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SEC bans short-selling in US

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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 01:44:27

According to the AP (link) the SEC is "weighing" a ban on shorts. The more I think about this, the more freaked out I'm getting. Stopping short sellers is not going to stop these financial companies from being junk and Cox knows it. The truth is that they're highly susceptible to shorting because they're worthless companies.

Two days ago they printed $40 billion to fund this RTC thing which is double talk for a WaMu bailout. Printing money money and banning short sales are the kinds of desperation measures that nations always try as they collapse. It absolutely never works. If they ban short selling, as far as I'm concerned that's a signed confession that the American economy is within a couple of weeks of total collapse. We could actually be looking at a real sure enough SHTF scenario before the elections. I'm just blown away by how fast this is all moving.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby Snowrunner » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 01:52:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', 'D')oes anyone else feel like they've just stepped through the looking glass? The world has just gotten very bizarre.


Dunno, I thought the whole thing was utterly bizarre 15 years ago, hence why I never got into (any) market.

I am surprised though at which pace the whole thing seems to become unglued though.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 02:42:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', 'A')ccording to the AP (link) the SEC is "weighing" a ban on shorts. The more I think about this, the more freaked out I'm getting. Stopping short sellers is not going to stop these financial companies from being junk and Cox knows it. The truth is that they're highly susceptible to shorting because they're worthless companies.

Two days ago they printed $40 billion to fund this RTC thing which is double talk for a WaMu bailout. Printing money money and banning short sales are the kinds of desperation measures that nations always try as they collapse. It absolutely never works. If they ban short selling, as far as I'm concerned that's a signed confession that the American economy is within a couple of weeks of total collapse. We could actually be looking at a real sure enough SHTF scenario before the elections. I'm just blown away by how fast this is all moving.


SPG,

I have never been more scared in my life about the financial system than I am right now.

When I heard that the UK was banning short selling, I thought to myself, this is it. They've completely abandoned everything they used to pretend they stood for. The Free Market is officially dead.

It's one thing to ban naked short selling because it is technically against the rules to begin with. But now it appears as though that was merely a warm up. They wanted to desensitize us before the final blow. Eliminate all short selling of any kind. It's lunacy.

The fundamental picture HAS NOT CHANGED. House prices are still falling. Mortgage default rates are still high and rising. The banks will continue to bleed red ink until this reverses.

Housing is NOT reaching the bottom this year or even next. I don't think we're going to see real stabilization or growth until 2010. And that assumes that interest rates don't move. After the crash in the 1990s, it took almost 6 years for the market to bottom.

We peaked in 2005/2006 and hit a much higher level relative to incomes than any time in American history. It is going to take a while...

If they think they can legislate their way out of this mess and just ban any kind of financial activity that frightens them, they need to put the bong down.
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 03:08:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'I') have never been more scared in my life about the financial system than I am right now.


I'm trying very hard not to do anything rash, but I'm freaking out right now.

This is the "No way will it work, but we might as well try it." move. These are smart men. There's no way they think this is actually going to work. It evidences a level of desperation on their part that chills me to the bone. If they're this desperate, we are in big big trouble.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 03:16:05

And who's right in the middle of this? The crown prince of idiotic self-defeating government regulations, and perhaps my least favorite living human, Chuck Schumer.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby jbrovont » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 03:43:24

You're right. It is insane. It is unbelievable. It is incomprehensible.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 'W')hat happens after the shorts cover? Im guessing some huge bounce in the markets tomorrow, gigantic pressure to bid up, go higher, then comes the real crash, probably within a few days/weeks.

This is going to make the current volatility look like Child's play.
I'm kind of dumbfounded right now, this seems actually slightly insane. Either that or they are covering up some really big implosion that was about to go down.

Welcome to the new world. They have changed the rules of the game in midstream and be damned the consequences.

UNBELIEVABLE!
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 03:59:46

I'm do not know as much about short-selling as I should so I went out looking for some information... and I have a couple of questions:

Does a temporary ban have the same effect as a permanent ban? the sources talking about a ban use the term "temporary," I need someone to make the connection for me concerning the effects of a temporary hault to something and the effects discussed here and at the oil drum.

As far a long term changes at least one source seems to think that what will happen is just a reversal of a rule change that took place in 2007:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut critics charge that regulators are nibbling at the edges of a problem the SEC itself created - when it decided in July, 2007, to drop a 69-year-old rule that had protected stocks from runaway short selling.

