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THE Collapse of the US Thread (merged)

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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby americandream » Wed 25 Nov 2009, 03:09:28

The urban gangs in South Africa aren't even remotely close to the rural tribals in character. Tribalism is very much a contrasting system to capitalism. An alternative in fact. Gangs in contrast strike me as being a function of capitalisms failures. A testimony to its hierarchical nature. A scavenger feeding off its excess.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TWilliam', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Novus', 'I')nner city gangs are run more like corporations than tribes as they operate for profit to make money by selling drugs and prostitution. The gang leaders and kingpins keep most of the crime money and live a high consumerist lifestyle. If gangs were run as a tribe there would be no kingpins and the gang money would be spread around to better the lives of all the gang members but it doesn't work that way. When society collapses the gangs will collapse as well.

It is true that in many instances what were once small local gangs have evolved into larger, more organized structures which do in fact operate in a manner synonymous with chiefdoms. When I was speaking of gangs I was using the term in reference to the smaller, more 'clan-like' gangs, which function similarly to the early tribes.
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby Homesteader » Thu 26 Nov 2009, 02:42:49

Lions have prides, elk have herds, humans have tribes, a gift from 3 million years of evolution. Civilization and the sociopaths (elites) that run it are a brief, 10,000 year, experiment that we are witnessing the end of. There is life beyond civilization.

No one likes a dictatorial boss, maybe it is genetic? We know what is best for us if we but listen.
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby americandream » Thu 26 Nov 2009, 03:28:32

Just be careful its not Murdoch's Fox that is whispering to you. :lol:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Homesteader', 'L')ions have prides, elk have herds, humans have tribes, a gift from 3 million years of evolution. Civilization and the sociopaths (elites) that run it are a brief, 10,000 year, experiment that we are witnessing the end of. There is life beyond civilization.

No one likes a dictatorial boss, maybe it is genetic? We know what is best for us if we but listen.
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby TWilliam » Thu 26 Nov 2009, 20:12:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'T')he urban gangs in South Africa aren't even remotely close to the rural tribals in character. Tribalism is very much a contrasting system to capitalism. An alternative in fact. Gangs in contrast strike me as being a function of capitalisms failures. A testimony to its hierarchical nature. A scavenger feeding off its excess.

Yes, and guess what happens when a complex society fails? It de-volves to a less complex form, it doesn't e-volve to something more complex. If gangs are a manifestation of capitalistic failure, then they are a de-volution to something that preceded the complex city-state structure, which is to say, tribal chiefdoms or further still, tribes...

'Civilizational evolution' is a process of ever-increasing inclusivity and integration (forced or otherwise). When a society collapses, it dis-integrates back into its smaller constituents. When the nation-state fails, you're left with separate city-states. When a city-state fails, you get rival chiefdoms and/or tribal clans...
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby americandream » Thu 26 Nov 2009, 20:44:58

This was an objective statement, not one endorsing tribalism. If like me, you adhere to a notion of dialectic materialism, you would have gleaned from my comments on here over the years, that I do not see us ever regressing to earlier forms of social organisation. Alternative forms yes, but ones that arise out of the context of surrounding material imperatives, not a return to some golden age of innocence, which by the way has never existed.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TWilliam', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'T')he urban gangs in South Africa aren't even remotely close to the rural tribals in character. Tribalism is very much a contrasting system to capitalism. An alternative in fact. Gangs in contrast strike me as being a function of capitalisms failures. A testimony to its hierarchical nature. A scavenger feeding off its excess.

Yes, and guess what happens when a complex society fails? It de-volves to a less complex form, it doesn't e-volve to something more complex. If gangs are a manifestation of capitalistic failure, then they are a de-volution to something that preceded the complex city-state structure, which is to say, tribal chiefdoms or further still, tribes...

'Civilizational evolution' is a process of ever-increasing inclusivity and integration (forced or otherwise). When a society collapses, it dis-integrates back into its smaller constituents. When the nation-state fails, you're left with separate city-states. When a city-state fails, you get rival chiefdoms and/or tribal clans...
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Fri 27 Nov 2009, 03:34:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'T')his was an objective statement, not one endorsing tribalism. If like me, you adhere to a notion of dialectic materialism, you would have gleaned from my comments on here over the years, that I do not see us ever regressing to earlier forms of social organisation. Alternative forms yes, but ones that arise out of the context of surrounding material imperatives, not a return to some golden age of innocence, which by the way has never existed.

So you might wish to learn more about Eastern Islanders story.
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby americandream » Fri 27 Nov 2009, 03:54:24

Presumably you mean the Easter Islands. What is there to learn? Any society dominated by superstition or some other unreason such as perpetual growth will finally find its resolution in harsh material outcomes. That isn't exactly rocket science. Moving beyond the illogical is the challenge however.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'T')his was an objective statement, not one endorsing tribalism. If like me, you adhere to a notion of dialectic materialism, you would have gleaned from my comments on here over the years, that I do not see us ever regressing to earlier forms of social organisation. Alternative forms yes, but ones that arise out of the context of surrounding material imperatives, not a return to some golden age of innocence, which by the way has never existed.

