by davep » Wed 21 Apr 2010, 17:40:34
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ian807', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Maddog78', 'I') have made this post many times so I'm only going to repeat myself one more time.
I'm sure EROEI is a fine concept and makes sense in theory.
It probably is easy to calculate for nuclear or ethanol or even tar sands but it is nearly impossible to calculate with any accuracy for conventional onshore or offshore oil wells so therefore it is not taken into account when planning a project.
I have 30 years experience in the oil industry and have been involved in many domestic and international projects.
The term EROEI has never come up, not one single time in any relation whatsoever with any project.
If the project theoretically can make a ROI, it goes ahead.
Now it could well be that a bad EROEI is also a bad ROI project. I won't dispute that but EROEI is not used in the oil industry in planning or executing projects.
The only thing that matters is, can it make money, period.
What is your experience in planning oil field projects?
Can you show me a single project where an oil company has used EROEI?
I already know the answer to this since short has asked the question multiple times on this board and no one has ever produced a single example.
Last post from me on this issue.
I hate to point out something this obvious, but when EROEI approaches 1 to 1, we're done with oil as a major energy source.
I don't doubt that some little wells in Texas and California will be cranking out a few barrels a day 100 years from now to supply a niche chemical market or a fertilizer market or something, but we certainly won't be using it as transportation fuel.
At a certain point, however, there's no point, and certainly no money, in major oil exploration, refining or distribution as we do it today for transportation fuel.
If the energy used to extract the oil is cheaper, then it can theoretically continue due to the price differential, despite having an EROEI of less than one. But this will ensure that the input costs increase relative to oil over time (so making it cost prohibitive), and we'll be in big trouble anyway at that point.
However, on small-scale operations, such as on-farm ethanol plants, EROEI is irrelevant because the energy from ethanol can be so much more useful for certain applications than solar, beets and wood.