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THE Homeless Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Homeless Couple Survive -40 All Winter

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 09:54:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AAA', 'T')oo proud to take handouts...I wish we had some of those down South in the states.


in the US, a couple like that would typically be rousted by the local cops.
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 13:58:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', 'W')e have no problem selling high end homes due to the wealth, growth, waterfront, tourism, vacation homes and four seasons recreation in The Saratoga - Lake George - Adirondack region. Plenty of local, downstate, out-of-state and out-of-country money flows into the region.


I see. With every other tourist region from the Wisconson Dells to Hawaii suffering massive unemployment, Disney laying off workers in FL and CA, New York State in complete fiscal mess and a shooter right down the road in Binghamton, Saratoga-Lake George is selling vacation homes at a mile a minute and the real estate is all holding its value just fine.

Mark, you are either lying through your teeth or you are in a serious state of denial. Every last place on the GLOBE is sinking into a depression, and you are contending plenty of rich folks are snapping up properties in the Adirondacks? Whatever.

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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby MarkJ » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 15:47:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', 'W')e have no problem selling high end homes due to the wealth, growth, waterfront, tourism, vacation homes and four seasons recreation in The Saratoga - Lake George - Adirondack region. Plenty of local, downstate, out-of-state and out-of-country money flows into the region.


I see. With every other tourist region from the Wisconson Dells to Hawaii suffering massive unemployment, Disney laying off workers in FL and CA, New York State in complete fiscal mess and a shooter right down the road in Binghamton, Saratoga-Lake George is selling vacation homes at a mile a minute and the real estate is all holding its value just fine.

Mark, you are either lying through your teeth or you are in a serious state of denial. Every last place on the GLOBE is sinking into a depression, and you are contending plenty of rich folks are snapping up properties in the Adirondacks? Whatever.

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Depression LOL. Saratoga is being called Condo City due to the all the major luxury condo projects.

Besides horse racing, the lakes, mountains, rivers and four seasons tourism have always attracted the wealthy tourists and vacation home buyers. Second homes, vacation homes, camps, ski homes etc have always been a large part of our housing market.

The growth of the industrial parks, nanotech parks etc has attracted many developers, investors, builders and homebuyers that want a piece of the action.

Shortly after AMD announced plans bulid a new 4.2 billion dollar fab on Luther Forest Technology Campus, developers and investors went crazy.


They're gambling that the industrial parks, technology parks, low taxes and growth in the area will flood the area with high wage technology workers, and supporting infrastructure.





$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Report: Homes Harder To Find

Affordability of housing shrinking as prices accelerate

CAPITAL REGION — Finding affordable housing is becoming harder as real estate prices rise in the Capital Region, according to a new state report.

Second-home purchases in the rural counties north and south of the Schenectady-Albany-Troy area are among reasons prices are higher, even as inner cities continue to struggle with difficult housing issues, the report found.

“Housing affordability was the common issue raised at each of the region’s focus group meetings,” states the Capital District Regional Report prepared by the state Division of Housing and Community Renewal.

The report is part of an unprecedented series of nine reports being written by the housing agency on regional trends around the state, to be used in developing future state housing policies.

The report looks at housing trends in Albany, Schenectady, Saratoga, Rensselaer, Warren, Washington, Greene and Columbia counties.

Focus groups met in each county last spring. That was recent enough that participants were aware of impacts on housing prices from the national mortgage crisis, VanAmerongen said.

Based on comments, there’s a concern that high-tech jobs brought in by the Tech Valley economic development initiatives will push housing prices higher, to the detriment of people needing low- and moderate-income housing.

“The influx of people with higher income levels is going to push up housing prices and rentals,” VanAmerongen said.

Particularly in Saratoga and Warren counties, people from outside the region are also buying second or seasonal homes, paying prices that make housing less affordable for year-round residents.

Since the 2001 terrorist attacks, “people from New York City are interested in buying houses in the Hudson Valley, and even up into the northern part of the valley,” VanAmerongen said.

Figures compiled by the Capital District Regional Planning Commission show the leading areas for in-migration to the Capital Region are New York City and Suffolk County.

