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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Forum For Ideas On How to Recover the Economy-

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Forum For Ideas On How to Recover the Economy-

Unread postby simplelife » Sat 09 May 2009, 00:12:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'E')ven Lovelock supports nuclear power. Some things that were otherwise off the table become viable when you're staring doom in the face. It's not really about propping up BAU as it is trying to stave off die-off. I'm not entirely convinced that permaculture and transition towns can do that by themselves, and as it is now, they are hardly past the starting gate. I don't think we can actively walk away from the system that keeps us alive. I think we have to try to keep that system on life support long enough to build a functional net underneath us. Peak oil (and global warming, whichever comes first or hits hardest) will want to impose its own crash curve and we are going to want to smooth that curve out to buy us time to fully wean ourselves off of BAU.

Exactly, who is going to be first in line to take a 15-20 year haircut from their life expectancy with a premitive permaculture? It may end up that way, but it will forced on us by reality, we will not jump in with both feet.

I think we all better make our own persoanl plans, because the "collecitve" plan will be too little too late.
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Re: Forum For Ideas On How to Recover the Economy-

Unread postby odegaard » Sat 09 May 2009, 02:27:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('retiredguy', 'R')ather than spending so much effort and expense on a national electric grid,
The advantages of being connected to the national grid far outweighs the disadvantages. You have a more stable supply of power.
If (correction *when*) the power station in your city temporarily shuts down for routine maintenance you can draw power from your neighbors. And of course once your neighbors shut down their power station for routine maintenance they can do the same to you.
You scratch their back they scratch yours. BOTH parties benefit.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('retiredguy', 'w')hy don't we concentrate on district-level CHP systems (combined heat and power).
You'll still need to be connected to the national electric grid.
But you're right, CHP systems should be used. It's not popular in the USA right now but I'm pretty sure that will change in the future!

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('retiredguy', 'O')f course, this would probably mean the far-flung burbs wouldn't get service, but they aren't going to be part of the future anyway.
No need to look towards the future, it's dying right now as we speak, one home foreclosure at a time.
The highest foreclosure rates are *NOT surprisingly* in the far flung areas.

Not to sound insensitive but it is STUPID that we're throwing our tax money to subsidize bad credit borrowers so they can stay in homes that they cannot afford. (again much of these homes are in the far flung burbs)
We should pull the plug on them and let them go back to where they came from --> that small dingy apartment in the inner city. Meanwhile the money would be better spent on something else. Exactly what is this "something else"?
Feel free to take your pick, just about anything else has to be smarter then what we're doing right now! :roll:
"They're not too big to fail, they're too big to bail out!" Peter Schiff
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Re: Forum For Ideas On How to Recover the Economy-

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 09 May 2009, 08:56:41

Sorry guys, I'm not going to promote nuke plants be built in someone else's backyard. Or coal plants. Or giant wind turbine farms. If folks want those things in their own backyards they are welcome to have them. Good luck paying for them.

<<<<first in line to practice "premitive permaculture."
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Re: Forum For Ideas On How to Recover the Economy-

Unread postby retiredguy » Sat 09 May 2009, 09:47:09

Odegaard,

I concur with your take on suburban living.

Being connected to a national grid certainly does have its advantages, at least as long as there still is a nation to maintain it. If life becomes intensely local in the future, as it may well, then a CHP system would insure that a locality would get power and heat, at least most of the time.

I just don't think spending a trillion dollars on a smart grid is a very good investment unless one believes the future is going to look pretty much like the past.
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Re: Forum For Ideas On How to Recover the Economy-

Unread postby odegaard » Sat 09 May 2009, 16:09:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('retiredguy', 'I') just don't think spending a trillion dollars on a smart grid is a very good investment unless one believes the future is going to look pretty much like the past.
same here.
To be blunt I'm not a fan of these large nationalized projects. That's like so 20th century when the Soviet Union was our biggest threat.
Times have changed, therefore we need to change.
Yes we need nationalized projects to a certain extent, but certainly NOT the size and scope of what we have now.