The so-called "uptick rule" required that a short sale could only be made after an "uptick," or rise, in the price of a stock, which meant that shorts could not pile into a stock in an unbroken freefall.

The SEC felt the rule was a constraint on market liquidity and did little to prevent market manipulation. But critics say the removal of the rule has left the market a more volatile and risky place.

"Any investor out there can tell you that the elimination of the uptick rule has been an unmitigated disaster," said money manager David Brady, head of Brady Investment Counsel in Chicago.

"Changing the rule has made short selling easier - which, in essence, means that some of these institutions that are able to execute a lot of trades quickly can make more short sales," said Cleve Reuckert, an analyst at U.S. research firm Birinyi Associates. "That has really increased the volatility."


Link

Enough folks that I respect are worried about this that I myself am concerned and will be listening carefully for news today and over the weekend... I will be listening for the spirit and the letter of the bandage they apply. But is some of the fear originating in the fact that we do not know exactly what they will do and are fearing they will take the most extreme action? Are we confusing a short-term band aid (temp. hault to short-selling) and the permanent banning of the practice?
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby JohnDenver » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 04:02:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'I')f they think they can legislate their way out of this mess and just ban any kind of financial activity that frightens them, they need to put the bong down.


If you think the shorters, speculators and sundry other greed-driven vermin will maintain the upper hand, YOU need to put the bong down. It's the guys with the guns that ultimately run things, not the Wall Street pretty boys. Calm will be restored by any means necessary.

We've been here before people.
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You guys sure do spook easily for a bunch of "doomers".
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 04:08:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', 'B')ut is some of the fear originating in the fact that we do not know exactly what they will do and are fearing they will take the most extreme action?


My fear is what's motivating them to take such an idiotic and desperate step. It's like if you were watching that bridge in Minneapolis start to sway and the mayor asked for volunteers to go out with car jacks and 2x4's try to shore it up. It doesn't take a genius to realize that trying to run up stock prices by preventing people from selling them is not going to work for very long. The lowest common denominators in any financial crisis are A: blame the bears and B: Print more money. We're doing both of those. Paulson, Bernake, and Cox are smart enough to realize these are desperation moves and WILL fail. (Schumer, OTOH, is a retard. He would get behind it just because it was idiotic and counterproductive.)
Last edited by smallpoxgirl on Fri 19 Sep 2008, 04:13:41, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby seldom_seen » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 04:09:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ept. 19 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission may ban short-selling in the shares of Wall Street brokerages

This is about one thing, and one thing only. Protecting Goldman Sachs.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby jbrovont » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 05:38:44

See, now, you weren't supposed to say that out loud!
GS was FINE before you said anything - plenty of capital! They have a plan!

But no. You had to let it out. Now everyone is going to dump the stock and poor Ben is going to have to [s]buy[/s] loan your money to them so they don't tank, and slap a big-fat warrant agreement on them. But then the stock will tank anyway, and they'll bankrupt anyway, and all that money Ben loaned them will be gone. Poor Ben. He'll have to take all their assets at fire-sale prices and pawn them off to his friends just so he can pay his bills, what with all that bad debt he HAD to take on to keep the economy running. What's that? That's so kind of you to pay for it my fellow 'merican! [s]Sign here please[/s] never mind the paperwork, we'll take care of it.

Who would have thought the Fed was really the most vicious hostile take-over firm in history?

Gee willikers! Good thing we have the Ben & Bush to keep all those A-rab terrorists from destroying the 'merican 'conomy.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seldom_seen', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ept. 19 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission may ban short-selling in the shares of Wall Street brokerages

This is about one thing, and one thing only. Protecting Goldman Sachs.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby JohnDenver » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 06:01:10

SEC short-selling ban, now officially in effect.

Announcement on SEC website
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 06:09:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'S')EC short-selling ban, now officially in effect.

Announcement on SEC website


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he emergency order temporarily banning short selling of financial stocks will restore equilibrium to markets. This action, which would not be necessary in a well-functioning market, is temporary in nature and part of the comprehensive set of steps being taken by the Federal Reserve, the Treasury, and the Congress.”

Today’s decisive SEC action calls a time-out to aggressive short selling in financial institution stocks, because of the essential link between their stock price and confidence in the institution. The Commission will continue to consider measures to address short selling concerns in other publicly traded companies.

