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THE Heating Oil Thread (merged)

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby mos6507 » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 01:44:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')I'm sure that way even the Kennedys would eventually come to support alternative energy.


Ted won't be holding it up much longer, at least.
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Re: WSJ: Ditching Oil, Converting to Gas (home heating)

Unread postby joewp » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 02:54:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kingcoal', 'G')as is a better alternative to oil for the time being, IMO, but it isn't a "final solution," though I doubt any rational person here would think it is.


Oilfinder seems to think it is... :lol:
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 07:43:57

obixman,

You are so BUSTED! I don't normally come down to hard on folks here. Everyone has the right to their own opinion. But you didn't express an opinion...you stated a bold and unqualified "fact". Regardless of whatever potential may or may not exist off the east coast you have never been so wrong as when you say seismic is not needed for exploration. Forget the fact that no oil company has ever drilled an exploration well offshore without the aid of seismic. No oil company has ever taken a lease offshore without the aid of seismic. I've been a petroleum geologist for 33 years. One of us is not telling the truth. I'll let the thread decide for themselves who's correct.
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Re: WSJ: Ditching Oil, Converting to Gas (home heating)

Unread postby TheDude » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 09:08:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kingcoal', '"')What about the logging industry (telephone poles,) you'll put them under."


Eric Sloane threw out some figure for the total board feet invested in wood pylons in one of his books. Equivalent to all the lumber in Connecticut or something equally staggering.

In New Hampshire NG only serves 6.7k customers in a state of 1.3 million. The conversion to NG costs $4-8k, too, according to the WSJ article. Pick your poison. My understanding was that use of heating oil persisted due to inacessability of delivery for NG, and low incomes preventing the switchover.

Concord Monitor - These days, price trumps principle

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ew Hampshire will become the last state in the Northeast to avail itself of heating-oil assistance managed by Citizens Energy Corp., the nonprofit set up by former congressman Joseph Kennedy to help the poor keep warm. The oil, in turn, is donated to Citizens Energy by Citgo, Venezuela's state-owned oil company.

A couple of years ago, some Republicans objected to New Hampshire residents getting free oil from Venezuela, on the grounds that Chavez was seeking to embarrass the United States. The AP reports that Sen. John Sununu called the idea a "disgrace" and that Gov. John Lynch dropped the effort.

However, a new day has dawned. Now Sununu says he has no objection to individuals and businesses accepting help from an independent nonprofit such as Citizens Energy. The state intends to publicize the aid and sign up fuel dealers to participate.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')inally, it's worth wondering why Citizens Energy should be dependent on Venezuela for oil donations in the first place, when so many domestic oil companies are enjoying profits on a vast scale. Here's what Kennedy says: "I wrote to every oil company and asked them to provide us with just a little bit of heating oil so that we could assist the poor. I do it every year. I did the same thing with every OPEC nation and every major crude oil exporter in the world. The only country and only company that wrote me back and actually provided us with over $100 million worth of assistance was Citgo and the Venezuelan people."

Those crafty socialists.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby obixman » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 10:01:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', 'o')bixman,

You are so BUSTED! I don't normally come down to hard on folks here. Everyone has the right to their own opinion. But you didn't express an opinion...you stated a bold and unqualified "fact". Regardless of whatever potential may or may not exist off the east coast you have never been so wrong as when you say seismic is not needed for exploration. Forget the fact that no oil company has ever drilled an exploration well offshore without the aid of seismic. No oil company has ever taken a lease offshore without the aid of seismic. I've been a petroleum geologist for 33 years. One of us is not telling the truth. I'll let the thread decide for themselves who's correct.


I didn't say that seismic isn't needed - what I said was that 3D seismic isn't needed. Reflection seismic at a .5 mile spacing was shot up and down the east coast in the 1970's at 36 fold stacking.
I suspect (donl;t have proof) that it has probably been released into the public domain by now.

The above seismic (pasted in a previous message) shows sediment packages of about .5 kilometer width The traps involved (if there's hydrocarbons present) would be too small in volume to support the offshore platforms. etc needed to produce. When the price of oil gets much higher - then they may be prospective, but given the sediment packages already drilled, I tend to doubt they'll be looked at until far into the tail of Peak Oil.

