Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Muckingfess » Fri 27 Jun 2008, 12:31:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', 'W')hat will happen if individual states begin to assert their sovereignty proactively? Texas already has ERCOT, what if they demand that gasoline exports be curbed? This could become an issue before hitting the MOL, I think, through legislative earmarks for citizenry. Before the TRC took control OK was demanding it receive its fair share of quota - the Iran to Texas's SA, sort of. And of course their legislature recently declared its 10th Amendment rights against the Fed.

Beats me what Oregon could bring to the table. Anybody trade a few barrels for some tasty filberts? :-D Oh yeah, we've got heaps of hydro. Now, how would you hoard that?


Just thought I'd throw this out there:

What if Texas decided to close it's borders, all of them. Oil, cattle, farming, technology, Texas has it all. Ideally you would have to be a native Texas to live here, but that would be impractical so just close the borders now. Control exports of our products. What would we need to import? I can't think of anything. Hmmm..... of course we would make Crawford our token sanctuary city.
A man should never wear a hat that has more character than he does.
User avatar
Muckingfess
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 110
Joined: Mon 26 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Texas

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby lotrfan55345 » Fri 27 Jun 2008, 15:04:21

The US is more divided by urban/rural lines than regions, according to various demographic and election maps...
lotrfan55345
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1091
Joined: Tue 20 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Minneapolis / Pittsburgh

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby ReducedToZero » Sun 06 Jul 2008, 02:55:18

Long live the California Republic... hahha we're f***ed
User avatar
ReducedToZero
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 76
Joined: Sun 29 Jun 2008, 03:00:00
Location: San Luis Obispo, CA / San Jose, CA

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Micki » Sun 06 Jul 2008, 03:40:58

Anyone knows the status of this?

Oklahoma declares sovereignty

I know it went through state senate three times but haven't heard more about it since.
Micki
 

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby nobodypanic » Sun 06 Jul 2008, 15:33:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Muckingfess', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', 'W')hat will happen if individual states begin to assert their sovereignty proactively? Texas already has ERCOT, what if they demand that gasoline exports be curbed? This could become an issue before hitting the MOL, I think, through legislative earmarks for citizenry. Before the TRC took control OK was demanding it receive its fair share of quota - the Iran to Texas's SA, sort of. And of course their legislature recently declared its 10th Amendment rights against the Fed.

Beats me what Oregon could bring to the table. Anybody trade a few barrels for some tasty filberts? :-D Oh yeah, we've got heaps of hydro. Now, how would you hoard that?


Just thought I'd throw this out there:

What if Texas decided to close it's borders, all of them. Oil, cattle, farming, technology, Texas has it all. Ideally you would have to be a native Texas to live here, but that would be impractical so just close the borders now. Control exports of our products. What would we need to import? I can't think of anything. Hmmm..... of course we would make Crawford our token sanctuary city.


here's a thought... we just cut off a few of your major rivers, i.e., the rio, pecos, that sort of thing?
User avatar
nobodypanic
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1103
Joined: Mon 02 Jun 2008, 03:00:00

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Ludi » Sun 06 Jul 2008, 18:16:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nobodypanic', '
')here's a thought... we just cut off a few of your major rivers, i.e., the rio, pecos, that sort of thing?


Oh now, there are no "major rivers" in Texas, only creeks.
:P
Ludi
 

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby bshirt » Fri 09 Apr 2010, 19:36:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'I')f you're really interested in this subject, you might want to read The Untied States of America: Polarization, Fracturing, and Our Future.

Yes, that's "Untied," not "United." He argues that historically, nations are not static. Just viewed through the lens of history...the chance of the US surviving as it is is unlikely.

With peak oil, I think it's even more likely we will break up. Centralized government has an energy cost. The world will get larger, and it will get more and more difficult for Washington to call the shots all over the country. It will simply become more efficient for local government to do things that the feds do now.

Politically speaking, it could be argued that we've never really healed from the Civil War. A lot of the Red vs. Blue state divide is geographically the same as the South vs. the North. As times get tougher, I think a lot of these old schisms will intensify.


I certainly agree with that. I would only add that the Midwest aligns with the South in many ways.

Oh please, spare me the screaming liberal rants of "racism". The differences have little of anything to do with that. There's a big, big difference in atitudes, political leanings/expectations between the midwest/south and the northeast/west regions.

What does Nebraska, Oklahoma, Texas, etc have in common with Massachusetts or California? Well, not much....they might as well be different countries right now.