The split between high-income seasonal residents driving up prices in areas where year-round residents have lower wages was even more pronounced in an earlier report that focused on the Adirondacks and North Country, VanAmerongen said
Jason Kemper, the Saratoga County planning director, said affordable housing is an issue in some parts of the county, but second-home purchases and speculation associated with Tech Valley and the Luther Forest Technology Campus aren’t the only reasons.

Low taxes and good schools also attract people to communities in Saratoga County, and that pressures housing prices higher, he noted.
“This isn’t something that started in the last two years,” Kemper said. “Other counties are losing population and Saratoga County is gaining population.”

While there’s upward price pressure in Saratoga and other rural areas, the state report notes the struggles of Schenectady, Albany and Troy.
“Each of the Tri-Cities has much lower home ownership rates and higher poverty levels than found in the balance of their respective counties,” the report states. “The Tri-Cities have higher vacancy rates, an abundance of abandoned buildings and impoverished neighborhoods.”


BTW, Binghamton is nowhere near Saratoga Springs or Lake George.
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 16:02:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', 'T')he growth of the industrial parks, nanotech parks etc has attracted many developers, investors, builders and homebuyers that want a piece of the action.

Shortly after AMD announced plans bulid a new 4.2 billion dollar fab on Luther Forest Technology Campus, developers and investors went crazy.


NANOTECH?????? hahahahahahahahahahaha

Mark, you answered the question. You're a BubbleHead. Newz Flash. The bubble popped.

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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby MarkJ » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 16:47:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', 'T')he growth of the industrial parks, nanotech parks etc has attracted many developers, investors, builders and homebuyers that want a piece of the action.

Shortly after AMD announced plans bulid a new 4.2 billion dollar fab on Luther Forest Technology Campus, developers and investors went crazy.


[b][i]NANOTECH??????


Yes, Small is becoming Huge in the region.
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Re: Homeless Couple Survive -40 All Winter

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 17:26:13

Somehow I think this story wouldn't have played out the same most places in the US. Some health department jerk off would have bulldozed their shack "for their own good".
"We were standing on the edges
Of a thousand burning bridges
Sifting through the ashes every day
What we thought would never end
Now is nothing more than a memory
The way things were before
I lost my way" - OCMS
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 19:06:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', 'T')he growth of the industrial parks, nanotech parks etc has attracted many developers, investors, builders and homebuyers that want a piece of the action.

Shortly after AMD announced plans bulid a new 4.2 billion dollar fab on Luther Forest Technology Campus, developers and investors went crazy.


[b][i]NANOTECH??????


Yes, Small is becoming Huge in the region.


Mark, you have clearly been drinking the Commercial Real Estate Kool Aid for too long. If you really believe the shit you are writing here about nanotechnology and think that market isn't about to hit a wall at 500 MPH, you are sadly deluded. For chrissakes, IBM is swallowing up Sun Microsystems, knocking off 10,000 IT workers and you think your area of Saratoga is immune to all this? You got Peyote growing on your property? What? LOL.

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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 19:12:51

Uhhh Mark? Reading your post I wondered where I'd heard the town name Binghamton before. I just remembered that's where the most recent mass shooting took place.

Please peruse, and then try to justify the argument you're making about the strong local economy there. What hooey.

Is our killer economy playing a role in these mass killings? You couldn't have picked a worse time to post your info. It has to be months if not years out of date.



Binghampton Killings Linked to the Economy?

"Some experts say most mass killings are precipitated by some kind of catastrophic loss, and when the economy hits rock bottom, there are simply more of these losses. Of course it's difficult to prove a direct correlation between such things, but studies show violent crimes do tend to rise during economic downturns.

For instance, a Florida study released last month found a link between economic tragedies, such as job loss and foreclosures, and domestic violence. And another study, conducted by the Violence Policy Center in Washington DC is underway to explore this issue on a broader scale.

