careful now.

[theluckycountry]

They are good if you're lonely

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SQZn8nPve5A
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/6w2RVbm3 ... ture=share

[theluckycountry]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '�')��When we rashly turn over our decision-making to external aids, such as committees or computers, we lose the ability to bring the full power of our brain to bear on a problem. We, in essence, have carved out a hole in our understanding and replaced it with someone else’s solution. If we don’t learn the underlying concepts behind that new information, then we’re blindly trusting that it’s correct. We lose the ability to quickly reconfigure concepts into creative solutions, which is one of the great strengths of the human mind.”

[theluckycountry]

It's always interesting to hear what people on the ground are saying.
A Reddit "this week’s What’s Happening at Work post "

- I had to spend 2 hours showing my marketing team that the reason that their attempts to retain customers had nothing to do with the effectiveness of their campaigns but instead was due to a huge amount of people no longer being able to afford to pay for our products. People are broke and getting broker.
- As a salesman, I can't get my boss to understand that people are broke. He's a fantastic salesman himself, but he hasn't been in the field for a few years. We're in for a rude awakening.

- I regularly meet with startups and small entrepreneurs— four of my five clients today were starting a “business “ because they were recently laid off. Senior official from TSA, Northrop Grumman Employee, GE, NASA and USAID senior officials. All in way over their heads and burning through their savings before their jobs officially end. It’s been consistently like this for about a month now and my appointments book out six weeks. Our banking and commercial lending partners have shut off new funding to “highly and moderately cyclical” businesses. Central Maryland.

- We post junior barely-above entry-level roles and get PhDs with 15-20 years of experience applying. Which can happen anywhere at any time, but not a dozen plus for every role.

What's the common thread here? These are all Bullshit-Jobs, mouse-pushers, talkers, in other words non-productive parasite jobs. Hundreds of years ago there was no "middle management", no "sales departments", and for good reason, there was no money/wealth/cheap energy to support such frivolous jobs. Plumbers and locksmiths aren't being laid off. Farmhands and Copper miners aren't. Many supermarket jobs have gone with the introduction of the do-it-yourself cattle chute checkouts but that has reached maximum potential I think. The supermarkets made a fatal error there, they didn't compensate the plebeians for doing the work of the checkout operator, all it would have taken was say a 5% off the top discount, and they could have recouped that and increased profit by simply putting the price of everything up 5%. But only so many people want to be an unpaid checkout operator/bag packer...

A.I. If there is one thing it can do it's replace many of these BS jobs. Certainly all the call center ones, many of the retail sales ones. Lawyers even have been using it to prepare briefs, so who needs those parasites now.

So yes they'll force AI into many quarters, as they have been for some years now. My old 2008 4x4 has a smart computer controlled traction system called ESP. That's basically AI, but a relatively unobtrusive one, only coming into play when absolutely needed.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n simple terms, the Electronic Stability Program® system counteracts a vehicle’s skidding movements to bring it in line with its natural path of motion as per the laws of physics. The functioning of the ESP® constitutes the Anti-lock Braking System (ABS), Traction Control System (TCS) & Stability Control (SC). It uses a range of sensors to measure the vehicle’s movement. An electronic control unit uses this information to calculate the actual movement of the vehicle along its desired direction of travel.

The ESP® system compares the vehicle's movement data continuously. It can cut power to the wheel/s or apply the brakes on multiple wheels instantly to counteract the adverse impact of a sudden change in the direction of travel and allow the vehicle to follow the driver's intended direction of travel in case of sudden maneuvering or skidding.

[theluckycountry]

I should have called this the A.I. Bubble thread...
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')resident Donald Trump hosted a high-profile dinner at the White House, drawing a roster of Silicon Valley’s most influential leaders to discuss artificial intelligence and U.S. investment. The gathering included Meta's Mark Zuckerberg, Apple's Tim Cook, Microsoft's Bill Gates, and OpenAI’s Sam Altman...

AI and Crypto Czar David Sacks and Chamath Palihapitiya, both attendees of the dinner, offered an insider account of the event on the “All-In” podcast. “It started with a group that Chamath organized in Silicon Valley. They were the core nucleus, and then more and more people wanted to join,” Sacks said. “Pretty soon, the president invited the top tech leaders, and it turned into the room you saw. It’s pretty amazing—President Trump’s ability to convene all these folks. I’d say maybe half the tech industry was there by market cap.”

[AgentR11]

A bubble this is not. This sucker is real. Its rate of progression is staggering, and it shows no signs of easing off.

That said, the stock valuations I think are stupid. So maybe you can call that a bubble. But the chips are real, the tech is real, the progress is real, and the resultant work product is real, and will be driving factories and other facilities and functions with truly unprecedented autonomy in the coming decades. And to be honest, I think its going to be China that eventually steps out in front on this; their stupid birth restriction policy has put them in a demographic pothole. If you can't generate fresh, instant 35 year old Chinese people; I bet you can generate millions of instant, adult sized, competent robotic capabilities (humanoid, canine, or other form factor as needed.) Just needs AI to make it all come together.

And it is not collapse. It is liberation.

Gonna be some bumps in the road of course, but this is going to be good to watch in my final years...

[theluckycountry]

“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.” Upton Sinclair

[AgentR11]

As my salary does not depend on AI, please proceed with an argument. So far you've made an assertion... with no evidence.

[theluckycountry]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', 'A')s my salary does not depend on AI, please proceed with an argument. So far you've made an assertion... with no evidence.

[theluckycountry]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h2veI5q ... rt_radio=1