So you might wish to learn more about Eastern Islanders story.
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby TWilliam » Sat 28 Nov 2009, 14:13:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'T')his was an objective statement, not one endorsing tribalism.

I didn't see it as one. Sorry if I gave that impression...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')If like me, you adhere to a notion of dialectic materialism, you would have gleaned from my comments on here over the years, that I do not see us ever regressing to earlier forms of social organisation.

Then you might wish to bone up on your history a bit...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')Alternative forms yes, but ones that arise out of the context of surrounding material imperatives, not a return to some golden age of innocence, which by the way has never existed.

With that I agree. I certainly have never considered a lifestyle where reaching thirty was the rare exception to be 'golden' in any way, shape or form. Quinn especially makes it seem almost romantic, as do many other fiction authors, but I'm sure it was anything but.
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby eastbay » Sat 28 Nov 2009, 15:09:00

Dialectical materialism is an industrial age concept dependent upon an ever expanding and ever-complex science-based industrial civilization. In the coming post oil age world, it'll become a long forgotten concept.

But it's interesting to read about and discuss. :)
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 28 Nov 2009, 18:58:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TWilliam', ' ')I certainly have never considered a lifestyle where reaching thirty was the rare exception to be 'golden' in any way, shape or form.



"Post-reproductive longevity is a robust feature of human life and not only a recent phenomenon caused by improvements in sanitation, public health, and medical advances. We argue for an adaptive life span of 68-78 years for modern Homo sapiens based on our analysis of mortality profiles obtained from small-scale hunter-gatherer and horticultural populations from around the world. We compare patterns of survivorship across the life span, rates of senescence, modal ages at adult death, and causes of death. We attempt to reconcile our results with those derived from paleodemographic studies that characterize prehistoric human lives as "nasty, brutish, and short," and with observations of recent acculturation among contemporary subsistence populations. We integrate information on age-specific dependency and resource production to help explain the adaptive utility of longevity in humans from an evolutionary perspective."

http://www.accessmylibrary.com/article- ... erers.html

More information: http://tobyspeople.com/anthropik/2005/1 ... index.html
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby americandream » Sat 28 Nov 2009, 20:39:44

Dialectic materialism is simply the recognition that the future arises out of contemporary materiality, nothing more. In other words, that human society is fully circumscribed by prevailing material conditions.

Capitalism has its roots in the fuedal era, the fuedal era in the tribal era that preceded it, etc, etc. Consequently a post capitalist society will have its roots in the here and now notwithstanding that it may have one or other form.

We will not have the luxury of being able to elect the form that arises despite any preference for some golden era from ages gone by. The form that arises however may well be a descent into barbarism or evolution into post capitalism. Time will tell.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', 'D')ialectical materialism is an industrial age concept dependent upon an ever expanding and ever-complex science-based industrial civilization. In the coming post oil age world, it'll become a long forgotten concept.

But it's interesting to read about and discuss. :)
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 28 Nov 2009, 20:47:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '
')
Capitalism has its roots in the fuedal era, the fuedal era in the tribal era that preceded it,



Considering the fact that millions of people continued to live tribally through the "feudal era" and the "capitalism era," how can you say that the "tribal era" preceded these other eras? The vast majority of cultures have been tribal (non-civilized) and millions of people live that way today. This idea of "the tribal era," "the feudal era," etc presumes that humanity is one block of culture "evolving" from one form into another, when it manifestly is no such a thing.

Maybe you're talking about Western, or European society, and not humanity?
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby americandream » Sat 28 Nov 2009, 22:08:16

Dialecticism is the objective transformation of a social system over time from its beginnings to its transformation. Each epoch in other words flows through its various stages, finally reaching its antithesis in its material contradictions. This is as true for a small tribal community as it is for a social system with an inherent capacity to globalise. These are objective forces that ebb and flow. We, as we stand within its dynamic, can barely perceive its contours except to the extent that they serve our present needs.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '
')
Capitalism has its roots in the fuedal era, the fuedal era in the tribal era that preceded it,



Considering the fact that millions of people continued to live tribally through the "feudal era" and the "capitalism era," how can you say that the "tribal era" preceded these other eras? The vast majority of cultures have been tribal (non-civilized) and millions of people live that way today. This idea of "the tribal era," "the feudal era," etc presumes that humanity is one block of culture "evolving" from one form into another, when it manifestly is no such a thing.

Maybe you're talking about Western, or European society, and not humanity?
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 28 Nov 2009, 22:16:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'D')ialecticism is the objective transformation of a social system over time from its beginnings to its transformation. Each epoch in other words flows through its various stages, finally reaching its antithesis in its material contradictions


I'm not convinced this theory works for every form of human social organization. I suspect it is based on observation of civilized society almost exclusively.