One interesting aspect of Peak Oil is that as the resource gets scarcer the value goes up and the smaller deposits become economical. We won't ever really run out of Oil, it just gets more and more expensive and harder and harder to find smaller and smaller deposits.



There's gonna be tough times ahead.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby Starvid » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 10:40:29

Jesus... How come those people in New England even heat with oil? Didn't everyone switch heating fuels from oil like 25 years ago?!
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 10:55:04

obixman ,

You're correct about the old 2d data (which is always proprietary…never becomes public domain). But it could probably be bought real cheap these days. But, again, no one would lease or drill on this data even with current reprocessing efforts. It could be useful to define areas to concentrate new 3d efforts. Companies today demand 3d coverage in exploration plays. Many companies won’t even look at an outside generated oil prospect onshore if there’s no 3d coverage. Which is unfortunate because there are still good prospects to be drilled onshore without 3d coverage. It’s not just the areal coverage but the data content. New acquisition techniques deliver much more content then the old 2d. The new data can, in certain instances, allow the direct detection of oil/gas, commonly called “direct hydrocarbon indicators” (DHI’s). Not a 100% accurate by any means but can weigh heavily in decisions on lease bids and drilling locations.

I’m not completely poo-pooing the old data. It’s there and should be cheap and thus will be used. But that’s just a starting point. Another anecdote about the early evaluation efforts. A number of the “stratigraphic test wells” were drilled by industry consortiums and were located in the least likely place to find commercial hydrocarbons. That’s because no one owned these leases. The goal was to collect samples to test for the possibility of hydrocarbon generation. Before anyone would spend much effort drilling they would want to know if there was even a chance for oil/gas to exist in an area. I watched one of these wells being drilled. All the majors paid for a piece of the drilling operations. A drill company was in charge of the actual drilling operations. From day one the drilling company was putting about 2% diesel into the mud system used to drill this well. It’s a time honored method to help ease drilling. Unfortunate, the geochemical analysis aspect of the well was ruined. Looking for indications of hydrocarbons in samples which were intentionally contaminated with hydrocarbons sounds unbelievable. When all us partners complained the drillers essentially told us to shut up and sit down. It was their job to drill the well and they were going to do it as they saw fit. Needless to say it was a wasted effort and yielded no useful data. But it can be correctly said that this effort didn’t not find evidence of oil generation. True but misleading. They could have drilled through much naturally occurring oil and would have not known it. The “good ole ways” of doing things weren’t always that good.

Again, I’m not nearly as knowledgeable as some here on offshore east coast geology. But I’ll fall back on my basic position: you never know, with any great certainty, how much or little oil/gas is anywhere until you drill a lot of holes. If the industry spends $10 billion looking for hydrocarbons of the east coast and don’t find a single bbl of oil….so what? It’s their money and such a failure would be between them and the shareholders. Even if nothing is found the gov’t will receive 100’s of millions (if not billions) in lease revenue. And if there’s not a drop of oil to found then there’s zero pollution risk. So, even under the worse case scenario the public has nothing to loose and much to gain.

Again, sorry if you feel I jumped to hard. I'm just as susceptible to getting to full of myself as others out here.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby mos6507 » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 11:06:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', 'J')esus... How come those people in New England even heat with oil? Didn't everyone switch heating fuels from oil like 25 years ago?!


Switch to what?
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby obixman » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 11:41:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', 'o')bixman ,

....
Again, I’m not nearly as knowledgeable as some here on offshore east coast geology. But I’ll fall back on my basic position: you never know, with any great certainty, how much or little oil/gas is anywhere until you drill a lot of holes. If the industry spends $10 billion looking for hydrocarbons of the east coast and don’t find a single bbl of oil….so what? It’s their money and such a failure would be between them and the shareholders. Even if nothing is found the gov’t will receive 100’s of millions (if not billions) in lease revenue. And if there’s not a drop of oil to found then there’s zero pollution risk. So, even under the worse case scenario the public has nothing to loose and much to gain.

Again, sorry if you feel I jumped to hard. I'm just as susceptible to getting to full of myself as others out here.


I think we're in a lot of agreement.... We're both just very vocal
and somewhat (?) opinionated.

