Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

THE Panic-Don't Panic Thread (merged)

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Considering most Americans ignorance regarding Iraq...

Unread postby Dvanharn » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 04:38:58

I don't have much hope for rational and logical reactions to peak oil.

It seems that a dreadfully large percentage of my fellow Americans are woefully ignorant about who attacked the towers on 9/11 (it was mostly Arabs, and no Iraqis), why we invaded Iraq, the basis for international fiat money,the danger of a dollar crash, etc., etc. There is an insane amount of national attention devoted to the "drama" of the entire U.S. Government becoming involved in a desperate effort to keep alive a single vegetative woman alive, while same bunch of politicians attempt to lower the quality of life for millions of others. America is obsessed with Michael Jackson's trial, Scott Peterson's sentencing, who's screwing who in Hollywood, and a thousand other things that aren't important to society as a whole, while that very society is heading towards a cliff. These factors are part of a collective insanity at this point human history scares the crap out of me.

I am desperately trying to cash out and free myself from debt in the next few months. I want to put my entire portfolio into gold and other recession/depression resistant investments. I don't want to buy property at today;s prices and watch the value plummet. I hope to buy property for cash AFTER the prices tumble. I hope to provide the opportunity for a younger family to live on and farm my property (with what help my gimpy old knees and back will provide) in return for their earning of equity in it.

I feel that these are important times to prepare for the worst. If I am wrong, little is lost. If I am right, I may be my family's only hope for a decent, but hard life. I would rather take a chance on becoming a laughingstock rather than face likely misery because of false optimism.

So as America becomes aware of the reality of peakoil and the ramifications of expensive energy - and begins to react, I fear that little will be done in any direction that can truly help us as a society deal with the situation. There are imbeciles, even here at this forum, who accuse people like me of "wanting" catatastrophe to occur. I pray to God that disaster will not occur, and I certainly do not "want it to happen." I just see little hope of avoiding it. I hope that I can find comunity support and cooperation that will help some of us survive so our children and grandchildren wil have even a remote chance at a decent life.

Dave
User avatar
Dvanharn
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 228
Joined: Thu 20 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Sonoma County, Northern California

Unread postby Mercani » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 08:03:59

What will the panicking crowd do in America?

Is there going to be a sudden increase in crime?

Is there gonna be riots?
User avatar
Mercani
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 89
Joined: Fri 18 Feb 2005, 04:00:00

Feeling the panic

Unread postby Possum » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 08:07:08

I am definitely feeling panicked with oil prices spiking and OPEC beginning to look like frightened deer in the headlights....

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')I feel that these are important times to prepare for the worst. If I am wrong, little is lost. If I am right, I may be my family's only hope for a decent, but hard life. I would rather take a chance on becoming a laughingstock rather than face likely misery because of false optimism.


Our house has been a flurry of activity this month, all in prep. for PO.
Hence no posts for a while.

Spent $1000 on weekend on 15 good quality tools, swiss army knives, fire starting stuff, storage gear, bamboo. Solar stuff going in next week. Got non hybrid seed catalogue in post today --excellent.

Have bought clothes for my kids (2nd hand) for next 10 years (jeans, shirts, jumpers, shoes, hats, socks, underwear)
It is all cheap now --- how much will it be in a year or two???? -- probably won't be much to choose from because everyone will be buying 2nd hand.) Only cost $200 for 10 years of clothing/shoes.
I definitely felt crazy carrying 100 items of clothing to the register though. (Particularly given the range of sizes)
She must have thought I had heaps of kids.

I think when you are panicking, and your friends/family sense you are taking this all very seriously (like my latest purchase 'SAS Survival Guide' accidentally left out on kitchen bench when family visited), they also start to revise what stand they have taken.

We told people 3 months ago about PO. 95% laughed it off and said we were eating too many mushrooms!!
Then the other week, we went to one of our friends house, and wow!! they'd installed water tanks, got a generator and were breeding chickens!! Some don't like to admit they are also concerned and are preparing.

Possum
User avatar
Possum
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 11
Joined: Sun 23 Jan 2005, 04:00:00

Unread postby Aaron » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 08:27:53

Folks,

The little button above the posting window that says URL can be used to add links without giant URL's forcing sideways scrolling.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

Hazel Henderson
User avatar
Aaron
Resting in Peace
 
Posts: 5998
Joined: Thu 15 Apr 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Houston

Re: Considering most Americans ignorance regarding Iraq...