But that's just a guess.
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Sat 28 Nov 2009, 22:20:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'D')ialecticism is the objective transformation of a social system over time from its beginnings to its transformation. Each epoch in other words flows through its various stages, finally reaching its antithesis in its material contradictions. This is as true for a small tribal community as it is for a social system with an inherent capacity to globalise. These are objective forces that ebb and flow. We, as we stand within its dynamic, can barely perceive its contours except to the extent that they serve our present needs.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '
')

:shock: WoW!! thats the worst case of polysyllabic diarrhea I've read in years.
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 28 Nov 2009, 22:28:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '
') :shock: WoW!! thats the worst case of polysyllabic diarrhea I've read in years.



Any guesses as to its meaning?

I'm not entirely stupid, but find myself somewhat stumped....


[smilie=5dunce.gif] [smilie=5eek.gif] [smilie=5propeller.gif]
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby americandream » Sun 29 Nov 2009, 01:14:04

Ummm. Think less about what we shall endeavour to do, by virtue of choice or nostalgia, in the count down to capitalism's twilight, and what we are being compelled to do, in the here and now.

Capitalism's engine for manufacturing/accumulation is increasingly a socialised command control economy, China. Private losses are increasingly the subject of socialisation despite protestations from free marketeers, libertarians and all the rest, all over the world. Dubai is probably the most recent example going by the rumours. Our various leaders find themselves compelled to institute measure necessary to preserve the status quo, measures increasingly involving tools that until now, were seen as anathema in the operation of an unfettered market. At some point, the bigger picture will click (IMHO).

As Lincoln once said:

You can fool all the people some of the time, and some of the people all the time, but you cannot fool all the people all the time.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '
') :shock: WoW!! thats the worst case of polysyllabic diarrhea I've read in years.



Any guesses as to its meaning?

I'm not entirely stupid, but find myself somewhat stumped....


[smilie=5dunce.gif] [smilie=5eek.gif] [smilie=5propeller.gif]
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby eastbay » Sun 29 Nov 2009, 04:11:51

As a life long communist I've never been able to make proper heads or tails of the term, 'dialectical materialism'. I've tried hard too, searching patiently through my dozens of volumes of The Collected Works of Karl Marx (printed in Moscow, 1978, hard cover, anyone interested? I own the complete set), but just when I believed I was getting close to understanding this 'concept' I found I had work to do. I decided long ago to leave the intellectual struggles to the book worms and focus on the class struggle instead.
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 29 Nov 2009, 08:43:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'U')mmm. Think less about what we shall endeavour to do, by virtue of choice or nostalgia, in the count down to capitalism's twilight, and what we are being compelled to do, in the here and now.



I'm not all that keen on capitalism, myself. What are we being "compelled to do" in your opinion?
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Re: Impending Collapse of the USA by GATTO

Unread postby mcgowanjm » Sun 29 Nov 2009, 09:02:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'U')mmm. Think less about what we shall endeavour to do, by virtue of choice or nostalgia, in the count down to capitalism's twilight, and what we are being compelled to do, in the here and now.

Capitalism's engine for manufacturing/accumulation is increasingly a socialised command control economy, China. Private losses are increasingly the subject of socialisation despite protestations from free marketeers, libertarians and all the rest, all over the world. Dubai is probably the most recent example going by the rumours. Our various leaders find themselves compelled to institute measure necessary to preserve the status quo, measures increasingly involving tools that until now, were seen as anathema in the operation of an unfettered market. At some point, the bigger picture will click (IMHO).

As Lincoln once said:

You can fool all the people some of the time, and some of the people all the time, but you cannot fool all the people all the time.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '
') :shock: WoW!! thats the worst case of polysyllabic diarrhea I've read in years.



Any guesses as to its meaning?

I'm not entirely stupid, but find myself somewhat stumped....


[smilie=5dunce.gif] [smilie=5eek.gif] [smilie=5propeller.gif]


Let me help. AD's correct. As PO (see ACE Nov 23 2009 TOD)
was May 05, all necessary energy is being funneled into State
Maintenance. What's left over goes to "infrastructure."

With a 6.4% depletion rate, the Bottom 95% have to become
energy starved within months.

To review:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Note that from 1750 to 1800, the world population grew from 791 million to 978 million -- an increase of 187 million, or 0.4% per year. From 1850 to 1900, it grew from 1.262 billion to 1.650 billion -- an increase of 388 million or at 0.53% per year.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 't')he peak year for actual oil discovery in the world was in 1964

I believe it's no accident that 1750 is a pop/industrial/climate
change baseline. And that JFK was assassinated at peak
discovery. And that the Last Depression started at PO Asymptote.

With decline into the Olduvai Gorge expect a non linear Dragon
King to match:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Didier Sornette
(Submitted on 24 Jul 2009)

Abstract: We develop the concept of ``dragon-kings'' corresponding to meaningful outliers, which are found to coexist with power laws in the distributions of event sizes under a broad range of conditions in a large variety of systems. These dragon-kings reveal the existence of mechanisms of self-organization that are not apparent otherwise from the distribution of their smaller siblings.

[smilie=5dragon.gif] [smilie=5opera.gif] [smilie=eusa_boohoo.gif]
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