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Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

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Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby Bas » Wed 23 Dec 2009, 09:02:36

<object type="application/x-shockwave-flash" data="http://www.eenvandaag.nl/v/95012" width="500" height="281">

edit: I don't seem to be able to embed this thing, so here's the link


great interview (in English) with Rifkin about the coming economic crisis and environmental crisis. He argues among other things that 147$ oil was the main causo of the collapse of cheap credit and that among other things the "elitist" sources of energy like gas, oil, and coal are now on "lifesupport".
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby dinopello » Wed 23 Dec 2009, 09:23:56

I need some of the stuff Sulu gets after that!

Although, not much of an "interview". Where were the questions ? I'd like to see Rifkin debate Inhofe.
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby Bas » Wed 23 Dec 2009, 09:41:13

ehh yeah you're right, it's not really an interview, I don't hear anyone asking questions, or maybe they've been cut out...
Jeremy Rifkin wiki
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Wed 23 Dec 2009, 11:10:32

Rifkin is still alive?

Still, I give him credit for spawning a lot of professional alarmist imitators.

Good thing he did an interview - he is an appalling writer.,
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby mcgowanjm » Wed 23 Dec 2009, 11:44:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', 'R')ifkin is still alive?

Still, I give him credit for spawning a lot of professional alarmist imitators.

Good thing he did an interview - he is an appalling writer.,


Ever hear of Julian Simon? :twisted: 8O :roll: 8)
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mobjectivist 2005', '
')A famous professor at the University of Wisconsin wrote, "Julian Simon could be dismissed as a simpleminded nut case, if his ideas weren’t so dangerous."

To this day I remain convinced that the endless ad hominem attacks were a result of the fact that—try as they would—Simon’s critics never once succeeded in puncturing holes in his data or his theories. What ultimately vindicated his theories was that the doomsayers’ predictions of global famine, $100 a barrel oil, nuclear winter, catastrophic depletion of the ozone layer, falling living standards, and so on were all discredited by events. For example, the year 2000 is almost upon us, and we can now see that the direction in which virtually every trend of human welfare has moved has been precisely the opposite of that predicted by Global 2000. By now Simon and Kahn’s contrarian conclusions in The Resourceful Earth look amazingly prescient.
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby frankthetank » Wed 23 Dec 2009, 13:41:11

Rifkin had a book on the Hydrogen economy... i don't see that going anywhere. Looks to be a very well connected dude.
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby hillsidedigger » Wed 23 Dec 2009, 14:12:04

I think that several who post here and a few on some other boards I read sense the coming crisis which I guess is 2 to 3 years away at the most.
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby killJOY » Wed 23 Dec 2009, 15:22:36

This guy is brilliant.

But he forgot a coupla things:

1. Population growth.

2. Food issues.

He sounds like a "Hail Mary Cornucopian."

(I made that up.)

Would that he were right.

I detect that he is well aware that he's asking for the impossible.

His "sustainable" high-tech "third industrial revolution" is possible--with, maybe, 2 billion people.

Goddess help us.
Peak oil = comet Kohoutek.
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby oowolf » Wed 23 Dec 2009, 19:15:29

Rifkin's "Entropy", which was published 30 years ago, was one of the few books out at the time that convinced me my species was headed for disaster. Barry Commoner's "Poverty of Power", from the late "70's, was my introduction to Hubbert's peak, although the term "peak oil" was not used.
There has been plenty of information available for decades for those who "have ears to hear".
I'm sorry to say I don't give a rat'sass for consumeroid zombies in psychotic denial. I cut my ties with most of humanity long ago--not out of hatred--really--more in the way one puts a lost love out of one's mind to avoid the emotional pain of remembrance.

C'est la vie.
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby leaflight » Wed 23 Dec 2009, 20:50:04

living in bliss miss crisis coming here is a example:


In tsunami land in Indonesia in , up to three days before the event animals wild and domesticated started heading to higher ground, some reported even to have broke their ropes in barns to get away.

The rat racing rich and poor ignored it for sure, well at least a lot of them ignored the animals showing warning signs something big was coming with their heading to higher ground.
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Also Oregano oil for staph etc, parsely for lung cancer etc, tumeric for tumor cells etc, milk thistle for liver kidney and brain rejuvenation and detoxification and protection research it?
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby Revi » Wed 23 Dec 2009, 23:13:13

I wasn't surprised at anything he said in the interview. I thought it was a very realistic look at the world.

We are experiencing climate change at a rate faster than predicted.

The problem is that everyone is being told that everything is fine.

I'm sure there were people telling people that everything is fine on the Titanic too.
Deep in the mud and slime of things, even there, something sings.
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby Bas » Thu 24 Dec 2009, 09:57:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frankthetank', 'R')ifkin had a book on the Hydrogen economy... i don't see that going anywhere. Looks to be a very well connected dude.


He's actually one of the few well connected people who speaks out on these things and is listened to by several heads of state (notably the president of Spain and Germany). I'd like to know more about this guy and what he thinks...
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby bratticus » Thu 24 Dec 2009, 16:48:18

Excerpt from the lecture ("interview") posted above:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.')..the second assumption of globalization -- cheap energy -- so take your capital to cheap labor markets in Asia ... let them produce the food and the manufactured goods and then ship it back because energy is cheap. The problem is that when oil went over $50/barrel something interesting happened. Inflation started to rear up in front of food prices to petrol. When oil hit $147/barrel July 2008 that's when the crisis hit. You'll recall the entire economic engine of globalization collapsed in July at $147/barrel because inflation was so high all the people stopped purchasing. Then the crisis hit 60 days later because you couldn't maintain that delusionary, credit-based debt culture. When the engine stops, then the financial markets collapse sixty days later--they're connected...
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby Bas » Thu 24 Dec 2009, 17:41:20

exactly Bratticus, and that's from one of the most well connected persons trans-Atlantic.
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Re: Rifkin interview: Nobody sees the coming crisis

Unread postby evilgenius » Fri 25 Dec 2009, 13:17:54

As far as distributed energy goes there is one thing missing. He failed to mention the need for superconductivity along transmission lines so that resistance does not take the energy you need before you can use it. If this nut can be cracked then energy can be set up like the internet, with great connections from node to node like WAN's (Wide Area Networks) do today with information.

Funny this would come up because I was just talking about this last night at a get together. We were talking about what things might work in a short period of time to make a real start, maybe head doom off. I voted for wave energy because it is 24/7, close to most people (most people live near a coast), and close to water to electrolyze hydrogen. It would be a stepping stone to a changeout of the energy grid, the kind of thing that has to happen if we are going to have distributed power. To make power at the coasts will require a grid that can transport electricity either through a more efficient, possibly superconducting infrastructure, as well as a hydrogen transport structure that is capable of meeting demand.

I reason that distributed energy will also face resource restrictions. Whatever material that turns out to work, gallium, etc..., is bound to be rare. The WAN equivalents would therefore be the priority for buildout rather than the lines direct to people's houses. Who knows, perhaps this will lead to another area where the grid will model the internet, faster movement of energy in one direction as opposed to another - like faster downloading than uploading. Maybe we can make a system where we can power our homes and cars from energy derived in far flung places as well as locally where the energy drain from resistance is minimal because it only exists in the last mile to the home.

I wonder if anybody has costed this?
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