I think the 21st century will be totally different in that States will start to reassert their rights. There will be a greater emphasis on funding projects locally.
Why should Californians pay for a subway in New York?
Why should New Yorkers pay for an aqueduct in California?

my 2 cents
"They're not too big to fail, they're too big to bail out!" Peter Schiff
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Re: Forum For Ideas On How to Recover the Economy-

Unread postby ki11ercane » Sat 09 May 2009, 18:06:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kylon', 'I')'ll start this thread off, and say this thread is for those people who want to suggest ideas on how to recover the economy.

Anybody may post in this thread, as long as there aren't ad hominem attacks. If you want to attack someone's idea, provide constructive criticism, which means tell why is something stupid, not just that it's just stupid.

The first idea I'll start off. I don't think I originally came up with this concept but I'll post it anyway.

Basically the way to get out of Peak Oil, is to mass produce thousands upon thousands of nuclear breeder reactors, and with these nuclear breeder reactors we could produce most of our own energy, and most of our own fuel. If we mass produced them then the cost would go way down. The main cost of nuclear power is the upfront cost. Since the upfront cost would be reduced, the cost of power would also be reduced.

This would provide cheap energy on which a strong economy could grow.

Anybody else want to post something?


A pipe dream Kylon. It's up there with JD's fantasy of "electrifying the world will save us from Peak Oil." After repeated challenges to his discussions I have yet to see a reasonable response.

The problem with your idea Kylon is we've passed the Tipping Point in readily available, cheap, abundant fossil fuels which will be needed to make this dream a reality. We have passed the tipping point of the planet's ecosystem being able to handle all the toxins and CO2 we are pumping into the air. We have passed the capacity for the planet to handle the 7+ billion people that are on it. We are incapable as a species to unite in a Common Plan which would save our species from extincion. There are too many greedy people in the world who are looking out for #1. If you're looking out for #1 you're not looking anywhere else.

I have said this before and I'll say it again:

Stand on a piece of concrete. Take a piece of chalk. Draw a circle 6' in diameter around you. Fit in as many people as you can (family, friends, etc.) inside that circle. That's the # of people you can save. Forget the rest you can't do it.

Your idea is a very well written piece of fiction.
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Re: Forum For Ideas On How to Recover the Economy-

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Sun 10 May 2009, 00:04:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kylon', 'A')nybody may post in this thread, as long as there aren't ad hominem attacks. If you want to attack someone's idea, provide constructive criticism, which means tell why is something stupid, not just that it's just stupid.

The first idea that comes to my mind is that your idea is stupid. But please feel free to call my idea stupid.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kylon', '
')Basically the way to get out of Peak Oil, is to mass produce thousands upon thousands of nuclear breeder reactors, and with these nuclear breeder reactors we could produce most of our own energy, and most of our own fuel.
Who is going to do this and pay for it? Not the "private sector", even if they are given the usual free liability insurance.

The "public sector" would need to borrow trillions upon trillions on top of their trillions and trillions of debt. They would have to give private companies a blank check to do the work (like the Iraq "reconstruction" where well connected companies were guaranteed profits regardless of incompetence and corruption).

I think your best bet would be to hire the Chinese to come over and build your reactors. That's how we got our railroads built in Canada.
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Re: Forum For Ideas On How to Recover the Economy-

Unread postby dohboi » Mon 11 May 2009, 14:52:06

"Who is going to do this and pay for it? Not the "private sector","

Wait a minute. I thought the free market always solves all problems perfectly. Just get every last bit of anything that looks like a regulation out of the way and everything will just go as smooth as tapioca.

It worked for mortgage lending, and investment banking and dotcoms ....

Didn't it?

/sarcasm

On the topic of the post, why in the name of all that is holy would anyone want to recover an economy that depended for its continued existence on eternal growth in a finite world, on endlessly increasing consumer spending, on war, on ever faster extraction of limited resources, on the destruction of the planet...???

If you want to redefine "the economy" in some way, please do so. But without some clear qualifiers, we must assume that you want the bad old consumption economy back in all its nebulous glory.
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