On Saturday, Binghamton NY police said the killer was depressed and angry over losing his job."

http://blogs.post-trib.com/davich/2009/ ... using.html
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 19:30:45

Upstate New York economy--more:

http://www.catskillsnews.com/News/2009/ ... Mar09.html

"Areas with little immigration and low growth or falling populations are likely to include Michigan, Ohio, the Dakotas, Iowa, western Pennsylvania and upstate New York, Mr. Frey says."

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122764977315457619.html
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 19:36:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'U')pstate New York economy--more:

http://www.catskillsnews.com/News/2009/ ... Mar09.html

"Areas with little immigration and low growth or falling populations are likely to include Michigan, Ohio, the Dakotas, Iowa, western Pennsylvania and upstate New York, Mr. Frey says."

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122764977315457619.html


Mark is stuck in a Time Loop TB. He thinks its 2005 forever. We need to go rescue him in Mr. Peabody's Way Back Machine.

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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby MarkJ » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 21:30:26

Many Upstate New York counties have lost population, while others are steadily gaining population.

Image



Population Growth or Loss for Counties in New York State 2000-2005

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')osing population is more the rule for counties in upstate New York than gaining is. Thus, increased population growth in the counties of the Hudson Valley--Tech Valley--especially around Albany, is not part of a larger trend of general population growth upstate but more likely an early indication of an economy coming alive. People go or stay where the jobs are, and leave where they are not.


Of course much of our regional population increases substantially from Memorial Day to Labor Day.
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby MarkJ » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 22:21:08

Another issue with local growth is that some Upstate New York regions don't want growth to ruin their Suburban or Rural feel.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url=http://albany.bizjournals.com/albany/stories/2009/03/30/focus2.html?b=1238385600%5E1800949]Construction: After $4.2B development, a town ponders growth[/url]

Every day he goes to work, Paul Sausville gets a reminder of what he doesn’t want his town’s future to look like.

Sausville, 68, is the supervisor of Malta, a town less than 10 miles south of Saratoga Springs. A swath of land across the street from his office has been cleared to build a mixed-use complex with more than 300 luxury apartments.

“Is that Malta or Saratoga Springs?” Sausville asks, holding up a rendering of the complex’s four- and five-story buildings. “We don’t want to be Saratoga Springs, or Colonie, or Schenectady. At the end of the day, we just want to be Malta.”

GlobalFoundries Inc., a spinoff of Advanced Micro Devices, is finalizing its plans to build a $4.2 billion chip fab, not far from the supervisor’s offices. The impact of the fab will ripple throughout the Capital Region—and Malta, where the plant will be built, is the epicenter of that change. Yet town leaders remain divided over their visions for the town’s future.

Sausville wants to protect Malta’s suburban, almost rural character and scale back its zoning. Most of the town board wants to funnel development into a more traditional, urban downtown that doesn’t yet exist, preventing sprawl but allowing the town to expand. It’s a controversy that leads many to fear that the town is sending contradictory messages, deterring developers.

What’s clear is that the development pressures already weighing on Malta will escalate once construction starts on the GlobalFoundries plant this summer. The plant is expected to employ 1,400 workers when it opens in 2012.

Growth is inevitable in Malta, by any measure—from the town’s rising number of traffic circles (there are five now, with plans for eight more) to Saratoga County’s $133 million investment in water and sewer lines.

“Water infrastructure is a driver of development. If there’s demand, and suddenly you have a water line, you’re in,” said Rocky Ferraro, executive director of the Capital District Regional Planning Commission, which serves four area counties with regional data analyses and other planning services.

Another indicator of growth: Starting April 15, the town of Malta will officially exist in the eyes of the U.S. Postal Service. Previously, town residents and businesses had to address their mail with a nearby municipality, such as Mechanicville or Ballston Spa.

Now, it’s a question of how much growth the town will tolerate—and what that means for developers.

“There are a lot of folks holding on to their commercial projects. But once people see the bulldozers going, that signal will ricochet through the rest of town and beyond,” said Anthony Tozzi, Malta’s town planner.

Tozzi said town officials won’t relax once that begins.