Unread postby rerere » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 09:39:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dvanharn', 'I')t seems that a dreadfully large percentage of my fellow Americans are woefully ignorant about who attacked the towers on 9/11


Hell a number don't know/care about the trades that went on - AKA following the money.

Or ask the question - Exactly WHY did WTC7 fall down? "the 2 towers" had a big event happen. Ok, fine, they fell down. But I've yet to hear an answer about WTC7 that sounds reasonable to me.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dvanharn', 'S')o as America becomes aware of the reality of peakoil


But 'they' won't see it as "PeakOil", they will 'see' it as high prices and won't be able to trackbackwards. How many people saw the Iran Hostage crisis as a reaction to US actions to throw out an elected individual and putting in the Shaw? How many people view Hitler's genocide as greenlighted by America - that whole infected blanket/buffalo slaughter thing? How many of the 'loyal Republicians' who will be 'upset over the prices' will see the die having been cast when President Regan abandoned President Carter's renewable plan?

Many of us here participate because 'we' have the ability to 'connect the dots' - yet, most 'sheeple' can not, for if you start backtracking, the past gets ugly.
User avatar
rerere
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 422
Joined: Fri 27 Aug 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby stu » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 09:55:38

Gas prices pass $2.07, another high

http://money.cnn.com/2005/03/21/news/ec ... /index.htm

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')asoline prices continued to charge into uncharted territory, hitting another record high Monday despite crude falling from all-time peaks, according to an AAA survey.

The average price of a gallon of regular unleaded gas rose to $2.072, according to AAA, the largest U.S. motorist organization formerly known as the American Automobile Association.

"The age of excess is over. The age of entropy has begun"
User avatar
stu
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2500
Joined: Mon 04 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Ye Olde Englande

Unread postby rerere » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 09:57:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mercani', 'W')hat will the panicking crowd do in America?
Is there going to be a sudden increase in crime?
Is there gonna be riots?


Riots? One man's riots is another's "justice/freedom march/citizen solidarity/whatever euphism you want to pick'. The REASONS for the mass property/bodily damage is more interesting than just just the actions. Is the 'riot' a political action - a peace movement, a protest to tax rates of the lower classes to the upper classes? Is the 'riot' a socitial action - skin color, religion, 'class warfare'? Or simply because one place has propane or food? A peace movement 'riot' will get a pass from some citizens while a tax 'riot' would get a pass VS a different group. By the time food/heating-cooking gas is a riot source, there will be a different group of sympathies.

'Increase' in crime, yes. Gasoline is a simple thing to steal (syphon hose), has no identifiable markings, and will have a 'black market' value. If you don't have a locking gas cap, go get it now and avoid the rush. In every recession there is an increase in crime. People not wishing to 'lose' the lifestyle they now enjoy (be that life style "bling", eating, paying the rent, heat, or drugs so they can alter their preception of reality) will engauge in property crimes.

The 'we didn't think about it' 'violent actions' will result from cutting back "social programs" (Read: These are government handouts from the rich to keep the poor from being SO miserable that the poor rise up in mass and upset the apple cart.) So instead of a $4000 a year hand out per person, 'the rich' can spend millions to build the prisons then $30,000 a year to house the inmates. And in the process of going from a $4k to $30k cost, someone will get hurt.
User avatar
rerere
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 422
Joined: Fri 27 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Unread postby mindfarkk » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 10:05:54

i dunno. to judge from online activity, i would have thought the election in 2004 would have been a massive blowout against bush. i would be wary of taking the temperature of american citizenry from bulletin board activity. not that the increasing frequency of oil-related topics isn't interesting in itself.
what, me worry?
User avatar
mindfarkk
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 441
Joined: Tue 07 Dec 2004, 04:00:00

Unread postby FarmCat » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 10:09:53

rerere wrote,

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut 'they' won't see it as "PeakOil", they will 'see' it as high prices and won't be able to trackbackwards.


Oh, but I think people will. We may be blind to politics in America, but we understand money. We understand supply and demand, at least to the extent that we know tight supply causes prices to go up. Folks will start to ask, "Why is oil scarce?" And somebody in the know, like one of us, will tell them. And the word will get out.

As I have said elsewhere on this board, right now the commodities traders are starting to see the handwriting on the wall. The general population will start getting the picture when gasoline prices go through the ceiling. I truly believe most Americans will soon be very familiar with the term "Peak Oil."