I can only speak of the company I was with. But we used true amplitude processing and were very careful. Our research labs (yes we had them - and spent lots of money on them..) knew all about flat - bright and other DHI's, and we ( although sworn to secrecy at the time) used them all faithfully, as well as having hyrdocarbon sniffing vessels all over the place (generally finding leaking fishing vessels, I might add :-)

The COST wells were very deliberately drilled to NOT find hydrocarbons and were hugely successful at that :-) The logs from them are not useful for oil determination, but cores and cuttings were very telling. Palynology revealed that the sediments were not ever close to thermal maturity.

I'm sorry to hear the seismic wasn't ever released.
It should have been. It was state of teh art at the time. I didn't see anything from GOM that matched it until a decade or so later.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby FoolYap » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 11:49:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', 'J')esus... How come those people in New England even heat with oil? Didn't everyone switch heating fuels from oil like 25 years ago?!


Natural gas lines are difficult / expensive to install here; you should see the rock! The town we live in now will never have natural gas lines; too few people, spread over too many miles, with too much rock.

Where natural gas isn't an option, that leaves you with a fuel that must be delivered to your home. Heating oil and propane are the obvious two choices. We use heating oil in our central HVAC because it's the most common home-delivery option here, so it was easy to find services.

We're burning more & more wood, since we can cut it from our own property sustainably. The gating factor in that has been time. But the higher heating oil prices go, the more time I'll find. :-)

--Steve
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby MarkJ » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 11:57:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', 'J')esus... How come those people in New England even heat with oil? Didn't everyone switch heating fuels from oil like 25 years ago?!


Heating Oil was cheaper than natural gas until a few years ago. Even a couple years ago, some pre-buy, capped fuel price plans and/or C.O.D. Oil and large quantity Cash Discount Oil was cheaper than natural gas after all charges in many regions.

Image


Your choices for heating in areas without natural gas lines are heating oil, kerosene, propane, electric, coal, wood, wood pellets, corn, pellet mixtures, biomass blocks etc. Choose your poison. Fortunately, modern efficient homes and high efficiency heat and hot water systems use much less fuel these days.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 12:00:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', 'J')esus... How come those people in New England even heat with oil? Didn't everyone switch heating fuels from oil like 25 years ago?!


People in new England switched from coal &wood to heating oil in the 60s because the oil was 20 cents a gallon and you didn't have to shovel it or tend a fire or take out the ashes. They would take the door off a coal furnace and bolt on a oil burner pump and use the fire box and all the ductwork from the old system. Only the larger citys had natural gas mains and oil was as cheap or cheaper anyway. Except for the first oil embargo in the 70s and a short while thereafter it has always been the cheapest fuel here when the cost of labor to feed the funace is taken into account. Now to switch people face the inital cost of putting in adaquate chimneys and a new solid fuel burning unit. Many can't afford to switch and can't afford to stay with oil. catch 22.
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Re: WSJ: Ditching Oil, Converting to Gas (home heating)

Unread postby MarkJ » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 12:38:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', '[')In New Hampshire NG only serves 6.7k customers in a state of 1.3 million. The conversion to NG costs $4-8k, too, according to the WSJ article. Pick your poison. My understanding was that use of heating oil persisted due to inacessability of delivery for NG, and low incomes preventing the switchover.


Most of our heating oil, kerosene and propane customers live in areas without natural gas lines. Many heating oil customers have natural gas available, but they've never paid to connect to the gas mains. Many customers also choose to replace their oil fired systems with an ultra efficient oil fired system, or they already have an efficient oil fired system, so it wouldn't pay to replace it. Many have a huge financial investment in new safety oil tank(s), stainless chimney liners, triple wall chimneys, ultra efficient boilers, burners etc.

The low income homeowners often don't have the money and/or credit to insulate, weatherize, replace windows, connect to the gas mains, run gas lines, remove underground storage tanks, remove basement oil tanks, upgrade, replace or remove chimneys, replace boilers/furnaces/water heaters, relocate equipment, replace piping, controls, circulators, ductwork, remove asbestos etc.

Many installations of highly efficient modulating condensing gas boilers, indirect water heaters, multiple zones, controls and re-piping, fittings, valves and other necessary components are well over in the numbers quoted by the WSJ.

