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Many US doctors plan to quit

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby twobyfouroftruth » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 02:24:32

Wel, let me help
MOST ilnesses are caused by peoples bad lifestyle.

Soon there WIL BE NO PHYCISIANS that will want to see you, and the ones you will see wil be PA's who havnt' a clue (who take full price pay from medicare all 15 dolars out of 100 worth)

Everyone will be given amoxilcilin and cough medicine and told to go to the ER if not better.

Those who go to ER will be sent back to the clinic.

Look, You have to get back to simple basic food two meals a day at about 1000 calories a day. This will get you healthy. Boil your water and drink a liter a day, exercise and loose weight if you are heavy.

If you smoke, stop
if you drink stop
give up al junk food and caffien

and buy aspirin and motrin and tylenol

If you have bad genes, and you have multiple illnesses, you just aren't going to make it through this.
Sorry, get your house in order.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 02:29:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'I') understand putting a barrier between consumers and Oxycontin. But who gives a damn about cholesterol medicine?


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '
')I'll say "Who are 'People who like having a functioning liver'" for $800 Alex.


I was referring to the "need" for monthly check-ups to get a new prescription for a drug that treats a stable, chronic condition.

If Lescol (and drugs like it) were available for purchase in 3 month or 6 month batches, consumers would be able to save a tremendous amount of time and doctors wouldn't be swamped.

Another example, antidepressants. Once a patient stabilizes at a given dose, couldn't they just be given a 6 month supply?

Moreover, I think lower level medical professionals could probably handle prescription re-writing for people who have already seen their doctor to get the medication in the first place.

I'm just trying to reduce the burden on primary care professionals. Maybe I don't understand enough about the situation (I'm taking a class called Health Care In America next semester so that might rectify the situation 8) )
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 02:58:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('3aidlillahi', 'S')o for you physicians, how much would electronic filing help out, as it is one of Obama's ideas for reducing time with paperwork and so forth? Would it actually help out or is it much like putting a band-aid on a bullet wound?


Forcing electronic claims would be akin to curing your bullet wound by hitting yourself in the head with an axe. The payers prefer electronic claims because it saves them money. The problem is that as soon as you start filing electronic claims, you become subject to HIPPA(i.e. a couple hundred pages of cumbersome, intrusive, pointless, and expensive government regulations). The other problem is that every payer ends up using a different format for the electronic information so formatting the information to fit their system is a total PITA and if you make a trivial formatting error they reject your claim.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby colliedog » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 03:10:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'I') understand putting a barrier between consumers and Oxycontin. But who gives a damn about cholesterol medicine?


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '
')I'll say "Who are 'People who like having a functioning liver'" for $800 Alex.


I was referring to the "need" for monthly check-ups to get a new prescription for a drug that treats a stable, chronic condition.

If Lescol (and drugs like it) were available for purchase in 3 month or 6 month batches, consumers would be able to save a tremendous amount of time and doctors wouldn't be swamped.

Another example, antidepressants. Once a patient stabilizes at a given dose, couldn't they just be given a 6 month supply?

Moreover, I think lower level medical professionals could probably handle prescription re-writing for people who have already seen their doctor to get the medication in the first place.

I'm just trying to reduce the burden on primary care professionals. Maybe I don't understand enough about the situation (I'm taking a class called Health Care In America next semester so that might rectify the situation 8) )


No.

Look, medicine is all about "THERE MUST BE A DOCTOR TO SUE"
Everywhere, from ambulance pickup, to medical control to er visit to admission to discharge, there has to be a PHYSICIAN OF RECORD so they can properly be sued...

this is a fact. Someone HAS to be in charge to be sued.
Now, no doctor in his right mind will give someone a 6 month supply of antidepressant, have the guy kill himself and the family will say "WHAT A SHMUCK HE JUST SHOVED PILLS IN HIS FACE AND HE LIKE HAD NO ONE TO TALK TO SO HE KILLED HIMSELF."


This is normal. This is what people do. This is what their LAWYERS TELL THEM TO DO! How many times does a guy come in with a stiff neck after a car acciedent two days ago and say I WAS IN AN ACCIDENT TWO DAYS AGO and I was ok but my Lawyer told me to get checked out. TOLD to.

and stories change.