“I don’t know that I’d term that ‘relief,’ because I’d also term it ‘panic.’ We got what we asked for—now what do we do?” he said. “Schenectady was a boomtown because of the industry and development brought on by [General Electric Co.]. I’m about to witness, essentially, this century’s version of GE—or at least that level of development.”
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 22:49:07

MarkJ--Great news. Is it enough to offset this?

For upstate New York, unemployment is at a 25-year high, said Peter A. Neenan, director of the department’s Division of Research and Statistics.

http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/ ... eaches-81/

Census Bureau statistics published in the last week of August show that New York State had a poverty rate of 14.3 percent of its population, higher than the national average (12.3 percent) and the highest of any state in the US outside of the South and Southwest. The next poorest state, according to a survey of two-year average poverty rates, is Alabama.

http://www.wsws.org/articles/2008/sep20 ... -s18.shtml
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby Auntie_Cipation » Sat 04 Apr 2009, 23:35:14

Seems to me that MarkJ is either trollishly baiting us, or else he is naively oblivious.

Because he is talking about one of the wealthiest communities in the USA. So of course they are affected differently -- and on a somewhat delayed timeline -- than other places.

On the other hand, economic hard times are being felt there as well:

http://www.tmcnet.com/usubmit/2009/01/14/3914607.htm
http://www.bizjournals.com/albany/stori ... allb2.html

It will affect the real estate market there eventually, just takes a bit longer in a place where most people aren't struggling financially at first.

And, hmm, where have I heard of Saratoga Springs... hmm... it's coming to me... oh yah, isn't that Kunstlerville? :P
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sun 05 Apr 2009, 00:18:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Auntie_Cipation', 'S')eems to me that MarkJ is either trollishly baiting us, or else he is naively oblivious.


I'm going to hazard the guess that MarkJ has been so long the beneficiary of the real estate bubble around the Sarasota Springs area, he actually believes its going to last forever. All his posts, which are quite detailed describe the world as he knows it, as he has experienced it. He doesn't seem to grasp hold of the fact that the Homeless being created TODAY aren't the same Crack Addict and Sex Offender homeless he likes to demonize.

Its definitely true that because the area already has a population of relatively wealthy people, its not being hit yet as severely as even a community 180 miles away like Binghamton. However, its darn close to Albany, and so as the State Goobermint has problems keeeping state workers on the payroll, so also will Sarasota Springs start to have problems. I'll bet many of the vacaton homes in that area were purchased by Stockbrokers from Lehman who now have no jobs, and are going delinquent on their Lake George condos. The banks of course are refusing to lower the prices on these "assets", so they still stay on the books as worth $200K, but right now you probably couldn't sell one for $100K, and if you could no bank would issue you a Mortgage on it.

Give it a little time here. Many of those places were bought by Retirees whose Pensions and Social Security are now in the process of going Belly Up. That market is as much a bubble and as much TOAST as anywhere else. MarkJ is living in the past.

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Re: Homeless Couple Survive -40 All Winter

Unread postby WildRose » Sun 05 Apr 2009, 07:14:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', 'S')omehow I think this story wouldn't have played out the same most places in the US. Some health department jerk off would have bulldozed their shack "for their own good".


My guess is that these people must have stayed under the radar quite well. Even here in Canada, if social services personnel had caught wind of this couple's living arrangements they probably would have had their shack condemned and done everything in their power to move them into shelters.

I was actually quite surprised when I read about the couple's situation and that they spent the whole winter where they did. We have a significant number of homeless here in Edmonton, but generally when winter comes they scramble for the shelters.
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby MarkJ » Sun 05 Apr 2009, 08:22:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'M')arkJ--Great news. Is it enough to offset this?

For upstate New York, unemployment is at a 25-year high, said Peter A. Neenan, director of the department’s Division of Research and Statistics.


No, since employment depends on health of national and global economic conditions as well as the economic health of the state, county, region-specific or seasonal specific employment. Much depends on the education, skills and qualifications of residents as well.