Under normal market conditions, short selling contributes to price efficiency and adds liquidity to the markets. At present, it appears that unbridled short selling is contributing to the recent, sudden price declines in the securities of financial institutions unrelated to true price valuation. Financial institutions are particularly vulnerable to this crisis of confidence and panic selling because they depend on the confidence of their trading counterparties in the conduct of their core business.

Given the importance of confidence in financial markets, today’s action halts short selling in 799 financial institutions. The SEC’s emergency order, pursuant to its authority in Section 12(k)(2) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, will be immediately effective and will terminate at 11:59 p.m. ET on October 2, 2008. The Commission may extend the order beyond 10 days if it deems an extension necessary in the public interest and for the protection of investors, but will not extend the order for more than 30 calendar days in total duration.

The Commission notes today’s similar announcement by the U.K. FSA. The SEC and FSA are consulting on an ongoing basis with regard to short selling matters and will continue to cooperate in carrying out regulatory actions.

The Commission also has taken the following steps to address the recent market conditions:

Temporarily requiring that institutional money managers report their new short sales of certain publicly traded securities. These money managers are already required to report their long positions in these securities.

Temporarily easing restrictions on the ability of securities issuers to re-purchase their securities. This change will give issuers more flexibility to buy back their securities, and help restore liquidity during this period of unusual and extraordinary market volatility.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby GreyGhost » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 06:18:36

What's the big deal about this? Why should you have the right to sell something you don't even own?

If a company is priced too high, then people will sell it who actually own the stock, bringing the price down. So fair prices will still be achieved without short selling.

You people just jump on any decision made by TPTB and complain about it, because of course anyone in a position of power is inherently corrupt according to you. Can't you just for once give them credit?

Oh that's right, forgot, this entire site is not about rational assessment, it's about doomer porn. Sorry - they're all evil I tells ya, evil!
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby AirlinePilot » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 07:29:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GreyGhost', 'W')hat's the big deal about this? Why should you have the right to sell something you don't even own?


If you think this is no big deal, than you dont understand how the markets work. This is huge, it has the potential to completely crash the markets within days or weeks. maybe even HOURS!

Its some sort of desperation move by the Pigmen and that is why it is scary.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby Captain_Meh » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 07:39:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', 'I')'m trying very hard not to do anything rash, but I'm freaking out right now.


Likewise. But I have to admit: I am seriously thinking about withdrawing all of my money out of the bank and cashing out my money market account today. I am -> <- this close to doing it, because I keep seeing signs that this is about to spread from the investment bank community to the commercial bank community.

Anyone have any thoughts either way?
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby Starvid » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 08:30:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Captain_Meh', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', 'I')'m trying very hard not to do anything rash, but I'm freaking out right now.


Likewise. But I have to admit: I am seriously thinking about withdrawing all of my money out of the bank and cashing out my money market account today. I am -> <- this close to doing it, because I keep seeing signs that this is about to spread from the investment bank community to the commercial bank community.

Anyone have any thoughts either way?

Look, I'm not a doomer. Far from it, as many here can tell you.

But. They have now started allowing the investment banks to tap FDIC insured deposits.

If I had money in an American bank I'd get them ASAP. Put them in a stable European bank or something.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby seahorse » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 08:33:47

If its no longer legal to bring these democratic parasites down via shorting, then they should be burned down, legally, via the Second Amendment, with a bic lighter.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby MOCKBA » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 08:47:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GreyGhost', 'W')hat's the big deal about this? Why should you have the right to sell something you don't even own?


Why do people could borrow?

The big deal about it is that short sellers are the buyers in the downtrend - they sell short when everybody else are optimistic and only buy-buy-buy, they cover their shorts by buying when everybody loose their faith in the market and only sell-sell-sell. Remove short sellers and once initial optimism is over and a pool of buyers is exhausted the bottom would fall off from the market...

When you sell short you are marked to marked daily... i.e. if you went wrong with your bet you have to come up daily with the amount you are wrong. Those who are now short financial and didn't cover would be loosing equity daily and would be required to come up with new capital daily. This would greatly disrupt the market. 10% daily volatility wouldn't be surprising at this point...

Gentlemen, we are set for very violent correction and they even named the date...
Last edited by MOCKBA on Fri 19 Sep 2008, 08:53:22, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: SEC bans short-selling in US

Unread postby Roy » Fri 19 Sep 2008, 08:50:03

:)
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