A mother called in to an Emergency room and just asked "What dose of tylenol do I need to give my child?" Nurse asks, How much does your child weigh?" She says 20 pounds, and the Nurse tells her the dose and says we would be happy to see him if she would like, mother says NO, I will try the tylenol.

three days later baby admitted for meningitis and dies on day four.

Lawsuit comes in 6 months claiming the NURSE TOLD HER TO STAY HOME AND TAKE TYLENOL.

THEY LIE, bro, they lie all the time when someone dies.
so no, you won't get pills without someone to sue, thank your attorny for that.

also the liver pills, so he gets toxic and develops stevens johnson and dies, the family goes LOOK HE DIED! SUE THAT GUY!

right?
yes it is one in a thousand but that is one doctor with no more malpractice MEANING NO MORE JOB.

so, NO, because of LAWYERS we have the WORST health care system in the world.
Go to the ER and just SAY you are dizzy and you will get a CAT skan and an 8000 dollar charge just so they wont sue you.
it suks''and when you get GOVERNMENT HEALTH CARE which doesnt ALLOW you to get CAT scans or do liver tests and WHEN someone dies and you DO get sued, (cant even order a ton of tests to defend yourslefs) the doctors will drop like flies...
and again...

HERE IS THE 2x4 of truth
YOU
WILL
NOT
HAVE
ANY
MORE
DOCTORS
BECAUSE
of the
DAM LAWYERS

bottom line.

But of course, you TOLERATED them and LIKED them while they won your cases, now you can let them treat you.
LOL. This is going to be sweet.
The only people that wil get decent health care will be the retired doctors families... At least there is a benefit.
Last edited by colliedog on Thu 20 Nov 2008, 03:23:49, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby colliedog » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 03:13:36

Did you hear about the trial lawyer who had a malignant astorcytoma of the brain (brain tumor) and not a neurosurgeon in Florida would operate on him?

True story.

Finally justice was done there.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 03:17:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'I')f Lescol (and drugs like it) were available for purchase in 3 month or 6 month batches, consumers would be able to save a tremendous amount of time and doctors wouldn't be swamped.

Another example, antidepressants. Once a patient stabilizes at a given dose, couldn't they just be given a 6 month supply?

A prescription can be written for as much as you want. Typically the pharmacies won't fill them if they're over a year old, but there's really no reason you couldn't prescribe someone a 30 year supply of Lescol if you wanted. I certainly wouldn't have someone in the office every month just because they're on Lescol. OTOH, I would want them in the office every 6 months at a minimum to check on their liver and make sure that's not being adversely affected. Birth control pills, patients that are stable on antidepressants, that sort of thing, I almost always write a year at a time. About the only patients that I expect to have in the office every month are those that are on coumadin(blood thinners) or are somehow medically unstable. If I'm trying to find the right dose of a medicine I might have a patient back every couple of weeks to couple of months while we fiddle with the dose.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby colliedog » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 03:31:40

And you treat depressed people without seeing them also/?
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby Gorm » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 03:34:25

I hade a severe concussion in august. They did some kind of brainscan checking for bleedings in my head, among other things. Was hospitalised fore about 24 hours, mostly asleep. Cost for me to pay, 300 SEK (45 USD)

IF it had been some of my kids, there would have been nothing for me to pay, it would have been free.

I pay via the tax-bill. That is socialised medicin for you.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 04:32:23

Like many other systems of modern society, the Medical industry suffers from the evolution of too much complexity. Too many interdependent parts with often conflicting interests. The Pharmaceutical Industry, the Insurance Industry, the Legal Industry, the Goobermint and of course the AMA itself all are huge bureaucracies now.

At its core, the Medical profession was about a knoweldgeable Medicine Man treating a Patient in need. As the profession developed, you added in Nurses as Helpers to do routine tasks, freeing up the Doctor to see more patients. As the technology improved, Doctors couldn't do as good a job without the evolution of the Hospital that had capital intensive machines the individual doctor could not afford. The Hospital of course then needed Accoutants to figure out how many patients they needed to serve to afford a CAT Scanner, and then as the costs went up an Insurance industry grew to try to spread the risk for more and more costly and energy intensive care through the population.