What most Americans will DO is a much more difficult question to answer.
User avatar
FarmCat
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 45
Joined: Sun 13 Feb 2005, 04:00:00
Location: SE Wisconsin
Top

Unread postby rerere » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 10:27:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mindfarkk', 'i') dunno. to judge from online activity, i would have thought the election in 2004 would have been a massive blowout against bush.



It is enough that the people know there was an election. The people who cast the votes decide nothing. The people who count the votes decide everything. - Joseph Stalin
http://tinyurl.com/6wtdn

Now, how many trust the government to believe the voting was not tampered with IN ANY WAY? By any parties even.
User avatar
rerere
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 422
Joined: Fri 27 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Unread postby shortonoil » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 10:32:55

The real stuff will not hit the fan until the pseudo-Christian right wing discover that their direct connection to God, via der-shrub, is a sham.
User avatar
shortonoil
False ETP Prophet
False ETP Prophet
 
Posts: 7132
Joined: Thu 02 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: VA USA

Re: Panic is starting

Unread postby Olaf » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 10:41:28

Giant freaking quote from NV

I've known about it for 8 months or so, have been mentally preparing and have even started making some physical preparations, but I must say, some of the recent developments have me a little nervous and unhinged. Perhaps not quite as mentally prepared as I thought, mostly because I figured there would be more time. Not even close to as prepared as I would like to be.

Olaf
Olaf
 

Unread postby Leanan » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 13:32:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')We may be blind to politics in America, but we understand money. We understand supply and demand, at least to the extent that we know tight supply causes prices to go up.


I'm not as confident as you are. People have a tendency to avoid accepting unpleasant truth until forced to. And our politicians, and our corporately-owned media, won't want people to know the truth. They know they'll be blamed - for not doing something sooner, and for telling us again and again that everything will be fine, as long as we keep spending.

Prices are rising now, but are people accepting depletion as a fact? In the mainstream, no. They think it's just that demand is outstripping supply. (Shades of Alexander Starbuck, not understanding that whalehunting was driving whales to extinction, because the whole idea of extinction was alien to him.) Or they think the problem is those Arabs - hoarding their oil, or too backward to know how to extract it fully like we Americans would.
User avatar
Leanan
News Editor
News Editor
 
Posts: 4582
Joined: Thu 20 May 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Unread postby FoxV » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 13:33:30

I too was hoping for a bit more time for such things as Electric car developement starting back up, Insulating/Sealing my house, Paying off my debt and taking a chunk off my mortgage before my 5 year fixed rate expires (and intrest rates reach double digits).

Now that we stand inches away from hitting the fan (public sentiment can cause as much a crash as shortages). I think most of us are woefully unprepared. I don't even have savings to move into gold (or at least bonds).

In the end our Titanic economy is sinking and whether we go down screeming or calmly walk into the water we're all getting wet

btw, anybody been watching the "Who's online": 178 Guest, 80 Members
I think someone mentioned a while back that the crash is here when we reach 200 members online
FoxV
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1321
Joined: Wed 02 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Canada

Unread postby EnemyCombatant » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 14:41:13

I think the government has 2 words for you people.

PATRIOT ACT

We must assume that the government knew this day would come and the likelihood of panic. Also note that the patriot act was being prepared even before 911.

You call him Gonzales I call him OBrien (1984) is our AJ while Chertoff (whose cousin penned that Popular Mechanics 911 article) is over our Dept of Homeland Security. The same one that was responsible for architecting the 'illegal' detainment of illegals after 911.

Not to mention Ashcroft's detention centers (I call them concentration camps).

Hey, they don't call me the EC for nothing.

The best way to fight this thing is to get the Patriot Act overturned in your local municipality. 100s have done so already. I believe we have to organize locally.

Now it should be easier than ever. There was a congressional hearing on peak oil, there are enumerous mainstream references to peak oil. It should be plausible to convince your community that there is a problem and they need to react. I believe a window has been thrown open but it will close soon.

Regards
User avatar
EnemyCombatant
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 854
Joined: Wed 16 Mar 2005, 04:00:00

Re: Feeling the panic

Unread postby Licho » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 15:18:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Possum', 'I') am definitely feeling panicked with oil prices spiking and OPEC beginning to look like frightened deer in the headlights....