For example, one of our family businesses is located in the Fulton/Montgomery County region where unemployment is around 10 Plus percent?. While commercial growth in the region is very high, and there's a growing amount of wealth, many residents are unemployed or under-employed since they're effectively unemployable.

Many residents don't have a high school diploma, reliable transportation, driver's license, (clean driver's license) and can't pass a drug test & background check. Drilling down further, many job seekers have no experience, no marketable skills, limited ability to learn and no work ethic. Many of our employees commute from out of the region.

Handouts like cash assistance, emergency housing, subsidized housing, subsidized rentals, transportation, medical care, child care, food stamps, WIC, foodbanks, lifeline phone and other local/private programs have created multiple generations of handout-dependent unemployable residents.

Much of the region used to be dependent on tanneries, factories, mills and other industry, but offshoring, outsourcing, automation, robotics, computerization, specialized equipment, communications etc eliminated many of these jobs. When manual labor jobs in manufacturing left the region, many lacked the education, skills and qualification to find steady good paying jobs.


Many of the good paying jobs in the region require college educations or technical school educations, marketable skills, multiple skills, advanced skills, professional licenses, professional certifications, ability to learn etc.
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby MarkJ » Sun 05 Apr 2009, 09:03:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Auntie_Cipation', 'S')eems to me that MarkJ is either trollishly baiting us, or else he is naively oblivious.

Because he is talking about one of the wealthiest communities in the USA. So of course they are affected differently -- and on a somewhat delayed timeline -- than other places.

On the other hand, economic hard times are being felt there as well:

http://www.tmcnet.com/usubmit/2009/01/14/3914607.htm
http://www.bizjournals.com/albany/stori ... allb2.html

It will affect the real estate market there eventually, just takes a bit longer in a place where most people aren't struggling financially at first.



Home values *have* gone down from their peak. Many regions didn't have the California style housing bubble. Many homes just outside the high priced regions really haven't increased much in price, hence why many people that work in high priced regions live outside the region.

There are plenty of other layoffs, and upcoming layoffs in the region as well. Many local regions are over-saturated with convenience stores, restaurants, motels, hotels etc. Some restaurants have long lines backing up in parking lots while others aren't very busy at all.

The recession weeds out the weak businesses. High turnover of mall tenants, strip mall tenants, shopping center tenants and downtown tenants has been an issue since I was a kid. We used to take bets on how many months we thought the businesses would last.

They're planning on building a second Wal-Mart SuperCenter in one single town. We already have regions with only several miles between Wal-Mart stores, major grocery stores and identical convenience stores on opposite sides of the road.

Wal-Mart, discount grocery stores and all-you can-eat buffet style restaurants are really busy as people are trading down, or looking for value.
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby MarkJ » Sun 05 Apr 2009, 09:29:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', '
')
I'm going to hazard the guess that MarkJ has been so long the beneficiary of the real estate bubble around the Sarasota Springs area, he actually believes its going to last forever. All his posts, which are quite detailed describe the world as he knows it, as he has experienced it. He doesn't seem to grasp hold of the fact that the Homeless being created TODAY aren't the same Crack Addict and Sex Offender homeless he likes to demonize.


I'm just reporting facts, data and observations from real world experience in the construction, housing and job market. I never stated anything about my personal thoughts on housing prices, housing demand, housing bubbles etc.

Also, I'm not demonizing the homeless, just reporting facts. We generally have three groups of homeless including the chronically homeless, serial homeless and temporary homeless. Criminals, sex offenders, the unemployable and people with mental & drug issues are often in the chronic or serial homeless group. Many people in the temporary homeless group won't be homeless indefinitely or frequently since they have the education, skills, knowledge and work ethic to find work and permanent housing.
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Re: The Homeless Thread

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 05 Apr 2009, 09:33:08

"Then Jesus said to his disciples, 'I tell you the truth, it is hard for a rich man to enter the kingdom of heaven. Again I tell you, it is easier for a camel to go through the eye of a needle than for a rich man to enter the kingdom of God.'" Matthew 19:23-24

"The wealth of the rich is their fortified city; they imagine it an unscalable wall." Proverbs 18:11
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