Actuarially speaking, the whole Medical Profession and Industry as it evolved is like all the other ones, based on infinite growth. This includes infinite growth in expectation of what the industry can deliver in terms of extended life and better health for the population. While we grew in the presence of virtually unlimited energy, the medical industry was able to cover these costs, but no more. Now the bureaucracy which grew up around Medicine is like a lead weight sinking it rapidly to the bottom.

Its not surprising Doctors are ready to quit here, but just what are these folks going to do as an alternative? Go out and drive a truck? In the past, there were alternatives for these well trained and marginally intelligent technicians like working for a Pharmaceutical company or advising Lawyers in consulting, etc. However, as the industry as a whole collapses, there are not alternatives. They are in the short term as screwed as everyone else here, as screwed as the Auto worker who no longer has an auto factory to work in.

Doctors are better off than most though, because when the monetary system collapses, the knowledge they have can be bartered for food. People will always be getting sick, and doctors can sometimes help with this problem. However, they will have to help mostly without any drugs and mostly without any complex diagnostic equipment they have come to rely on. A stethoscope, palpitation,talking with the patient to gather up the symptoms to make a diganosis will be once again the way a doctor figures out what to do to help a patient. If he or she is good at this, keeps someone alive to be productive to the society, said doctor will be given a chicken or a goat. No complex Insurance forms, no huge staff of Accountants and technicians. Back tot he basics.

It will be a tough adjustment in downward mobility though, because the doctor is just a part of the society with not that much more value than a good sanitation worker or domestic. Anyone who works to keep the environment people live in clean will be doing just as much if not more to maintain the health of the population than a doctor does. On a social level, you are far better off training domestics to do the basic task of maintaining a clean environment that expecting doctors to cure diseases which mostly come from a corrupted environment.

The lifespan extension we achieved using the thermodynamic energy of oil is coming to a close. It was rare before Big Oil came to rule the world that people lived much past 60, that is why we established 65 as a retirement age and figured Social Security could cover it. You EXPECT most people will be DEAD by 65, and in the absence of modern medicines based on oil they WOULD be.

We will return to a world where most people are born, grow to reproductive age and live long enough to see their children thru to independence. Those with genetic problems will die young, they won't reproduce. Medicine Men and Women will still be around to help a few, set broken bones and drain cysts and ease the transition into death with extractions from a Poppy plant. However, the myth that we can extend the lifespan through medicine will go the way of the Dinosaur, as Big Oil fades into history.

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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 07:22:09

I think that's a pretty good summary RE. The other big problem facing medicine right now is diminishing returns. In the US we've actually reached a point where the incremental return on extra dollars spent on healthcare is negative. We're spending so much on healthcare at this point that incremental dollars get spent on unnecessary test and unnecessary surgeries that end up shortening people's lives rather than prolonging them. There's a great graph from the World Health Organization, I'll try to find it. It compares life expectancy vs. per capita health costs by different countries. We're way off at the top in terms of expenditures, but our life expectancy is below that of countries that are on the sweet spot.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby 3aidlillahi » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 08:17:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', ' ')There's a great graph from the World Health Organization, I'll try to find it. It compares life expectancy vs. per capita health costs by different countries. We're way off at the top in terms of expenditures, but our life expectancy is below that of countries that are on the sweet spot.


Couldn't that be related though to the health of the population? No amount of money in the world can save a person's life (or prolong it) if that person continues to smoke, drink, eat shit and no exercise. Given that we're probably the least healthy (pre-medical visit) nation on Earth and we have a high crime rate and high vehicular death rate per capita, it's not a shocker that we spend more on health care while we have a "bad" life expectancy. And again, we shouldn't forget about the costs associated with our lawyer epidemic in this country. Most other nations don't have that problem.

I think this may be the graph you are thinking of (but not by the WHO):
Image

If one were to add a linear fit, it actually shows a greater expenditure on costs per capita leads to increasing life expectancy. Of all of the nations, the US is the only that falls off of that trend greatly (we should have a life expectancy in the mid to upper 80's if not higher).
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby Heineken » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 09:47:08

I think the collapsing health care "system" (more like a bowl of spaghetti) will lead to social unrest and eventually violence. There can be no nastier a social division than between people who have access to affordable and competently delivered health care and those who do not.

