I have serious misgivings about the long term viability of the oil industry. However, it is a tangible product with tremendous utility, that will be preferred , at this time, over holding American dollars, US treasuries. What we are witnessing, in the energy and commodity markets, is the anticipated effect of bail outs and govt stimulus, working their way through the system. These are typical inflationary expectation plays, that have almost nothing to do with real supply and demand.
Here is what you have to watch out for....If international elites wish to retain the American reserve currency status, there could be another whipsaw that sends energy and other commodities plummeting again. Highly volatile. Hedge your bets.
When I look at how much I'm spending just to get through the month, I realize the govts, too, will intervene so that people can afford to eat. It's a terrible dilemma, as people with Alt A mortgages have to refinance in the next few years, and if the govt, tries to contain inflation, which makes food and energy more affordable, they could easily lose their homes, when they are forced to refinance at higher rates. It becomes a choice between, eating, transport, and shelter.
I posted this article 3 months ago. Please read to get an idea just how serious the situation is. It's by far the best piece written about the American banking system, and economic fall out, I've read.
The Quiet Coup--Simon Johnson--The ATLANTIC MONTHLY:
"From long years of experience, the IMF staff knows its program will succeed—stabilizing the economy and enabling growth—only if at least some of the powerful oligarchs who did so much to create the underlying problems take a hit. This is the problem of all emerging markets.
Becoming a Banana Republic
In its depth and suddenness, the U.S. economic and financial crisis is shockingly reminiscent of moments we have recently seen in emerging markets (and only in emerging markets): South Korea (1997), Malaysia (1998), Russia and Argentina (time and again). In each of those cases, global investors, afraid that the country or its financial sector wouldn’t be able to pay off mountainous debt, suddenly stopped lending. And in each case, that fear became self-fulfilling, as banks that couldn’t roll over their debt did, in fact, become unable to pay. This is precisely what drove Lehman Brothers into bankruptcy on September 15, causing all sources of funding to the U.S. financial sector to dry up overnight. Just as in emerging-market crises, the weakness in the banking system has quickly rippled out into the rest of the economy, causing a severe economic contraction and hardship for millions of people."
http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200905/imf-advice