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')I feel that these are important times to prepare for the worst. If I am wrong, little is lost. If I am right, I may be my family's only hope for a decent, but hard life. I would rather take a chance on becoming a laughingstock rather than face likely misery because of false optimism.


Our house has been a flurry of activity this month, all in prep. for PO.
Hence no posts for a while.

Spent $1000 on weekend on 15 good quality tools, swiss army knives, fire starting stuff, storage gear, bamboo. Solar stuff going in next week. Got non hybrid seed catalogue in post today --excellent.

Have bought clothes for my kids (2nd hand) for next 10 years (jeans, shirts, jumpers, shoes, hats, socks, underwear)
It is all cheap now --- how much will it be in a year or two???? -- probably won't be much to choose from because everyone will be buying 2nd hand.) Only cost $200 for 10 years of clothing/shoes.
I definitely felt crazy carrying 100 items of clothing to the register though. (Particularly given the range of sizes)
She must have thought I had heaps of kids.

I think when you are panicking, and your friends/family sense you are taking this all very seriously (like my latest purchase 'SAS Survival Guide' accidentally left out on kitchen bench when family visited), they also start to revise what stand they have taken.

We told people 3 months ago about PO. 95% laughed it off and said we were eating too many mushrooms!!
Then the other week, we went to one of our friends house, and wow!! they'd installed water tanks, got a generator and were breeding chickens!! Some don't like to admit they are also concerned and are preparing.

Possum


So this is what is panicked population going to do .. So don't worry .. this kind of panic is apparently harmless and it could even boost economy :-)
User avatar
Licho
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 833
Joined: Mon 31 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Brno, Czech rep., EU
Top

Re: Panic is starting

Unread postby JoeW » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 16:01:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Olaf', '
')but I must say, some of the recent developments have me a little nervous and unhinged. Perhaps not quite as mentally prepared as I thought, mostly because I figured there would be more time.


i have been feeling much the same due to recent events. then i remind myself that the US government will soon have the SPR full, which will decrease demand for oil by 1 mbpd, thereby buying us some more time to prepare.

as for those who think a collapse is coming this summer, i think that even in the unlikely event that some major collapse occurs, we are years from it--not weeks or months.

JW
User avatar
JoeW
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 647
Joined: Tue 12 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: The Pit of Despair
Top

Unread postby mistel » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 19:39:10

I say snap out of it. I remember the mid 90's when the US deficit was going to cause the next collapse. I still have a small handbook that was printed by an advisory service that I subscribed to that showed how it was all supposed to happen. What really happened? Clinton raised taxes, the deficit became a surplus, and the economy boomed. I took this poor advice and sold a piece of investment property that I had, worst mistake I ever made.
Consider this, soybean oil trades on the CBOT for 22 cents a pound. That works out to about 35 cents a gallon. I'm pretty sure you can put straight soybean oil in a diesel. I know for a fact that you can put straight vegetable oil in a diesel, they do it in Europe where vege oil is cheaper than Dino Diesel.
Returns on in the stock market have been crap lately so many funds are buying commodities and pushing up all prices. Much of it is speculative and cyclical. look at the open interest for an oil contract then look at how many contracts actually get delivered on. It is a very small percentage.
User avatar
mistel
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 137
Joined: Sun 20 Mar 2005, 04:00:00

Unread postby RockHind » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 22:02:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')
Consider this, soybean oil trades on the CBOT for 22 cents a pound. That works out to about 35 cents a gallon. I'm pretty sure you can put straight soybean oil in a diesel.



That works out to about $1.70 a gallon, and only a few diesels can take straight soy oil,and only in hot weather. Further, any large increase in demand for soy oil will raise the price to the same levels as competing products.
User avatar
RockHind
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 84
Joined: Sat 19 Feb 2005, 04:00:00
Location: S Florida
Top

interesting times

Unread postby drew » Mon 21 Mar 2005, 22:50:59

I need more time to prepare; for what I'm not sure. The jury is still out here. A big recession will do a lot towards 'demand destruction'. ( a nice word, like collateral damage :P ) I wish I had less debt, and more money of course, and mostly wonder what I'll do for a job if the economy goes belly up. I would expect that the bank will still want its mortage payment, and the city will still want its taxes. I have some oilstocks, I guess I'll be holding them close to heart. Need more time, more time.....

Drew
User avatar
drew
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 953
Joined: Thu 22 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: canada

PreviousNext

Return to Medical Issues Forum

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest