by gw » Sun 24 Aug 2008, 18:00:44
Russia may still have substantial undeveloped resources. Just like everywhere else, the cheaper stuff is largely tapped out, but exploitable resources still exist if sufficient investment is made.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Russian government will double state spending on oil exploration to 2020 to $23 billion with the focus on oil in eastern Siberia to ensure a “good” replenishment of reserves, the country’s Natural Resources Minister Yury Trutnev said yesterday.
“Two years ago, we said the growth rate was falling, and we said this was bad for Russia, remember?” Trutnev said in televised remarks after the meeting. “Now we’re saying the production rate is falling this year. This is not a bogeyman, unfortunately, this is real”.
Russian production may be headed for near-term decline, but since Russia still has unexploited natural resources it is too early to make predictions on the long-term decline rate.
Russia plans to spend more on productionCaspian Oil is expected to provide somewhere around 12% of new global oil development in the next two decades. Some estimates are that it could produce as much as 6MB/day.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he development of Caspian oil and gas could make a significant contribution to world energy supplies, while providing attractive investment and business opportunities to international entities. The reason for the delay in its development is that the littoral countries cannot agree on the division of the sea. In this paper, the trade-off between holding out for a larger share of the Caspian and immediate development is explored, providing the countries with the basis for an agreement.
The Caspian Sea contains six separate hydrocarbon basins. As of June 2002, forty oil and gas deposits had been discovered along with more than 400 promising structures. Proven oil reserves for the Caspian are placed at about ten billion barrels, while potential reserves are estimated at about 233 billion barrels (Energy Information Administration, 2002). Total proven oil reserves in the Caspian comprise approximately one percent of the world's total proven (ninety percent probable) oil reserves, comparable to those of Norway and Algeria and about half of the proven reserves of the United States or Nigeria.
Sorting out who owns what in the Caspian still remains as an unresolved "above-ground" factor, the other being how the oil will be transported it out of the Caspian region.
Imagine trying to sort out oil leases in the Gulf of Mexico, but with additional players mucking about, like Cuba, Russia and Venezuela. Furthermore, the Caspian is land-locked so you have to deal with how to get the oil out.