The low income funding to replace heating equipment hasn't scaled with the increasing cost of fuel, materials, parts, equipment and labor either. Low income homeowners look at you like you're crazy when you give them a quote for a new boiler, piping, re-piping, controls and extras. Many can't even afford the materials and equipment, let alone the high labor costs which are often the largest portion of the bill.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby Starvid » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 14:15:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Homesteader', 's')orry, you've gone on the ignore list.

Someone's in deniiiiial. :lol:
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby Starvid » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 14:17:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', 'I') know what you mean P. But I've seen so many examples in my life of folks not taking advantage of free programs for what ever silly reason. You would think sky high enrgy bills would be otivation enough...but not always. Either way, adding those folks into a program probably would gain a whole lot. But I just liked the image of black shirted gov't goons kicking in doors while pointing thermal scanners at frightened homeowners.

We must not infringe on the freedom of people who enjoy having large energy bills. :P
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby Starvid » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 14:18:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', 'J')esus... How come those people in New England even heat with oil? Didn't everyone switch heating fuels from oil like 25 years ago?!


Switch to what?

Heat pumps, district heating, wood stoves, electricity?
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby Starvid » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 14:20:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('FoolYap', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', 'J')esus... How come those people in New England even heat with oil? Didn't everyone switch heating fuels from oil like 25 years ago?!


Natural gas lines are difficult / expensive to install here; you should see the rock! The town we live in now will never have natural gas lines; too few people, spread over too many miles, with too much rock.

Where natural gas isn't an option, that leaves you with a fuel that must be delivered to your home. Heating oil and propane are the obvious two choices. We use heating oil in our central HVAC because it's the most common home-delivery option here, so it was easy to find services.

We're burning more & more wood, since we can cut it from our own property sustainably. The gating factor in that has been time. But the higher heating oil prices go, the more time I'll find. :-)

--Steve

Natural gas lines are not hard to install here - they are nonexistent! In spite of this people still manage to heat their homes without oil even though I live on the same latitude as Anchorage, Alaska.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby Starvid » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 14:21:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', 'J')esus... How come those people in New England even heat with oil? Didn't everyone switch heating fuels from oil like 25 years ago?!


Heating Oil was cheaper than natural gas until a few years ago. Even a couple years ago, some pre-buy, capped fuel price plans and/or C.O.D. Oil and large quantity Cash Discount Oil was cheaper than natural gas after all charges in many regions.

Image


Your choices for heating in areas without natural gas lines are heating oil, kerosene, propane, electric, coal, wood, wood pellets, corn, pellet mixtures, biomass blocks etc. Choose your poison. Fortunately, modern efficient homes and high efficiency heat and hot water systems use much less fuel these days.

You forgot electricity, heat pumps and best of all, district heating.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby Starvid » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 14:24:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', 'J')esus... How come those people in New England even heat with oil? Didn't everyone switch heating fuels from oil like 25 years ago?!


People in new England switched from coal &wood to heating oil in the 60s because the oil was 20 cents a gallon and you didn't have to shovel it or tend a fire or take out the ashes. They would take the door off a coal furnace and bolt on a oil burner pump and use the fire box and all the ductwork from the old system. Only the larger citys had natural gas mains and oil was as cheap or cheaper anyway. Except for the first oil embargo in the 70s and a short while thereafter it has always been the cheapest fuel here when the cost of labor to feed the funace is taken into account. Now to switch people face the inital cost of putting in adaquate chimneys and a new solid fuel burning unit. Many can't afford to switch and can't afford to stay with oil. catch 22.

In Sweden we heated with wood. Then came coal, after world war two oil. Then came the oil crises and no one in their right mind kept using oil. Then came the nukes and everyone used electricity. Then came the district heating systems and the heat pumps, and the return of wood. That's where we are now.

And catch 22... These things usually pay for themselves in just a few years. An excellent choice to take a bank loan for. The interest on the loan is bound to be smaller than your heating cost savings.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Thu 14 Aug 2008, 14:32:18

So true Starvid. We Texans are big believers in personal freedom even if it kills you. That's why the most common phrase uttered before fatal car crashes here is "Hold my beer and watch this!".
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