Clean energy appears out of reach for years
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ill clean tech save us by 2025? Will it end our dependence on global-warming fossil fuels by then? Not very likely, says the U.S. government's National Intelligence Council. "All current technologies are inadequate for replacing the traditional energy architecture on the scale needed, and new energy technologies probably will not be commercially viable and widespread by 2025." So says the council's just-released report, "Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World."
Despite its skepticism that high-tech will ride to energy's rescue, the report offers some reason for optimism: "Despite what are seen as long odds now, the greatest possibility for a relatively quick and inexpensive transition (from fossil fuels) comes from better renewable generation sources (photovoltaic and wind) and improvements in battery technology."
In the main, however, the report throws cold water on the expectations of the more idealistic clean-tech advocates. Yes, the world will be moving away from oil by 2025, it says, but in its place expect more natural gas, coal and nuclear energy. And any technology-driven improvements will take longer than you think.
To download a copy of the report, go to
www.dni.gov/nic. The more detailed treatment of energy and technology are on Pages 61-67.