That our current federal govn is bloated beyond comprehension and simply bankrupt can not much longer be denied. Centralized big govn was an experiment that is slowly dying.

I can see a breakup happening. Maybe it's for the best...
User avatar
bshirt
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 502
Joined: Sat 23 Dec 2006, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Sixstrings » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 08:24:47

I really don't get the whole secessionist movement. Yes, the federal government is bad, but has anyone taken a hard a look at state governments lately? Oh man, talk about corrupt, incompetent, short-sighted, etc. And as someone else mentioned, there are economies of scale involved. If your state became independent, then taxes would have to go up since you'll have the new massive task of building up a military.

This is all just silly talk, of course. No states will ever secede, it was a very big deal and hard decision even back in the 1860's, and the world is so much different now -- the states are FAR less culturally / racially centric, etc. So it's all just fantasy talk.. the US is fully homogenized now, and without very strong regional cultural identities, you could never have secession.

And again, it's just silly anyway to somehow think your state government would do a better job than the Feds. Heck, even the Confederate constitution was pretty much and exact copy of the US Constitution, just a few small differences like a presidential line item veto.
User avatar
Sixstrings
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 15160
Joined: Tue 08 Jul 2008, 03:00:00

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby bshirt » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 09:00:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'I') really don't get the whole secessionist movement. Yes, the federal government is bad, but has anyone taken a hard a look at state governments lately? Oh man, talk about corrupt, incompetent, short-sighted, etc. And as someone else mentioned, there are economies of scale involved. If your state became independent, then taxes would have to go up since you'll have the new massive task of building up a military.

This is all just silly talk, of course. No states will ever secede, it was a very big deal and hard decision even back in the 1860's, and the world is so much different now -- the states are FAR less culturally / racially centric, etc. So it's all just fantasy talk.. the US is fully homogenized now, and without very strong regional cultural identities, you could never have secession.

And again, it's just silly anyway to somehow think your state government would do a better job than the Feds. Heck, even the Confederate constitution was pretty much and exact copy of the US Constitution, just a few small differences like a presidential line item veto.


Oh my kind sir, I most respectfully disagree.

I'll take my chances without the Federal govt and the Federal Reserve. I think the Midwest/South can and will adapt to the loss of the welfare state relatively quite easily. We'll see my compadre'....
User avatar
bshirt
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 502
Joined: Sat 23 Dec 2006, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Cloud9 » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 09:02:54

To understand secession, you have to follow the money. At the founding of the republic, the southern states led by Virginia were the economic and political power houses of the day. Alexander Hamilton in his effort to concentrate wealth in the hands of a few, brokered a deal that set up the political capital in the south and the economic capital in the north.

At first, the southerners did not grasp the devil’s bargain they had made. The concentration of wealth industrialized the north and created a huge demand for cheap labor. This demand for labor caused northern populations to explode. This concentration of wealth and population shifted political power to the north.

Tariffs were passed that benefited northern workers at the expense of southern consumers. Workers toiling away in factories for pennies feared slaves would take their jobs. The British navy ended the lucrative slave trade that had enriched northeaster shipping interest. The abolition movement was born.

Dialog between the north and south devolved into screaming contests. Communication ceased. Southerners feared that slaves freed by northern abolitionists would take their revenge. Secessionitis was born.
User avatar
Cloud9
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2961
Joined: Wed 26 Jul 2006, 03:00:00

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Sixstrings » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 10:05:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bshirt', 'I')'ll take my chances without the Federal govt and the Federal Reserve. I think the Midwest/South can and will adapt to the loss of the welfare state relatively quite easily. We'll see my compadre'....


So, do you really think a new Lone Star Republic wouldn't have a central bank? You hate the federal reserve, but every nation on earth has a central bank. And you say a new Confederacy wouldn't have a welfare state. Well, let's face it, a lot of minorities use those services. So would you deny blacks the right to vote? And if too many poor white voters wanted some food stamps, would you reinstate the property owning requirement for voting?