Last week something like 500,000 people lost their jobs, and therefore their health insurance. Their employment prospects going forward are grim, as are their prospects for health care access. As the mass of unemployed grows, you could see more and more scenarios in which people rob pharmacies at gunpoint or break into doctors' homes demanding care at gunpoint.

It's gonna get ugly. This will be another way people will be fighting for survival.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby vision-master » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 09:48:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')ouldn't that be related though to the health of the population? No amount of money in the world can save a person's life (or prolong it) if that person continues to smoke, drink, eat crap and no exercise. Given that we're probably the least healthy (pre-medical visit) nation on Earth and we have a high crime rate and high vehicular death rate per capita, it's not a shocker that we spend more on health care while we have a "bad" life expectancy. And again, we shouldn't forget about the costs associated with our lawyer epidemic in this country. Most other nations don't have that problem.


Pleaze enter, modern day stress into the equation.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby Goatlady » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 11:57:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('twobyfouroftruth', 'W')el, let me help
MOST ilnesses are caused by peoples bad lifestyle.

Soon there WIL BE NO PHYCISIANS that will want to see you, and the ones you will see wil be PA's who havnt' a clue (who take full price pay from medicare all 15 dolars out of 100 worth)

Everyone will be given amoxilcilin and cough medicine and told to go to the ER if not better.

Those who go to ER will be sent back to the clinic.

Look, You have to get back to simple basic food two meals a day at about 1000 calories a day. This will get you healthy. Boil your water and drink a liter a day, exercise and loose weight if you are heavy.

If you smoke, stop
if you drink stop
give up al junk food and caffien

and buy aspirin and motrin and tylenol

If you have bad genes, and you have multiple illnesses, you just aren't going to make it through this.
Sorry, get your house in order.


Stopping smoking, drinking, junk foods..... these are good starts...

I'm fairly new to the site and a lurker and learner for the most part.

No matter how you turn the current health care system - it's done. Stick a fork in it.

What happens next to the common people without doctors?

This has probably already been covered on another thread. I apologize....

Learn, learn, learn about natural solutions to as many problems as possible!

Most prescriptions are based on isolated plant chemicals.

But watch your information sources. Foreign scientist are doing more research on natural health options and finding out they work. The foreign scientist make fun of our scientist because they choose cheap extracts or weak formulas... and then find they don't work - DUH!

Which has to do with 'follow the money' here in America.

Remembering that our Government supports tobacco growing knowing that it kills us.....

Let's use soy as an example. Soy is not on the GRAS (Generally Recognized As Safe) list in America. It's approved for cardboard boxes, but it's in most of the foods in America. Soy harms the thyroid - making people fat, tired, and depressed. Sound familiar?

Coconut oil is one of the healthiest oils on earth. Easy on the liver and inspires the thryoid.

Farmers tried using coconut oil with their animals and the animals got thin and healthy. Not a good idea for making money.

They changed to soy and the animals got fat. Just like us.

Soy is also on of the top Genetically Modified foods.

And it's in everything!

It's fasinating and scary - the things allowed in our food supply. Most of it isn't food at all.

No surprise.

But, in my humble opinion - learning all you can about your local plants and growing your own meat just makes sense with the doctors about to exit the scene.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby Lumpy » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 12:03:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ohcomeon', 'L')umpy,

If your claims aren't past timely filing limits I might be able to help you get that money... I can usually audit the claim data with the notes and RA and figure out what it needs to get it through the system. I am not saying you don't know what you're doing or intend to insult your ability. Just to offer some assistance.

Anyway, you can pm me if you are interested and haven't just chalked it up.


I will PM you (thanks), but did want to say the following in open forum:

1. I'm not insulted, because I DON'T know what I'm doing (clearly - or I would have gotten this mess straightened out), but this points to a BIG problem in the system ... Small-time, solo practice can't afford billing guru, doesn't have time to figure out the hell-maze herself/himself, ends up not getting paid. Without meaning to sound paranoid, one wonders if there isn't some design in place to make small-timers like I was (I gave up that private practice and now contract to the State of Idaho) throw up their hands in disgust AND EXHAUSTION. Bottom line - patients got treated - payors did not have to pay. (I.E. Medicare/Medicaid).

2. My biggest problem by far was the coordination (HAH!!!) between the two Big M's. If a person is on both Medicare and Medicaid, Medicare pays first, then the rest is billed to Medicaid. But navigating the Medicare mess was the problem. So the claims never got paid by them ... and thus never got paid by 2nd payor, Medicaid.

3. Someone mentioned electronic filing. Yeah. Great idea, because I am a computer freak - so I like the idea in theory. Except for the HIPPA thing. ARGHHHHHHHHH! And the cost of setting up (lots of up front $$). Solo practices in rural areas and/or primary care where the $$ are the lowest are going to have trouble putting together what it takes to file electronically.

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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby galacticsurfer » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 12:10:49

Doctors can't treat people without machines anymore. They can't read sysmptoms holistically from body signs visually, by hearing and feel. They are computer technicians reading charts and we are modern cars/machines. Doctors have to be switched out for a neww batch of witch doctors or shamans or something similar.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 12:51:28

This is the graph:

link

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('3aidlillahi', 'C')ouldn't that be related though to the health of the population?


Sure. My only point is that money and resources invested in healthcare doesn't fix it. In all likelihood other things could help.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')o amount of money in the world can save a person's life (or prolong it) if that person continues to smoke, drink, eat crap and no exercise.


I think the truth is more along the lines of no amount of money can save a person's life. Period. We're all going to die. There are some conditions that can be reasonably diagnosed and treated to prolong a person's life. There are a lot that can't. Once you've invested adequately to deal with the treatable, all the added spending, all the high tech treatments, and "medical breakthroughs" don't add appreciably to people's lives.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 12:53:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', 'T')he lifespan extension we achieved using the thermodynamic energy of oil is coming to a close. It was rare before Big Oil came to rule the world that people lived much past 60, that is why we established 65 as a retirement age and figured Social Security could cover it. You EXPECT most people will be DEAD by 65, and in the absence of modern medicines based on oil they WOULD be.

We will return to a world where most people are born, grow to reproductive age and live long enough to see their children thru to independence. Those with genetic problems will die young, they won't reproduce. Medicine Men and Women will still be around to help a few, set broken bones and drain cysts and ease the transition into death with extractions from a Poppy plant. However, the myth that we can extend the lifespan through medicine will go the way of the Dinosaur, as Big Oil fades into history.

Reverse Engineer


Truth beknown the largest factor in the increase in life expectancy in America was the advent of public water supplys, wastewater treatment and the pure food and drug act. Its better to not catch cholera in the first place than to treat it with drugs. Even post peak oil the knowledge of how to avoid whole groups of diseases through sanitation and vaccinations should keep our life expectancy well above what it was in say 1940.
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby coyote » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 14:14:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', 'T')his is the graph:

link

That's a fascinating graph spg, thanks. I'd be curious to see which countries those other points along the top represent.

Just what is it about our government that insists on doing everything the hard, expensive way?
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Re: Many US doctors plan to quit

Unread postby 3aidlillahi » Thu 20 Nov 2008, 14:15:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')I think the truth is more along the lines of no amount of money can save a person's life. Period. We're all going to die. There are some conditions that can be reasonably diagnosed and treated to prolong a person's life.


Thus I put "or prolong it [one's life]" in parentheses after saying to save the life.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')nce you've invested adequately to deal with the treatable, all the added spending, all the high tech treatments, and "medical breakthroughs" don't add appreciably to people's lives.


True but the problem I had with what you had said earlier stemmed from this:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e're spending so much on healthcare at this point that incremental dollars get spent on unnecessary test and unnecessary surgeries that end up shortening people's lives rather than prolonging them.


You were saying that adding more dollars decreasing life expectancy when your own graph says the opposite. That's what I was getting at but then I digressed.

If we had an intelligent and well-fit population, then I do think that we'd have a higher life expectancy than we do now. Not by much and not a great return but it wouldn't be negative or neutral. So then while our populations would be similar (to say Japan or Sweden), we'd be spending more (roughly twice or more) and getting a slightly greater life expectancy.
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