Those are very big changes there, so expect major rioting. To handle the major civil unrest, not to mention keeping Hugo Chavez from invading, you'd have to fund a robust military.
User avatar
Sixstrings
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 15160
Joined: Tue 08 Jul 2008, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Ludi » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 10:25:19

As a rule the red states get more federal support versus taxes paid than blue states. So Dumfuckistan will definitely miss its federal $$ if it breaks away. Not to mention the income from the military, which is huge in places like Texas.
Ludi
 

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Cloud9 » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 11:21:43

If the cut back in military becomes serious this trend may reverse. Demographics is another issue. Over half my class is on free and reduced lunch.
User avatar
Cloud9
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2961
Joined: Wed 26 Jul 2006, 03:00:00

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby TheAntiDoomer » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 11:49:56

"why the feeling the us will break up in the future?"

perhaps you ingested too many shrooms?
"The human ability to innovate out of a jam is profound.That’s why Darwin will always be right, and Malthus will always be wrong.” -K.R. Sridhar


Do I make you Corny? :)

"expect 8$ gas on 08/08/08" - Prognosticator
User avatar
TheAntiDoomer
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1556
Joined: Wed 18 Jun 2008, 03:00:00

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby gollum » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 12:40:07

Last edited by gollum on Sat 10 Apr 2010, 12:45:08, edited 1 time in total.
gollum
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1048
Joined: Thu 11 Nov 2004, 04:00:00
Location: Wyoming

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Sixstrings » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 12:42:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'A')s a rule the red states get more federal support versus taxes paid than blue states. So Dumfuckistan will definitely miss its federal $$ if it breaks away. Not to mention the income from the military, which is huge in places like Texas.


True. It seems strange that the states that receive more fed dollars than they pay in taxes are the same states that have governors talking secession and state nullification and all that. But on the other hand you could ague that maybe the south has been taken advantage of by the north, just as Greece has been hollowed out by Germany.

But anyhow there's never going to be secession UNLESS we have worldwide collapse. I'm not emotionally attached to either position, the only point I wanted to make is that I don't understand why people assume their state government would somehow become a lily white knight on a horse and supposedly do so much better than the federal government. Government is government, and they tend to cater to monied special interests.

Take West Virginia for example.. if they were a sovereign nation, there would be ZERO industrial regulation there, since Big Coal and the other industrialists run that state.
User avatar
Sixstrings
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 15160
Joined: Tue 08 Jul 2008, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Ludi » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 13:00:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', ' ')the only point I wanted to make is that I don't understand why people assume their state government would somehow become a lily white knight on a horse and supposedly do so much better than the federal government.



Because they love their state! :)

Here in Texas, there is limited state government. To many people, limited = good, even if what little government there is might be terrifically corrupt, at least it is small.


To its credit, Texas apparently pays slightly more than it receives in federal $$. This is not counting the bozillions pouring in via the military, of course.

"Federal Tax Burdens and Expenditures: Texas is a Donor State
Texas taxpayers receive less federal funding per dollar of federal taxes paid compared to the average state. Per dollar of Federal tax collected in 2005, Texas citizens received approximately $0.94 in the way of federal spending. This ranks the state 35th nationally and represents a slight decrease from 1995, when Texas received $0.95 per dollar of federal taxes paid (ranking them 37th nationally). Neighboring states and the amount of federal spending they received per dollar of federal taxation paid were as follows: New Mexico ($2.03), Oklahoma ($1.36), Arkansas ($1.41), and Louisiana ($1.78).
Comparing the amount of federal taxes sent to Washington with the amount of federal spending coming back to the state"

http://www.taxfoundation.org/research/topic/60.html
Ludi
 
Top

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Sixstrings » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 13:14:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'H')ere in Texas, there is limited state government. To many people, limited = good, even if what little government there is might be terrifically corrupt, at least it is small.


Texas can only get away with that "limited government" stuff because the federal government does so much -- money for school lunches, social security, medicare, all those programs for single women with kids, the $3,000 "earned income credit" that so many middle and lower classes get -- the list goes on and on.

Take away all that and guess what, Texas would have to come up with some kind of social safety net. And even if they only did half as much, that's still pretty "big government."
User avatar
Sixstrings
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 15160
Joined: Tue 08 Jul 2008, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Why the feeling that the U.S. will break up in future?

Postby Ludi » Sat 10 Apr 2010, 16:37:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'T')ake away all that and guess what, Texas would have to come up with some kind of social safety net.



There's a lot of folks who seem to think a social safety net is some kind of Librul scheme to take money from the hard-working guys and give it to the deadbeats. So I'm not convinced they would want any kind of social safety net. I can imagine an ideal "free Texas" in which disadvantaged people are just allowed to die. Their own fault for being poor, old, very young, sick, disabled, etc. Dumbfukistan is for the strong, pioneer-spirit kind of guys, not a bunch of weak freeloaders!
Ludi
 
Top

PreviousNext

Return to North America Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest